Sasol (SSL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$13.93−0.10 (−0.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's news around Sasol centers on insider activity following equity vesting, with the CFO, the EVP of Commercial and Legal, and the CEO each disposing of shares acquired through performance-based restricted stock units, at a weighted-average price of $12.70 to $12.7020 per share, with sales occurring between September 4 and September 8. Separately, non-executive director Rhidwaan Gasant has resigned from the board, effective September 25, stepping down from the Audit Committee and Remuneration Committee as well.

Sasol closed at $13.93, down 0.7%, and sits above both its 50-day average of $12.44 and its 200-day average of $10.79, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 54.3, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, up 2.3 over the past five sessions. Price remains 32.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.55. Over the past year the stock has returned 122.9%, with a three-month return of 43.6% and a one-month return of 20%.

No confirmed earnings date appears on the calendar following the last report on 1 September, when Sasol beat estimates with EPS of $2.06 against a $1.53 estimate and moved 5.5% on the news. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity is recorded in the respective windows. Seasonality is a noted headwind, with the next 20 trading days averaging a 2.2% decline over 5 years, positive in 2 of them. The consensus analyst target stands at $16.88, implying 21.2% upside.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Sasol price vs fair value

▲$20.55$13.93Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $13.93200-day averageGekko Fair Value $20.55

Sasol quick facts

Market cap
$8.88B
P/E ratio
12.4
Forward P/E
7.8
EPS, TTM
$1.15
Revenue, TTM
$272.1B
Profit margin
4.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
-0.32
Volume
2.34M avg 2.08M
1-year return
+122.9%
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±8.9%
50-day average
$12.44
200-day average
$10.79
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
634.7M
52-week range
$5.24$15.18

Sasol swing-trade checklist

Sasol scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $13.93 is above the 50-day ($12.44) and 200-day ($10.79) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    54.3, Neutral

    Reading 54.3 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    32.2% below

    Price is 32.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Sasol stock chart and price history

Sasol closed at $13.93 on Sep 28, 2026, +122.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $5.24 to $15.18.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Sasol share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$6$8$10$12NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep13.93

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+20.0%
3 months
+43.6%
6 months
+9.6%
1 year
+122.9%
The full SSL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SSL in Gekko

Follow Sasol through every session

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Sasol GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Sasol’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 54.3, in the Neutral zone, up 2.3 points over five sessions.

010054.3Neutral

Up 2.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying47+1.8%+4.8%+6.8%+15.1%
Accumulation201+0.7%+1.1%+1.2%+2.7%
Neutral (current zone)322+0.7%+1.5%+3.6%+10.3%
Distribution53+1.0%+2.2%+2.1%+8.0%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average SSL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SSL price, zone by zone.Track SSL in Gekko

Is Sasol stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Sasol trades 32.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.55, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Sasol shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$20.55

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

32.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SSL in Gekko

Sasol insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Sasol, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SSL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SSL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SSL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SSL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SSL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SSL in Gekko

Sasol earnings: next date and track record

Sasol beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.9% on average across the report.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.9%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−10.8%Apr ’24+1.2%Aug ’24+0.9%Oct ’24+3.0%Feb ’25+1.1%May ’25+6.4%Aug ’25+1.9%Feb ’26+5.5%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 1, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Sasol's FY26 results show meaningful progress across key operational metrics, including exceeding Secunda production targets, reducing Southern African oil breakeven to $49/barrel, and strengthening the balance sheet below target. International Chemicals reset delivered measurable improvements aided by favorable Q4 market conditions. The company brought 500+ megawatts of renewable energy online in South Africa, advancing its grow-and-transform strategy while improving reliability across the Southern African value chain.
Guidance
Management expressed increased confidence in the foundation business trajectory following FY26 delivery. The company remains on track toward renewable energy targets supporting long-term emission reduction and growth optionality. No specific revenue or earnings numerical targets were disclosed in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 1, 2026$2.06
est $1.53
+34.6%$9.30B
est $8.53B
+9.0%+5.5%
Feb 23, 2026$0.58
est $0.58
+0.5%$7.64B
est $7.55B
+1.3%+1.9%
Aug 25, 2025$0.00
est $0.00
—$7.23B
est $7.12B
+1.4%+6.4%
May 28, 2025$0.00
est $0.00
———+1.1%
Feb 24, 2025$7.18
est $0.00
—$6.42B
est $6.70B
−4.1%+3.0%
Oct 24, 2024$0.00
est $0.00
———+0.9%
Aug 20, 2024$0.00
est $0.00
—$7.64B
est $7.63B
+0.1%+1.2%
Apr 23, 2024$0.00
est $0.00
—$7.05B
est $7.27B
−2.9%−10.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Sasol stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Sasol is $16.88, +21.2% from the last close.

$16.88consensus 12-month target, +21.2% from the last close
+3.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−2.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Sasol seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Sasol averaged −2.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−5.5%2021+7.9%2022−4.1%2023−14.8%2024+3.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.6%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.9%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.4%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−3.4%2 of 5

For scale, SSL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.9%.

Sasol market cap and key statistics

Sasol’s market cap is $8.88B, with a P/E ratio of 12.4 and revenue of $272.1B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$8.88B
P/E ratio
12.4
Forward P/E
7.8
EPS, TTM
$1.15
Gekko Fair Value
$20.55

Trading

Volume
2.34M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.08M
52-week high
$15.18
52-week low
$5.24
Shares outstanding
634.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$272.1B
Profit margin
4.5%
Return on equity
8.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+447.5%

Risk and income

Beta
-0.32
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±8.9%

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Sasol stock FAQ

What is Sasol’s market cap?

Sasol’s market cap is $8.88B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $13.93, with 634.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.4.

What is the Sasol stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Sasol is $16.88, +21.2% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Sasol stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Sasol is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $13.93 is 32.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.55. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is Sasol’s 52-week high and low?

Sasol’s 52-week high is $15.18 and its 52-week low is $5.24; it closed at $13.93 on Sep 28, 2026, +122.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $28.37 on Jun 6, 2022.

Is Sasol stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (trend and fair value), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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