NYSE: MSCI

MSCI (MSCI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$674.30+34.52 (+5.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

MSCI is scheduled to release the results of its November 2026 Index Review on 11 November, with additions and deletions across its equity indexes taking effect at the close of 30 November. The stock also touched a 52-week high of $652.75 this week, with commentary pointing to an 82.89% gross profit margin and 12.34% revenue growth, even as a separate analysis described the shares as potentially overvalued.

MSCI closed at $674.30, up 5.4%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $572.10 and its 200-day average of $574.30, and near its 52-week high of $677.62. The GekkoIndex reads 41.6, placing the stock in the Distribution zone. Price sits 9.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $615.58.

The next earnings report is set for 26 January 2027, 82 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold, so no report falls inside that window; the November index review results due 11 November are the nearer catalyst. Over the last 90 days there has been 1 open-market insider purchase worth $1,000,160, alongside 2 billionaire holders. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 0.9% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Worth noting is the combination of a Distribution reading and a price well above Gekko Fair Value alongside the upcoming index review.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

MSCI price vs fair value

$674.30$615.58Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $674.30200-day averageGekko Fair Value $615.58

MSCI quick facts

Market cap
$49.02B
P/E ratio
33.7
Forward P/E
28.1
EPS, TTM
$18.91
Revenue, TTM
$3.43B
Profit margin
40.3%
Dividend yield
1.28%
Beta
1.19
Volume
1.04M avg 648,842
1-year return
+16.0%
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
50-day average
$572.10
200-day average
$574.30
Next earnings
Jan 26
Shares outstanding
72.70M
52-week range
$501.08$677.62

MSCI swing-trade checklist

MSCI scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $674.30 sits between the 50-day ($572.10) and 200-day ($574.30) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    41.6, Distribution

    Reading 41.6 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    9.5% above

    Price is 9.5% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 82 days

    Next report Jan 26, 2027, 82 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +0.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

MSCI stock chart and price history

MSCI closed at $674.30 on Nov 4, 2026, +16.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $501.08 to $677.62.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
MSCI share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$550$600$650DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct674.30

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+21.5%
3 months
+18.9%
6 months
+15.8%
1 year
+16.0%
The full MSCI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MSCI in Gekko

Follow MSCI through every session

Put MSCI on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About MSCI

MSCI builds analytical tools and data products that help investors make and manage investment decisions. It is widely recognized for its benchmark indexes, which are used in constructing financial products like ETFs and mutual funds, as well as for measuring performance and guiding portfolio and asset allocation choices. It also licenses the GICS classification system used to categorize companies by business activity.

The company operates through four segments. Index provides benchmarks and related licensing services. Analytics covers risk management, performance attribution, and portfolio monitoring across asset classes, including managed data services and hedge fund risk tools through its HedgePlatform. ESG and Climate offers ratings, data, and research on environmental, social, and governance factors affecting portfolios and securities, along with regulatory support. Private Assets focuses on real estate data, benchmarks, valuation analytics, and climate risk insights for funds, managers, and property professionals. Its customers span asset owners and managers, financial intermediaries, wealth managers, real estate firms, and corporations.

MSCI was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in New York City. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MSCI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Commercial services
Industry
Financial publishing/Services
Website
msci.com

MSCI GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

MSCI’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 41.6, in the Distribution zone, down 9.2 points over five sessions.

010041.6Distribution

Down 9.2 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying26+2.2%+3.5%+3.7%+4.1%
Accumulation225+0.8%+1.4%+1.5%+1.4%
Neutral419−0.3%−0.5%−0.5%−0.2%
Distribution (current zone)22−0.3%−1.9%−2.4%−2.6%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average MSCI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MSCI price, zone by zone.Track MSCI in Gekko

Is MSCI stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

MSCI trades 9.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $615.58, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what MSCI shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$615.58

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

9.5% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 12.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$616$640Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MSCI in Gekko

MSCI insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in MSCI worth $1.00M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$1.00Min 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 4Taneja Rajat
director
Purchase1,786$1.00M

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MSCI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MSCI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MSCI in Gekko

Buybacks

MSCI has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$552.6M
As a share of market cap
1.13%
Trailing four quarters
$2.04B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold MSCI.

0added1opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

MSCI earnings: next date and track record

MSCI reports on Jan 26, 2027 (82 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−6.0%Jan ’250.0%Apr ’25−8.2%Jul ’25+3.8%Oct ’25+4.6%Jan ’26+7.2%Apr ’26−8.7%Jul ’26+7.3%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 20, 2026 AI summary

What they said
MSCI reported Q3 2026 total revenue growth of 12.4%, with ABF revenue up 25% and subscription revenue up 8%. Adjusted EBITDA grew 12% and adjusted EPS increased 14%. Record ABF run rate approached $1 billion, with $23 trillion AUM benchmarked to MSCI indices. Recurring net new sales surged 88% in PCS, 63% in analytics, and 40% in index. The company repurchased $627 million in shares and acquired AI-native platform Vantager.
Guidance
Management highlighted momentum across index, analytics, and private capital solutions as growth drivers. The First Street acquisition is expected to accelerate climate segment recovery. AI-first transformation and recent partnerships like UBS are positioned to unlock additional long-term growth layers.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 20, 2026$5.11
est $5.03
+1.6%$892.0M
est $887.8M
+0.5%+7.3%
Jul 21, 2026$4.94
est $4.90
+0.8%$867.0M
est $870.7M
−0.4%−8.7%
Apr 21, 2026$4.55
est $4.46
+2.1%$850.8M
est $838.0M
+1.5%+7.2%
Jan 28, 2026$4.66
est $4.55
+2.4%$822.5M
est $822.4M
0.0%+4.6%
Oct 28, 2025$4.47
est $4.38
+2.1%$793.4M
est $797.2M
−0.5%+3.8%
Jul 22, 2025$4.17
est $4.15
+0.5%$772.7M
est $770.4M
+0.3%−8.2%
Apr 22, 2025$4.00
est $3.92
+2.0%$745.8M
est $743.4M
+0.3%0.0%
Jan 29, 2025$4.18
est $3.95
+5.8%$743.5M
est $745.4M
−0.3%−6.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

MSCI stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for MSCI is $684.12, +1.5% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$684.12consensus 12-month target, +1.5% from the last close
Low $618High $760
Buy8
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2BarclaysBuy, maintained$760+12.7%
Oct 21BarclaysBuy, maintained$735+9.0%
Oct 21Clear StreetHold, maintained$618−8.3%
Oct 21Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$671−0.5%
Oct 21J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$710+5.3%
−2.4%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+0.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

MSCI seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, MSCI averaged +0.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−8.8%2021+9.5%2022+5.4%2023+3.2%2024−5.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.9%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.8%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.1%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.9%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.4%3 of 5

For scale, MSCI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.5%.

MSCI market cap and key statistics

MSCI’s market cap is $49.02B, with a P/E ratio of 33.7 and revenue of $3.43B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$49.02B
P/E ratio
33.7
Forward P/E
28.1
EPS, TTM
$18.91
Gekko Fair Value
$615.58

Trading

Volume
1.04M
Avg volume, 20 days
648,842
52-week high
$677.62
52-week low
$501.08
Shares outstanding
72.70M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.43B
Profit margin
40.3%
Return on equity
0%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+14.4%

Risk and income

Beta
1.19
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
Dividend yield
1.28%

MSCI peers

MSCI’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SPGIS&P Global+1.7%Distribution3.8% above
MCOMoody's+2.6%Distribution4.1% above
EFXEquifax−0.9%Neutral20.0% above
TRUTransUnion+1.2%Neutral1.9% above
FICOFair Isaac−5.1%Accumulation3.5% below
FDSFactSet Research Systems+1.0%Distribution18.2% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Financial publishing/Services

MSCI stock FAQ

What is MSCI’s market cap?

MSCI’s market cap is $49.02B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $674.30, with 72.70M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 33.7.

What is the MSCI stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for MSCI is $684.12, +1.5% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is MSCI stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate MSCI is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $674.30 is 9.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $615.58. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does MSCI report earnings next?

MSCI is expected to report on Jan 26, 2027 (82 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $5.09 per share on revenue of $913.7M. MSCI beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.7% on average across the report.

What is MSCI’s 52-week high and low?

MSCI’s 52-week high is $677.62 and its 52-week low is $501.08; it closed at $674.30 on Nov 4, 2026, +16.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $679.85 on Nov 16, 2021.

Is MSCI stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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