NYSE: AWI

Armstrong World Industries (AWI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$164.75+1.94 (+1.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Armstrong World Industries has drawn analyst attention this week, with Argus raising its target price to $156.00 against a then-current price of $162.81. Coverage also pointed back to Q2 2026 results, with adjusted EPS of $2.36 and net sales of $472 million, both ahead of consensus, alongside fiscal 2026 EPS guidance set at $8.30 to $8.50. Analysts overall maintain a consensus rating described as "Moderate Buy," with one report citing a price target of $213.25.

AWI closed at $164.75, up 1.2%, but remains below both its 50-day average of $171.14 and its 200-day average of $172.72, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 59.2, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 8.8 points over the past five sessions. Price sits 8% below Gekko Fair Value of $178.98.

Armstrong World Industries next reports earnings on 27 October 2026, 28 days out, which falls inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Its last report on 28 July 2026 produced a 5.6% reaction, and the stock has beaten estimates in 6 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 6.3%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.8% gain over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Armstrong World Industries price vs fair value

$178.98$164.75Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $164.75200-day averageGekko Fair Value $178.98

Armstrong World Industries quick facts

Market cap
$6.96B
P/E ratio
22.4
Forward P/E
17.1
EPS, TTM
$7.31
Revenue, TTM
$1.70B
Profit margin
18.6%
Dividend yield
0.83%
Beta
1.16
Volume
400,524 avg 365,171
1-year return
−14.3%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.7%
50-day average
$171.14
200-day average
$172.72
Next earnings
Oct 27
Shares outstanding
42.26M
52-week range
$150.28$206.08

Armstrong World Industries swing-trade checklist

Armstrong World Industries scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $164.75 is below the 50-day ($171.14) and 200-day ($172.72) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.2, Neutral

    Reading 59.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    8.0% below

    Price is 8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 28 days

    Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Armstrong World Industries stock chart and price history

Armstrong World Industries closed at $164.75 on Sep 28, 2026, −14.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $150.28 to $206.08.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Armstrong World Industries share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$150$160$170$180$190$200NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep164.75

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.2%
3 months
+3.3%
6 months
+1.6%
1 year
−14.3%
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Armstrong World Industries GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Armstrong World Industries’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.2, in the Neutral zone, down 8.8 points over five sessions.

010059.2Neutral

Down 8.8 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+0.7%−0.2%+1.4%−0.3%
Accumulation212+0.5%+1.7%+3.4%+5.9%
Neutral (current zone)371+0.3%+0.6%+1.0%+3.1%
Distribution62+0.9%+0.6%+2.1%+5.3%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average AWI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AWI price, zone by zone.Track AWI in Gekko

Is Armstrong World Industries stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Armstrong World Industries trades 8.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $178.98, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Armstrong World Industries shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$178.98

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 25, 2026

8.0% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AWI in Gekko

Armstrong World Industries insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Armstrong World Industries, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AWI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AWI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AWI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AWI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AWI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AWI in Gekko

Buybacks

Armstrong World Industries has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$800.0M, Jul 28, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$76.80M
As a share of market cap
1.10%
Trailing four quarters
$222.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold AWI.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Armstrong World Industries earnings: next date and track record

Armstrong World Industries reports on Oct 27, 2026 (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.2%Oct ’24+4.5%Feb ’25+4.4%Apr ’25+12.5%Jul ’25−5.3%Oct ’25−10.7%Feb ’26−5.0%Apr ’26+5.6%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Armstrong World Industries reported record net sales and adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026, with net sales up 11% and adjusted EBITDA up 8% year-over-year; adjusted diluted EPS rose 13%. Both Mineral Fiber (net sales +8%; AUV +6%; volume +2%) and Architectural Specialties (net sales +17%; organic growth ~9%) contributed. Management highlighted continued momentum in higher-end Mineral Fiber products (SWAT), strong intake and pipeline in Architectural Specialties (fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit intake), successful integration of recent AS acquisitions (Evenscape, Paraline, Geometric, Zahner), and increasing traction in data centers and transportation verticals. Operational productivity, AUV pricing/mix, and WAVE JV equity earnings contributed to margin performance, partially offset by freight, raw material and steel cost inflation and SG&A investments to support growth initiatives. Management raised the midpoint of revenue guidance (~$20M increase at midpoint) and reiterated balanced capital allocation (M&A, reinvestment, opportunistic buybacks).
Guidance
Company increased revenue guidance (approx. $20 million increase at the midpoint of the range). WAVE equity earnings expected to grow mid-single-digits. Full-year SG&A margin expected ~20% (company target sub-20% long-term). Input cost outlook: freight expected mid-teens inflation for the year, energy low-single-digits, raw materials low-single-digits; overall input cost inflation mid-single-digits for the full year. No additional AIPA/IEPA refunds expected in the back half.
Risks flagged
Macroeconomic uncertainty and muted market conditions; freight and steel/raw material inflation (notably higher freight and steel costs); potential integration and SG&A pressure from recent acquisitions; channel lumpy behavior (home center/flow business); competition and fragmentation in data center market; general execution risk on growth initiatives and potential tariff/regulatory uncertainty.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 28, 2026$2.36
est $2.33
+1.3%$472.0M
est $461.7M
+2.2%+5.6%
Apr 28, 2026$1.69
est $1.81
−6.6%$410.0M
est $409.5M
+0.1%−5.0%
Feb 24, 2026$1.61
est $1.67
−3.6%$388.3M
est $400.9M
−3.1%−10.7%
Oct 28, 2025$2.05
est $1.99
+3.0%$425.2M
est $400.9M
+6.1%−5.3%
Jul 29, 2025$2.09
est $1.78
+17.4%$424.6M
est $421.8M
+0.7%+12.5%
Apr 29, 2025$1.66
est $1.53
+8.5%$382.7M
est $402.0M
−4.8%+4.4%
Feb 25, 2025$1.50
est $1.38
+8.3%$367.7M
est $365.0M
+0.7%+4.5%
Oct 29, 2024$1.81
est $1.75
+3.4%$386.6M
est $351.5M
+10.0%+2.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Armstrong World Industries stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Armstrong World Industries is $210.18, +27.6% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$210.18consensus 12-month target, +27.6% from the last close
Low $203High $220
Buy5
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 8Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Sep 1D.A. DavidsonBuy, reiterated$215+30.5%
Aug 24D.A. DavidsonBuy, initiated$215+30.5%
Aug 21J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$220+33.5%
Jul 29Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$212+28.7%
+1.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Armstrong World Industries seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Armstrong World Industries averaged +3.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.1%2021+2.8%2022+5.8%2023+7.4%2024+4.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.8%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.1%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.8%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.5%3 of 5

For scale, AWI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.7%.

Armstrong World Industries market cap and key statistics

Armstrong World Industries’s market cap is $6.96B, with a P/E ratio of 22.4 and revenue of $1.70B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$6.96B
P/E ratio
22.4
Forward P/E
17.1
EPS, TTM
$7.31
Gekko Fair Value
$178.98

Trading

Volume
400,524
Avg volume, 20 days
365,171
52-week high
$206.08
52-week low
$150.28
Shares outstanding
42.26M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.70B
Profit margin
18.6%
Return on equity
36.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+12.4%

Risk and income

Beta
1.16
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.7%
Dividend yield
0.83%

Armstrong World Industries stock news this week

Coverage of Armstrong World Industries this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Armstrong World Industries peers

Armstrong World Industries’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
WMSAdvanced Drainage Systems−0.6%Accumulation11.0% below
BRCBrady+0.6%Accumulation17.5% below
YETIYETI+3.6%Neutral8.5% above
LCIILCI Industries+1.7%Accumulation24.7% below
MYEMyers Industries+0.7%Neutral2.6% below
DAKTDaktronics+0.8%Accumulation20.4% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Armstrong World Industries stock FAQ

What is Armstrong World Industries’s market cap?

Armstrong World Industries’s market cap is $6.96B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $164.75, with 42.26M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 22.4.

What is the Armstrong World Industries stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Armstrong World Industries is $210.18, +27.6% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Armstrong World Industries stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Armstrong World Industries is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $164.75 is 8.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $178.98. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Armstrong World Industries report earnings next?

Armstrong World Industries is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026 (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.39 per share on revenue of $472.6M. Armstrong World Industries beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.3% on average across the report.

What is Armstrong World Industries’s 52-week high and low?

Armstrong World Industries’s 52-week high is $206.08 and its 52-week low is $150.28; it closed at $164.75 on Sep 28, 2026, −14.3% over the past year.

Is Armstrong World Industries stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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