NYSE: ARDT

Ardent Health (ARDT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$11.53+0.23 (+2.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's attention centers on analyst activity around Ardent Health. RBC Capital's Ben Hendrix reaffirmed a Buy rating with a $13.00 price target following his October 7 analysis, while BMO Capital initiated coverage with a Hold rating and Truist Financial issued a Buy rating. Separately, ARDT drew a comparison against OPKO Health across profitability, valuation, analyst recommendations and institutional ownership.

ARDT closed at $11.53, up 2%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $10.87 and its 200-day average of $9.77, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at 5%, its three-month return at 17.7%, and its six-month return at 24.4%, though the one-year return remains at -19.6%. The GekkoIndex reads 46.1, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 14.4 over the past five readings. Gekko Fair Value is set at $18.92, putting the current price 39.1% below that level.

Looking ahead, Ardent Health's next earnings report is scheduled for 11 November 2026, 29 days out, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior quarter saw an EPS of $0.32 against an estimate of $0.35, with a reaction of 0.3%, and the company has beaten estimates in 6 of its last 8 quarters. Consensus among 9 firms shows 5 Buy, 3 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings, with a consensus target of $12.67. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Ardent Health price vs fair value

▲$18.92$11.53Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $11.53200-day averageGekko Fair Value $18.92

Ardent Health quick facts

Market cap
$1.65B
P/E ratio
20.2
Forward P/E
9.5
EPS, TTM
$0.54
Revenue, TTM
$6.41B
Profit margin
1.2%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.72
Volume
563,577 avg 451,366
1-year return
−19.6%
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7.3%
50-day average
$10.87
200-day average
$9.77
Next earnings
Nov 11
Shares outstanding
141.0M
52-week range
$7.71$15.48

Ardent Health swing-trade checklist

Ardent Health scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $11.53 is above the 50-day ($10.87) and 200-day ($9.77) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    46.1, Neutral

    Reading 46.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    39.1% below

    Price is 39.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Nov 11, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ardent Health stock chart and price history

Ardent Health closed at $11.53 on Oct 12, 2026, −19.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $7.71 to $15.48.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Ardent Health share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$8$10$14NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct11.53

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+5.0%
3 months
+17.7%
6 months
+24.4%
1 year
−19.6%
The full ARDT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ARDT in Gekko

Follow Ardent Health through every session

Put ARDT on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Ardent Health

Ardent Health runs a collection of hospitals and clinics across the United States, delivering patient care that spans both inpatient stays and outpatient visits. Its medical offerings cover a broad range of fields, among them internal medicine, surgery, heart care, cancer treatment, orthopedics, women's health, neurology, urology and emergency medicine. The company is widely recognized for combining acute hospital care with a wider network of community-based health facilities.

Beyond its hospital campuses, Ardent Health maintains a system of outpatient sites that includes primary and specialty clinics, surgical centers, urgent care locations, standalone emergency rooms, and imaging facilities, along with telehealth options for patients seeking remote consultations. Its hospital holdings extend to rehabilitation and surgical facilities as well as general acute care centers, reflecting a mix of specialized and broad-based medical services. The company operates as a subsidiary of EGI-AM Investments, L.L.C.

Headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee, Ardent Health traces its founding back to 2001 and previously operated under the name Ardent Health Partners before adopting its current title in June 2025. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ARDT.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Health services
Industry
Hospital/Nursing management
Website
ardenthealth.com

Ardent Health GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ardent Health’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 46.1, in the Neutral zone, down 14.4 points over five sessions.

010046.1Neutral

Down 14.4 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+1.1%+1.8%+9.1%+9.4%
Accumulation222+0.8%+1.5%+2.1%+2.2%
Neutral (current zone)289−0.8%−1.8%−3.0%−7.4%
Distribution21−1.4%−3.1%−8.6%−14.9%
Selling0Not available

Average ARDT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ARDT price, zone by zone.Track ARDT in Gekko

Is Ardent Health stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ardent Health trades 39.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.92, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ardent Health shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$18.92

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

39.1% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$19$11Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ARDT in Gekko

Ardent Health insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ardent Health, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ARDT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ARDT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARDT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ARDT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ARDT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARDT in Gekko

Buybacks

Ardent Health has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$13.03M
As a share of market cap
0.79%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold ARDT.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Ardent Health earnings: next date and track record

Ardent Health reports on Nov 11, 2026 (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.3%average move across the report
5 of 7reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.0%Aug ’24−2.8%Nov ’24+4.9%Feb ’25+7.9%May ’25+9.6%Aug ’25−33.8%Nov ’25+0.3%Mar ’26

Last earnings call, Mar 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ardent Health reported record 2025 full-year revenue of $6.3 billion (up 6%), adjusted EBITDA growth of 9% with 20bps margin expansion, and operating cash flow of $471 million (up 49% YoY). Q4 showed stability in professional fees and payer denial pressures. The IMPACT program drove SWB expenses down 0.4% YoY in Q4, contract labor fell 26% to $17M, and balance sheet strengthened with cash exceeding $700M and leverage reduced to 2.5x.
Guidance
Management raised IMPACT program annualized savings target from $40M to approximately $55M, expecting run-rate entering 2026. Operating performance traction is expected to further ramp throughout 2026.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Mar 4, 2026$0.32
est $0.35
−8.0%$1.61B
est $1.63B
−1.6%+0.3%
Nov 12, 2025$0.52
est $0.42
+22.6%$1.58B
est $1.55B
+1.8%−33.8%
Aug 5, 2025$0.52
est $0.30
+73.3%$1.65B
est $1.63B
+0.7%+9.6%
May 6, 2025$0.29
est $0.21
+38.1%$1.50B
est $1.50B
0.0%+7.9%
Feb 26, 2025$0.81
est $0.50
+62.0%$1.61B
est $1.50B
+7.3%+4.9%
Nov 6, 2024$0.17
est $0.30
−43.3%$1.45B
est $1.45B
−0.2%−2.8%
Aug 14, 2024$0.34
est $0.30
+13.3%$1.47B
est $1.46B
+0.7%+6.0%
May 29, 2024$0.21
est $0.00
————

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ardent Health stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ardent Health is $12.67, +9.9% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$12.67consensus 12-month target, +9.9% from the last close
Low $10High $14
Buy5
Hold3
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 30Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Sep 22BMO CapitalHold, initiated$11−4.6%
Sep 17Leerink PartnersBuy, reiterated——
Aug 10Goldman SachsHold, maintained$13+12.7%
Aug 10Bank of America SecuritiesSell, reiterated$10−13.3%
−3.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ardent Health market cap and key statistics

Ardent Health’s market cap is $1.65B, with a P/E ratio of 20.2 and revenue of $6.41B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.65B
P/E ratio
20.2
Forward P/E
9.5
EPS, TTM
$0.54
Gekko Fair Value
$18.92

Trading

Volume
563,577
Avg volume, 20 days
451,366
52-week high
$15.48
52-week low
$7.71
Shares outstanding
141.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$6.41B
Profit margin
1.2%
Return on equity
10%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−77.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.72
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7.3%

Ardent Health stock news this week

2 headlines about Ardent Health from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Ardent Health peers

Ardent Health’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
HCAHCA Healthcare+1.8%Neutral18.9% above
THCTenet Healthcare+1.7%Neutral6.7% below
UHSUniversal Health Services+0.7%Neutral21.4% below
PACSPACS+2.6%Neutral11.0% below
CHEChemed−0.2%Accumulation7.7% below
NHCNational HealthCare+1.3%Neutral30.5% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Ardent Health stock FAQ

What is Ardent Health’s market cap?

Ardent Health’s market cap is $1.65B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.53, with 141.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.2.

What is the Ardent Health stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ardent Health is $12.67, +9.9% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ardent Health stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ardent Health is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.53 is 39.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.92. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ardent Health report earnings next?

Ardent Health is expected to report on Nov 11, 2026 (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.24 per share on revenue of $1.60B. Ardent Health beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.3% on average across the report.

What is Ardent Health’s 52-week high and low?

Ardent Health’s 52-week high is $15.48 and its 52-week low is $7.71; it closed at $11.53 on Oct 12, 2026, −19.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $20.72 on Oct 16, 2024.

Is Ardent Health stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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