Aon's shares rose this week on the back of strong third-quarter results, with growth picking up on the brokerage side following its Q3 2026 earnings call. The company also expanded its flagship client treaty to 35% co-insurance for 2027, up from 28.5% in 2026, and announced a crop insurance program with SAGE bringing field-level agricultural intelligence to the sector. CEO Greg Case separately warned that concentrating equipment in AI data centers can make projects harder to insure, potentially affecting financing. Analyst upgrade and downgrade activity also touched AON this week.
The stock closed at $344.67, up 4.4%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $300.88 and 200-day average of $325.66. Over one month the shares gained 25.8%, though the three-month return stands at -4.5%. The GekkoIndex reads 44.7, placing Aon in the Distribution zone, down 5.8 points over five sessions. Price sits 6.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $324.65.
The next earnings date falls on 29 January 2027, 85 days out, beyond a typical 20-day holding window. Smart money activity over the past 90 days includes 6 open-market insider purchases totaling $6.5 million, alongside 2 billionaire holders. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 3.6% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 5 of them. Analyst consensus across 18 firms includes 13 buy, 4 hold and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $360.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Aon scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
Averages disagree
Close $344.67 sits between the 50-day ($300.88) and 200-day ($325.66) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart44.7, Distribution
Reading 44.7 is in the Distribution zone.
See the GekkoIndex6.2% above
Price is 6.2% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair valueLeans bullish
Last 90 days: 6 open-market insider purchases.
See smart moneyReports in 85 days
Next report Jan 29, 2027, 85 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings+3.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.6% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Aon closed at $344.67 on Nov 4, 2026, +1.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $266.33 to $382.34.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put AON on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Aon works as a professional services provider, helping organizations manage risk and take care of workforce needs across a wide geographic footprint that includes North and South America, Britain and Ireland, other European markets, the Middle East, Africa, and Asian and Pacific markets. Its offerings cover insurance placement and brokerage, specialty risk guidance, and consulting on employee health and benefits, along with retirement and investment planning, giving it a reputation built around blending risk advice with human resources support.
Business activity is grouped into two broad areas, one tied to risk and capital matters and the other to human capital concerns. Through these, Aon arranges reinsurance coverage, assists with fundraising and merger transactions, supports pension plan administration, and offers advice on investment strategy for retirement programs. Clients drawing on these services include large businesses, government pension systems, university endowments, and charitable foundations.
The company dates its incorporation to 1979 and runs its headquarters from Dublin, Ireland. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the symbol AON.
Aon’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 44.7, in the Distribution zone, down 5.8 points over five sessions.
Down 5.8 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 33 | +0.2% | +0.1% | ||
| Accumulation | 228 | +0.3% | +0.3% | ||
| Neutral | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||
| Distribution (current zone) | 24 | −0.9% | −1.5% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AON share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →
Aon trades 6.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $324.65, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Aon shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$324.65
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
6.2% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 16.7% below the estimate.
Insiders filed 6 open-market purchases in Aon worth $6.55M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
$6.55Min 6 open-market purchases
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3 | KNIGHT LESTER B director | Purchase | $2.36M |
| Sep 3 | KNIGHT LESTER B director | Purchase | $1.66M |
| Sep 3 | KNIGHT LESTER B director | Purchase | $1.36M |
| Sep 3 | KNIGHT LESTER B director | Purchase | $566K |
| Sep 3 | KNIGHT LESTER B director | Purchase | $475K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
No trades in AON were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Aon has been buying back its own shares.
From company filings.
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold AON.
Aon reports on Jan 29, 2027, before the open (85 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Jan 29, 2027
Expected before the open, 85 days away
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $3.81 est $3.77 | $4.25B est $4.28B | −3.9% |
| May 1, 2026 | $6.48 est $6.35 | $5.03B est $4.97B | +1.0% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | $4.85 est $4.75 | $4.30B est $4.38B | +1.9% |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $3.05 est $2.91 | $4.00B est $3.96B | +3.5% |
| Jul 25, 2025 | $3.49 est $3.40 | $4.16B est $4.17B | +3.5% |
| Apr 25, 2025 | $5.67 est $6.01 | $4.73B est $4.87B | −5.9% |
| Jan 31, 2025 | $4.42 est $4.25 | $4.15B est $4.20B | +0.7% |
| Oct 25, 2024 | $1.57 est $1.42 | $3.72B est $3.69B | +4.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Aon is $360.00, +4.4% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | BMO Capital | $380 | +10.3% |
| Nov 2 | Cantor Fitzgerald | $410 | +19.0% |
| Nov 2 | UBS | $356 | +3.3% |
| Nov 2 | J.P. Morgan | $362 | +5.0% |
| Nov 2 | Raymond James | — | — |
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Aon averaged +3.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +3.6% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +3.3% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.1% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.6% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +0.9% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, AON’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.2%.
Aon’s market cap is $73.12B, with a P/E ratio of 18.3 and revenue of $17.68B over the last twelve months.
Coverage of Aon this week reads positive: 4 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
Aon’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MRSHMarsh | Neutral | 9.7% above |
| AJGArthur J. Gallagher | Distribution | 8.0% above |
| WTWWillis Towers Watson | Distribution | 0.2% above |
| BROBrown & Brown | Neutral | 5.6% above |
| RYANRyan Specialty | Distribution | 7.8% above |
| CRVLCorVel | Distribution | 16.2% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Aon’s market cap is $73.12B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $344.67, with 212.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 18.3.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Aon is $360.00, +4.4% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 13 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate Aon is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $344.67 is 6.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $324.65. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
Aon is expected to report on Jan 29, 2027, before the market opens (85 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.80 per share on revenue of $4.54B. Aon beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.1% on average across the report.
Aon’s 52-week high is $382.34 and its 52-week low is $266.33; it closed at $344.67 on Nov 4, 2026, +1.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $412.97 on Mar 3, 2025.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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