NASDAQ: GSHD

Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$43.96+0.45 (+1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Goosehead Insurance has traded lower in recent sessions even as broader futures firmed, with shares among the decliners in one pre-market session this week. Coverage has also noted the stock's move toward $45.38 earlier in the month against a GF Value comparison cited at $85.57. A passive investor, Wasatch Advisors, disclosed a 10.2% stake via a 13G/A filing, though this sits in the background of the broader price action.

GSHD closed at $43.96, up 1% on the day, with shares sitting between the 50-day average of $58.76 and the 200-day average of $52.63. One-month performance stands at -23.1%, three-month at -12.6%, and the one-year return at -36.5%. The GekkoIndex reads 64, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, down 2 over the last five readings. Price remains 28.6% below the Gekko Fair Value of $61.57.

Goosehead's next earnings report is scheduled for 28 October 2026, after close, 16 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding period; the prior quarter saw EPS of $0.50 versus an estimate of $0.31, with the stock reacting 0.3%. Over the last 90 days, insiders made 11 open-market purchases totaling $18,548,191. Seasonality over this calendar stretch has averaged a 20-day return of 3% across 5 years, with gains in 3 of them. Analyst views span 4 buy, 6 hold and 1 sell ratings among 11 firms, with a consensus target of $65.25.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Goosehead Insurance price vs fair value

$61.57$43.96Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $43.96200-day averageGekko Fair Value $61.57

Goosehead Insurance quick facts

Market cap
$1.64B
P/E ratio
33.1
Forward P/E
16.2
EPS, TTM
$1.37
Revenue, TTM
$401.6M
Profit margin
8.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.45
Volume
226,618 avg 548,801
1-year return
−36.5%
Typical daily move
±5.2%
Typical 20-day move
±10.2%
50-day average
$58.76
200-day average
$52.63
Next earnings
Oct 28 after close
Shares outstanding
23.80M
52-week range
$33.68$79.85

Goosehead Insurance swing-trade checklist

Goosehead Insurance scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $43.96 sits between the 50-day ($58.76) and 200-day ($52.63) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64, Accumulation

    Reading 64 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    28.6% below

    Price is 28.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 11 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 16 days

    Reports on Oct 28, 2026, 16 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Goosehead Insurance stock chart and price history

Goosehead Insurance closed at $43.96 on Oct 12, 2026, −36.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $33.68 to $79.85.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Goosehead Insurance share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$80$100NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct43.96

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−23.1%
3 months
−12.6%
6 months
+4.9%
1 year
−36.5%
The full GSHD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GSHD in Gekko

Follow Goosehead Insurance through every session

Put GSHD on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Goosehead Insurance

Goosehead Insurance acts as the holding company for Goosehead Financial, LLC, which places personal insurance policies for households across the United States. It is best known for connecting customers with coverage for homes, autos, and other dwellings, along with more specialized protection such as flood, wind, and earthquake insurance, umbrella liability policies, and coverage for motorcycles and recreational vehicles. The lineup also extends to general liability and life insurance products.

The business runs through two channels, one made up of directly operated corporate locations and the other built on a network of franchise partners. As of the end of 2021, that franchise network had grown to 2,151 locations, reflecting how much of its reach comes through independent operators rather than company-run offices alone.

Goosehead Insurance was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Westlake, Texas. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker GSHD.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Insurance brokers/Services
Website
goosehead.com

Goosehead Insurance GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Goosehead Insurance’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64, in the Accumulation zone, down 2 points over five sessions.

010064Accumulation

Down 2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying57−0.2%−3.5%−2.6%+3.1%
Accumulation (current zone)273−1.0%−1.5%0.0%+2.2%
Neutral304+0.9%+1.6%−0.4%+2.2%
Distribution35−1.3%−0.6%+4.3%−9.2%
Selling13+1.3%+2.4%+4.8%−15.8%

Average GSHD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GSHD price, zone by zone.Track GSHD in Gekko

Is Goosehead Insurance stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Goosehead Insurance trades 28.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $61.57, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Goosehead Insurance shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$61.57

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

28.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 4.5% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$62$44Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GSHD in Gekko

Goosehead Insurance insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 11 open-market purchases in Goosehead Insurance worth $18.55M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$18.55Min 11 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 24Durable Capital Partners LP
10 percent owner
Purchase150,000$7.10M
Aug 4Durable Capital Partners LP
10% Owner
Purchase22,764$1.41M
Aug 4Durable Capital Partners LP
10% Owner
Purchase13,492$837K
Aug 3Peter R. Lane
Director
Purchase1,600$101K
Jul 28Durable Capital Partners LP
10% Owner
Purchase36,000$2.11M

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GSHD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GSHD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GSHD in Gekko

Buybacks

Goosehead Insurance has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$3.92M
As a share of market cap
0.24%
Trailing four quarters
$134.9M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds GSHD.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Goosehead Insurance earnings: next date and track record

Goosehead Insurance reports on Oct 28, 2026, after the close (16 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+25.8%Jul ’24+13.2%Oct ’24−9.7%Apr ’25−11.7%Jul ’25+8.7%Oct ’25−2.7%Feb ’26+13.7%Apr ’26+0.3%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Goosehead Insurance reported Q2 2026 total written premiums of $1.36 billion, up 14% YoY, accelerating from Q1. Policies in force grew 15% YoY, and client retention reached 86%, the highest since the hard market began. Adjusted EBITDA has grown from under $40M in 2022 to over $130M in the trailing four quarters. CEO Mark Miller announced retirement, with Mark Jones Jr. set to assume CEO role at year-end.
Guidance
No explicit forward-looking financial targets were provided in this excerpt. Management emphasized continued execution against strategic plan with broad-based momentum, suggesting confidence in sustained growth trajectory into year-end leadership transition.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 22, 2026$0.50
est $0.31
+61.3%$113.4M
est $103.3M
+9.8%+0.3%
Apr 22, 2026$0.37
est $0.20
+85.0%$93.08M
est $85.03M
+9.5%+13.7%
Feb 17, 2026$0.64
est $0.54
+18.5%$105.3M
est $99.34M
+6.0%−2.7%
Oct 22, 2025$0.46
est $0.47
−2.1%$90.44M
est $99.94M
−9.5%+8.7%
Jul 23, 2025$0.49
est $0.50
−2.0%$94.03M
est $95.52M
−1.6%−11.7%
Apr 23, 2025$0.26
est $0.23
+13.0%$75.58M
est $78.09M
−3.2%−9.7%
Oct 23, 2024$0.50
est $0.45
+11.1%$78.04M
est $78.20M
−0.2%+13.2%
Jul 24, 2024$0.43
est $0.39
+10.3%$78.09M
est $74.24M
+5.2%+25.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Goosehead Insurance stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Goosehead Insurance is $65.25, +48.4% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$65.25consensus 12-month target, +48.4% from the last close
Low $42High $80
Buy4
Hold6
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 12Citizens JMPBuy, maintained$80+82.0%
Oct 12Bank of America SecuritiesSell, maintained$42−4.5%
Oct 8KBWBuy, maintained——
Oct 7Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, maintained$76+72.9%
Oct 6Piper SandlerHold, downgraded$48+9.2%
0.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Goosehead Insurance seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Goosehead Insurance averaged +3.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−15.4%2021+9.6%2022−1.1%2023+22.6%2024+1.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.9%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.6%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.0%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.9%3 of 5

For scale, GSHD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.2%.

Goosehead Insurance market cap and key statistics

Goosehead Insurance’s market cap is $1.64B, with a P/E ratio of 33.1 and revenue of $401.6M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.64B
P/E ratio
33.1
Forward P/E
16.2
EPS, TTM
$1.37
Gekko Fair Value
$61.57

Trading

Volume
226,618
Avg volume, 20 days
548,801
52-week high
$79.85
52-week low
$33.68
Shares outstanding
23.80M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$401.6M
Profit margin
8.8%
Return on equity
175.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+122.2%

Risk and income

Beta
1.45
Typical daily move
±5.2%
Typical 20-day move
±10.2%

Goosehead Insurance stock news this week

3 headlines about Goosehead Insurance from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Goosehead Insurance peers

Goosehead Insurance’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MRSHMarsh+0.2%Neutral7.5% below
AJGArthur J. Gallagher+0.2%Accumulation10.7% below
AONAon0.0%Accumulation19.0% below
WTWWillis Towers Watson+0.5%Accumulation12.9% below
BROBrown & Brown−1.6%Accumulation9.7% below
RYANRyan Specialty+0.2%Accumulation16.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Goosehead Insurance stock FAQ

What is Goosehead Insurance’s market cap?

Goosehead Insurance’s market cap is $1.64B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $43.96, with 23.80M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 33.1.

What is the Goosehead Insurance stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Goosehead Insurance is $65.25, +48.4% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Goosehead Insurance stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Goosehead Insurance is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $43.96 is 28.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $61.57. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Goosehead Insurance report earnings next?

Goosehead Insurance is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, after the market closes (16 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.53 per share on revenue of $106.0M. Goosehead Insurance beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.7% on average across the report.

What is Goosehead Insurance’s 52-week high and low?

Goosehead Insurance’s 52-week high is $79.85 and its 52-week low is $33.68; it closed at $43.96 on Oct 12, 2026, −36.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $178.91 on Oct 12, 2021.

Is Goosehead Insurance stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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