Phillips Edison (PECO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$37.59+0.20 (+0.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's news centers on dividend commentary, analyst actions, and an upcoming earnings date. Phillips Edison raised its annualized dividend by 10.1%, now yielding 3.72% with a 48% payout ratio, and coverage notes the company is considered 17% undervalued by some analysts. Mizuho lowered its price target to $39.00 from $43 while maintaining an "outperform" rating, implying 5.18% upside, and separate coverage cites a consensus target of $43.44 against a $37.12 price, alongside a prior quarter where PECO exceeded revenue estimates at $189.62 million but missed EPS estimates at $0.33. The company also confirmed it will report third-quarter results after market close.

PECO closed at $37.59, up 0.5%, with price sitting between its 50-day average of $39.91 and 200-day average of $38.91. Returns show a 1-month decline of 4.2% and a 3-month decline of 11%, though the 6-month return is positive at 2.1% and the 1-year return stands at 9.7%. The GekkoIndex reads 67.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, down 11.3 over five days. Price sits 39.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $62.16.

Earnings are scheduled for 22 October 2026 after close, 23 days away, falling inside the next 20-trading-day window. The prior quarter posted EPS of $0.33 against an estimate of $0.18, with a 0.4% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 4 of the last 8 quarters. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average 20-day return of 0.5%, positive in 4 of those years. Analyst consensus among 10 firms includes 5 buy and 5 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $45.08.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Phillips Edison price vs fair value

▲$62.16$37.59Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $37.59200-day averageGekko Fair Value $62.16

Phillips Edison quick facts

Market cap
$4.83B
P/E ratio
32.3
Forward P/E
65.8
EPS, TTM
$1.15
Revenue, TTM
$750.9M
Profit margin
19.1%
Dividend yield
3.51%
Beta
0.50
Volume
1.16M avg 988,612
1-year return
+9.7%
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
50-day average
$39.91
200-day average
$38.91
Next earnings
Oct 22 after close
Shares outstanding
128.7M
52-week range
$32.98$44.38

Phillips Edison swing-trade checklist

Phillips Edison scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $37.59 sits between the 50-day ($39.91) and 200-day ($38.91) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.2, Accumulation

    Reading 67.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    39.5% below

    Price is 39.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Oct 22, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +0.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Phillips Edison stock chart and price history

Phillips Edison closed at $37.59 on Sep 28, 2026, +9.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $32.98 to $44.38.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Phillips Edison share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$35$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep37.59

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.2%
3 months
−11.0%
6 months
+2.1%
1 year
+9.7%
The full PECO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PECO in Gekko

Follow Phillips Edison through every session

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About Phillips Edison

Phillips Edison owns and runs neighborhood shopping centers built around grocery stores, leasing space to a mix of national and regional retailers that sell everyday goods and services. Its centers are anchored by supermarket chains such as Kroger, Publix, Albertsons and Ahold Delhaize, and the properties sit in markets across the country. The company's identity centers on this grocery-anchored retail format rather than broader commercial real estate.

The business operates through an integrated platform that handles its own property management rather than outsourcing it. As of the end of 2025 it managed 324 shopping centers in total, with 297 of these wholly owned and spanning 33.5 million square feet across 31 states, while the remaining 27 centers are held through three joint ventures with institutional partners. Its tenants and shopping centers serve local communities looking for regular, necessity-driven shopping.

Phillips Edison traces its incorporation back to 1991. Its shares trade under the ticker PECO.

Sector
Finance
Website
phillipsedison.com

Phillips Edison GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Phillips Edison’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.2, in the Accumulation zone, down 11.3 points over five sessions.

010067.2Accumulation

Down 11.3 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying33−0.1%−0.6%−0.4%−0.6%
Accumulation (current zone)194+0.2%+0.2%+0.7%+2.3%
Neutral3540.0%+0.2%+0.6%+1.7%
Distribution44+0.3%+0.6%−1.0%+2.6%
Selling0Not available

Average PECO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PECO price, zone by zone.Track PECO in Gekko

Is Phillips Edison stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Phillips Edison trades 39.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $62.16, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Phillips Edison shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$62.16

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

39.5% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PECO in Gekko

Phillips Edison insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Phillips Edison, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PECO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PECO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PECO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in PECO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for PECO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PECO in Gekko

Buybacks

Phillips Edison has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2021
$77.77M
As a share of market cap
1.61%

From company filings.

Phillips Edison earnings: next date and track record

Phillips Edison reports on Oct 22, 2026, after the close (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.9%Oct ’24+1.2%Feb ’25−2.0%Apr ’25−0.7%Jul ’25−0.2%Oct ’25+0.8%Feb ’26+3.2%Apr ’26+0.4%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 AI summary

What they said
PECO delivered Q2 2026 Nareit FFO per share growth of 8.1%, core FFO per share growth of 7.8%, and same-center NOI growth of 3%. Portfolio traffic grew 2% year-over-year in June and 2% year-to-date, reflecting resilient consumer demand at necessity-based centers. The company raised $92 million in equity during June-July to fund accretive acquisitions. Kroger's acquisition of Giant Eagle is viewed positively given PECO's position as Kroger's largest landlord.
Guidance
PECO raised full-year gross acquisition guidance to $500M-$600M range based on strong first-half performance. Management targets unlevered IRRs of 9% for grocery-anchored centers and 10% for everyday retail, funded through equity issuance, portfolio recycling, and joint ventures.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 23, 2026$0.33
est $0.18
+80.5%$184.5M
est $187.5M
−1.6%+0.4%
Apr 23, 2026$0.24
est $0.17
+39.1%$186.3M
est $183.7M
+1.4%+3.2%
Feb 5, 2026$0.38
est $0.16
+135.3%$183.2M
est $167.6M
+9.3%+0.8%
Oct 23, 2025$0.20
est $0.64
−68.7%$294.5M
est $183.2M
+60.8%−0.2%
Jul 24, 2025$0.10
est $0.63
−84.1%$177.8M
est $176.2M
+0.9%−0.7%
Apr 24, 2025$0.21
est $0.63
−66.7%$178.3M
est $170.5M
+4.6%−2.0%
Feb 6, 2025$0.15
est $0.12
+25.0%$173.0M
est $168.1M
+2.9%+1.2%
Oct 24, 2024$0.09
est $0.14
−35.7%$165.5M
est $169.3M
−2.3%−1.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Phillips Edison stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Phillips Edison is $45.08, +19.9% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$45.08consensus 12-month target, +19.9% from the last close
Low $39High $49
Buy5
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28BarclaysHold, maintained$43+14.4%
Sep 24Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, maintained$39+3.8%
Sep 21Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$44+17.1%
Sep 21Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Sep 14Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$46+22.4%
+0.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Phillips Edison seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Phillips Edison averaged +0.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.8%2021+1.9%2022+1.3%2023−1.0%2024+0.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.8%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.5%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.8%5 of 5

For scale, PECO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.5%.

Phillips Edison market cap and key statistics

Phillips Edison’s market cap is $4.83B, with a P/E ratio of 32.3 and revenue of $750.9M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.83B
P/E ratio
32.3
Forward P/E
65.8
EPS, TTM
$1.15
Gekko Fair Value
$62.16

Trading

Volume
1.16M
Avg volume, 20 days
988,612
52-week high
$44.38
52-week low
$32.98
Shares outstanding
128.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$750.9M
Profit margin
19.1%
Return on equity
6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+219.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.50
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
Dividend yield
3.51%

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Phillips Edison stock FAQ

What is Phillips Edison’s market cap?

Phillips Edison’s market cap is $4.83B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $37.59, with 128.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 32.3.

What is the Phillips Edison stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Phillips Edison is $45.08, +19.9% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Phillips Edison stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Phillips Edison is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $37.59 is 39.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $62.16. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Phillips Edison report earnings next?

Phillips Edison is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026, after the market closes (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.19 per share on revenue of $189.9M. Phillips Edison beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.3% on average across the report.

What is Phillips Edison’s 52-week high and low?

Phillips Edison’s 52-week high is $44.38 and its 52-week low is $32.98; it closed at $37.59 on Sep 28, 2026, +9.7% over the past year.

Is Phillips Edison stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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