NYSE: MRSH

Marsh (MRSH) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$210.38+6.75 (+3.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Marsh moves this week on the launch of BrightPath, a new global retirement solution spanning six markets with $116 billion in AUM, aimed at building recurring fee income. BMO Capital also upgraded the stock to Outperform from Market Perform, setting a price target of $230, even as the broader analyst base still carries an average "hold" rating with a mean target around $206.19. The stock also touched a 52-week high of $201.91 during the week.

Marsh closes at $210.38, up 3.3%, sitting above both its 50-day ($183.13) and 200-day ($177.54) moving averages, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 45.6, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 5.1 points over five sessions. Price stands 9.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $191.83.

The next earnings date falls on 28 January 2027, 84 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows, though one billionaire holder is recorded. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.8% gain over 5 years, rising in 5 of them. Analyst sentiment splits 7 buy, 8 hold, and 1 sell across 16 firms, with the current consensus target implying a -2.4% gap to price, worth noting alongside the fair-value spread.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Marsh price vs fair value

$210.38$191.83Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $210.38200-day averageGekko Fair Value $191.83

Marsh quick facts

Market cap
$100.4B
P/E ratio
24
Forward P/E
17.5
EPS, TTM
$8.56
Revenue, TTM
$28.46B
Profit margin
14.2%
Dividend yield
1.88%
Beta
0.52
Volume
2.44M avg 2.54M
1-year return
+18.8%
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±3.6%
50-day average
$183.13
200-day average
$177.54
Next earnings
Jan 28 before open
Shares outstanding
475.5M
52-week range
$156.60$210.95

Marsh swing-trade checklist

Marsh scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $210.38 is above the 50-day ($183.13) and 200-day ($177.54) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    45.6, Neutral

    Reading 45.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    9.7% above

    Price is 9.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 84 days

    Next report Jan 28, 2027, 84 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.8% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Marsh stock chart and price history

Marsh closed at $210.38 on Nov 4, 2026, +18.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $156.60 to $210.95.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Marsh share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$160$180$200DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct210.38

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+22.5%
3 months
+8.8%
6 months
+28.4%
1 year
+18.8%
The full MRSH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MRSH in Gekko

Follow Marsh through every session

Put MRSH on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Marsh

Marsh provides professional advisory services covering risk, strategy, and workforce-related matters for clients seeking guidance in these areas. The company is best known as the parent of several advisory brands, including its own insurance brokerage operations, Guy Carpenter for reinsurance and risk work, Mercer for human resources and investment advice, and Oliver Wyman Group for management and economic consulting.

Operations are divided into two main segments. The Risk and Insurance Services segment handles risk management along with insurance and reinsurance brokerage, carried out mainly through the Marsh and Guy Carpenter brands. The Consulting segment covers health, retirement, talent, and investment consulting, plus management, economic, and brand advisory work, with Mercer and Oliver Wyman Group driving this side of the business. The firm employs roughly 65,000 full-time staff worldwide.

Marsh is headquartered in New York City. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MRSH.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Insurance brokers/Services
Website
marsh.com

Marsh GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Marsh’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 45.6, in the Neutral zone, down 5.1 points over five sessions.

010045.6Neutral

Down 5.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying74+0.3%+0.8%+2.4%+1.4%
Accumulation215+0.4%+0.6%+0.5%−0.2%
Neutral (current zone)3280.0%−0.1%−0.7%−0.9%
Distribution76−1.2%−1.3%−1.2%−1.5%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average MRSH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MRSH price, zone by zone.Track MRSH in Gekko

Is Marsh stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Marsh trades 9.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $191.83, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Marsh shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$191.83

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

9.7% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 4.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$192$204Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MRSH in Gekko

Marsh insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Marsh, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MRSH in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MRSH insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MRSH in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MRSH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MRSH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MRSH in Gekko

Buybacks

Marsh has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$504.0M
As a share of market cap
0.50%
Trailing four quarters
$2.84B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds MRSH.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Marsh earnings: next date and track record

Marsh reports on Jan 28, 2027, before the open (84 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.1%Jan ’25−8.3%Apr ’25+0.1%Jul ’25−7.0%Oct ’25+5.6%Jan ’26+0.5%Apr ’26−3.4%Jul ’26+5.6%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 15, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Marsh reported strong Q3 results with 8% total revenue growth, 5% underlying revenue growth, 6% adjusted operating income growth, and 10% adjusted EPS growth. The company repurchased $500M in stock during the quarter, totaling $2B year-to-date. Consulting showed strong growth in People, Investments, and Management Consulting, while Risk business accelerated; Reinsurance faced market headwinds. Marsh increased its Thrive cost savings target from $400M to $600M, driven by BCS efficiencies and technology advances.
Guidance
Expanded Thrive savings target of $600M will fund incremental investment in sales capacity, new capabilities, branding, and technology. Management expressed confidence in growth investments and accelerated brand consolidation, though no specific revenue or EPS targets were provided in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 15, 2026$2.03
est $1.97
+3.0%$6.86B
est $6.64B
+3.3%+5.6%
Jul 21, 2026$2.96
est $2.88
+2.8%$7.40B
est $7.28B
+1.7%−3.4%
Apr 16, 2026$3.29
est $3.26
+0.9%$7.30B
est $7.41B
−1.4%+0.5%
Jan 29, 2026$2.12
est $1.97
+7.6%$6.60B
est $6.56B
+0.6%+5.6%
Oct 16, 2025$1.85
est $1.78
+3.9%$6.35B
est $6.32B
+0.4%−7.0%
Jul 17, 2025$2.45
est $2.41
+1.7%$6.97B
est $6.94B
+0.5%+0.1%
Apr 17, 2025$3.06
est $3.00
+2.0%$7.06B
est $7.08B
−0.2%−8.3%
Jan 30, 2025$1.87
est $1.76
+6.3%$6.07B
est $5.96B
+1.8%−1.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Marsh stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Marsh is $205.38, −2.4% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$205.38consensus 12-month target, −2.4% from the last close
Low $180High $230
Buy7
Hold8
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 3BMO CapitalBuy, upgraded$230+9.3%
Oct 27Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$224+6.5%
Oct 26Roth MKMHold, maintained$200−4.9%
Oct 23Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, maintained$228+8.4%
Oct 20UBSBuy, maintained$222+5.5%
−0.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Marsh seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Marsh averaged +3.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.1%2021+7.0%2022+0.9%2023+4.1%2024+1.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.3%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.3%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.3%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.8%5 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.8%3 of 5

For scale, MRSH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.6%.

Marsh market cap and key statistics

Marsh’s market cap is $100.4B, with a P/E ratio of 24 and revenue of $28.46B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$100.4B
P/E ratio
24
Forward P/E
17.5
EPS, TTM
$8.56
Gekko Fair Value
$191.83

Trading

Volume
2.44M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.54M
52-week high
$210.95
52-week low
$156.60
Shares outstanding
475.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$28.46B
Profit margin
14.2%
Return on equity
27.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+11.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.52
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±3.6%
Dividend yield
1.88%

Marsh peers

Marsh’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AJGArthur J. Gallagher+2.3%Distribution8.0% above
AONAon+1.7%Distribution6.2% above
WTWWillis Towers Watson+1.1%Distribution0.2% above
BROBrown & Brown+1.2%Neutral5.6% above
RYANRyan Specialty+1.3%Distribution7.8% above
CRVLCorVel+2.3%Distribution16.2% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

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Marsh stock FAQ

What is Marsh’s market cap?

Marsh’s market cap is $100.4B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $210.38, with 475.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.

What is the Marsh stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Marsh is $205.38, −2.4% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Marsh stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Marsh is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $210.38 is 9.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $191.83. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Marsh report earnings next?

Marsh is expected to report on Jan 28, 2027, before the market opens (84 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.20 per share on revenue of $6.91B. Marsh beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 4% on average across the report.

What is Marsh’s 52-week high and low?

Marsh’s 52-week high is $210.95 and its 52-week low is $156.60; it closed at $210.38 on Nov 4, 2026, +18.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $248.00 on Apr 4, 2025.

Is Marsh stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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