NYSE: BKD

Brookdale Senior Living (BKD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$10.24+0.12 (+1.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Brookdale Senior Living moves this week on a string of third-quarter occupancy updates. The company reported weighted average consolidated occupancy reaching 83.1% in the third quarter, a 130 basis point year-over-year increase, with month-end occupancy reaching 84.6% and sequential gains of 70 basis points both consolidated and same-community. Despite the year-over-year and sequential improvement, shares slid 5.9% after the September occupancy update, as the figures reportedly fell slightly below market expectations, with RBC Capital Markets noting the sequential pace was slower than anticipated.

The stock closes at $10.24, up 1.2%, but remains below both its 50-day average of $11.94 and 200-day average of $13.39, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Returns are negative over one month (-15.7%) and three months (-27.8%), though still positive over one year (15.3%). The GekkoIndex reads 72.1, placing BKD in the Buying zone. Price sits 22.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.23.

Over the next 20 trading days, earnings are due 5 November 2026 after close, 24 days away, falling inside a typical holding window and following a prior reaction of -11.7% after the last report. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged +5.8% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst coverage from 4 firms stands at 4 buy ratings, with a consensus target of $19.25.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Brookdale Senior Living price vs fair value

$13.23$10.24Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $10.24200-day averageGekko Fair Value $13.23

Brookdale Senior Living quick facts

Market cap
$2.45B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
45.7
EPS, TTM
−$0.57
Revenue, TTM
$2.93B
Profit margin
-4.7%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.53
Volume
3.85M avg 5.25M
1-year return
+15.3%
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.1%
50-day average
$11.94
200-day average
$13.39
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
238.8M
52-week range
$8.02$17.09

Brookdale Senior Living swing-trade checklist

Brookdale Senior Living scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $10.24 is below the 50-day ($11.94) and 200-day ($13.39) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    72.1, Buying

    Reading 72.1 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    22.6% below

    Price is 22.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Brookdale Senior Living stock chart and price history

Brookdale Senior Living closed at $10.24 on Oct 12, 2026, +15.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.02 to $17.09.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Brookdale Senior Living share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$6$8$12$14$16NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct10.24

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−15.7%
3 months
−27.8%
6 months
−24.7%
1 year
+15.3%
The full BKD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BKD in Gekko

Follow Brookdale Senior Living through every session

Put BKD on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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Brookdale Senior Living GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Brookdale Senior Living’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 72.1, in the Buying zone, down 3.9 points over five sessions.

010072.1Buying

Down 3.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)50+1.2%+1.6%+1.5%−2.8%
Accumulation210+0.3%+0.6%+1.3%+5.8%
Neutral346+0.7%+1.6%+4.1%+9.0%
Distribution75+0.9%+1.4%+1.0%+7.5%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average BKD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BKD price, zone by zone.Track BKD in Gekko

Is Brookdale Senior Living stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Brookdale Senior Living trades 22.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.23, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Brookdale Senior Living shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$13.23

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

22.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 37.9% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$13$11Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BKD in Gekko

Brookdale Senior Living insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Brookdale Senior Living, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BKD in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BKD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BKD in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BKD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BKD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BKD in Gekko

Buybacks

Brookdale Senior Living has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$295K
As a share of market cap
0.01%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold BKD.

1added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Brookdale Senior Living earnings: next date and track record

Brookdale Senior Living reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.7%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−14.9%Nov ’24+2.4%Feb ’25−0.3%May ’25−9.5%Aug ’25+1.7%Nov ’25−10.2%Feb ’26−3.3%May ’26−11.7%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 10, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Brookdale Senior Living reported Q2 2026 consolidated RevPAR growth of 8.2% year-over-year, with RevPOR up 5.2% and occupancy at 82.4%, up 230 basis points year-over-year. Occupancy growth lagged expectations but July showed acceleration with 57 consecutive months of year-over-year gains. Management is executing a 5-point strategy focused on operating performance, portfolio optimization, capital reinvestment, deleveraging, and quality improvement.
Guidance
Full year 2026 guidance maintained at 8%-9% RevPAR growth and adjusted EBITDA of $502M-$516M. Management targets mid-teen annual adjusted EBITDA growth over several years and leverage below 6x by end of 2028.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 10, 2026$0.10
est −$0.04
+350.0%$718.6M
est $735.6M
−2.3%−11.7%
May 6, 2026−$0.02
est −$0.09
+77.8%$764.9M
est $771.2M
−0.8%−3.3%
Feb 18, 2026−$0.17
est −$0.16
−6.3%$754.1M
est $766.3M
−1.6%−10.2%
Nov 6, 2025−$0.20
est −$0.18
−11.1%$777.8M
est $770.5M
+1.0%+1.7%
Aug 6, 2025−$0.16
est −$0.14
−14.3%$812.9M
est $817.6M
−0.6%−9.5%
May 6, 2025−$0.28
est −$0.14
−100.0%$813.9M
est $816.9M
−0.4%−0.3%
Feb 18, 2025−$0.27
est −$0.24
−12.0%$780.9M
est $781.8M
−0.1%+2.4%
Nov 7, 2024−$0.22
est −$0.17
−29.4%$784.2M
est $784.2M
0.0%−14.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Brookdale Senior Living stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Brookdale Senior Living is $19.25, +88.0% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$19.25consensus 12-month target, +88.0% from the last close
Low $17High $23
Buy4
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 9BarclaysBuy, maintained$17+66.0%
Sep 30Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$19.50+90.4%
Sep 23Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$19.50+90.4%
Sep 17JefferiesBuy, maintained$23+124.6%
Sep 10BarclaysBuy, maintained$17+66.0%
+1.5%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+5.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Brookdale Senior Living seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Brookdale Senior Living averaged +5.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.0%2021−4.0%2022+6.8%2023−1.9%2024+9.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.8%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.2%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.8%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.8%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.4%2 of 5

For scale, BKD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.1%.

Brookdale Senior Living market cap and key statistics

Brookdale Senior Living’s market cap is $2.45B and revenue of $2.93B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.45B
Forward P/E
45.7
EPS, TTM
−$0.57
Gekko Fair Value
$13.23

Trading

Volume
3.85M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.25M
52-week high
$17.09
52-week low
$8.02
Shares outstanding
238.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.93B
Profit margin
-4.7%
Return on equity
-349.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.53
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.1%

Brookdale Senior Living stock news this week

Coverage of Brookdale Senior Living this week reads positive: 7 positive, 3 neutral and 3 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Brookdale Senior Living peers

Brookdale Senior Living’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
HCAHCA Healthcare+1.8%Neutral18.9% above
THCTenet Healthcare+1.7%Neutral6.7% below
UHSUniversal Health Services+0.7%Neutral21.4% below
PACSPACS+2.6%Neutral11.0% below
CHEChemed−0.2%Accumulation7.7% below
NHCNational HealthCare+1.3%Neutral30.5% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Brookdale Senior Living stock FAQ

What is Brookdale Senior Living’s market cap?

Brookdale Senior Living’s market cap is $2.45B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $10.24, with 238.8M shares outstanding.

What is the Brookdale Senior Living stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Brookdale Senior Living is $19.25, +88.0% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Brookdale Senior Living stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Brookdale Senior Living is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $10.24 is 22.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.23. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Brookdale Senior Living report earnings next?

Brookdale Senior Living is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.03 per share on revenue of $721.8M. Brookdale Senior Living beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.7% on average across the report.

What is Brookdale Senior Living’s 52-week high and low?

Brookdale Senior Living’s 52-week high is $17.09 and its 52-week low is $8.02; it closed at $10.24 on Oct 12, 2026, +15.3% over the past year.

Is Brookdale Senior Living stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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