LTC Properties (LTC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$43.05+0.59 (+1.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

LTC Properties this week saw continued expansion of its senior housing operating portfolio, acquiring nearly $160 million in senior housing assets, including a Florida community for $69 million and two communities in Virginia and Maryland for $89 million, adding 270 units to the platform. Alongside this, Jefferies cut its target price on LTC to $40 from $41, while other recent commentary, including an Argus report citing a price of $42.89, has kept attention on the stock's valuation and REIT positioning in healthcare real estate.

LTC closed at $43.05, up 1.4%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $41.39 and 200-day average of $38.92, with the shorter average above the longer one, consistent with an established uptrend. The GekkoIndex reads 54.2, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 2.4 points over the past five sessions. Against a Gekko Fair Value of $72.53, the current price sits 40.6% below that level.

LTC's next earnings report is set for 3 November, 21 days out, falling within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report on 5 August showed earnings of $0.56 versus a $0.48 estimate, with a 2.5% reaction. Over the last 90 days, one open-market insider purchase totaling $134,050 was recorded. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 3.4% gain across 5 years, with gains in 4 of them. Analyst consensus stands at 3 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $46.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

LTC Properties price vs fair value

▲$72.53$43.05Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $43.05200-day averageGekko Fair Value $72.53

LTC Properties quick facts

Market cap
$2.20B
P/E ratio
15
Forward P/E
12.5
EPS, TTM
$2.80
Revenue, TTM
$339.9M
Profit margin
39.9%
Dividend yield
5.45%
Beta
0.54
Volume
564,016 avg 657,949
1-year return
+25.4%
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±3.2%
50-day average
$41.39
200-day average
$38.92
Next earnings
Nov 3
Shares outstanding
53.91M
52-week range
$33.64$43.60

LTC Properties swing-trade checklist

LTC Properties scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $43.05 is above the 50-day ($41.39) and 200-day ($38.92) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    54.2, Neutral

    Reading 54.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    40.6% below

    Price is 40.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 22 days

    Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

LTC Properties stock chart and price history

LTC Properties closed at $43.05 on Oct 12, 2026, +25.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $33.64 to $43.60.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
LTC Properties share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$34$36$38$40$42$44NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct43.05

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+1.8%
3 months
+7.5%
6 months
+9.6%
1 year
+25.4%
The full LTC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LTC in Gekko

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About LTC Properties

LTC Properties invests in real estate used for senior housing and health care, holding properties rather than operating them directly. It is best known for working with operators who run these facilities under long-term arrangements, giving it exposure to the senior living space without managing day-to-day care.

The company organizes its holdings into two groups. One covers properties leased out under triple-net arrangements, meaning tenants take on most operating costs and responsibilities tied to the real estate. The other covers senior housing communities that stay under LTC's ownership but are run by independent operators through separate management agreements, giving the company a stake in how those properties perform rather than a fixed lease payment alone.

LTC Properties was founded on May 12, 1992 by Andre C. Dimitriadis and is based in Westlake Village, California. Its shares trade under the ticker LTC.

Sector
Finance
Website
ltcreit.com

LTC Properties GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

LTC Properties’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 54.2, in the Neutral zone, down 2.4 points over five sessions.

010054.2Neutral

Down 2.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying29+0.8%+1.2%+4.3%+6.5%
Accumulation162+1.0%+1.8%+3.7%+3.4%
Neutral (current zone)4040.0%+0.2%0.0%+1.3%
Distribution40−0.9%−2.0%−2.0%+1.3%
Selling0Not available

Average LTC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LTC price, zone by zone.Track LTC in Gekko

Is LTC Properties stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

LTC Properties trades 40.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $72.53, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what LTC Properties shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$72.53

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

40.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$73$42Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LTC in Gekko

LTC Properties insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in LTC Properties worth $134K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$134Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 13David L Gruber
Director
Purchase3,500$134K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in LTC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for LTC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LTC in Gekko

Buybacks

LTC Properties has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2023
$81K
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

LTC Properties earnings: next date and track record

LTC Properties reports on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.1%average move across the report
8 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.3%Oct ’24+0.5%Feb ’25+1.5%May ’25+2.5%Aug ’25+0.5%Nov ’25+1.0%Feb ’26+1.1%May ’26+2.5%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
LTC Properties is accelerating its SHOP (Senior Housing Operating Portfolio) transformation, increasing 2026 SHOP acquisition guidance by 50% to $900 million midpoint, with $700 million closed by end of September. SHOP will represent 40% of pro forma annualized NOI by end of Q3, one quarter ahead of schedule, targeting 50% by year-end and 75% by end of 2028. Core SHOP NOI grew to $13.3 million in Q2 from $12.7 million in Q1, with 14% pro forma growth expected for 2026. A $1.1 billion credit facility strengthens the balance sheet.
Guidance
LTC raised 2026 SHOP acquisition guidance to $900 million midpoint and expects $730 million from dispositions and loan payoffs, $465 million above prior guidance. Core SHOP portfolio projected to deliver 14% pro forma NOI growth in 2026 versus 2025. Management targets 75% of annualized NOI from SHOP by end of 2028.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.56
est $0.48
+16.7%$25.99M
est $79.01M
−67.1%+2.5%
May 6, 2026$0.46
est $0.44
+4.5%$26.34M
est $72.98M
−63.9%+1.1%
Feb 24, 2026$0.47
est $2.11
−77.8%$46.33M
est $84.23M
−45.0%+1.0%
Nov 4, 2025$0.69
est $0.65
+6.2%$69.29M
est $84.23M
−17.7%+0.5%
Aug 4, 2025$0.32
est $0.82
−61.0%$59.33M
est $57.44M
+3.3%+2.5%
May 5, 2025$0.46
est $0.46
0.0%$49.03M
est $49.83M
−1.6%+1.5%
Feb 24, 2025$0.45
est $0.48
−7.1%$52.58M
est $45.25M
+16.2%+0.5%
Oct 28, 2024$0.66
est $0.52
+26.9%$55.78M
est $50.33M
+10.8%+7.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

LTC Properties stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for LTC Properties is $46.00, +6.9% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$46.00consensus 12-month target, +6.9% from the last close
Low $40High $55
Buy3
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 5BMO CapitalHold, maintained$47+9.2%
Oct 1RBC CapitalBuy, reiterated$52+20.8%
Sep 10Huntington Capital MarketsBuy, initiated——
Sep 1Wells FargoHold, reiterated$42−2.4%
Aug 27Deutsche Bank Buy, upgraded$55+27.8%
0.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

LTC Properties seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, LTC Properties averaged +3.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.9%2021+7.1%2022−2.0%2023+9.5%2024+4.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.3%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.7%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.4%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.6%5 of 5

For scale, LTC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.2%.

LTC Properties market cap and key statistics

LTC Properties’s market cap is $2.20B, with a P/E ratio of 15 and revenue of $339.9M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.20B
P/E ratio
15
Forward P/E
12.5
EPS, TTM
$2.80
Gekko Fair Value
$72.53

Trading

Volume
564,016
Avg volume, 20 days
657,949
52-week high
$43.60
52-week low
$33.64
Shares outstanding
53.91M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$339.9M
Profit margin
39.9%
Return on equity
11.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+75.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.54
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±3.2%
Dividend yield
5.45%

LTC Properties stock news this week

Coverage of LTC Properties this week reads positive: 4 positive, 0 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

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In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

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LTC Properties stock FAQ

What is LTC Properties’s market cap?

LTC Properties’s market cap is $2.20B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $43.05, with 53.91M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.

What is the LTC Properties stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for LTC Properties is $46.00, +6.9% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is LTC Properties stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate LTC Properties is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $43.05 is 40.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $72.53. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does LTC Properties report earnings next?

LTC Properties is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.54 per share on revenue of $86.30M. LTC Properties beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.1% on average across the report.

What is LTC Properties’s 52-week high and low?

LTC Properties’s 52-week high is $43.60 and its 52-week low is $33.64; it closed at $43.05 on Oct 12, 2026, +25.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $45.49 on Aug 26, 2022.

Is LTC Properties stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, smart money and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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