Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MCO in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every MCO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MCO in Gekko
NYSE: MCO
Moody's (MCO) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$468.59+6.71 (+1.5%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryMoody's closes at $468.59, up 1.5%, sitting between its 50-day average of $488.29 and 200-day average of $472.62. The GekkoIndex reads 65.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 9.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $517.73.
This week's news centers on Moody's ratings and expansion activity alongside continued reaction to its second-quarter results. Moody's downgraded Poland's sovereign credit ratings citing deteriorating fiscal strength, while separately raising India's fiscal 2027 GDP growth forecast to 7% on Middle East-related resilience. The company also announced plans to acquire a minority stake in Philippine Rating Services Corporation (PhilRatings) to expand its Asia-Pacific presence. Coverage of the Q2 results continues, noting a revenue beat alongside a stock price decline tied to high investor expectations. Separately, Moody's London headquarters at 10 Gresham Street has been put on the market, marketed at around £330 million ($445 million).
Looking ahead, the next earnings date falls on 28 October 2026, 38 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged -3.6% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst consensus among 19 firms shows 14 buy and 5 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $561.90, implying 19.9% upside. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows, though one billionaire holder and one trailblazer holder are recorded.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $468.59200-day averageGekko Fair Value $517.73
Key stats
- Market cap
- $81.16B
- P/E ratio
- 29.5
- Forward P/E
- 23.9
- EPS, TTM
- $15.66
- Revenue, TTM
- $8.16B
- Profit margin
- 34.3%
- Dividend yield
- 0.85%
- Beta
- 1.33
- Volume
- 1.37M avg 697,285
- 1-year return
- −8.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.7%
- 50-day average
- $488.29
- 200-day average
- $472.62
- Next earnings
- Oct 28
- Shares outstanding
- 173.2M
Moody's swing-trade checklist
Moody's scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $468.59 sits between the 50-day ($488.29) and 200-day ($472.62) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
65.3, Accumulation
Reading 65.3 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
9.5% below
Price is 9.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 38 days
Next report Oct 28, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−3.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Moody's stock chart and price history
Moody's closed at $468.59 on Sep 18, 2026, −8.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $402.28 to $546.88.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −5.7%
- 3 months
- +4.0%
- 6 months
- +7.5%
- 1 year
- −8.4%
The full MCO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MCO in Gekko
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About Moody's
Moody's assesses credit risk on debt and the entities behind it, covering corporate borrowers, financial institutions, governments, and structured finance deals across roughly 140 countries. Its ratings work is best known through the Moody's Investors Service name, with findings shared via press releases, online platforms, and real-time financial data feeds that reach thousands of issuers worldwide, from companies and banks to public finance bodies and infrastructure projects.
Beyond ratings, the company runs a second line of business under Moody's Analytics, aimed at financial market participants who need tools for managing risk. This side offers subscription research, credit scores, economic forecasts, business intelligence, and commercial real estate data, along with training programs, offshore research support, and software built for risk management tasks. Together the two segments serve institutional clients seeking both credit opinions and the analytical infrastructure to interpret them.
The company traces back to 1900 and was originally known as Dun and Bradstreet Company before taking the Moody's Corporation name in September 2000. It is headquartered in New York, New York, and its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker MCO.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Commercial services
- Industry
- Financial publishing/Services
- Website
- moodys.com
Moody's GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Moody's’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.2 points over five sessions.
65.3Accumulation
Up 2.2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 22 | +1.6% | +2.0% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 166 | +1.2% | +3.3% | ||
| Neutral | 444 | −0.1% | +0.1% | ||
| Distribution | 25 | −1.1% | −1.1% | ||
| Selling | 5 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MCO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MCO price, zone by zone.Track MCO in Gekko
Is Moody's stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Moody's trades 9.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $517.73, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Moody's shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$517.73
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
9.5% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MCO in Gekko
Moody's insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Moody's, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MCO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MCO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MCO in Gekko
Buybacks
Moody's has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $1.55B
- As a share of market cap
- 1.91%
- Trailing four quarters
- $4.28B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold MCO.
1added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Moody's earnings: next date and track record
Moody's reports on Oct 28, 2026 (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 28, 2026
38 days away
- EPS estimate
- $4.26
- Revenue estimate
- $2.07B
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Moody's delivered a strong Q2 2026 with broad-based operational and financial outperformance. Enterprise revenue grew 15% y/y, adjusted operating income rose 25%, adjusted operating margin expanded 440 bps to 55.3%, and adjusted diluted EPS increased 31% to $4.68. Moody's Investor Service (MIS) saw transaction revenue up 34% with more than $2 trillion of debt rated for the second consecutive quarter and MIS margins expanded to 68.3%. Moody's Analytics (MA) reported ARR of approximately $3.7 billion (up ~9% y/y), trailing twelve-month retention of 95%, recurring revenue representing 99% of MA revenue, and expanded adjusted operating margin to 33.6%. Management highlighted strong demand for decision-grade intelligence, healthy ARR growth, deliberate shrinkage of transactional revenue, and momentum in products like KYC, lending, and MCP/API offerings. Leadership changes were noted (Christine Kosmowski as MA CEO) with focus on simplifying offerings, strengthening data and intelligence layers, and accelerating agentic/connected intelligence. During Q&A, management reiterated they are holding full-year revenue guidance at high single-digit growth while raising the insurance outlook to mid single-digit growth; they discussed issuance mix (data center/hyperscaler issuance skewing toward lower-yield deals), potential upside from M&A, refinancing if rates ease, private credit and infrastructure tailwinds, and token-cost dynamics for AI.
- Guidance
- Held full-year revenue guidance at high single-digit growth; MA ARR guidance/expectation: high single-digit ARR growth for the full year; raised insurance outlook from low-single-digit to mid-single-digit percent growth. No changes to headline full-year revenue guidance otherwise.
- Risks flagged
- Risks and headwinds discussed include issuance mix risk (greater share of lower-yield hyperscaler/data-center financings versus higher-yield CLOs/CMBS/insurance issuance), geopolitical uncertainty, macro/interest-rate and spread dynamics (impacting refinancing and leveraged finance issuance), potential fluctuations in high-yield spreads and default outlooks, and the need to manage token/model costs and regulatory/operational controls around AI and private credit transparency. Management also referenced standard SEC/10-K risk disclosures.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $4.68 est $4.24 | $2.19B est $2.09B | −3.8% |
| Apr 22, 2026 | $4.33 est $4.22 | $2.08B est $2.07B | −1.6% |
| Feb 18, 2026 | $3.64 est $3.43 | $1.89B est $1.86B | +6.2% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $3.92 est $3.68 | $2.01B est $1.96B | −1.2% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $3.56 est $3.39 | $1.90B est $1.85B | +2.8% |
| Apr 22, 2025 | $3.83 est $3.54 | $1.92B est $1.88B | +4.2% |
| Feb 13, 2025 | $2.62 est $2.58 | $1.67B est $1.70B | +3.4% |
| Oct 22, 2024 | $3.21 est $2.86 | $1.81B est $1.71B | −3.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Moody's stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Moody's is $561.90, +19.9% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$561.90consensus 12-month target, +19.9% from the last close
Now $468.59Avg $561.90
Low $505High $610
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | Wells Fargo | $597 | +27.4% |
| Sep 11 | Clear Street | $581 | +24.0% |
| Sep 7 | Goldman Sachs | $593 | +26.5% |
| Sep 4 | RBC Capital | $610 | +30.2% |
| Aug 20 | RBC Capital | $610 | +30.2% |
+3.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−3.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Moody's seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Moody's averaged −3.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −4.1% | 0 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −5.4% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −4.5% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −3.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −2.6% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, MCO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.7%.
Moody's market cap and key statistics
Moody's’s market cap is $81.16B, with a P/E ratio of 29.5 and revenue of $8.16B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $81.16B
- P/E ratio
- 29.5
- Forward P/E
- 23.9
- EPS, TTM
- $15.66
- Gekko Fair Value
- $517.73
Trading
- Volume
- 1.37M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 697,285
- 52-week high
- $546.88
- 52-week low
- $402.28
- Shares outstanding
- 173.2M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $8.16B
- Profit margin
- 34.3%
- Return on equity
- 76.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +56.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.33
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.7%
- Dividend yield
- 0.85%
Moody's stock news this week
Coverage of Moody's this week reads positive: 8 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Nykredit A S Takes Position in Moody’s Corporation $MCODefense World, Sep 19
- Moody's cuts Poland's ratings on deteriorating fiscal strengthmarketscreener.com, Sep 18
- Moody's raises India fiscal 2027 GDP growth forecast to 7% on Middle East resilienceYahoo Finance, Sep 18
- Corient Private Wealth LP Sells 4,290 Shares of Moody’s Corporation $MCODefense World, Sep 17
- Spotting Winners: Moody's (NYSE:MCO) And Financial Exchanges & Data Stocks In Q2Yahoo Finance, Sep 16
- Can MCO's PhilRatings Investment Bolster Its Asia-Pacific Presence?Yahoo Finance, Sep 16
Moody's peers
Moody's’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| SPGIS&P Global | Accumulation | 12.5% below |
| MSCIMSCI | Accumulation | 10.8% below |
| FICOFair Isaac | Accumulation | 4.1% below |
| EFXEquifax | Buying | 5.3% below |
| TRUTransUnion | Buying | 16.7% below |
| FDSFactSet Research Systems | Neutral | 3.6% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Moody's stock FAQ
What is Moody's’s market cap?
Moody's’s market cap is $81.16B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $468.59, with 173.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 29.5.
What is the Moody's stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Moody's is $561.90, +19.9% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Moody's stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Moody's is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $468.59 is 9.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $517.73. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Moody's report earnings next?
Moody's is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.26 per share on revenue of $2.07B. Moody's beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.4% on average across the report.
What is Moody's’s 52-week high and low?
Moody's’s 52-week high is $546.88 and its 52-week low is $402.28; it closed at $468.59 on Sep 18, 2026, −8.4% over the past year.
Is Moody's stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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