Four Corners Property Trust (FCPT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$21.50+0.22 (+1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news centers on a string of small sale-leaseback acquisitions. Four Corners Property Trust picked up an automotive-service property in Indiana for $2.3 million and a LongHorn Steakhouse property in Ohio for $2.4 million, both structured as triple-net leases with cap rates described as consistent with the company's prior deals. Separately, an AI-model-based article flagged weak near and mid-term sentiment alongside a neutral long-term outlook for the stock.

FCPT closed at $21.50, up 1% on the day, but remains below both its 50-day average of $23.76 and its 200-day average of $24.61, with the 50-day sitting under the 200-day. Returns have been negative across the one, three, six and twelve-month windows, ranging from -10.3% to -14.5%. The GekkoIndex reads 66.7, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, down 7 points over the past five readings. Gekko Fair Value stands at $37.93, putting the current price 43.3% below that level.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 28 October 2026, 16 days away, within that window. The prior quarter saw an EPS beat of $0.45 against a $0.44 estimate, with a -1.7% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 2 of the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.6% gain over 5 years, rising in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus stands at 1 buy and 4 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $27.78.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Four Corners Property Trust price vs fair value

▲$37.93$21.50Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $21.50200-day averageGekko Fair Value $37.93

Four Corners Property Trust quick facts

Market cap
$2.36B
P/E ratio
19.3
Forward P/E
20.2
EPS, TTM
$1.10
Revenue, TTM
$306.4M
Profit margin
38.7%
Dividend yield
6.92%
Beta
0.82
Volume
690,153 avg 1.30M
1-year return
−10.2%
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±3.6%
50-day average
$23.76
200-day average
$24.61
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
109.8M
52-week range
$20.86$26.86

Four Corners Property Trust swing-trade checklist

Four Corners Property Trust scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $21.50 is below the 50-day ($23.76) and 200-day ($24.61) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66.7, Accumulation

    Reading 66.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    43.3% below

    Price is 43.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 16 days

    Reports on Oct 28, 2026, 16 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Four Corners Property Trust stock chart and price history

Four Corners Property Trust closed at $21.50 on Oct 12, 2026, −10.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $20.86 to $26.86.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Four Corners Property Trust share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$22$24$26NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct21.50

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−10.3%
3 months
−14.5%
6 months
−14.0%
1 year
−10.2%
The full FCPT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FCPT in Gekko

Follow Four Corners Property Trust through every session

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About Four Corners Property Trust

Four Corners Property Trust buys real estate and leases it out, with a particular focus on properties used by restaurant operators. Its business centers on owning the physical sites that restaurant and retail tenants occupy, rather than running those businesses itself.

The company grows by purchasing additional properties and adding them to its holdings, then placing them under net leases with tenants in the restaurant and retail space. Under this arrangement, tenants take on many of the costs tied to the property while Four Corners Property Trust collects rent from the real estate it owns.

Four Corners Property Trust is based in Mill Valley, California. Its shares trade under the ticker FCPT.

Sector
Finance
Website
fcpt.com

Four Corners Property Trust GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Four Corners Property Trust’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 7 points over five sessions.

010066.7Accumulation

Down 7 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying63−0.2%−0.1%+2.6%+1.3%
Accumulation (current zone)186+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%+0.2%
Neutral353−0.4%−0.4%−0.5%−0.2%
Distribution33+1.2%+1.1%−0.4%+2.2%
Selling0Not available

Average FCPT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FCPT price, zone by zone.Track FCPT in Gekko

Is Four Corners Property Trust stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Four Corners Property Trust trades 43.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $37.93, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Four Corners Property Trust shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$37.93

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

43.3% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$38$21Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FCPT in Gekko

Four Corners Property Trust insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Four Corners Property Trust, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FCPT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every FCPT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FCPT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FCPT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FCPT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FCPT in Gekko

Buybacks

Four Corners Property Trust has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$1K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Four Corners Property Trust earnings: next date and track record

Four Corners Property Trust reports on Oct 28, 2026 (16 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.9%Oct ’24+1.6%Feb ’25+0.1%Apr ’25−1.8%Jul ’25−3.7%Oct ’25−3.6%Feb ’26+0.2%Apr ’26−1.7%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
FCPT reported Q2 2026 with 99%+ occupancy and 5.2x rent coverage, among the best in net lease. Year-to-date acquisitions reached $382 million at 6.6% blended cap rate, surpassing prior annual investment records. The company completed $600 million in financings at ~200bps spread to investment yields. Q2 alone saw $57 million in acquisitions across 23 properties at 6.8% cash cap rate, with automotive sector representing 64% of volume.
Guidance
Management expects very high Darden lease renewal rates for leases maturing Q4 2027, with extension notices due by October 2026. Pro forma figures in investor presentation reflect major July developments not yet in Q2 AFFO. Monthly dividend payments begin August 2026.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$0.45
est $0.44
+2.3%$78.42M
est $79.02M
−0.8%−1.7%
Apr 29, 2026$0.28
est $0.28
0.0%$78.17M
est $73.34M
+6.6%+0.2%
Feb 11, 2026$0.45
est $0.29
+55.3%$75.67M
est $75.85M
−0.2%−3.6%
Oct 28, 2025$0.28
est $0.28
0.0%$74.15M
est $69.25M
+7.1%−3.7%
Jul 29, 2025$0.44
est $0.44
0.0%$72.84M
est $72.25M
+0.8%−1.8%
Apr 30, 2025$0.44
est $0.44
0.0%$71.48M
est $67.93M
+5.2%+0.1%
Feb 12, 2025$0.27
est $0.28
−3.6%$68.34M
est $66.83M
+2.3%+1.6%
Oct 30, 2024$0.27
est $0.27
0.0%$66.79M
est $67.12M
−0.5%−1.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Four Corners Property Trust stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Four Corners Property Trust is $27.78, +29.2% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$27.78consensus 12-month target, +29.2% from the last close
Low $26High $30
Buy1
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 6J.P. MorganHold, reiterated$26+20.9%
Sep 21Evercore ISIHold, maintained$26+20.9%
Sep 4BarclaysHold, maintained$30+39.5%
Sep 1Wells FargoHold, maintained$26+20.9%
Aug 21J.P. MorganHold, maintained$29+34.9%
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Four Corners Property Trust seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Four Corners Property Trust averaged +3.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.2%2021+16.4%2022−1.8%2023−2.9%2024+1.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.5%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.0%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.0%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.1%5 of 5

For scale, FCPT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.6%.

Four Corners Property Trust market cap and key statistics

Four Corners Property Trust’s market cap is $2.36B, with a P/E ratio of 19.3 and revenue of $306.4M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.36B
P/E ratio
19.3
Forward P/E
20.2
EPS, TTM
$1.10
Gekko Fair Value
$37.93

Trading

Volume
690,153
Avg volume, 20 days
1.30M
52-week high
$26.86
52-week low
$20.86
Shares outstanding
109.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$306.4M
Profit margin
38.7%
Return on equity
7.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−2.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.82
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±3.6%
Dividend yield
6.92%

Four Corners Property Trust stock news this week

Coverage of Four Corners Property Trust this week reads neutral: 4 positive, 9 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

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In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Four Corners Property Trust stock FAQ

What is Four Corners Property Trust’s market cap?

Four Corners Property Trust’s market cap is $2.36B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $21.50, with 109.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.3.

What is the Four Corners Property Trust stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Four Corners Property Trust is $27.78, +29.2% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Four Corners Property Trust stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Four Corners Property Trust is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $21.50 is 43.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $37.93. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Four Corners Property Trust report earnings next?

Four Corners Property Trust is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (16 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.29 per share on revenue of $82.43M. Four Corners Property Trust beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.8% on average across the report.

What is Four Corners Property Trust’s 52-week high and low?

Four Corners Property Trust’s 52-week high is $26.86 and its 52-week low is $20.86; it closed at $21.50 on Oct 12, 2026, −10.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $30.93 on Sep 18, 2024.

Is Four Corners Property Trust stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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