Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ASML in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ASML insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ASML in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeASML shares move this week amid continued attention on its position in AI-driven chipmaking demand, with comparisons drawn to Taiwan Semiconductor as a rival in advanced lithography and foundry capacity. Coverage also notes the stock's 48.1% rise over the past year, attributed to strong AI infrastructure investment and ASML's EUV lithography dominance. Separately, the company reported share buyback transactions conducted between October 26 and October 30 under its current repurchase program, announced on 28 January 2026.
ASML closed at $1,496.30, down 3.6%, with the price sitting between its 50-day average of $1,691.24 and 200-day average of $1,600.02, reflecting a mixed trend. The stock's one-month return stands at -18.4% and its three-month return at -12.2%, though the one-year return remains positive at 40.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 66, placing it in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 8.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $1,628.84.
Looking ahead, ASML's next earnings report is scheduled for 27 January 2027, 83 days away, placing it outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the past 90 days, Congressional activity shows 1 buy and 0 sales. Seasonality data shows that from this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 8.8% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of those years. Analyst sentiment includes 6 buy ratings, 1 sell, and a consensus target of $2,145.62 among 7 firms.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
ASML price vs fair value
Close $1,496.30200-day averageGekko Fair Value $1,628.84
ASML quick facts
- Market cap
- $576.7B
- P/E ratio
- 37.6
- Forward P/E
- 24.4
- EPS, TTM
- $40.64
- Revenue, TTM
- $39.47B
- Profit margin
- 34.1%
- Dividend yield
- 0.61%
- Beta
- 1.33
- Volume
- 1.97M avg 1.58M
- 1-year return
- +40.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.6%
- 50-day average
- $1,691.24
- 200-day average
- $1,600.02
- Next earnings
- Jan 27 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 385.4M
ASML swing-trade checklist
ASML scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $1496.30 sits between the 50-day ($1691.24) and 200-day ($1600.02) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
66, Accumulation
Reading 66 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
8.1% below
Price is 8.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 83 days
Next report Jan 27, 2027, 83 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+8.8% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +8.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
ASML stock chart and price history
ASML closed at $1,496.30 on Nov 4, 2026, +40.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $946.11 to $1,999.96.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −18.4%
- 3 months
- −12.2%
- 6 months
- −3.1%
- 1 year
- +40.3%
The full ASML chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ASML in Gekko
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About ASML
ASML makes the machinery that chipmakers rely on to print circuit patterns onto silicon wafers. Its core business is lithography systems, including extreme ultraviolet and deep ultraviolet machines, alongside metrology and inspection tools such as its YieldStar platform and electron-beam solutions used to check wafer quality and spot chip defects. The company is best known for supplying this equipment to producers of a wide range of semiconductor types.
Beyond building new systems, ASML refurbishes and upgrades existing lithography equipment and provides software, computational lithography tools, and ongoing customer support. Its customers are semiconductor manufacturers, who use this combined hardware, software, and service offering to fabricate integrated circuit patterns. The company's reach extends across Asia, including Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, and China, as well as Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States.
Headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands, ASML was founded in 1984 and originally traded as ASM Lithography Holding N.V. before adopting its current name in 2001. Shares of the New York registry stock trade under the ticker ASML.
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Website
- asml.com
ASML GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
ASML’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66, in the Accumulation zone, up 7.3 points over five sessions.
66Accumulation
Up 7.3 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 17 | +3.8% | +2.5% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 180 | +1.0% | +2.6% | ||
| Neutral | 411 | 0.0% | +1.8% | ||
| Distribution | 42 | +2.4% | +6.2% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average ASML share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ASML price, zone by zone.Track ASML in Gekko
Is ASML stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
ASML trades 8.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $1,628.84, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what ASML shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$1,628.84
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
8.1% Undervalued
At the end of Sep 2026 the price was 9.2% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ASML in Gekko
ASML insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ASML, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Michael McCaul House, TX, purchase | $15,001 - $50,000 | Oct 16 traded Aug 7 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
9of the funds Gekko tracks hold ASML.
3added2opened4trimmed3sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
ASML earnings: next date and track record
ASML reports on Jan 27, 2027, before the open (83 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Jan 27, 2027
Expected before the open, 83 days away
- EPS estimate
- $16.61
- Revenue estimate
- $16.34B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Oct 14, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- ASML reported record Q3 2026 total net sales of €11.7 billion, with gross margin of 57.5% above guidance. Net income reached €5.0 billion (€12.95 EPS), including ~€500M from Mistral AI investment revaluation. EUV system sales were €4.1 billion; installed base management exceeded guidance by €400 million. Free cash flow was €11.4 billion, with €4.1 billion in share buybacks completed during the quarter.
- Guidance
- Q4 2026 net sales guided at €14.2–€15.2 billion with ~57% gross margin. Full year 2026 revenue expected at €44–€45 billion (~36% YoY growth), with ~56% gross margin, driven by 45%+ EUV growth and ~75% memory system sales growth.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | $14.47 est $12.18 | $12.97B est $13.14B | −3.5% |
| Jul 15, 2026 | $8.81 est $7.98 | $10.67B est $10.24B | +0.5% |
| Apr 15, 2026 | $7.15 est $6.62 | $10.34B est $10.10B | −7.1% |
| Jan 28, 2026 | $7.34 est $8.60 | $11.61B est $11.19B | 0.0% |
| Oct 15, 2025 | $5.48 est $5.42 | — | +3.7% |
| Jul 16, 2025 | $4.55 est $5.94 | $9.01B est $8.79B | −9.5% |
| Apr 16, 2025 | $6.31 est $6.12 | $8.49B est $8.92B | −6.3% |
| Jan 29, 2025 | $7.30 est $7.41 | $9.59B est $7.62B | +7.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
ASML stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for ASML is $2,145.62, +43.4% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$2,145.62consensus 12-month target, +43.4% from the last close
Now $1,496.30Avg $2,145.62
Low $749High $2,815.33
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | JLPascual | $749 | −49.9% |
| Oct 16 | DBS | $2,394.21 | +60.0% |
| Oct 16 | Bernstein | $2,807.47 | +87.6% |
| Oct 15 | J.P. Morgan | $2,350 | +57.1% |
| Oct 14 | RBC Capital | $2,100 | +40.3% |
+2.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+8.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
ASML seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, ASML averaged +8.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +4.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +6.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +8.8% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +6.6% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, ASML’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.6%.
ASML market cap and key statistics
ASML’s market cap is $576.7B, with a P/E ratio of 37.6 and revenue of $39.47B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $576.7B
- P/E ratio
- 37.6
- Forward P/E
- 24.4
- EPS, TTM
- $40.64
- Gekko Fair Value
- $1,628.84
Trading
- Volume
- 1.97M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.58M
- 52-week high
- $1,999.96
- 52-week low
- $946.11
- Shares outstanding
- 385.4M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $39.47B
- Profit margin
- 34.1%
- Return on equity
- 65.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +135.9%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.33
- Typical daily move
- ±4.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.6%
- Dividend yield
- 0.61%
ASML stock news this week
Coverage of ASML this week reads neutral: 5 positive, 7 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on ItZacks Investment Research, Nov 4
- Better AI Semiconductor Monopoly Stock: Taiwan Semiconductor vs. ASMLThe Motley Fool, Nov 4
- ASML Surges 48% in the Past Year: How Should You Play the Stock Now?TradingView, Nov 3
- ASML Holding N.V. (ASMF.F) Seasonal returns chartYahoo Finance UK, Nov 3
- 651 ASML Holding N.V. $ASML Shares Purchased by Asset Management One Co. Ltd.Defense World, Nov 3
- ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback programYahoo Finance UK, Nov 2
ASML stock FAQ
What is ASML’s market cap?
ASML’s market cap is $576.7B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $1,496.30, with 385.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 37.6.
What is the ASML stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for ASML is $2,145.62, +43.4% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is ASML stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate ASML is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $1,496.30 is 8.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $1,628.84. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does ASML report earnings next?
ASML is expected to report on Jan 27, 2027, before the market opens (83 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $16.61 per share on revenue of $16.34B. ASML beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.8% on average across the report.
What is ASML’s 52-week high and low?
ASML’s 52-week high is $1,999.96 and its 52-week low is $946.11; it closed at $1,496.30 on Nov 4, 2026, +40.3% over the past year.
Is ASML stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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