Sociedad Quimica y Minera (SQM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$65.16−1.73 (−2.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's move follows Wall Street Zen cutting its rating on SQM from "strong buy" to "buy," even as overall analyst consensus remains "Hold" with an average price target of $79.30. Separately, an institutional filing showed continued accumulation of shares by an investor, with institutional investors now collectively owning 12.41% of the company.

SQM closed at $65.16, down 2.6%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $72.50 and its 200-day average of $76.74, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 68.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 15.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $77.47. Over the past month the stock has returned -19%, and over six months -21.2%, though the one-year return stands at 46.6%.

The next earnings date falls on 17 November 2026, 49 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report on 19 August 2026 showed EPS of $2.31 against an estimate of $2.03, producing a 5.3% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.5% across 5 years, with gains in 2 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to Gekko Fair Value.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Sociedad Quimica y Minera price vs fair value

$77.47$65.16Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $65.16200-day averageGekko Fair Value $77.47

Sociedad Quimica y Minera quick facts

Market cap
$18.61B
P/E ratio
14.2
Forward P/E
11
EPS, TTM
$4.72
Revenue, TTM
$6.73B
Profit margin
20.6%
Dividend yield
3.51%
Beta
1.02
Volume
915,481 avg 1.01M
1-year return
+46.6%
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±9.4%
50-day average
$72.50
200-day average
$76.74
Next earnings
Nov 17
Shares outstanding
142.8M
52-week range
$40.58$98.00

Sociedad Quimica y Minera swing-trade checklist

Sociedad Quimica y Minera scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $65.16 is below the 50-day ($72.50) and 200-day ($76.74) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68.3, Accumulation

    Reading 68.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    15.9% below

    Price is 15.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 49 days

    Next report Nov 17, 2026, 49 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −0.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.5% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Sociedad Quimica y Minera stock chart and price history

Sociedad Quimica y Minera closed at $65.16 on Sep 28, 2026, +46.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $40.58 to $98.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Sociedad Quimica y Minera share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$60$80NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep65.16

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−19.0%
3 months
−6.7%
6 months
−21.2%
1 year
+46.6%
The full SQM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SQM in Gekko

Follow Sociedad Quimica y Minera through every session

Put SQM on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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Sociedad Quimica y Minera GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Sociedad Quimica y Minera’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.5 points over five sessions.

010068.3Accumulation

Up 1.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying34+3.4%+4.9%+3.9%+6.1%
Accumulation (current zone)209+0.8%+0.5%+1.8%+5.6%
Neutral350−0.1%+0.5%+2.2%+5.7%
Distribution32+1.6%+3.5%0.0%+6.3%
Selling0Not available

Average SQM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SQM price, zone by zone.Track SQM in Gekko

Is Sociedad Quimica y Minera stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Sociedad Quimica y Minera trades 15.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $77.47, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Sociedad Quimica y Minera shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$77.47

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

15.9% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SQM in Gekko

Sociedad Quimica y Minera insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Sociedad Quimica y Minera, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SQM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SQM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SQM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SQM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SQM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SQM in Gekko

Buybacks

Sociedad Quimica y Minera has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2021
$57K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold SQM.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Sociedad Quimica y Minera earnings: next date and track record

Sociedad Quimica y Minera reports on Nov 17, 2026 (49 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports.

1 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.4%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.3%Nov ’24+7.0%Mar ’25−3.8%May ’25+0.4%Aug ’25+1.9%Nov ’25−3.0%Feb ’26+4.7%May ’26+5.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 19, 2026 AI summary

What they said
SQM reported record quarterly lithium sales volumes of 84,000+ metric tons LCE in Q2 2026, with strong performance across lithium, iodine, and specialty plant nutrition segments. The company submitted environmental documentation for the $3 billion Salar Futuro project with Codelco. SQM paid $1.6 billion to the Chilean government in H1 2026. Iodine production guidance set at 15,500 metric tons for 2026, and plant nutrition volumes expected to grow 10% year-over-year.
Guidance
SQM expects global lithium demand to exceed 2.1 million metric tons in 2026, with Chilean production of 280,000-290,000 metric tons LCE. Total capex guidance of ~$3 billion over 2026-2028. Australian Mount Holland expansion to double capacity by 2030.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 19, 2026$2.31
est $2.03
+13.8%$2.47B
est $2.24B
+10.3%+5.3%
May 26, 2026$1.28
est $1.56
−18.1%$1.76B
est $1.69B
+3.9%+4.7%
Feb 27, 2026$0.64
est $0.80
−20.0%$1.32B
est $1.25B
+5.6%−3.0%
Nov 19, 2025$0.62
est $0.66
−6.1%$1.17B
est $1.23B
−4.4%+1.9%
Aug 20, 2025$0.31
est $0.52
−40.4%$1.04B
est $1.24B
−15.7%+0.4%
May 28, 2025$0.48
est $0.63
−23.8%$1.04B
est $1.11B
−7.0%−3.8%
Mar 4, 2025$0.42
est $0.54
−22.2%$1.07B
est $1.01B
+6.1%+7.0%
Nov 20, 2024$0.46
est $0.65
−29.2%$1.08B
est $1.07B
+0.8%+1.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Sociedad Quimica y Minera stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Sociedad Quimica y Minera is $84.78, +30.1% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$84.78consensus 12-month target, +30.1% from the last close
Low $60High $104
Buy4
Hold2
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 1J.P. MorganHold, maintained$94+44.3%
Aug 28J.P. MorganHold, maintained$94+44.3%
Aug 27CitiBuy, upgraded$95+45.8%
Aug 26CitiBuy, upgraded$95+45.8%
Aug 24ScotiabankBuy, reiterated$104+59.6%
+1.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Sociedad Quimica y Minera seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Sociedad Quimica y Minera averaged −0.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.8%20210.0%2022−7.0%2023−2.1%2024+3.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.6%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.2%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.5%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.2%3 of 5

For scale, SQM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.4%.

Sociedad Quimica y Minera market cap and key statistics

Sociedad Quimica y Minera’s market cap is $18.61B, with a P/E ratio of 14.2 and revenue of $6.73B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$18.61B
P/E ratio
14.2
Forward P/E
11
EPS, TTM
$4.72
Gekko Fair Value
$77.47

Trading

Volume
915,481
Avg volume, 20 days
1.01M
52-week high
$98.00
52-week low
$40.58
Shares outstanding
142.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$6.73B
Profit margin
20.6%
Return on equity
21.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+646.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.02
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±9.4%
Dividend yield
3.51%

Sociedad Quimica y Minera stock news this week

2 headlines about Sociedad Quimica y Minera from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Sociedad Quimica y Minera stock FAQ

What is Sociedad Quimica y Minera’s market cap?

Sociedad Quimica y Minera’s market cap is $18.61B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $65.16, with 142.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.2.

What is the Sociedad Quimica y Minera stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Sociedad Quimica y Minera is $84.78, +30.1% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Sociedad Quimica y Minera stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Sociedad Quimica y Minera is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $65.16 is 15.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $77.47. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Sociedad Quimica y Minera report earnings next?

Sociedad Quimica y Minera is expected to report on Nov 17, 2026 (49 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.02 per share on revenue of $2.23B. Sociedad Quimica y Minera beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.4% on average across the report.

What is Sociedad Quimica y Minera’s 52-week high and low?

Sociedad Quimica y Minera’s 52-week high is $98.00 and its 52-week low is $40.58; it closed at $65.16 on Sep 28, 2026, +46.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $115.76 on May 27, 2022.

Is Sociedad Quimica y Minera stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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