Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$278.07+1.84 (+0.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Silicon Motion's week centers on its enterprise storage pivot, with commentary pointing to margin expansion toward 50% on the back of AI and data center demand for its storage controllers, alongside its patent portfolio in NAND technology. Shareholders also approved board re-elections and ratified Deloitte & Touche as auditors at the AGM on 22 September. Separately, brokerages have reiterated a consensus "Buy" rating, with one report citing ten firms and an average 12-month price target of $341.43, following the prior quarter's earnings beat and a cited 127% year-over-year revenue increase.

SIMO closed at $278.07, up 0.7%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $256.08 and 200-day average of $197.73, with the shorter average above the longer one. The stock's one-month return stands at 9%, though the three-month return is -16.2%. The GekkoIndex reads 54.1, placing it in the Neutral zone, while price sits 5.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $263.72.

Earnings are scheduled for 29 October, 30 days out and outside a typical 20-trading-day hold; the last report showed EPS of $3.99 against an estimate of $2, with a 15.2% reaction. Over the last 30 days, 5 unusual options signals appeared, with call premium of $4.7 million against put premium of $1.1 million. Four trailblazer holders are noted. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -2.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them, worth noting alongside the fair-value gap.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Silicon Motion Technology price vs fair value

$278.07$263.72Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $278.07200-day averageGekko Fair Value $263.72

Silicon Motion Technology quick facts

Market cap
$9.33B
P/E ratio
32.2
Forward P/E
19.6
EPS, TTM
$8.54
Revenue, TTM
$1.31B
Profit margin
22.1%
Dividend yield
0.73%
Beta
1.70
Volume
413,077 avg 766,445
1-year return
+207.9%
Typical daily move
±6.3%
Typical 20-day move
±7.7%
50-day average
$256.08
200-day average
$197.73
Next earnings
Oct 29 before open
Shares outstanding
33.91M
52-week range
$79.76$355.00

Silicon Motion Technology swing-trade checklist

Silicon Motion Technology scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $278.07 is above the 50-day ($256.08) and 200-day ($197.73) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    54.1, Neutral

    Reading 54.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    5.4% above

    Price is 5.4% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 5 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −2.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Silicon Motion Technology stock chart and price history

Silicon Motion Technology closed at $278.07 on Sep 28, 2026, +207.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $79.76 to $355.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Silicon Motion Technology share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$200$300NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep278.07

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+9.0%
3 months
−16.2%
6 months
+152.7%
1 year
+207.9%
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About Silicon Motion Technology

Silicon Motion Technology builds controller chips that let NAND flash memory function as usable storage, acting as the bridge between raw memory chips and the devices that rely on them. These controllers show up inside SSDs meant for everyday computers, in tougher enterprise SSDs built for data center workloads, and in embedded formats like eMMC and UFS that power smartphones and connected IoT gadgets. The lineup stretches further into memory cards, portable flash drives, and ruggedized SSDs made for industrial, commercial, and automotive uses. Consumer-facing controller products carry the SMI label, enterprise storage is sold under the Shannon Systems name, and the industrial line appears as Ferri SSD, Ferri-eMMC, and Ferri-UFS.

To move these products, the company relies on a mix of in-house sales staff and outside electronics distributors. Its buyers span NAND flash producers, module assemblers, large cloud computing operators, and original equipment manufacturers, positioning it as a supplier feeding into other companies' hardware rather than a seller of finished consumer products.

The company traces back to 1995 and runs its main operations out of Hong Kong, while maintaining a presence across Taiwan, the United States, South Korea, China, Malaysia, Singapore, and further international locations. Its stock trades under the ticker SIMO.

Sector
Electronic technology
Website
siliconmotion.com

Silicon Motion Technology GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Silicon Motion Technology’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 54.1, in the Neutral zone, down 1.3 points over five sessions.

010054.1Neutral

Down 1.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying28+0.7%+2.7%+9.1%+22.6%
Accumulation181+1.0%+1.6%+5.3%+19.7%
Neutral (current zone)372+1.1%+2.1%+4.3%+13.5%
Distribution40+5.6%+13.0%+19.1%+22.0%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average SIMO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SIMO price, zone by zone.Track SIMO in Gekko

Is Silicon Motion Technology stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Silicon Motion Technology trades 5.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $263.72, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Silicon Motion Technology shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$263.72

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

5.4% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SIMO in Gekko

Silicon Motion Technology insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Silicon Motion Technology, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SIMO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SIMO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SIMO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SIMO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SIMO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SIMO in Gekko

Buybacks

Silicon Motion Technology has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$40K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

5signals, 81% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 23, $1.70M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

4of the funds Gekko tracks hold SIMO.

0added1opened3trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Silicon Motion Technology earnings: next date and track record

Silicon Motion Technology reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−7.0%Oct ’24+2.0%Feb ’25+11.3%Apr ’25−1.1%Jul ’25−2.5%Oct ’25+7.2%Feb ’26+47.4%Apr ’26+15.2%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Silicon Motion reported a strong June quarter with record revenue of $451 million, gross margin above 50%, and EPS of $2.43 (non-GAAP focus). Management highlighted broad-based growth across embedded eMMC & UFS, edge SSD controllers, Ferri (automotive & enterprise boot drive solutions), and the initial commercial ramp of MonTitan enterprise controllers. The company beat revenue and margin guidance for the quarter, increased operating expenses driven by R&D and headcount, and reduced cash due to dividends and inventory build to support growth. Management is positive on multi-year growth driven by AI-related demand, expects record revenue for full-year 2026 (outlook of >100% YoY growth), and reiterated long-term gross margin targets of ~48%-50% while noting NAND supply shortages and price inflation as near-term headwinds through about 2028. MonTitan is expected to contribute roughly 5%-10% of revenue exiting 2026 with Gen6 platform traction building, and Boot Drive (controller+NAND) is described as a high-ASP, fast-growing opportunity across DPU/TPU and other server/edge applications.
Guidance
- Q2 guided range (previously issued; actual Q2 was above guidance): revenue guided $393M–$411M (actual $451M). - Q2 guided gross margin range: 48.5%–49.5% (actual 50.2%). - Q2 guided operating margin range: 21%–22% (actual 23.1%). - Long-term gross margin target: 48%–50%. - Company guidance/targets for future periods: management expects record full-year 2026 revenue, up more than 100% YoY. MonTitan expected to contribute ~5%–10% of overall revenue exiting 2026. - Company is only guiding one quarter out and declined to provide detailed product-level revenue guidance for Q3 in this call.
Risks flagged
- NAND and DRAM supply shortages and price inflation (management expects NAND scarcity to persist likely until ~2028). - Competitive pressure in semiconductor industry and potential pricing pressure. - Dependence on relationships with major customers and module makers; concentration risks. - Macroeconomic, political, legal risks (explicitly noted with respect to Taiwan). - Inventory build and cash reduction risk related to working capital and dividend payments.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$3.99
est $2.00
+99.5%$451.0M
est $403.4M
+11.8%+15.2%
Apr 28, 2026$1.97
est $1.10
+79.1%$342.1M
est $299.5M
+14.2%+47.4%
Feb 3, 2026$1.26
est $1.29
−2.3%$278.5M
est $261.0M
+6.7%+7.2%
Oct 30, 2025$1.00
est $0.81
+23.5%$242.0M
est $260.6M
−7.2%−2.5%
Jul 30, 2025$0.69
est $0.52
+32.7%$202.0M
est $180.3M
+12.1%−1.1%
Apr 29, 2025$0.60
est $0.43
+39.5%$166.5M
est $180.4M
−7.7%+11.3%
Feb 5, 2025$0.91
est $0.84
+8.3%$191.2M
est $191.0M
+0.1%+2.0%
Oct 30, 2024$0.92
est $0.85
+8.2%$212.4M
est $199.3M
+6.6%−7.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Silicon Motion Technology stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Silicon Motion Technology is $369.70, +33.0% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$369.70consensus 12-month target, +33.0% from the last close
Low $325High $450
Buy9
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 8William BlairBuy, maintained——
Aug 16Roth MKMBuy, maintained$350+25.9%
Aug 4J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$350+25.9%
Jul 31WedbushBuy, reiterated$400+43.8%
Jul 31Craig-HallumBuy, reiterated$325+16.9%
+4.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−2.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Silicon Motion Technology seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Silicon Motion Technology averaged −2.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.9%2021−20.2%2022+2.7%2023−6.7%2024+9.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.7%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.5%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−2.5%2 of 5

For scale, SIMO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.7%.

Silicon Motion Technology market cap and key statistics

Silicon Motion Technology’s market cap is $9.33B, with a P/E ratio of 32.2 and revenue of $1.31B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$9.33B
P/E ratio
32.2
Forward P/E
19.6
EPS, TTM
$8.54
Gekko Fair Value
$263.72

Trading

Volume
413,077
Avg volume, 20 days
766,445
52-week high
$355.00
52-week low
$79.76
Shares outstanding
33.91M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.31B
Profit margin
22.1%
Return on equity
31.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+734.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.70
Typical daily move
±6.3%
Typical 20-day move
±7.7%
Dividend yield
0.73%

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Silicon Motion Technology stock FAQ

What is Silicon Motion Technology’s market cap?

Silicon Motion Technology’s market cap is $9.33B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $278.07, with 33.91M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 32.2.

What is the Silicon Motion Technology stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Silicon Motion Technology is $369.70, +33.0% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Silicon Motion Technology stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Silicon Motion Technology is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $278.07 is 5.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $263.72. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Silicon Motion Technology report earnings next?

Silicon Motion Technology is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.30 per share on revenue of $529.1M. Silicon Motion Technology beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.7% on average across the report.

What is Silicon Motion Technology’s 52-week high and low?

Silicon Motion Technology’s 52-week high is $355.00 and its 52-week low is $79.76; it closed at $278.07 on Sep 28, 2026, +207.9% over the past year.

Is Silicon Motion Technology stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Silicon Motion Technology?

Gekko flagged 5 unusual options signals in Silicon Motion Technology over the last 30 days, with $4.66M of flagged premium in calls and $1.09M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 23, 2026 with $1.70M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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