NYSE: MSCI

MSCI (MSCI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

MSCI Inc. Commercial services sector, financial publishing/services industry. Market cap $40.19B.

$552.87+3.40 (+0.6%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

MSCI closes at $552.87, up 0.6%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $571.77 and its 200-day average of $572.62, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 62, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Shares trade 10.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $619.89, within a 52-week range of $501.08 to $644.77.

Recent commentary has centered on MSCI's proposed index-inclusion criteria, described as "non-operating company" rules, which are said to threaten the exclusion of major corporate Bitcoin treasury holders such as Strategy from global benchmarks. Separately, MSCI presented at the Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference on 14 September, and Clear Street maintained a Hold rating with a $615 target price. These items concern index methodology and analyst positioning rather than operating results.

The next earnings date falls on 20 October, 30 days out, placing it beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 21 July beat estimates ($4.94 versus $4.90) but drew an 8.7% reaction, against an average absolute move of 5.4% across the last 8 quarters. Over the last 90 days, one open-market insider purchase totaling just over $1.0 million has been recorded, alongside 2 billionaire holders. Analyst coverage from 12 firms shows 11 Buy and 1 Hold, with a consensus target of $692.06. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -2.3% over 5 years, positive in only 1 of them, a pattern worth noting given the stock's current position under both moving averages.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $552.87200-day averageGekko Fair Value $619.89

Key stats

Market cap
$40.19B
P/E ratio
30.1
Forward P/E
24.3
EPS, TTM
$18.27
Revenue, TTM
$3.33B
Profit margin
40.7%
Dividend yield
1.42%
Beta
1.22
Volume
832,378 avg 476,903
1-year return
−4.5%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
50-day average
$571.77
200-day average
$572.62
Next earnings
Oct 20
Shares outstanding
72.70M
52-week range
$501.08$644.77

MSCI swing-trade checklist

MSCI scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $552.87 is below the 50-day ($571.77) and 200-day ($572.62) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62, Accumulation

    Reading 62 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    10.8% below

    Price is 10.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 20, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.3% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

MSCI stock chart and price history

MSCI closed at $552.87 on Sep 18, 2026, −4.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $501.08 to $644.77.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.2%
3 months
−4.9%
6 months
−0.6%
1 year
−4.5%
The full MSCI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MSCI in Gekko

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About MSCI

MSCI builds analytical tools and data products that help investors make and manage investment decisions. It is widely recognized for its benchmark indexes, which are used in constructing financial products like ETFs and mutual funds, as well as for measuring performance and guiding portfolio and asset allocation choices. It also licenses the GICS classification system used to categorize companies by business activity.

The company operates through four segments. Index provides benchmarks and related licensing services. Analytics covers risk management, performance attribution, and portfolio monitoring across asset classes, including managed data services and hedge fund risk tools through its HedgePlatform. ESG and Climate offers ratings, data, and research on environmental, social, and governance factors affecting portfolios and securities, along with regulatory support. Private Assets focuses on real estate data, benchmarks, valuation analytics, and climate risk insights for funds, managers, and property professionals. Its customers span asset owners and managers, financial intermediaries, wealth managers, real estate firms, and corporations.

MSCI was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in New York City. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MSCI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Commercial services
Industry
Financial publishing/Services
Website
msci.com

MSCI GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

MSCI’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62, in the Accumulation zone, down 2.4 points over five sessions.

010062Accumulation

Down 2.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying26+2.2%+3.5%+3.7%+4.1%
Accumulation (current zone)206+0.8%+1.5%+1.0%+1.4%
Neutral406−0.4%−0.7%−0.4%0.0%
Distribution19−0.4%−1.9%−2.4%−2.6%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average MSCI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MSCI price, zone by zone.Track MSCI in Gekko

Is MSCI stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

MSCI trades 10.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $619.89, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what MSCI shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$619.89

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

10.8% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MSCI in Gekko

MSCI insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in MSCI worth $1.00M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$1.00Min 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 4Taneja Rajat
director
Purchase1,786$1.00M

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MSCI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MSCI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MSCI in Gekko

Buybacks

MSCI has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$168.4M
As a share of market cap
0.42%
Trailing four quarters
$2.72B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold MSCI.

0added1opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

MSCI earnings: next date and track record

MSCI reports on Oct 20, 2026 (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.4%Oct ’24−6.0%Jan ’250.0%Apr ’25−8.2%Jul ’25+3.8%Oct ’25+4.6%Jan ’26+7.2%Apr ’26−8.7%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 21, 2026 AI summary

What they said
MSCI reported a strong Q2 2026 with high organic revenue growth (>12%), adjusted EPS growth (~19%), and adjusted EBITDA growth (~14%). Key growth drivers were Index and Private Assets, with record Asset-Based Fee (ABF) run rate (~$948–950M, +25% YoY) supported by nearly $40B of ETF inflows and ETF/non-ETF AUM linked to MSCI indices above $2.8T. Subscription run rate growth accelerated across segments (Index >11%, Private Capital >16%, Analytics ~7%), and recurring net new sales showed notable strength in hedge funds/traders and asset owners. Management emphasized AI-driven product innovation, strategic hires and a new Silicon Valley office, and the announced acquisition of First Street to bolster physical climate risk capabilities. The company repurchased $147M of stock in the quarter and highlighted a strong sales pipeline and momentum heading into H2. Offsetting items include persistent weakness in parts of the sustainability franchise (cancellations and rightsizing), fee compression/mix shift in ABFs due to asset mix, higher expense guidance driven by acquisitions, performance-based comp accruals, and higher revolver balances (increasing interest expense).
Guidance
Management raised the upper end of expense guidance (investing more in growth areas), adjusted D&A guidance up (driven by First Street acquisition), and expects higher interest expense due to higher revolver balances and recent share repurchases. First Street is expected to add ~ $10 million of subscription run rate to the Sustainability & Climate reporting segment upon close in Q3. Management expects recurring net new sales to be roughly zero to slightly negative for the combined sustainability and climate reporting segment across the next two quarters. Free cash flow guidance was raised (driven by stronger collections), and management reiterated ability to flex investments and expenses.
Risks flagged
Persisting cyclical weakness and cancellations in sustainability (particularly in the Americas) that may take an extended period to recover; ABF fee compression driven by mix shift into lower-fee products and contractual floor changes; quarter-to-quarter variability due to large-ticket new product deals and longer institutional sales cycles; integration and execution risk related to acquisitions (First Street) and higher interest expense from increased revolver usage; macro and market-risk sensitivity of AUM-linked fees; competition/ pricing dynamics in certain products.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 21, 2026$4.94
est $4.90
+0.8%$867.0M
est $870.7M
−0.4%−8.7%
Apr 21, 2026$4.55
est $4.46
+2.1%$850.8M
est $838.0M
+1.5%+7.2%
Jan 28, 2026$4.66
est $4.55
+2.4%$822.5M
est $822.4M
0.0%+4.6%
Oct 28, 2025$4.47
est $4.38
+2.1%$793.4M
est $797.2M
−0.5%+3.8%
Jul 22, 2025$4.17
est $4.15
+0.5%$772.7M
est $770.4M
+0.3%−8.2%
Apr 22, 2025$4.00
est $3.92
+2.0%$745.8M
est $743.4M
+0.3%0.0%
Jan 29, 2025$4.18
est $3.95
+5.8%$743.5M
est $745.4M
−0.3%−6.0%
Oct 29, 2024$3.86
est $3.77
+2.4%$724.7M
est $716.2M
+1.2%−4.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

MSCI stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for MSCI is $692.06, +25.2% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$692.06consensus 12-month target, +25.2% from the last close
Low $615High $760
Buy11
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15BarclaysBuy, maintained$735+32.9%
Sep 11Clear StreetHold, maintained$615+11.2%
Jul 22Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$715+29.3%
Jul 22Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$722+30.6%
Jul 22Wells FargoBuy, maintained$690+24.8%
+1.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−2.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

MSCI seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, MSCI averaged −2.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.3%2021−10.7%2022−4.1%2023+9.1%2024−4.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.5%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.3%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.3%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.7%4 of 5

For scale, MSCI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.5%.

MSCI market cap and key statistics

MSCI’s market cap is $40.19B, with a P/E ratio of 30.1 and revenue of $3.33B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$40.19B
P/E ratio
30.1
Forward P/E
24.3
EPS, TTM
$18.27
Gekko Fair Value
$619.89

Trading

Volume
832,378
Avg volume, 20 days
476,903
52-week high
$644.77
52-week low
$501.08
Shares outstanding
72.70M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.33B
Profit margin
40.7%
Return on equity
0%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+19.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.22
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±4.5%
Dividend yield
1.42%

MSCI peers

MSCI’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
SPGIS&P Global+1.0%Accumulation12.5% below
MCOMoody's+1.9%Accumulation9.5% below
FICOFair Isaac−1.6%Accumulation4.1% below
EFXEquifax−1.2%Buying5.3% below
TRUTransUnion−0.8%Buying16.7% below
FDSFactSet Research Systems+2.2%Neutral3.6% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

MSCI stock FAQ

What is MSCI’s market cap?

MSCI’s market cap is $40.19B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $552.87, with 72.70M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 30.1.

What is the MSCI stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for MSCI is $692.06, +25.2% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is MSCI stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate MSCI is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $552.87 is 10.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $619.89. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does MSCI report earnings next?

MSCI is expected to report on Oct 20, 2026 (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $5.01 per share on revenue of $884.7M. MSCI beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.4% on average across the report.

What is MSCI’s 52-week high and low?

MSCI’s 52-week high is $644.77 and its 52-week low is $501.08; it closed at $552.87 on Sep 18, 2026, −4.5% over the past year.

Is MSCI stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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