Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MCO in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every MCO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MCO in Gekko
NYSE: MCO
Moody's (MCO) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$528.34+24.65 (+4.9%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeMoody's shares have been in focus following strong Q3 and nine-month 2026 earnings, which prompted renewed attention to valuation, with some narratives viewing the stock as modestly undervalued and others flagging it as expensive on a P/E basis. The company also appointed Keith Demmings as a new director, with related filings disclosing his initial beneficial ownership and a grant of 458 restricted stock units. Form 144 filings noting the intent to sell restricted securities were also logged during the week, alongside a seasonal returns update.
Moody's closed at $528.34, up 4.9%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $477.54 and 200-day average of $466.51, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 43.6, placing it in the Distribution zone, down from a five-day change of -12.7. The stock trades 4.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $507.33.
The next earnings date falls on 17 February 2027, 104 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Smart money activity over the last 30 days shows one unusual options signal, with call premium of $2,545,835 and no put premium recorded. Seasonality data over 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging a 6.6% return, positive in 4 of those years. Consensus among 12 firms stands at 9 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $552.48.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Moody's price vs fair value
Close $528.34200-day averageGekko Fair Value $507.33
Moody's quick facts
- Market cap
- $91.10B
- P/E ratio
- 30.9
- Forward P/E
- 25.9
- EPS, TTM
- $16.39
- Revenue, TTM
- $8.18B
- Profit margin
- 35.3%
- Dividend yield
- 0.82%
- Beta
- 1.30
- Volume
- 1.16M avg 963,030
- 1-year return
- +8.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.8%
- 50-day average
- $477.54
- 200-day average
- $466.51
- Next earnings
- Feb 17
- Shares outstanding
- 172.4M
Moody's swing-trade checklist
Moody's scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $528.34 is above the 50-day ($477.54) and 200-day ($466.51) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexheadwind
43.6, Distribution
Reading 43.6 is in the Distribution zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
4.1% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.1% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 104 days
Next report Feb 17, 2027, 104 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+6.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Moody's stock chart and price history
Moody's closed at $528.34 on Nov 4, 2026, +8.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $402.28 to $546.88.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +16.8%
- 3 months
- +11.7%
- 6 months
- +17.8%
- 1 year
- +8.7%
The full MCO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MCO in Gekko
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About Moody's
Moody's assesses credit risk on debt and the entities behind it, covering corporate borrowers, financial institutions, governments, and structured finance deals across roughly 140 countries. Its ratings work is best known through the Moody's Investors Service name, with findings shared via press releases, online platforms, and real-time financial data feeds that reach thousands of issuers worldwide, from companies and banks to public finance bodies and infrastructure projects.
Beyond ratings, the company runs a second line of business under Moody's Analytics, aimed at financial market participants who need tools for managing risk. This side offers subscription research, credit scores, economic forecasts, business intelligence, and commercial real estate data, along with training programs, offshore research support, and software built for risk management tasks. Together the two segments serve institutional clients seeking both credit opinions and the analytical infrastructure to interpret them.
The company traces back to 1900 and was originally known as Dun and Bradstreet Company before taking the Moody's Corporation name in September 2000. It is headquartered in New York, New York, and its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker MCO.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Commercial services
- Industry
- Financial publishing/Services
- Website
- moodys.com
Moody's GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Moody's’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 43.6, in the Distribution zone, down 12.7 points over five sessions.
43.6Distribution
Down 12.7 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 23 | +1.7% | +2.5% | ||
| Accumulation | 189 | +1.0% | +3.1% | ||
| Neutral | 455 | −0.1% | −0.2% | ||
| Distribution (current zone) | 25 | −1.1% | −1.1% | ||
| Selling | 5 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MCO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MCO price, zone by zone.Track MCO in Gekko
Is Moody's stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Moody's trades 4.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $507.33, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Moody's shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$507.33
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
4.1% above fair value · About fair value
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 5.5% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MCO in Gekko
Moody's insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Moody's, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MCO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MCO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MCO in Gekko
Buybacks
Moody's has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
- $388.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.43%
- Trailing four quarters
- $3.93B
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 17, $2.55M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold MCO.
1added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Moody's earnings: next date and track record
Moody's reports on Feb 17, 2027 (104 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Feb 17, 2027
104 days away
- EPS estimate
- $3.62
- Revenue estimate
- $1.93B
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Moody's delivered a strong Q2 2026 with broad-based operational and financial outperformance. Enterprise revenue grew 15% y/y, adjusted operating income rose 25%, adjusted operating margin expanded 440 bps to 55.3%, and adjusted diluted EPS increased 31% to $4.68. Moody's Investor Service (MIS) saw transaction revenue up 34% with more than $2 trillion of debt rated for the second consecutive quarter and MIS margins expanded to 68.3%. Moody's Analytics (MA) reported ARR of approximately $3.7 billion (up ~9% y/y), trailing twelve-month retention of 95%, recurring revenue representing 99% of MA revenue, and expanded adjusted operating margin to 33.6%. Management highlighted strong demand for decision-grade intelligence, healthy ARR growth, deliberate shrinkage of transactional revenue, and momentum in products like KYC, lending, and MCP/API offerings. Leadership changes were noted (Christine Kosmowski as MA CEO) with focus on simplifying offerings, strengthening data and intelligence layers, and accelerating agentic/connected intelligence. During Q&A, management reiterated they are holding full-year revenue guidance at high single-digit growth while raising the insurance outlook to mid single-digit growth; they discussed issuance mix (data center/hyperscaler issuance skewing toward lower-yield deals), potential upside from M&A, refinancing if rates ease, private credit and infrastructure tailwinds, and token-cost dynamics for AI.
- Guidance
- Held full-year revenue guidance at high single-digit growth; MA ARR guidance/expectation: high single-digit ARR growth for the full year; raised insurance outlook from low-single-digit to mid-single-digit percent growth. No changes to headline full-year revenue guidance otherwise.
- Risks flagged
- Risks and headwinds discussed include issuance mix risk (greater share of lower-yield hyperscaler/data-center financings versus higher-yield CLOs/CMBS/insurance issuance), geopolitical uncertainty, macro/interest-rate and spread dynamics (impacting refinancing and leveraged finance issuance), potential fluctuations in high-yield spreads and default outlooks, and the need to manage token/model costs and regulatory/operational controls around AI and private credit transparency. Management also referenced standard SEC/10-K risk disclosures.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $4.68 est $4.24 | $2.19B est $2.09B | −3.8% |
| Apr 22, 2026 | $4.33 est $4.22 | $2.08B est $2.07B | −1.6% |
| Feb 18, 2026 | $3.64 est $3.43 | $1.89B est $1.86B | +6.2% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $3.92 est $3.68 | $2.01B est $1.96B | −1.2% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $3.56 est $3.39 | $1.90B est $1.85B | +2.8% |
| Apr 22, 2025 | $3.83 est $3.54 | $1.92B est $1.88B | +4.2% |
| Feb 13, 2025 | $2.62 est $2.58 | $1.67B est $1.70B | +3.4% |
| Oct 22, 2024 | $3.21 est $2.86 | $1.81B est $1.71B | −3.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Moody's stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Moody's is $552.48, +4.6% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$552.48consensus 12-month target, +4.6% from the last close
Now $528.34Avg $552.48
Low $480High $595
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Barclays | $575 | +8.8% |
| Oct 22 | Wells Fargo | $595 | +12.6% |
| Oct 22 | BMO Capital | $511 | −3.3% |
| Oct 22 | Morgan Stanley | $480 | −9.1% |
| Oct 22 | Stifel Nicolaus | $537 | +1.6% |
−1.1%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+6.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Moody's seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Moody's averaged +6.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +5.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +4.3% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +5.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +6.6% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +7.0% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, MCO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.8%.
Moody's market cap and key statistics
Moody's’s market cap is $91.10B, with a P/E ratio of 30.9 and revenue of $8.18B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $91.10B
- P/E ratio
- 30.9
- Forward P/E
- 25.9
- EPS, TTM
- $16.39
- Gekko Fair Value
- $507.33
Trading
- Volume
- 1.16M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 963,030
- 52-week high
- $546.88
- 52-week low
- $402.28
- Shares outstanding
- 172.4M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $8.18B
- Profit margin
- 35.3%
- Return on equity
- 76.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +17.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.30
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.8%
- Dividend yield
- 0.82%
Moody's stock news this week
Coverage of Moody's this week reads neutral: 8 positive, 15 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Form 144 MOODYS CORP /DE/ For: 4 November By Investing.comInvesting.com India, Nov 4
- Aware Super Pty Ltd as trustee of Aware Super Acquires 32,803 Shares of Moody's Corporation $MCOMarketBeat, Nov 4
- Moody's Corporation (MCOR34.SA) Seasonal returns chartYahoo Finance Australia, Nov 4
- Moody's Ratings CEO Michael L. West Sells 185 Shares at $506.885 Each on November 2, 2026Kalkine Media, Nov 3
- Moody's grants director Keith Demmings 458 restricted stock unitsVZ VermögensZentrum, Nov 3
- Moody's (MCO) Earnings Strength Puts Its Valuation Back In FocusSimply Wall St, Nov 3
Moody's peers
Moody's’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| SPGIS&P Global | Distribution | 3.8% above |
| MSCIMSCI | Distribution | 9.5% above |
| EFXEquifax | Neutral | 20.0% above |
| TRUTransUnion | Neutral | 1.9% above |
| FICOFair Isaac | Accumulation | 3.5% below |
| FDSFactSet Research Systems | Distribution | 18.2% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Moody's stock FAQ
What is Moody's’s market cap?
Moody's’s market cap is $91.10B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $528.34, with 172.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 30.9.
What is the Moody's stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Moody's is $552.48, +4.6% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Moody's stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Moody's is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $528.34 is 4.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $507.33. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Moody's report earnings next?
Moody's is expected to report on Feb 17, 2027 (104 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.62 per share on revenue of $1.93B. Moody's beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.4% on average across the report.
What is Moody's’s 52-week high and low?
Moody's’s 52-week high is $546.88 and its 52-week low is $402.28; it closed at $528.34 on Nov 4, 2026, +8.7% over the past year.
Is Moody's stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (fair value) and 1 as a headwind (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Moody's?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Moody's over the last 30 days, with $2.55M of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 17, 2026 with $2.55M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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