NYSE: CAG

ConAgra Brands (CAG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$14.16−0.16 (−1.1%)

Gekko Brief

ConAgra Brands closed at $14.16 on 28 September 2026, -1.1% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($15.26) and 200-day ($15.68) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $12.53 to $20.32. The GekkoIndex reads 68.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.6 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $11.98, so the price is 18.2% above it.

The next earnings report is due on 30 September 2026, tomorrow. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 4 times, with an average move of 3.4% across the report. Smart-money activity over the last 90 days includes 1 open-market insider purchase. Over the last 30 days there was 1 unusual options signal. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged -1.2% over the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

13 firms rate the stock: 1 buy, 8 hold and 4 sell, with a consensus target of $14.41. A typical daily move is about 2.8%, and a typical 20-day move about 4.4%. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 items read supportive and 4 read as a headwind (trend, fair value, earnings risk, seasonality).

Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

ConAgra Brands price vs fair value

$14.16$11.98Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $14.16200-day averageGekko Fair Value $11.98

ConAgra Brands quick facts

Market cap
$6.78B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
10.6
EPS, TTM
−$4.00
Revenue, TTM
$11.28B
Profit margin
-17%
Dividend yield
9.47%
Beta
-0.03
Volume
14.43M avg 11.33M
1-year return
−21.7%
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
50-day average
$15.26
200-day average
$15.68
Next earnings
Sep 30
Shares outstanding
478.6M
52-week range
$12.53$20.32

ConAgra Brands swing-trade checklist

ConAgra Brands scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 4 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive0 mixed4 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $14.16 is below the 50-day ($15.26) and 200-day ($15.68) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68.3, Accumulation

    Reading 68.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    18.2% above

    Price is 18.2% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports tomorrow

    Reports on Sep 30, 2026, tomorrow — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

ConAgra Brands stock chart and price history

ConAgra Brands closed at $14.16 on Sep 28, 2026, −21.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $12.53 to $20.32.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
ConAgra Brands share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$12$16$18$20$22NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep14.16

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−11.6%
3 months
+1.3%
6 months
−9.3%
1 year
−21.7%
The full CAG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CAG in Gekko

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About ConAgra Brands

ConAgra Brands makes packaged food sold through subsidiaries across North America. It is recognized for a wide lineup of household brands, including Birds Eye, Duncan Hines, Healthy Choice, Marie Callender's, Reddi-wip, Slim Jim, Angie's BOOMCHICKAPOP, Duke's, Earth Balance, Gardein and Frontera, spanning frozen, refrigerated, snack and pantry foods.

The company runs through four business segments. Grocery & Snacks handles shelf-stable food sold through retail channels in the United States, while Refrigerated & Frozen covers temperature-controlled products for similar domestic retailers. The International segment supplies food in all temperature forms to retail shoppers and food service operators outside the United States. Foodservice develops branded and custom-made dishes, such as entrees, sauces and prepared meals, for restaurants and institutional kitchens within the country.

ConAgra Brands has roots dating back to 1861 and operated under the name ConAgra Foods, Inc. before adopting its current name in November 2016. Its headquarters are in Chicago, Illinois, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker CAG.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer non-durables
Industry
Food: major diversified
Website
conagrabrands.com

ConAgra Brands GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

ConAgra Brands’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.6 points over five sessions.

010068.3Accumulation

Up 5.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying640.0%−0.2%−1.7%−5.0%
Accumulation (current zone)303−0.6%−1.4%−1.8%−2.1%
Neutral288−0.4%−0.4%−1.4%−6.5%
Distribution15−1.0%−3.2%−4.2%−8.0%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average CAG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CAG price, zone by zone.Track CAG in Gekko

Is ConAgra Brands stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

ConAgra Brands trades 18.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $11.98, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what ConAgra Brands shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$11.98

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

18.2% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CAG in Gekko

ConAgra Brands insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in ConAgra Brands worth $511K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$511Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Jul 21John P Brase
President and CEO
Purchase35,000$511K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CAG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CAG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CAG in Gekko

Buybacks

ConAgra Brands has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Nov 23, 2025
$300K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 4, $266K in unusual premium.

Every signal with its contract, strike and premium.Unlock in Gekko

ConAgra Brands earnings: next date and track record

ConAgra Brands reports on Sep 30, 2026 (tomorrow), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−10.3%Oct ’24−0.9%Dec ’24+1.1%Apr ’25−4.8%Jul ’25+4.8%Oct ’25−3.0%Dec ’250.0%Apr ’26+2.3%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 15, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Conagra Brands' call focused on management's plan to balance deleveraging and reinvestment after a recent dividend reduction. Management emphasized a pivot toward restoring structural margins through a combination of productivity (>4% target), inflation-justified pricing (mid-Q2 pricing implementation), and increased brand building (approximately $40 million incremental A&P) while stepping up capital expenditures (incremental ~$125 million, with ~$100 million related to insourcing/protein projects). The company guided to organic volumes down mid-single-digits (midpoint roughly -2% in net sales with price/mix ~+3%), gross margin roughly flat for the year, and operating margin guidance around 10.0%–10.5% with Q1 operating margin guided to the high single digits. Management plans to simplify the portfolio (SKU rationalization and a top-down strategic review), prioritize frozen and permissible snacking categories as growth drivers, and pursue supply chain resiliency (service level targets of ~98%-98.5%). They emphasized strong free cash flow conversion (119% in FY26) and a path toward a ~3.0x leverage target enabled by the dividend action and continued focus on cash generation.
Guidance
Volumes: organic volumes down mid-single-digits for the year. Net sales: midpoint roughly -2% organic net sales, implying price/mix roughly +3%. Gross margin: roughly flat year-over-year. Operating margin: guidance around 10.0%–10.5% for the fiscal year; Q1 operating margin in the high single digits. Pricing: inflation-justified pricing actions to begin mid-Q2 (half-year benefit in FY27). Productivity: targeting productivity above 4%. CapEx: long-term guidance 4%–5% of net sales; FY27 toward upper end with incremental ~$125M; ~$100M related to insourcing/protein projects. Tariff wrap: ~$40M impacting FY27, over-indexed to Q1. Leverage/credit: management targeting ~3.0x leverage and expects dividend cut to free roughly $1B of cash over the next ~3 years. Empty string if no guidance provided: (not applicable).
Risks flagged
Inflation exceeds productivity (management cites ~5% inflation vs. productivity >4%), meaning continued margin pressure absent pricing; higher assumed price elasticities (especially in frozen) risk larger-than-expected volume declines; commodity volatility (e.g., wheat/Ardent Mills exposure); tariff/timing impacts (noted $40M Q1 headwind); supply chain capacity and potential disruptions despite resiliency investments; refinancing risk related to upcoming debt maturities (notes due in October) and leverage timeline; execution risk around SKU/portfolio simplification and Project Catalyst; possible downgrade or constrained ratings if execution or deleveraging lags expectations.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 15, 2026$0.47
est $0.46
+2.2%$2.88B
est $2.89B
−0.2%+2.3%
Apr 1, 2026$0.39
est $0.40
−2.5%$2.79B
est $2.76B
+0.9%0.0%
Dec 19, 2025$0.45
est $0.44
+3.2%$2.98B
est $2.98B
0.0%−3.0%
Oct 1, 2025$0.39
est $0.33
+16.8%$2.63B
est $2.62B
+0.5%+4.8%
Jul 10, 2025$0.56
est $0.58
−3.4%$2.78B
est $2.83B
−1.8%−4.8%
Apr 3, 2025$0.51
est $0.52
−2.7%$2.84B
est $2.90B
−1.9%+1.1%
Dec 19, 2024$0.70
est $0.68
+3.7%$3.20B
est $3.15B
+1.5%−0.9%
Oct 2, 2024$0.53
est $0.60
−11.1%$2.79B
est $2.84B
−1.6%−10.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

ConAgra Brands stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for ConAgra Brands is $14.41, +1.8% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$14.41consensus 12-month target, +1.8% from the last close
Low $12High $16
Buy1
Hold8
Sell4

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 25RBC CapitalHold, maintained$14−1.1%
Sep 23UBSHold, maintained$14−1.1%
Sep 18Bank of America SecuritiesSell, maintained$13−8.2%
Sep 18Deutsche Bank Hold, reiterated$13−8.2%
Sep 16J.P. MorganHold, maintained$15+5.9%
−1.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−1.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

ConAgra Brands seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, ConAgra Brands averaged −1.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−5.9%2021+7.6%2022−0.8%2023−8.5%2024+2.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.3%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.8%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.0%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−3.5%2 of 5

For scale, CAG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.4%.

ConAgra Brands market cap and key statistics

ConAgra Brands’s market cap is $6.78B and revenue of $11.28B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.78B
Forward P/E
10.6
EPS, TTM
−$4.00
Gekko Fair Value
$11.98

Trading

Volume
14.43M
Avg volume, 20 days
11.33M
52-week high
$20.32
52-week low
$12.53
Shares outstanding
478.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$11.28B
Profit margin
-17%
Return on equity
-25.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+39.0%

Risk and income

Beta
-0.03
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
Dividend yield
9.47%

ConAgra Brands stock news this week

Coverage of ConAgra Brands this week reads positive: 7 positive, 7 neutral and 6 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

ConAgra Brands peers

ConAgra Brands’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
KHCKraft Heinz−0.1%Accumulation3.3% above
GISGeneral Mills0.0%Buying29.5% below
HLFHerbalife+0.8%Neutral39.9% below
SMPLSimply Good Foods+0.8%Accumulation47.6% below
BGSB&G Foods−1.9%Accumulation46.1% below
BYNDBeyond Meat+1.9%Buying35.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

ConAgra Brands stock FAQ

What is ConAgra Brands’s market cap?

ConAgra Brands’s market cap is $6.78B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $14.16, with 478.6M shares outstanding.

What is the ConAgra Brands stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for ConAgra Brands is $14.41, +1.8% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 4 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is ConAgra Brands stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate ConAgra Brands is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $14.16 is 18.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $11.98. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does ConAgra Brands report earnings next?

ConAgra Brands is expected to report on Sep 30, 2026 (tomorrow). Analysts expect earnings of $0.28 per share on revenue of $2.59B. ConAgra Brands beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.4% on average across the report.

What is ConAgra Brands’s 52-week high and low?

ConAgra Brands’s 52-week high is $20.32 and its 52-week low is $12.53; it closed at $14.16 on Sep 28, 2026, −21.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $41.30 on Jan 9, 2023.

Is ConAgra Brands stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and smart money) and 4 as headwinds (trend, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in ConAgra Brands?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in ConAgra Brands over the last 30 days, with $266K of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 4, 2026 with $266K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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