Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ARM in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ARM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARM in Gekko
Arm (ARM) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$275.61+10.71 (+4.0%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryArm closes at $275.61, up 4% on the day and above both its 50-day average of $261.06 and its 200-day average of $207.29, with the shorter average sitting above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 53.9, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down from a higher reading five days earlier. Against Gekko Fair Value of $248.77, the current price sits 10.8% above that level.
Coverage this week centers on Arm's position in the AI chip buildout, with commentary framing it as a licensing business collecting royalties as Nvidia, Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet build Arm-based CPUs for data centers. Comparisons appeared against Astera Labs, Intel and Nvidia weighing Arm's high-margin licensing model and data-center expansion against peers' strategies. Separately, Jim Cramer said selling Arm early was a "big mistake," citing royalty growth and server expansion, while a regulatory filing noted Abbey William received 17,288 derivative securities on 14 September, taking his holdings to 65,270, or 26.5% of his position.
Arm's next earnings are scheduled for 4 November, 45 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report on 29 July showed EPS of $0.20 against a $0.18 estimate, with an eight-quarter streak of beats and a -1.3% reaction that day. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 7% gain over three years, positive in two of three instances. Analyst coverage spans 22 firms, 17 rating it buy, with a consensus target of $288.70.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $275.61200-day averageGekko Fair Value $248.77
Key stats
- Market cap
- $294.4B
- P/E ratio
- 249.9
- Forward P/E
- 109.9
- EPS, TTM
- $1.06
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.16B
- Profit margin
- 20.3%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 3.89
- Volume
- 6.87M avg 4.01M
- 1-year return
- +79.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±5.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±13%
- 50-day average
- $261.06
- 200-day average
- $207.29
- Next earnings
- Nov 4 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 1.07B
Arm swing-trade checklist
Arm scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $275.61 is above the 50-day ($261.06) and 200-day ($207.29) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
53.9, Neutral
Reading 53.9 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
10.8% above
Price is 10.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 45 days
Next report Nov 4, 2026, 45 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+7.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7% over 3 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Arm stock chart and price history
Arm closed at $275.61 on Sep 18, 2026, +79.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $100.02 to $452.70.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +10.5%
- 3 months
- −37.3%
- 6 months
- +112.3%
- 1 year
- +79.7%
The full ARM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ARM in Gekko
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About Arm
Arm designs and licenses processor architectures and related technology rather than manufacturing chips itself. Its work includes microprocessor designs, system-level intellectual property, graphics processors, physical IP, software, and development tools that semiconductor makers and equipment manufacturers use to build their own products. This licensing model has made Arm's designs a common building block across automotive systems, computing hardware, consumer electronics, and connected devices.
Rather than selling finished chips, Arm earns from providing the underlying designs and tools that other companies incorporate into their own hardware. Its customers are chip producers and device makers who license these technologies to create products for sectors ranging from vehicles to everyday electronics and internet-connected equipment. Arm operates internationally, with activity extending into the United States, China, Taiwan, South Korea, and other markets, and it functions as a subsidiary of Kronos II LLC.
The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Cambridge, in the United Kingdom. Its shares trade under the ticker ARM.
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Website
- arm.com
Arm GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Arm’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53.9, in the Neutral zone, down 2.5 points over five sessions.
53.9Neutral
Down 2.5 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 51 | +4.5% | 0.0% | ||
| Accumulation | 200 | −0.8% | +2.6% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 323 | +1.8% | +5.5% | ||
| Distribution | 38 | +1.4% | +12.3% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average ARM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ARM price, zone by zone.Track ARM in Gekko
Is Arm stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Arm trades 10.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $248.77, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Arm shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$248.77
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
10.8% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ARM in Gekko
Arm insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Arm, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ARM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ARM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARM in Gekko
Buybacks
Arm has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2025
- $202.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.07%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
4of the funds Gekko tracks hold ARM.
0added2opened2trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Arm earnings: next date and track record
Arm reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (45 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
Expected after the close, 45 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.48
- Revenue estimate
- $1.38B
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- ARM delivered record Q1 FY2027 results with revenue of $1.29 billion, up 22% YoY. Royalty revenue grew 22% to $715 million while licensing revenue grew 23% to $574 million. Non-GAAP EPS rose 29% to $0.45, exceeding guidance. Data center royalties more than doubled YoY, with Neoverse shipments surpassing 1.5 billion cores. AGI CPU demand has grown to over $2 billion pipeline with multiple new customers secured.
- Guidance
- ARM's AGI CPU business targets a $1 billion opportunity across FY2027-FY2028, with management expressing increased confidence in achieving upside to that target. Demand now exceeds $2 billion as new customers are added and manufacturing capacity is being expanded.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $0.20 est $0.18 | $1.29B est $1.26B | −1.3% |
| May 6, 2026 | $0.60 est $0.58 | $1.49B est $1.47B | +2.1% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | $0.43 est $0.41 | $1.24B est $1.23B | +6.1% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.39 est $0.33 | $1.14B est $1.06B | −1.5% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $0.35 est $0.35 | $1.05B est $1.06B | −13.5% |
| May 7, 2025 | $0.55 est $0.53 | $1.24B est $1.06B | −4.8% |
| Feb 5, 2025 | $0.40 est $0.34 | $983.0M est $1.23B | +3.2% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $0.30 est $0.26 | $844.0M est $808.4M | +7.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Arm stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Arm is $288.70, +4.7% from the last close, from 22 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$288.70consensus 12-month target, +4.7% from the last close
Now $275.61Avg $288.70
Low $150High $480
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 22 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | Morgan Stanley | $212 | −23.1% |
| Sep 15 | Bernstein | $480 | +74.2% |
| Sep 10 | Piper Sandler | $320 | +16.1% |
| Sep 9 | Piper Sandler | $320 | +16.1% |
| Aug 26 | Mizuho Securities | $400 | +45.1% |
+5.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+7.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 3 years
±5.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Arm seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Arm averaged +7.0% across the last 3 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.2% | 1 of 3 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.2% | 1 of 3 |
| Next 15 trading days | +5.5% | 3 of 3 |
| Next 20 trading days | +7.0% | 2 of 3 |
| Next 30 trading days | +6.6% | 2 of 3 |
For scale, ARM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 13%.
Arm market cap and key statistics
Arm’s market cap is $294.4B, with a P/E ratio of 249.9 and revenue of $5.16B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $294.4B
- P/E ratio
- 249.9
- Forward P/E
- 109.9
- EPS, TTM
- $1.06
- Gekko Fair Value
- $248.77
Trading
- Volume
- 6.87M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 4.01M
- 52-week high
- $452.70
- 52-week low
- $100.02
- Shares outstanding
- 1.07B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.16B
- Profit margin
- 20.3%
- Return on equity
- 13.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +108.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 3.89
- Typical daily move
- ±5.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±13%
Arm stock news this week
6 headlines about Arm from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Is Arm Holdings Still a Hidden Winner of the AI Chip Race?The Motley Fool, Sep 19
- ARM HOLDINGS PLC (NASDAQ: ARM) Grants Abbey William 17,288 Derivative Securities, Representing 26.5% of His Total HoldingsKalkine Media, Sep 18
- Astera Labs vs. Arm: Which AI-Driven Tech Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?The Motley Fool, Sep 18
- Jim Cramer Says Selling Arm Holdings (ARM) Early Was a “Big Mistake”Yahoo Finance, Sep 18
- Arm vs. Intel: Which Technology Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?The Motley Fool, Sep 18
- Volatility Aside, ARM's AI Thesis Is Untouched24/7 Wall Street, Sep 18
Arm stock FAQ
What is Arm’s market cap?
Arm’s market cap is $294.4B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $275.61, with 1.07B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 249.9.
What is the Arm stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Arm is $288.70, +4.7% from the last close. Of the 22 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 17 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Arm stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Arm is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $275.61 is 10.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $248.77. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Arm report earnings next?
Arm is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (45 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.48 per share on revenue of $1.38B. Arm beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 5% on average across the report.
What is Arm’s 52-week high and low?
Arm’s 52-week high is $452.70 and its 52-week low is $100.02; it closed at $275.61 on Sep 18, 2026, +79.7% over the past year.
Is Arm stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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