iQIYI (IQ) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$1.020.00 (0.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news around iQIYI centers on AI-driven content initiatives and holiday viewership data, alongside continued analyst coverage. The company unveiled a hybrid AI multi-season drama, "Immortals Over Mortal Love," with its first season planned for Q4 2026, as part of a broader AI strategy following a 5% year-over-year revenue decline in Q2 2026. Separately, its AIGC series "The Ferry Man" surpassed RMB 8 million in revenue-sharing, with shares moving on both the upside and downside around that news. A National Day Holiday snapshot also showed daily viewing time up over 12%, with big screens taking nearly 60% share. Analyst coverage during the week kept ratings at Hold.

Shares closed at $1.02, below both the 50-day average of $1.07 and the 200-day average of $1.33, with the 50-day sitting below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 58.3, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 39.6% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $1.69.

Looking ahead, the next earnings report is scheduled for 17 November 2026, before the open, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -3.4% across 5 years, rising in 2 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the consensus price target of $1.34 from covering analysts.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

iQIYI price vs fair value

$1.69$1.02Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $1.02200-day averageGekko Fair Value $1.69

iQIYI quick facts

Market cap
$983.6M
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
109.9
EPS, TTM
−$0.13
Revenue, TTM
$25.99B
Profit margin
-3.2%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.13
Volume
2.01M avg 7.18M
1-year return
−56.6%
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±12.2%
50-day average
$1.07
200-day average
$1.33
Next earnings
Nov 17 before open
Shares outstanding
530.6M
52-week range
$0.86$2.37

iQIYI swing-trade checklist

iQIYI scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $1.02 is below the 50-day ($1.07) and 200-day ($1.33) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58.3, Neutral

    Reading 58.3 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    39.6% below

    Price is 39.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 17, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −3.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.4% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

iQIYI stock chart and price history

iQIYI closed at $1.02 on Oct 12, 2026, −56.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $0.86 to $2.37.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
iQIYI share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$1.50$2.00$2.50NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct1.02

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+7.1%
3 months
−12.1%
6 months
−19.7%
1 year
−56.6%
The full IQ chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open IQ in Gekko

Follow iQIYI through every session

Put IQ on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About iQIYI

iQIYI provides online entertainment to audiences across China, with a reach that spans internet video, online gaming, live streaming, digital literature, animation, e-commerce and a social media platform. At the heart of its business is a video platform that brings together licensed content from outside professional creators alongside shows and films made in-house. The company is particularly recognized for this video offering, which forms the backbone of its wider entertainment ecosystem.

Money comes in through several channels, including paid memberships, the licensing and distribution of content, and advertising sold against its programming. Within its lineup, iQIYI Show lets viewers watch and interact with hosts and public figures in real time, while iQIYI Lite gives users a simplified viewing experience built around personalized recommendations. The company also works in talent management and intellectual property licensing, and continues building out a separate app focused on video community features.

iQIYI began as Qiyi.com, Inc. in 2009 and took on its current name in November 2017. It is based in Beijing, China, and functions as a subsidiary of Baidu Holdings Limited. Its shares trade under the ticker IQ.

Sector
Technology services
Website
iqiyi.com

iQIYI GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

iQIYI’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.3, in the Neutral zone, down 1 point over five sessions.

010058.3Neutral

Down 1 point over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying87−0.3%+1.6%+3.7%−6.5%
Accumulation271−0.4%−0.9%−2.3%−8.2%
Neutral (current zone)241−1.1%−3.1%−7.4%−12.0%
Distribution36−1.0%−1.2%+3.7%−7.2%
Selling0Not available

Average IQ share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the IQ price, zone by zone.Track IQ in Gekko

Is iQIYI stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

iQIYI trades 39.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $1.69, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what iQIYI shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$1.69

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

39.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 29.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$2$1Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open IQ in Gekko

iQIYI insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for iQIYI, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for IQ in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every IQ insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open IQ in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in IQ were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for IQ, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open IQ in Gekko

iQIYI earnings: next date and track record

iQIYI reports on Nov 17, 2026, before the open (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.2%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−10.6%Nov ’24−4.7%Feb ’25−9.1%May ’25+3.1%Aug ’25+9.3%Nov ’25−9.6%Feb ’26−4.3%May ’26−15.0%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 18, 2026 AI summary

What they said
iQIYI reported sequential revenue growth in Q2 2026 with non-GAAP operating loss narrowing substantially toward breakeven. The company achieved #1 market share in long-form drama, film, children's content, and short-form dramas. Key strategic initiatives include decentralizing content creation and aggressive AI adoption, with AIGC reducing production costs 70-90%. Creator uploads grew 30-500% quarter-over-quarter across content categories.
Guidance
Management is advancing AI-driven content production and decentralized creator ecosystem to structurally improve content costs, revenue quality, profitability, and cash flow. A diversified AIGC content slate is planned for H2 2026 with an expanded pipeline across broader categories in 2027.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 18, 2026−$0.03
est −$0.04
+25.0%$925.3M
est $933.5M
−0.9%−15.0%
May 18, 2026−$0.24
est −$0.22
−9.1%$902.3M
est $903.0M
−0.1%−4.3%
Feb 26, 2026$0.11
est $0.06
+83.3%$971.3M
est $967.4M
+0.4%−9.6%
Nov 18, 2025−$0.26
est −$0.27
+3.7%$938.5M
est $950.0M
−1.2%+9.3%
Aug 20, 2025$0.02
est −$0.03
+166.7%$924.3M
est $918.6M
+0.6%+3.1%
May 21, 2025$0.19
est $0.14
+35.7%$987.0M
est $1.00B
−1.5%−9.1%
Feb 18, 2025−$0.06
est −$0.04
−50.0%——−4.7%
Nov 21, 2024$0.50
est $0.39
+28.2%$1.03B
est $946.0M
+9.1%−10.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

iQIYI stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for iQIYI is $1.34, +31.4% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$1.34consensus 12-month target, +31.4% from the last close
Low $1.20High $1.60
Buy2
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 24J.P. MorganHold, maintained$1.20+17.6%
Aug 20Goldman SachsHold, maintained$1.40+37.3%
Aug 20Goldman SachsHold, reiterated$1.40+37.3%
Aug 20J.P. MorganHold, maintained$1.20+17.6%
Aug 20J.P. MorganHold, reiterated$1.20+17.6%
−7.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−3.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

iQIYI seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, iQIYI averaged −3.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−9.9%2021+3.5%2022+0.4%2023−3.5%2024−4.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−5.5%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.8%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days−3.4%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−6.0%1 of 5

For scale, IQ’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 12.2%.

iQIYI market cap and key statistics

iQIYI’s market cap is $983.6M and revenue of $25.99B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$983.6M
Forward P/E
109.9
EPS, TTM
−$0.13
Gekko Fair Value
$1.69

Trading

Volume
2.01M
Avg volume, 20 days
7.18M
52-week high
$2.37
52-week low
$0.86
Shares outstanding
530.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$25.99B
Profit margin
-3.2%
Return on equity
-6.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−72.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.13
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±12.2%

iQIYI stock news this week

Coverage of iQIYI this week reads negative: 2 positive, 2 neutral and 3 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

iQIYI stock FAQ

What is iQIYI’s market cap?

iQIYI’s market cap is $983.6M at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $1.02, with 530.6M shares outstanding.

What is the iQIYI stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for iQIYI is $1.34, +31.4% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is iQIYI stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate iQIYI is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $1.02 is 39.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $1.69. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does iQIYI report earnings next?

iQIYI is expected to report on Nov 17, 2026, before the market opens (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.01 per share on revenue of $911.3M. iQIYI beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.2% on average across the report.

What is iQIYI’s 52-week high and low?

iQIYI’s 52-week high is $2.37 and its 52-week low is $0.86; it closed at $1.02 on Oct 12, 2026, −56.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $10.37 on Oct 22, 2021.

Is iQIYI stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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