Hesai (HSAI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$15.12−0.89 (−5.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Hesai shares fell 6.9% on Monday, extending a weeks-long slide, with shares trading as low as $15.07 before settling near current levels. Commentary around the move has been mixed: one analysis flags a near-term risk-reward short setup against weaker mid and long-term trends, while another, following Hesai's Q2 FY26 results showing an 8.2% profit margin, argues the stock is considered 47% undervalued by many analysts, citing expected LiDAR shipment growth and higher revenue projections, with a fair value pegged at $28.97 in that analysis.

HSAI last closed at $15.12, down 5.6%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $17.27 and 200-day average of $20.67, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The stock is off 12.7% over one month, 32.3% over six months and 39% over the past year, trading toward the low end of its 52-week range of $14.29 to $29.35. The GekkoIndex reads 64.9, placing HSAI in the Accumulation zone, while the price sits 30% below Gekko Fair Value of $21.60.

Hesai's next earnings report is set for 10 November 2026, 28 days out and within a typical 20-day holding window; its last report missed estimates, with EPS of $0.01 against a $0.43 estimate, and the stock has beaten estimates in 2 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 15.6%. Seasonality over the past 3 years has averaged a 20-day return of -7% from this point in the calendar, with no positive years in that span. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Analyst consensus from 6 firms is unanimously Buy, with a $28.57 price target.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Hesai price vs fair value

$21.60$15.12Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $15.12200-day averageGekko Fair Value $21.60

Hesai quick facts

Market cap
$2.20B
P/E ratio
33.2
Forward P/E
17.4
EPS, TTM
$0.47
Revenue, TTM
$3.34B
Profit margin
14.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.37
Volume
2.01M avg 1.01M
1-year return
−39.0%
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±12.9%
50-day average
$17.27
200-day average
$20.67
Next earnings
Nov 10
Shares outstanding
1.04B
52-week range
$14.29$29.35

Hesai swing-trade checklist

Hesai scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $15.12 is below the 50-day ($17.27) and 200-day ($20.67) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.9, Accumulation

    Reading 64.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    30.0% below

    Price is 30% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 29 days

    Reports on Nov 10, 2026, 29 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −7.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −7% over 3 years, rising in 0 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Hesai stock chart and price history

Hesai closed at $15.12 on Oct 12, 2026, −39.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $14.29 to $29.35.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Hesai share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$25NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct15.12

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.7%
3 months
−3.1%
6 months
−32.3%
1 year
−39.0%
The full HSAI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HSAI in Gekko

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About Hesai

Hesai designs, builds, and sells three-dimensional LiDAR systems, the sensors that let machines map their surroundings in depth. These products feed into driver-assistance systems for passenger and commercial vehicles, support self-driving transport of both people and goods, and equip robots such as delivery units, street cleaners, and logistics machines working in tight spaces.

The company operates through a number of subsidiaries that support its work across this range of uses, serving customers in the automotive and robotics fields who build sensing capability into their vehicles and machines.

Hesai was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China. Its shares trade under the ticker HSAI.

Sector
Producer manufacturing
Website
hesaitech.com

Hesai GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Hesai’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.5 points over five sessions.

010064.9Accumulation

Up 1.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying26+8.8%+13.7%+8.3%+13.9%
Accumulation (current zone)209+1.7%+4.9%+10.7%+20.8%
Neutral367+0.7%+1.6%+4.6%+17.5%
Distribution30Not available
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average HSAI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HSAI price, zone by zone.Track HSAI in Gekko

Is Hesai stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Hesai trades 30.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $21.60, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Hesai shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$21.60

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

30.0% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 33.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$22$16Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HSAI in Gekko

Hesai insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Hesai, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for HSAI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every HSAI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HSAI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in HSAI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for HSAI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HSAI in Gekko

Hesai earnings: next date and track record

Hesai reports on Nov 10, 2026 (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±15.6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.6%Aug ’24+44.7%Nov ’24+38.2%Mar ’25−0.9%May ’25+9.8%Aug ’25−6.6%Nov ’25−15.8%Mar ’26−4.3%Aug ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 13, 2026$0.01
est $0.43
−97.7%——−4.3%
Mar 24, 2026$1.11
est $1.53
−27.7%$143.0M
est $153.2M
−6.6%−15.8%
Nov 11, 2025$2.00
est $0.79
+153.2%$111.7M
est $152.2M
−26.6%−6.6%
Aug 14, 2025$0.04
est $0.06
−30.1%$98.51M
est $95.56M
+3.1%+9.8%
May 26, 2025−$0.02
est −$0.02
−10.7%$72.14M
est $94.55M
−23.7%−0.9%
Mar 10, 2025$1.26
est $1.42
−11.3%$98.58M
est $73.53M
+34.1%+38.2%
Nov 25, 2024−$0.34
est −$0.16
−112.5%—
est $76.00M
—+44.7%
Aug 19, 2024−$0.05
est −$0.06
+16.7%$63.14M
est $65.95M
−4.3%−4.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Hesai stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Hesai is $28.57, +89.0% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$28.57consensus 12-month target, +89.0% from the last close
Low $25High $31
Buy6
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 25DBSBuy, maintained$25+65.3%
Aug 21Goldman SachsBuy, reiterated$31+105.0%
Aug 20Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$31+105.0%
Aug 19CMB International SecuritiesBuy, maintained$29.30+93.8%
Aug 19JefferiesBuy, maintained$30+98.4%
+10.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−7.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 3 years
±4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Hesai seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Hesai averaged −7.0% across the last 3 years, rising in 0 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.6%2023−13.2%2024−4.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−4.6%1 of 3
Next 10 trading days−2.3%2 of 3
Next 15 trading days−2.4%1 of 3
Next 20 trading days−7.0%0 of 3
Next 30 trading days−15.7%0 of 3

For scale, HSAI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 12.9%.

Hesai market cap and key statistics

Hesai’s market cap is $2.20B, with a P/E ratio of 33.2 and revenue of $3.34B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.20B
P/E ratio
33.2
Forward P/E
17.4
EPS, TTM
$0.47
Gekko Fair Value
$21.60

Trading

Volume
2.01M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.01M
52-week high
$29.35
52-week low
$14.29
Shares outstanding
1.04B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.34B
Profit margin
14.9%
Return on equity
7.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+25.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.37
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±12.9%

Hesai stock news this week

3 headlines about Hesai from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Hesai stock FAQ

What is Hesai’s market cap?

Hesai’s market cap is $2.20B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $15.12, with 1.04B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 33.2.

What is the Hesai stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Hesai is $28.57, +89.0% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Hesai stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Hesai is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $15.12 is 30.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $21.60. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Hesai report earnings next?

Hesai is expected to report on Nov 10, 2026 (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.14 per share on revenue of $168.8M. Hesai beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 15.6% on average across the report.

What is Hesai’s 52-week high and low?

Hesai’s 52-week high is $29.35 and its 52-week low is $14.29; it closed at $15.12 on Oct 12, 2026, −39.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $30.85 on Sep 22, 2025.

Is Hesai stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value) and 3 as headwinds (trend, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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