Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ASML in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ASML insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ASML in Gekko
ASML (ASML) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$1,679.92+50.25 (+3.1%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryASML closes at $1679.92, up 3.1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $1722.15 and 200-day average of $1509.47, with a 1-month return of -4.1% against a 1-year return of 92.6%. The GekkoIndex reads 61.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price remains 24.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $1352.72.
Coverage this week centers on ASML's dominance in lithography and the durability of its Installed Base Management business, which surged 31.8% on upgrades and a growing EUV fleet, with sustaining growth said to hinge on customer demand. Several pieces frame ASML alongside Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing as the two picks-and-shovels plays behind the AI chip buildout, while another notes Canon and Nikon carving out positions in chip manufacturing. A separate piece pairs ASML with Lam Research as semi-cap equipment names tied to Moore's Law, with a countervailing view warning of chip-sector volatility and possible regulatory scrutiny.
Looking ahead, ASML reports earnings on 14 October 2026, before the open, 24 days out and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter beat estimates with EPS of EUR 7.59 against EUR 7.98 guidance context and a 0.5% reaction. Options activity shows 1 unusual signal in the last 30 days, with call premium of $11,987,195 against put premium of $6,642,380. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -4.7% across 5 years, higher in 2 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the earnings date.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $1,679.92200-day averageGekko Fair Value $1,352.72
Key stats
- Market cap
- $647.5B
- P/E ratio
- 59.9
- Forward P/E
- 28.9
- EPS, TTM
- $28.88
- Revenue, TTM
- $35.33B
- Profit margin
- 30.1%
- Dividend yield
- 0.52%
- Beta
- 1.36
- Volume
- 2.47M avg 1.20M
- 1-year return
- +92.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.8%
- 50-day average
- $1,722.15
- 200-day average
- $1,509.47
- Next earnings
- Oct 14 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 384.1M
ASML swing-trade checklist
ASML scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed3 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $1679.92 sits between the 50-day ($1722.15) and 200-day ($1509.47) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
61.1, Accumulation
Reading 61.1 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
24.2% above
Price is 24.2% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 24 days
Reports on Oct 14, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−4.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −4.7% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
ASML stock chart and price history
ASML closed at $1,679.92 on Sep 18, 2026, +92.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $916.03 to $1,999.96.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −4.1%
- 3 months
- −12.9%
- 6 months
- +22.9%
- 1 year
- +92.6%
The full ASML chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ASML in Gekko
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About ASML
ASML makes the machinery that chipmakers rely on to print circuit patterns onto silicon wafers. Its core business is lithography systems, including extreme ultraviolet and deep ultraviolet machines, alongside metrology and inspection tools such as its YieldStar platform and electron-beam solutions used to check wafer quality and spot chip defects. The company is best known for supplying this equipment to producers of a wide range of semiconductor types.
Beyond building new systems, ASML refurbishes and upgrades existing lithography equipment and provides software, computational lithography tools, and ongoing customer support. Its customers are semiconductor manufacturers, who use this combined hardware, software, and service offering to fabricate integrated circuit patterns. The company's reach extends across Asia, including Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, and China, as well as Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States.
Headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands, ASML was founded in 1984 and originally traded as ASM Lithography Holding N.V. before adopting its current name in 2001. Shares of the New York registry stock trade under the ticker ASML.
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Website
- asml.com
ASML GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
ASML’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.4 points over five sessions.
61.1Accumulation
Up 0.4 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 17 | +3.8% | +2.5% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 164 | +1.0% | +2.3% | ||
| Neutral | 392 | +0.2% | +2.3% | ||
| Distribution | 42 | +2.4% | +6.2% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average ASML share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ASML price, zone by zone.Track ASML in Gekko
Is ASML stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
ASML trades 24.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $1,352.72, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what ASML shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$1,352.72
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 11, 2026
24.2% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ASML in Gekko
ASML insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ASML, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ASML were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ASML, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ASML in Gekko
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 64% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 5, $18.63M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
9of the funds Gekko tracks hold ASML.
3added2opened4trimmed3sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
ASML earnings: next date and track record
ASML reports on Oct 14, 2026, before the open (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 14, 2026
Expected before the open, 24 days away
- EPS estimate
- $11.81
- Revenue estimate
- $13.06B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 15, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- ASML reported Q2 2026 net sales of EUR 9.3 billion, exceeding guidance driven by EUR 2.8 billion in Installed Base Management sales (EUR 300M above guidance). EUV system sales reached EUR 3.8 billion with logic/memory split at 51%/49%. Gross margin came in at 54%, above guidance, supported by high-margin upgrade business. Net income was EUR 2.9 billion (31.3% margin), with EPS of EUR 7.59 and free cash flow of EUR 1.3 billion.
- Guidance
- Q3 2026 net sales guided at EUR 11-12 billion with gross margin of 55-57%. Full year 2026 guidance raised to EUR 43-45 billion in total net sales with gross margin of 54-56%, citing strong customer demand and increased capex plans from leading-edge chipmakers.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | $8.81 est $7.98 | $10.67B est $10.24B | +0.5% |
| Apr 15, 2026 | $7.15 est $6.62 | $10.34B est $10.10B | −7.1% |
| Jan 28, 2026 | $7.34 est $8.60 | $11.61B est $11.19B | 0.0% |
| Oct 15, 2025 | $5.48 est $5.42 | — | +3.7% |
| Jul 16, 2025 | $4.55 est $5.94 | $9.01B est $8.79B | −9.5% |
| Apr 16, 2025 | $6.31 est $6.12 | $8.49B est $8.92B | −6.3% |
| Jan 29, 2025 | $7.30 est $7.41 | $9.59B est $7.62B | +7.8% |
| Oct 15, 2024 | $5.28 est $4.87 | — | −21.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
ASML stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for ASML is $2,169.73, +29.2% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$2,169.73consensus 12-month target, +29.2% from the last close
Now $1,679.92Avg $2,169.73
Low $2,100High $2,859
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
| Aug 11 | Bank of America Securities | $2,829.13 | +68.4% |
| Jul 28 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
| Jul 20 | Bernstein | $2,859 | +70.2% |
| Jul 20 | Bernstein | $2,859 | +70.2% |
+2.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−4.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
ASML seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, ASML averaged −4.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.4% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −2.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −3.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −4.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −0.5% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, ASML’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.8%.
ASML market cap and key statistics
ASML’s market cap is $647.5B, with a P/E ratio of 59.9 and revenue of $35.33B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $647.5B
- P/E ratio
- 59.9
- Forward P/E
- 28.9
- EPS, TTM
- $28.88
- Gekko Fair Value
- $1,352.72
Trading
- Volume
- 2.47M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.20M
- 52-week high
- $1,999.96
- 52-week low
- $916.03
- Shares outstanding
- 384.1M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $35.33B
- Profit margin
- 30.1%
- Return on equity
- 53.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +28.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.36
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.8%
- Dividend yield
- 0.52%
ASML stock news this week
6 headlines about ASML from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- From ASML to Nvidia: Navigating the AI Chip BoomSchwab Network, Sep 18
- ASML Rides on Strength in Installed Base Business: Will it Sustain?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 18
- Chasing ASML's Dominance: Canon and Nikon Are Doing Something The Market Misses24/7 Wall Street, Sep 17
- ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should KnowZacks Investment Research, Sep 17
- ASML Vs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing: One Is More Misunderstood24/7 Wall Street, Sep 16
- ASML vs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing: Which Tech Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?The Motley Fool, Sep 16
ASML stock FAQ
What is ASML’s market cap?
ASML’s market cap is $647.5B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $1,679.92, with 384.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 59.9.
What is the ASML stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for ASML is $2,169.73, +29.2% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is ASML stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate ASML is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $1,679.92 is 24.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $1,352.72. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does ASML report earnings next?
ASML is expected to report on Oct 14, 2026, before the market opens (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $11.81 per share on revenue of $13.06B. ASML beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.1% on average across the report.
What is ASML’s 52-week high and low?
ASML’s 52-week high is $1,999.96 and its 52-week low is $916.03; it closed at $1,679.92 on Sep 18, 2026, +92.6% over the past year.
Is ASML stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and smart money), 1 as mixed (trend) and 3 as headwinds (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in ASML?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in ASML over the last 30 days, with $11.99M of flagged premium in calls and $6.64M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 5, 2026 with $18.63M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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