Intercontinental Hotels (IHG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$161.11+2.95 (+1.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week brings a mix of financing, brand expansion and analyst commentary for IHG. The company raised €850 million through two euro-denominated bond tranches, due 2029 and 2033, listed on the London Stock Exchange, aimed at strengthening its capital structure and funding global expansion. Alongside this, IHG announced the launch of its Noted Collection brand in Japan, with hotel signings in Tokyo's Shinjuku and Ginza districts, and further expansion in India with the Garner Hotel Jim Corbett signing, plus the opening of the Crowne Plaza Paris Marne-la-Vallée. Separately, brokerages have set an average price target of $179.00 on the stock under a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating.

IHG closed at $161.11, up 1.9%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $158.25 and 200-day average of $149.29, with the shorter-term trend above the longer-term one. The GekkoIndex reads 53.7, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, having eased over the past five sessions. Price stands 13.9% above the Gekko Fair Value of $141.39.

No confirmed earnings date currently appears on the calendar, and no insider, Congress or unusual options activity has been recorded in their respective windows. Seasonality data shows the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.3% gain over five years, rising in three of those years. The consensus among six firms leans toward buy ratings, with a consensus target of $146.83.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Intercontinental Hotels price vs fair value

$161.11$141.39Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $161.11200-day averageGekko Fair Value $141.39

Intercontinental Hotels quick facts

Market cap
$23.80B
P/E ratio
33.6
Forward P/E
22.3
EPS, TTM
$4.71
Revenue, TTM
$5.33B
Profit margin
13.4%
Dividend yield
1.20%
Beta
1.02
Volume
162,262 avg 151,249
1-year return
+36.8%
Typical daily move
±1.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
50-day average
$158.25
200-day average
$149.29
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
146.1M
52-week range
$118.47$175.89

Intercontinental Hotels swing-trade checklist

Intercontinental Hotels scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $161.11 is above the 50-day ($158.25) and 200-day ($149.29) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    53.7, Neutral

    Reading 53.7 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    13.9% above

    Price is 13.9% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Intercontinental Hotels stock chart and price history

Intercontinental Hotels closed at $161.11 on Sep 28, 2026, +36.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $118.47 to $175.89.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Intercontinental Hotels share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$120$140NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep161.11

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.2%
3 months
−7.2%
6 months
+24.3%
1 year
+36.8%
The full IHG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open IHG in Gekko

Follow Intercontinental Hotels through every session

Put IHG on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Intercontinental Hotels

Intercontinental Hotels operates in the hospitality business, owning, managing, franchising, and leasing hotel properties across the Americas, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Greater China. It is recognized for running a wide collection of hotel brands, ranging from luxury names like Six Senses and Regent to upscale properties such as InterContinental Hotels & Resorts and Kimpton, as well as widely known mainstream brands including Holiday Inn and Crowne Plaza.

Its portfolio also includes Vignette Collection, Hotel Indigo, EVEN Hotels, HUALUXE, Holiday Inn Express, Holiday Inn Club Vacations, avid, Staybridge Suites, Atwell Suites, Candlewood Suites, and voco, giving travelers a spread of choices across different price points and styles. Guests staying at these properties can join the company's loyalty scheme, IHG Rewards, which ties its many brands together under one program.

Intercontinental Hotels traces its founding back to 1777 and is headquartered in Denham, United Kingdom. Its shares trade under the ticker IHG.

Sector
Consumer services
Website
ihgplc.com

Intercontinental Hotels GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Intercontinental Hotels’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53.7, in the Neutral zone, down 9.8 points over five sessions.

010053.7Neutral

Down 9.8 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying30−0.1%−0.9%−1.2%+8.1%
Accumulation140+0.1%+1.1%+3.0%+7.2%
Neutral (current zone)387+0.5%+0.9%+2.1%+4.6%
Distribution68+0.4%−0.1%−2.1%−2.6%
Selling0Not available

Average IHG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the IHG price, zone by zone.Track IHG in Gekko

Is Intercontinental Hotels stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Intercontinental Hotels trades 13.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $141.39, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Intercontinental Hotels shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$141.39

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

13.9% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open IHG in Gekko

Intercontinental Hotels insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Intercontinental Hotels, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for IHG in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every IHG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open IHG in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in IHG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for IHG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open IHG in Gekko

Buybacks

Intercontinental Hotels has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$380.0M
As a share of market cap
1.60%

From company filings.

Intercontinental Hotels stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Intercontinental Hotels is $146.83, −8.9% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$146.83consensus 12-month target, −8.9% from the last close
Low $145High $195
Buy4
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 11Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Sep 3Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$188+16.7%
Sep 2UBSBuy, upgraded$188+16.7%
Aug 26Berenberg BankBuy, maintained$178+10.5%
Aug 11Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
+2.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Intercontinental Hotels seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Intercontinental Hotels averaged +3.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.9%2021+11.5%2022−3.1%2023+2.3%2024+2.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.9%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.7%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.4%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.3%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.9%4 of 5

For scale, IHG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.

Intercontinental Hotels market cap and key statistics

Intercontinental Hotels’s market cap is $23.80B, with a P/E ratio of 33.6 and revenue of $5.33B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$23.80B
P/E ratio
33.6
Forward P/E
22.3
EPS, TTM
$4.71
Gekko Fair Value
$141.39

Trading

Volume
162,262
Avg volume, 20 days
151,249
52-week high
$175.89
52-week low
$118.47
Shares outstanding
146.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.33B
Profit margin
13.4%
Return on equity
0%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−5.4%

Risk and income

Beta
1.02
Typical daily move
±1.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
Dividend yield
1.20%

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Intercontinental Hotels stock FAQ

What is Intercontinental Hotels’s market cap?

Intercontinental Hotels’s market cap is $23.80B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $161.11, with 146.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 33.6.

What is the Intercontinental Hotels stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Intercontinental Hotels is $146.83, −8.9% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Intercontinental Hotels stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Intercontinental Hotels is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $161.11 is 13.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $141.39. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is Intercontinental Hotels’s 52-week high and low?

Intercontinental Hotels’s 52-week high is $175.89 and its 52-week low is $118.47; it closed at $161.11 on Sep 28, 2026, +36.8% over the past year.

Is Intercontinental Hotels stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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