Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AADX in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every AADX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AADX in Gekko
NYSE: AADX
Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$10.77−0.68 (−5.9%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeAADX continued its slide this week, touching a new 52-week low of $11.25 and closing at $10.77, down 5.9%. The move follows a quarterly earnings miss, with the company reporting an EPS loss against an estimated profit, triggering a reaction of -8.7% at the time. Despite this, analyst sentiment has stayed largely positive: Jefferies reiterated its Buy rating while trimming its target price to $20, and the broader consensus remains a "Moderate Buy" with an average target cited at $24.67. A Form 4 filing and an RSU grant to the Chief Accounting Officer were also noted but are administrative in nature.
The stock trades well below its 50-day moving average of $14.43, with one-month returns of -11.7% and three-month returns of -44%. The GekkoIndex reads 67.1, placing AADX in the Accumulation zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $18.06, leaving the current price 40.4% below that mark.
No confirmed earnings date is on the calendar following the last report on 12 August, so near-term catalysts are less defined. There is no insider, Congress, or unusual options activity recorded in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Given a typical 20-day move of 11.8% for this stock, volatility around the current price level is worth noting, as is the wide gap between price and the analyst consensus target of $24.25.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Applied Aerospace & Defense price vs fair value
Close $10.77Gekko Fair Value $18.06
Applied Aerospace & Defense quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.84B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 30.2
- EPS, TTM
- −$1.42
- Revenue, TTM
- $575.9M
- Profit margin
- -30.2%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- —
- Volume
- 2.02M avg 2.24M
- 1-year return
- —
- Typical daily move
- ±6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±11.8%
- 50-day average
- $14.43
- 200-day average
- —
- Next earnings
- —
- Shares outstanding
- 172.4M
Applied Aerospace & Defense swing-trade checklist
Applied Aerospace & Defense scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 2 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive0 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendno data
No data
Not enough price history for both moving averages.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
67.1, Accumulation
Reading 67.1 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
40.4% below
Price is 40.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskno data
No data
No confirmed report date on the calendar.
See earnings - Seasonalityno data
No data
Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Applied Aerospace & Defense stock chart and price history
Applied Aerospace & Defense closed at $10.77 on Oct 12, 2026, inside a 52-week range of $10.71 to $24.24.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −11.7%
- 3 months
- −44.0%
The full AADX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AADX in Gekko
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About Applied Aerospace & Defense
Applied Aerospace & Defense builds manufactured components and systems for customers tied to spacecraft and launch vehicles, military aircraft and airborne platforms, and advanced command, control and precision-strike technology. Its work supports programs across these specialized defense and aerospace markets rather than a single product category.
The business is organized around these three areas of focus, matching its production capabilities to the needs of each market it serves. This points to a customer base concentrated among defense and aerospace program buyers rather than general commercial clients.
The company traces its founding to October 7, 2022, and keeps its main offices in Huntsville, Alabama. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker AADX.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Website
- applied-ad.com
Applied Aerospace & Defense GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Applied Aerospace & Defense’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.1, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.4 points over five sessions.
67.1Accumulation
Down 0.4 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 19 | −1.8% | −4.4% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 39 | +1.5% | −8.4% | ||
| Neutral | 24 | −7.3% | −20.1% | ||
| Distribution | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AADX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AADX price, zone by zone.Track AADX in Gekko
Is Applied Aerospace & Defense stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Applied Aerospace & Defense trades 40.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.06, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Applied Aerospace & Defense shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$18.06
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
40.4% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 42.3% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AADX in Gekko
Applied Aerospace & Defense insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Applied Aerospace & Defense, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AADX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AADX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AADX in Gekko
Applied Aerospace & Defense earnings: next date and track record
Applied Aerospace & Defense beat the EPS estimate in 0 of its last 1 report, moving 8.7% on average across the report.
0 of 1reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.7%average move across the report
0 of 1reports followed by a gain
Last earnings call, Aug 12, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX) reported record Q2 2026 revenue of $167.3 million, up 47.4% year-over-year (21.3% pro forma including CBI acquisition). Adjusted EBITDA reached a record $36.4 million, up 38.4%. The company completed its IPO during the quarter, reducing pro forma net leverage to 2.7x. Contract backlog grew to a record $1.1 billion, providing strong forward visibility across Space/Launch (23%), Defense Aviation (47%), and C5ISR (30%) segments.
- Guidance
- Management highlighted strong backlog of $1.1 billion providing high forward visibility. The company plans to deploy IPO proceeds to invest in people, capabilities, and operations to scale for expanding customer programs. Specific revenue or EPS targets were not provided in this excerpt.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | −$0.25 est $0.01 | $167.3M est $155.8M | −8.7% |
| May 8, 2026 | −$0.09 | $134.4M | — |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Applied Aerospace & Defense stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Applied Aerospace & Defense is $24.25, +125.2% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$24.25consensus 12-month target, +125.2% from the last close
Now $10.77Avg $24.25
Low $20High $30
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | Jefferies | $20 | +85.7% |
| Sep 14 | Guggenheim | $30 | +178.6% |
| Aug 13 | Stifel Nicolaus | $24 | +122.8% |
| Aug 13 | Morgan Stanley | $24 | +122.8% |
| Aug 12 | RBC Capital | $24 | +122.8% |
−8.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
±6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Applied Aerospace & Defense market cap and key statistics
Applied Aerospace & Defense’s market cap is $1.84B and revenue of $575.9M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.84B
- Forward P/E
- 30.2
- EPS, TTM
- −$1.42
- Gekko Fair Value
- $18.06
Trading
- Volume
- 2.02M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.24M
- 52-week high
- $24.24
- 52-week low
- $10.71
- Shares outstanding
- 172.4M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $575.9M
- Profit margin
- -30.2%
- Return on equity
- 0%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- 0.0%
Risk and income
- Typical daily move
- ±6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±11.8%
Applied Aerospace & Defense stock news this week
Coverage of Applied Aerospace & Defense this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 3 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Form 4 Applied Aerospace & Defense For: 12 October By Investing.comInvesting.com India, Oct 12
- Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (NYSE:AADX) Stock Has Average Price Target of $24.67MarketBeat, Oct 7
- Jefferies Maintains Applied Aerospace & Defense(AADX.US) With Buy Rating, Cuts Target Price to $20Moomoo, Oct 6
- Applied Aerospace & Defense (NYSE:AADX) Sets New 52-Week Low - Should You Sell?MarketBeat, Oct 6
- Accounting chief receives 3,800 stock units at Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX).Stock Titan, Oct 6
Applied Aerospace & Defense stock FAQ
What is Applied Aerospace & Defense’s market cap?
Applied Aerospace & Defense’s market cap is $1.84B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $10.77, with 172.4M shares outstanding.
What is the Applied Aerospace & Defense stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Applied Aerospace & Defense is $24.25, +125.2% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Applied Aerospace & Defense stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Applied Aerospace & Defense is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $10.77 is 40.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.06. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
What is Applied Aerospace & Defense’s 52-week high and low?
Applied Aerospace & Defense’s 52-week high is $24.24 and its 52-week low is $10.71; it closed at $10.77 on Oct 12, 2026.
Is Applied Aerospace & Defense stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 2 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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