Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MDA in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every MDA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MDA in Gekko
NYSE: MDA
MDA Space (MDA) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$31.05−0.44 (−1.4%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryMDA trades at $31.05, down 1.4% on the session and essentially in line with its 50-day moving average of $31.08. Shares sit well off the 52-week high of $49.37 but comfortably above the 52-week low of $23.23, with a one-month return of 2.3%, a three-month decline of 18.5% and a six-month gain of 25.1%. The GekkoIndex reads 58.1, placing the stock in the Neutral zone and up 4.1 over the past five sessions. Against a Gekko Fair Value of $36.96, the current price sits 16% below that mark.
Over the next 20 trading days, the main scheduled event is the earnings report due 6 November 2026, 38 days out and beyond a typical short-term holding window. The prior quarter, reported 7 August 2026, produced EPS of $0.26 against a $0.24 estimate, with the stock reacting -2.5% afterward; MDA has beaten estimates in 2 of its last 2 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 4.2% around results. History after a Neutral GekkoIndex reading shows an average 20-day return of -0.7%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows, and consensus analyst work points to a target of $45.82, implying 47.6% upside from current levels.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
MDA Space price vs fair value
Close $31.05Gekko Fair Value $36.96
MDA Space quick facts
- Market cap
- $5.03B
- P/E ratio
- 56.2
- Forward P/E
- 24.6
- EPS, TTM
- $0.56
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.87B
- Profit margin
- 5.7%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 0.20
- Volume
- 1.02M avg 1.01M
- 1-year return
- —
- Typical daily move
- ±4.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±11.3%
- 50-day average
- $31.08
- 200-day average
- —
- Next earnings
- Nov 6
- Shares outstanding
- 162.1M
MDA Space swing-trade checklist
MDA Space scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 3 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendno data
No data
Not enough price history for both moving averages.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
58.1, Neutral
Reading 58.1 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
16.0% below
Price is 16% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 38 days
Next report Nov 6, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityno data
No data
Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
MDA Space stock chart and price history
MDA Space closed at $31.05 on Sep 28, 2026, inside a 52-week range of $23.23 to $49.37.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +2.3%
- 3 months
- −18.5%
- 6 months
- +25.1%
The full MDA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MDA in Gekko
Follow MDA Space through every session
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About MDA Space
MDA Space supplies technology, equipment and services to organizations working in and around the space industry. It is recognized for building systems used in Earth observation, orbital robotics, and satellite communications, supporting work that ranges from monitoring the planet from orbit to enabling operations on the Moon and Mars.
The company structures its work into three areas. One group delivers full-scale Earth observation and intelligence systems on a turnkey basis. Another supplies autonomous robotic arms and vision sensors designed for use in orbit and on planetary surfaces, aiding exploration and infrastructure projects. A third builds satellite subsystems and complete spacecraft, including hardware for broadband internet delivered from space and direct-to-device connectivity using Low Earth Orbit and Medium Earth Orbit constellations, alongside equipment covering a wide range of communication frequencies.
MDA Space was established on June 2, 2020, and is headquartered in Brampton, Canada. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker MDA.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Website
- mda.space
MDA Space GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
MDA Space’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.1, in the Neutral zone, up 4.1 points over five sessions.
58.1Neutral
Up 4.1 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
| Accumulation | 53 | +3.0% | +5.5% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 73 | −0.2% | −0.7% | ||
| Distribution | 17 | −1.6% | −4.8% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MDA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MDA price, zone by zone.Track MDA in Gekko
Is MDA Space stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
MDA Space trades 16.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $36.96, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what MDA Space shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$36.96
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
16.0% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MDA in Gekko
MDA Space insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MDA Space, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MDA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MDA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MDA in Gekko
MDA Space earnings: next date and track record
MDA Space reports on Nov 6, 2026 (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 2 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 6, 2026
38 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.20
- Revenue estimate
- $313.7M
2 of 2reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.2%average move across the report
2 of 3reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 7, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- MDA Space reported Q2 2026 revenue up 34% year-over-year with adjusted EBITDA of $96M (19.3% margin). First-half revenue reached $963M (+33% YoY) with $187M adjusted EBITDA. Key wins include a $474M Telesat Lightspeed expansion (225 total satellites), a $600M+ Canadian Space Agency RADARSAT-4 contract, and a Mitsubishi Electric Japan defense satellite payload contract. Book-to-bill ratio was 1.6x with a $40B pipeline.
- Guidance
- Management raised full-year 2026 revenue midpoint to $1.85B and adjusted EBITDA midpoint to $350M. Company expects to maintain double-digit organic revenue growth trajectory based on strong first-half execution and expanding order book.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | $0.26 est $0.24 | $351.0M est $315.5M | −2.5% |
| May 7, 2026 | $0.22 est $0.15 | $333.7M est $297.5M | +7.6% |
| Mar 4, 2026 | $0.14 | $363.4M est $343.3M | +2.6% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | $0.14 | — | — |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $0.15 | — | — |
| May 8, 2025 | $0.18 | — | — |
| Mar 7, 2025 | $0.14 | — | — |
| Nov 15, 2024 | $0.17 | — | — |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
MDA Space stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for MDA Space is $45.82, +47.6% from the last close.
$45.82consensus 12-month target, +47.6% from the last close
−0.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
±4.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
MDA Space market cap and key statistics
MDA Space’s market cap is $5.03B, with a P/E ratio of 56.2 and revenue of $1.87B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $5.03B
- P/E ratio
- 56.2
- Forward P/E
- 24.6
- EPS, TTM
- $0.56
- Gekko Fair Value
- $36.96
Trading
- Volume
- 1.02M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.01M
- 52-week high
- $49.37
- 52-week low
- $23.23
- Shares outstanding
- 162.1M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.87B
- Profit margin
- 5.7%
- Return on equity
- 6.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −4.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.20
- Typical daily move
- ±4.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±11.3%
MDA Space stock FAQ
What is MDA Space’s market cap?
MDA Space’s market cap is $5.03B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $31.05, with 162.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 56.2.
What is the MDA Space stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for MDA Space is $45.82, +47.6% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is MDA Space stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate MDA Space is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $31.05 is 16.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $36.96. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does MDA Space report earnings next?
MDA Space is expected to report on Nov 6, 2026 (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.20 per share on revenue of $313.7M.
What is MDA Space’s 52-week high and low?
MDA Space’s 52-week high is $49.37 and its 52-week low is $23.23; it closed at $31.05 on Sep 28, 2026.
Is MDA Space stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 3 items with data read as supportive (fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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