Insider buying last 90 days
$121Kin 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14 | Ryan Mchugh VP, CAO & Assistant Treasurer | Purchase | $121K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
NYSE: MAIN
Main Street Capital (MAIN) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$55.07−0.03 (−0.1%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryMain Street Capital's stock steadies this week around its consistent monthly dividend of $0.265 per share, with reports noting that Q2 2026 distributable net investment income of $1.08 per share comfortably covers payouts. Additional coverage highlights the long-run dividend income since MAIN's 2007 IPO, framing an initial $10,000 investment as now generating about $177 a month in regular dividends, plus quarterly supplemental payouts. A filing also shows Bank of America Corp DE opening a new stake in MAIN during the period.
Shares closed at $55.07, down 0.1%, sitting between the 50-day average of $56.68 and the 200-day average of $56.29, reflecting a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 66.8, placing MAIN in the Accumulation zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $57.81, putting the current price 4.7% below that mark.
Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report is scheduled for 5 November 2026, 37 days out, falling outside a typical holding window of this length. Smart-money activity over the last 90 days shows one open-market insider purchase valued at $121,032. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average 20-day return of -0.5% from this point in the calendar, with gains in 3 of those years. Analyst coverage from 2 firms currently shows both rated hold, with a consensus target of $59.50, implying 8% upside from current levels.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Main Street Capital price vs fair value
Close $55.07200-day averageGekko Fair Value $57.81
Main Street Capital quick facts
- Market cap
- $5.12B
- P/E ratio
- 11.1
- Forward P/E
- 16.1
- EPS, TTM
- $4.98
- Revenue, TTM
- $575.1M
- Profit margin
- 78.5%
- Dividend yield
- 5.64%
- Beta
- 0.73
- Volume
- 468,532 avg 456,820
- 1-year return
- −13.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.9%
- 50-day average
- $56.68
- 200-day average
- $56.29
- Next earnings
- Nov 5
- Shares outstanding
- 93.51M
Main Street Capital swing-trade checklist
Main Street Capital scores 3 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $55.07 sits between the 50-day ($56.68) and 200-day ($56.29) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
66.8, Accumulation
Reading 66.8 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
4.7% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.7% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 37 days
Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
−0.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Main Street Capital stock chart and price history
Main Street Capital closed at $55.07 on Sep 28, 2026, −13.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $48.95 to $65.23.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −6.0%
- 3 months
- +6.8%
- 6 months
- +6.9%
- 1 year
- −13.6%
The full MAIN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MAIN in Gekko
Follow Main Street Capital through every session
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About Main Street Capital
Main Street Capital operates as a business development company, offering funding to businesses that fall outside the reach of large public markets. Its main focus is equity capital for lower middle market companies, backing efforts such as recapitalizations, management buyouts, refinancing, estate planning within family-owned firms, industry consolidation, and expansion for both mature and later-stage businesses. It works closely with entrepreneurs, owners, and management teams, often serving as a single source for their financing needs.
On the equity side, Main Street Capital typically invests in companies with annual revenues between five million and three hundred million dollars, committing two million to seventy five million dollars per deal, and taking ownership stakes anywhere from a small minority share to full majority control. It separately provides debt capital to somewhat larger middle market companies, in amounts from five million to fifty million dollars, supporting acquisitions, buyouts, growth, recapitalizations, and refinancing. These borrowers tend to have larger earnings than its equity portfolio companies. Its investments span a wide range of industries, including logistics, construction, healthcare, software, energy, retail, and telecommunications, among others.
Shares of Main Street Capital are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MAIN.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Financial conglomerates
- Website
- mainstcapital.com
Main Street Capital GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Main Street Capital’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 6.4 points over five sessions.
66.8Accumulation
Up 6.4 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 15 | +2.6% | +1.9% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 184 | −0.4% | −0.6% | ||
| Neutral | 391 | +0.4% | +1.4% | ||
| Distribution | 75 | 0.0% | +1.3% | ||
| Selling | 7 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MAIN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MAIN price, zone by zone.Track MAIN in Gekko
Is Main Street Capital stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Main Street Capital trades 4.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $57.81, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Main Street Capital shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$57.81
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
4.7% below fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MAIN in Gekko
Main Street Capital insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Main Street Capital worth $121K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MAIN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MAIN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MAIN in Gekko
Buybacks
Main Street Capital has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $8.97M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.18%
From company filings.
Main Street Capital earnings: next date and track record
Main Street Capital reports on Nov 5, 2026 (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 5, 2026
37 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.95
- Revenue estimate
- $147.0M
2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.9%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Main Street Capital reported a strong second quarter 2026 with solid operating results driven by favorable NII and DNII per share, an increase in NAV per share, and significant realized gains in their lower middle market and private loan portfolios. Management highlighted an annualized return on equity of 18.9%, total investment income of $149.6 million (up 3.9% YoY and 6.8% QoQ), higher interest income driven by increased income-producing debt investments, partially offset by lower dividend income and impacts from non-accruals. Management emphasized the differentiated lower middle market strategy (debt + equity) as a source of downside protection and upside through equity realizations (~$88M realized gains noted in exits; later comments referenced ~$130M net realized gains over a longer period). They also noted a stronger capital structure, conservative leverage, strong liquidity, and plans to expand asset management (private Fund III planned; new fundraising hire). During Q&A management characterized recent variability across portfolio companies as largely idiosyncratic rather than systemic, reiterated confidence in the deal pipeline, said they expect new investments and follow-ons in Q3/Q4, and reviewed the supplemental dividend framework (driven by DNII before taxes and with realized gains considered). Overall tone was confident and measured, acknowledging economic uncertainty and some pressure on dividend income and underperformers but emphasizing portfolio strength and opportunities ahead.
- Guidance
- No explicit numerical revenue or earnings guidance was issued. Management provided directional forward-looking commentary: they expect both new investments and follow-on activity in Q3 and Q4 2026; plan to launch a private Fund III later this year or early next year with an 18-24 month fundraising cycle (fees on deployed capital); and will use DNII before taxes plus realized gains (to a lesser extent) when determining supplemental dividends. No formal guidance on dividends, NAV, revenue, or EPS was provided.
- Risks flagged
- Economic uncertainty and macro pressures that can increase variability across portfolio companies; reductions in dividend income from portfolio companies; investments moving to non-accrual status which depress income; idiosyncratic underperformance at individual portfolio companies; possible shifts in capital allocation by portfolio companies prioritizing growth or conserving cash; potential fundraising execution risk for Fund III.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $0.97 est $0.95 | $149.6M est $144.6M | +5.0% |
| May 7, 2026 | $0.93 est $1.01 | $140.1M est $145.2M | −5.8% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $1.09 est $1.01 | $145.5M est $143.1M | −3.7% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $0.97 est $1.04 | $183.7M est $140.5M | +2.6% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $0.99 est $0.99 | $202.3M est $137.2M | +2.3% |
| May 8, 2025 | $1.01 est $1.02 | $170.7M est $138.3M | −0.8% |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $1.02 est $1.03 | $221.2M est $141.4M | +2.0% |
| Nov 8, 2024 | $1.00 est $1.01 | $136.8M est $142.9M | +1.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Main Street Capital stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Main Street Capital is $59.50, +8.0% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$59.50consensus 12-month target, +8.0% from the last close
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10 | Wells Fargo | $55 | −0.1% |
| Aug 7 | Truist Financial | — | — |
| Jul 17 | Truist Financial | $53 | −3.8% |
−0.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Main Street Capital seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Main Street Capital averaged −0.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.7% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −3.7% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −0.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.9% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, MAIN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.9%.
Main Street Capital market cap and key statistics
Main Street Capital’s market cap is $5.12B, with a P/E ratio of 11.1 and revenue of $575.1M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $5.12B
- P/E ratio
- 11.1
- Forward P/E
- 16.1
- EPS, TTM
- $4.98
- Gekko Fair Value
- $57.81
Trading
- Volume
- 468,532
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 456,820
- 52-week high
- $65.23
- 52-week low
- $48.95
- Shares outstanding
- 93.51M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $575.1M
- Profit margin
- 78.5%
- Return on equity
- 14.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +15.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.73
- Typical daily move
- ±1.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.9%
- Dividend yield
- 5.64%
Main Street Capital stock news this week
Coverage of Main Street Capital this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Bank of America Corp DE Makes New Investment in Main Street Capital Corporation $MAINDefense World, Sep 28
- Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 23
- Main Street Capital stock steadies as monthly dividend and Q2 2026 income support yieldAD HOC NEWS, Sep 22
- Main Street Capital Went Public at $15 a Share. $10,000 Invested Then Now Collects About $177 a Month in Regular Dividends.The Motley Fool, Sep 21
Main Street Capital peers
Main Street Capital’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| BMNRBitMine Immersion Technologies | Neutral | 13.6% below |
| KYIVKyivstar | Accumulation | 47.5% below |
| PURRHyperliquid Strategies | Neutral | 16.5% below |
| JCAPJefferson Capital | Accumulation | 19.0% below |
| IGICInternational General Insurance | Buying | 14.0% below |
| MTAMetalla Royalty & Streaming | Accumulation | 6.7% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Main Street Capital stock FAQ
What is Main Street Capital’s market cap?
Main Street Capital’s market cap is $5.12B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $55.07, with 93.51M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 11.1.
What is the Main Street Capital stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Main Street Capital is $59.50, +8.0% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Main Street Capital stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Main Street Capital is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $55.07 is 4.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $57.81. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Main Street Capital report earnings next?
Main Street Capital is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.95 per share on revenue of $147.0M. Main Street Capital beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.9% on average across the report.
What is Main Street Capital’s 52-week high and low?
Main Street Capital’s 52-week high is $65.23 and its 52-week low is $48.95; it closed at $55.07 on Sep 28, 2026, −13.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $67.77 on Aug 14, 2025.
Is Main Street Capital stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money and earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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