NYSE: COTY

Coty (COTY) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$2.91+0.06 (+2.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Coverage this week centers on general market data rather than company news: one item summarizes Coty's capital expenditure per share, while another aggregates trader commentary featuring technical chart patterns such as falling wedges and double bottoms, along with discussion of support and resistance levels ahead of the next earnings report. No results, guidance, deal, product or regulatory announcements accompany these items.

Coty trades at $2.91, up 2.1%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $2.74 and its 200-day average of $2.52, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 50.7, placing it in the Neutral zone. Price remains 38.2% below the Gekko Fair Value of $4.71.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 4 November 2026, after the close, 23 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior report, on 5 May 2026, showed an EPS of -0.03 against a 0 estimate and produced a 9.5% reaction; average absolute reactions have run 10.9% over the last eight quarters. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality data show the next 20 trading days averaging a 3.4% return over five years, rising in two of them. Analyst coverage from 11 firms shows 0 buy, 9 hold and 2 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $2.64.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Coty price vs fair value

$4.71$2.91Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $2.91200-day averageGekko Fair Value $4.71

Coty quick facts

Market cap
$2.56B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
7.9
EPS, TTM
−$0.70
Revenue, TTM
$5.81B
Profit margin
-10.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.90
Volume
3.16M avg 5.18M
1-year return
−34.6%
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7.4%
50-day average
$2.74
200-day average
$2.52
Next earnings
Nov 4 after close
Shares outstanding
880.7M
52-week range
$1.82$4.47

Coty swing-trade checklist

Coty scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $2.91 is above the 50-day ($2.74) and 200-day ($2.52) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    50.7, Neutral

    Reading 50.7 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    38.2% below

    Price is 38.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +3.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.4% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Coty stock chart and price history

Coty closed at $2.91 on Oct 12, 2026, −34.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $1.82 to $4.47.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Coty share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$2$4$5NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct2.91

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+7.8%
3 months
+29.3%
6 months
+28.8%
1 year
−34.6%
The full COTY chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open COTY in Gekko

Follow Coty through every session

Put COTY on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Coty

Coty develops and distributes beauty products spanning perfumes, color cosmetics, and skin and body care lines for customers worldwide. The company has built recognition through a wide collection of beauty brand names that cover both upscale and mass-market shoppers.

Its operations run through two divisions, one for prestige offerings and one for consumer beauty. Higher-end items reach buyers via perfume shops, department stores, duty-free outlets, online stores, and direct brand websites, carrying names like Burberry, Calvin Klein, Gucci, Hugo Boss, Tiffany & Co., and Kylie Cosmetics by Kylie Jenner. More everyday products appear in grocery chains, drugstores, pharmacies, discount department stores, and online marketplaces, under labels such as CoverGirl, Rimmel, Max Factor, Sally Hansen, Adidas, and Vera Wang. Some goods also move through independent distributors, and the company itself is owned by JAB Beauty B.V.

Coty traces back to 1904 and keeps its main offices in New York, New York. Its stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker COTY.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer non-durables
Industry
Household/Personal care
Website
coty.com

Coty GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Coty’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.7, in the Neutral zone, down 6.4 points over five sessions.

010050.7Neutral

Down 6.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying86+1.2%+0.6%+0.9%−6.1%
Accumulation348−0.6%−1.6%−2.9%−9.4%
Neutral (current zone)232−1.9%−3.3%−7.1%−12.8%
Distribution10−2.0%−2.0%−4.1%−4.1%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average COTY share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the COTY price, zone by zone.Track COTY in Gekko

Is Coty stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Coty trades 38.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $4.71, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Coty shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$4.71

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

38.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open COTY in Gekko

Coty insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Coty, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for COTY in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every COTY insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open COTY in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in COTY were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for COTY, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open COTY in Gekko

Buybacks

Coty has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Jun 30, 2020
$4.50M
As a share of market cap
0.18%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds COTY.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Coty earnings: next date and track record

Coty reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 0 of its last 8 reports.

0 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.9%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.1%Aug ’24−3.8%Nov ’24−9.2%Feb ’25−11.4%May ’25−22.1%Aug ’25−2.9%Nov ’25−22.4%Feb ’26+9.5%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Coty's Q3 FY2026 results showed a gap between sell-in and sellout in both Prestige and Consumer Beauty segments. Prestige was impacted by Middle East disruptions (mid-teens regional exposure), high promotional environment, and European retailer inventory destocking. Consumer Beauty showed improvement with CoverGirl and Sally Hansen gaining market share in unit volume vs. category. The company strategically shifted to slimmer sell-in bundles to improve retail productivity and reduce returns.
Guidance
Coty is protected against oil price inflation through end of calendar year 2026 via inventory buffers and supplier hedging. Every $1 oil price move impacts profit by approximately $2 million gross. Management expects sell-in to realign with sellout as the new retail productivity strategy matures into fiscal 2027.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 5, 2026−$0.03
est $0.00
−1,011.1%$1.28B
est $1.27B
+1.0%+9.5%
Feb 5, 2026$0.14
est $0.18
−22.2%$1.68B
est $1.66B
+1.3%−22.4%
Nov 5, 2025$0.12
est $0.15
−20.0%$1.58B
est $1.66B
−4.9%−2.9%
Aug 20, 2025−$0.05
est $0.01
−600.0%$1.25B
est $1.62B
−22.8%−22.1%
May 6, 2025$0.01
est $0.05
−80.0%$1.30B
est $1.19B
+8.9%−11.4%
Feb 10, 2025$0.11
est $0.21
−47.6%$1.67B
est $1.72B
−2.9%−9.2%
Nov 6, 2024$0.15
est $0.19
−21.1%$1.67B
est $1.68B
−0.4%−3.8%
Aug 20, 2024−$0.03
est $0.04
−175.0%$1.36B
est $1.38B
−0.9%+6.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Coty stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Coty is $2.64, −9.2% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$2.64consensus 12-month target, −9.2% from the last close
Low $1.50High $3
Buy0
Hold9
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 6RBC CapitalHold, maintained$3+3.1%
Oct 5Goldman SachsHold, maintained$2.60−10.7%
Aug 25Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$2.75−5.5%
Aug 21Deutsche Bank Hold, reiterated$3+3.1%
Aug 21Canaccord GenuityHold, reiterated$2.50−14.1%
−7.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Coty seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Coty averaged +3.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+38.5%2021+11.0%2022−4.6%2023−18.5%2024−10.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.2%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−4.1%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.4%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.3%3 of 5

For scale, COTY’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.4%.

Coty market cap and key statistics

Coty’s market cap is $2.56B and revenue of $5.81B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.56B
Forward P/E
7.9
EPS, TTM
−$0.70
Gekko Fair Value
$4.71

Trading

Volume
3.16M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.18M
52-week high
$4.47
52-week low
$1.82
Shares outstanding
880.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.81B
Profit margin
-10.4%
Return on equity
-16.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−22.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.90
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7.4%

Coty stock news this week

2 headlines about Coty from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Coty peers

Coty’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PGProcter & Gamble+1.3%Neutral11.5% below
CLColgate-Palmolive+1.9%Neutral14.3% below
ELEstee Lauder Companies+2.7%Neutral9.5% above
KVUEKenvue+1.0%Neutral19.0% below
KMBKimberly-Clark+1.6%Neutral15.7% below
CHDChurch & Dwight+1.8%Neutral0.8% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Coty stock FAQ

What is Coty’s market cap?

Coty’s market cap is $2.56B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $2.91, with 880.7M shares outstanding.

What is the Coty stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Coty is $2.64, −9.2% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Coty stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Coty is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $2.91 is 38.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $4.71. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Coty report earnings next?

Coty is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.13 per share on revenue of $1.53B. Coty beat the earnings estimate in 0 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.9% on average across the report.

What is Coty’s 52-week high and low?

Coty’s 52-week high is $4.47 and its 52-week low is $1.82; it closed at $2.91 on Oct 12, 2026, −34.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $13.46 on Jul 12, 2023.

Is Coty stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and fair value), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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