Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MRSH in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every MRSH insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MRSH in Gekko
NYSE: MRSH
Marsh (MRSH) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$175.01+0.43 (+0.2%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryMarsh (MRSH) closes at $175.01, sitting between its 50-day average of $185.62 and 200-day average of $177.79, with the price down 7.5% over the past month but up 7.8% over three months. The GekkoIndex reads 68.6, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and price stands 9.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $194.26.
This week's news centers on leadership transitions and dividend continuity alongside pricing pressure concerns. Marsh named Matt Stadler as CEO of Marsh Agency effective January 1, 2027, while David Eslick continues as Chairman. The board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.99 per share, payable November 13 to holders of record October 1, marking the 15th consecutive year of dividend increases with an annualized payout of $3.96 and a 2.2% yield. Separate coverage notes the company is leaning on AI, data and technology as softer insurance pricing pressures premium-linked revenues, while one report flagged underperformance versus the S&P 500 on a year-to-date and 52-week basis.
Earnings arrive 15 October, 25 days out, before the market opens, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter beat estimates with $3.29 versus $3.26 expected and produced a 0.5% reaction. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.6% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst coverage spans 18 firms with 6 buy, 11 hold and 1 sell ratings and a consensus target of $207.10. Bank of America Corp DE reported acquiring 3.46 million shares valued near $575.8 million, while one smaller holder trimmed its stake.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $175.01200-day averageGekko Fair Value $194.26
Key stats
- Market cap
- $83.52B
- P/E ratio
- 21.9
- Forward P/E
- 15.8
- EPS, TTM
- $8.06
- Revenue, TTM
- $27.95B
- Profit margin
- 14.2%
- Dividend yield
- 2.05%
- Beta
- 0.58
- Volume
- 6.98M avg 2.39M
- 1-year return
- −11.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.4%
- 50-day average
- $185.62
- 200-day average
- $177.79
- Next earnings
- Oct 15 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 477.2M
Marsh swing-trade checklist
Marsh scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $175.01 sits between the 50-day ($185.62) and 200-day ($177.79) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
68.6, Accumulation
Reading 68.6 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
9.9% below
Price is 9.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 25 days
Reports on Oct 15, 2026, 25 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−0.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Marsh stock chart and price history
Marsh closed at $175.01 on Sep 18, 2026, −11.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $156.60 to $207.83.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −7.5%
- 3 months
- +7.8%
- 6 months
- +2.4%
- 1 year
- −11.3%
The full MRSH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MRSH in Gekko
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About Marsh
Marsh provides professional advisory services covering risk, strategy, and workforce-related matters for clients seeking guidance in these areas. The company is best known as the parent of several advisory brands, including its own insurance brokerage operations, Guy Carpenter for reinsurance and risk work, Mercer for human resources and investment advice, and Oliver Wyman Group for management and economic consulting.
Operations are divided into two main segments. The Risk and Insurance Services segment handles risk management along with insurance and reinsurance brokerage, carried out mainly through the Marsh and Guy Carpenter brands. The Consulting segment covers health, retirement, talent, and investment consulting, plus management, economic, and brand advisory work, with Mercer and Oliver Wyman Group driving this side of the business. The firm employs roughly 65,000 full-time staff worldwide.
Marsh is headquartered in New York City. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MRSH.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Insurance brokers/Services
- Website
- corporate.marsh.com
Marsh GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Marsh’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.1 points over five sessions.
68.6Accumulation
Up 3.1 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 64 | +0.2% | +0.8% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 201 | +0.5% | +0.5% | ||
| Neutral | 319 | −0.1% | −0.2% | ||
| Distribution | 74 | −1.2% | −1.2% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MRSH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MRSH price, zone by zone.Track MRSH in Gekko
Is Marsh stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Marsh trades 9.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $194.26, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Marsh shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$194.26
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 18, 2026
9.9% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MRSH in Gekko
Marsh insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Marsh, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MRSH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MRSH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MRSH in Gekko
Buybacks
Marsh has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $717.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.86%
- Trailing four quarters
- $2.74B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds MRSH.
1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Marsh earnings: next date and track record
Marsh reports on Oct 15, 2026, before the open (25 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 15, 2026
Expected before the open, 25 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.98
- Revenue estimate
- $6.66B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.2%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Apr 16, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- MRSH reported 8% revenue growth and 8% adjusted EPS growth in Q1 2026, with 4% underlying revenue growth despite lower fiduciary interest income and pricing pressure. The company announced significant leadership changes including Mark McGivney as COO/CFO and Nick Studer as CEO of Marsh Risk. Strong sales performance and sequential improvement in Marsh Risk growth were noted, with limited impact from Middle East conflicts.
- Guidance
- Management emphasized their AI strategy focused on growth, productivity, and client value, citing AI-enabled applications generating new revenue streams. The company expects to benefit from scale advantages in AI investment and proprietary data assets.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | $3.29 est $3.26 | $7.30B est $7.41B | +0.5% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | $2.12 est $1.97 | $6.60B est $6.56B | +5.6% |
| Oct 16, 2025 | $1.85 est $1.78 | $6.35B est $6.32B | −7.0% |
| Jul 17, 2025 | $2.45 est $2.41 | $6.97B est $6.94B | +0.1% |
| Apr 17, 2025 | $3.06 est $3.00 | $7.06B est $7.08B | −8.3% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $1.87 est $1.76 | $6.07B est $5.96B | −1.1% |
| Oct 17, 2024 | $1.51 est $1.61 | $5.70B est $5.71B | −1.4% |
| Jul 18, 2024 | $2.27 est $2.38 | $6.22B est $6.31B | −1.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Marsh stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Marsh is $207.10, +18.3% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$207.10consensus 12-month target, +18.3% from the last close
Now $175.01Avg $207.10
Low $182High $234
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8 | Erste Group | — | — |
| Aug 31 | Citi | $200 | +14.3% |
| Aug 27 | KBW | $202 | +15.4% |
| Aug 25 | BMO Capital | $203 | +16.0% |
| Aug 19 | Morgan Stanley | $200 | +14.3% |
+0.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Marsh seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Marsh averaged −0.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.5% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −1.6% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, MRSH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.4%.
Marsh market cap and key statistics
Marsh’s market cap is $83.52B, with a P/E ratio of 21.9 and revenue of $27.95B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $83.52B
- P/E ratio
- 21.9
- Forward P/E
- 15.8
- EPS, TTM
- $8.06
- Gekko Fair Value
- $194.26
Trading
- Volume
- 6.98M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.39M
- 52-week high
- $207.83
- 52-week low
- $156.60
- Shares outstanding
- 477.2M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $27.95B
- Profit margin
- 14.2%
- Return on equity
- 25.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +7.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.58
- Typical daily move
- ±2.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.4%
- Dividend yield
- 2.05%
Marsh stock news this week
Coverage of Marsh this week reads positive: 4 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Is Marsh & McLennan Stock Underperforming the S&P 500?Yahoo Finance, Sep 18
- Marsh to Host Third Quarter Earnings Investor Call on October 15Business Wire, Sep 17
- Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (NYSE:MRSH) to Issue Quarterly Dividend of $0.99MarketBeat, Sep 17
- Can Marsh's AI Strategy Offset Softer Insurance Pricing?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 17
- Marsh Declares Quarterly Cash DividendBusiness Wire, Sep 16
- Marsh Appoints Matt Stadler CEO of Marsh Agency; David Eslick Will Continue as ChairmanGuruFocus, Sep 16
Marsh peers
Marsh’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| AONAon | Buying | 17.8% below |
| AJGArthur J. Gallagher | Accumulation | 10.9% below |
| WTWWillis Towers Watson | Accumulation | 10.2% below |
| BROBrown & Brown | Accumulation | 10.4% below |
| RYANRyan Specialty | Accumulation | 11.5% below |
| CRVLCorVel | Neutral | 8.1% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Marsh stock FAQ
What is Marsh’s market cap?
Marsh’s market cap is $83.52B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $175.01, with 477.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.9.
What is the Marsh stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Marsh is $207.10, +18.3% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Marsh stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Marsh is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $175.01 is 9.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $194.26. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Marsh report earnings next?
Marsh is expected to report on Oct 15, 2026, before the market opens (25 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.98 per share on revenue of $6.66B. Marsh beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.2% on average across the report.
What is Marsh’s 52-week high and low?
Marsh’s 52-week high is $207.83 and its 52-week low is $156.60; it closed at $175.01 on Sep 18, 2026, −11.3% over the past year.
Is Marsh stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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