NYSE: GFF

Griffon (GFF) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$96.08−2.31 (−2.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Griffon shares closed up 1.92% on 26 September, outperforming the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq despite a recent monthly loss, extending gains from its August 5 report of Q3 FY2026 revenue of $481 million, up 7% organically, with adjusted EBITDA of $125 million at a 25.9% margin and adjusted EPS from continuing operations of $1.51 versus $1.39 a year earlier. That quarter also marked the close of Griffon's Australasia joint venture, bringing in $181 million cash and a $49 million note as the company completed its shift into a pure-play building products business.

Griffon trades at $96.08, down 2.3% on the day and off 3.1% over the past month, though still up 36.2% over six months and 28.4% over the past year. The close sits between its 50-day average of $96.95 and 200-day average of $87.20. The GekkoIndex reads 57.8, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 4.6 points over five sessions, while price stands 6% above Gekko Fair Value of $90.66.

The next earnings report is set for 18 November, 50 days out and beyond a typical 20-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows, though two trailblazer holders are noted. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1.9% gain over five years, rising in three of them. Two covered analysts rate the stock a buy, with a consensus target of $125.57.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Griffon price vs fair value

$96.08$90.66Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $96.08200-day averageGekko Fair Value $90.66

Griffon quick facts

Market cap
$4.41B
P/E ratio
20.5
Forward P/E
10.2
EPS, TTM
$4.79
Revenue, TTM
$2.56B
Profit margin
7%
Dividend yield
0.87%
Beta
1.40
Volume
217,713 avg 322,233
1-year return
+28.4%
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±7.4%
50-day average
$96.95
200-day average
$87.20
Next earnings
Nov 18 before open
Shares outstanding
45.29M
52-week range
$65.01$108.57

Griffon swing-trade checklist

Griffon scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $96.08 sits between the 50-day ($96.95) and 200-day ($87.20) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    57.8, Neutral

    Reading 57.8 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    6.0% above

    Price is 6% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 50 days

    Next report Nov 18, 2026, 50 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Griffon stock chart and price history

Griffon closed at $96.08 on Sep 28, 2026, +28.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $65.01 to $108.57.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Griffon share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$70$80$90$100NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep96.08

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.1%
3 months
−0.3%
6 months
+36.2%
1 year
+28.4%
The full GFF chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GFF in Gekko

Follow Griffon through every session

Put GFF on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Griffon

Griffon operates through a group of subsidiaries that make and sell consumer, professional, and home and building products, reaching customers across the United States, Europe, Canada, Australia, and other markets abroad. Its offerings span landscaping tools such as wheelbarrows, garden hoses, planters, and hand and snow tools, along with closet and garage storage systems, cleaning products, garage doors, and rolling steel doors and grilles used in commercial and industrial settings.

The company works through two main divisions. One develops and distributes consumer and professional goods, selling largely to home improvement retailers, mass merchandisers, and builders. The other focuses on manufacturing and marketing garage doors and steel doors, supplying professional dealers and retail chains as well as commercial, industrial, and institutional buyers. Its products reach the market under numerous established brand names rather than a single company label.

Griffon traces its history to 1959, when it was founded as Instrument Systems Corporation, later adopting its current name in 1992. The company is headquartered in New York, New York, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker GFF.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Building products
Website
griffon.com

Griffon GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Griffon’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 57.8, in the Neutral zone, down 4.6 points over five sessions.

010057.8Neutral

Down 4.6 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying22+2.9%+4.2%+14.5%+16.3%
Accumulation218+1.7%+3.8%+6.2%+5.6%
Neutral (current zone)372−0.1%−0.4%−0.6%+1.9%
Distribution50−0.5%−1.7%−4.8%−0.2%
Selling10+0.8%+2.2%+10.0%+12.9%

Average GFF share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GFF price, zone by zone.Track GFF in Gekko

Is Griffon stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Griffon trades 6.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $90.66, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Griffon shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$90.66

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

6.0% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GFF in Gekko

Griffon insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Griffon, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GFF in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GFF insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GFF in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GFF were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GFF, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GFF in Gekko

Buybacks

Griffon has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$54.60M
As a share of market cap
1.24%
Trailing four quarters
$140.6M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold GFF.

0added0opened2trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Griffon earnings: next date and track record

Griffon reports on Nov 18, 2026, before the open (50 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.1%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+13.6%Nov ’24+8.9%Feb ’25+0.9%May ’25−17.5%Aug ’25+1.7%Nov ’25+11.9%Feb ’26−4.9%May ’26+13.6%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Griffon reported Q3 FY2026 revenue of $481M, up 7% organically, with adjusted EBITDA of $125M (+2%) at a 25.9% margin. Adjusted EPS from continuing operations was $1.51 vs $1.39 prior year. The company closed its Australasia joint venture, receiving $181M cash and a $49M note, completing its transformation into a pure-play building products company. Year-to-date free cash flow was $194M, and $664M in stock repurchased since April 2023.
Guidance
Management maintained full-year revenue guidance of $1.8B and EBITDA guidance of $458M. Full-year free cash flow from continuing operations is expected to exceed income from continuing operations. Net debt leverage of 2.2x expected to improve pro forma for the Australasia transaction closing.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$1.51
est $1.34
+12.7%$481.4M
est $457.7M
+5.2%+13.6%
May 7, 2026$1.05
est $0.99
+6.1%$421.9M
est $414.6M
+1.7%−4.9%
Feb 5, 2026$1.45
est $1.34
+8.2%$649.1M
est $619.0M
+4.9%+11.9%
Nov 19, 2025$1.54
est $1.51
+2.0%$662.2M
est $631.5M
+4.9%+1.7%
Aug 6, 2025$1.50
est $1.50
0.0%$613.6M
est $631.5M
−2.8%−17.5%
May 8, 2025$1.23
est $1.13
+8.8%$611.7M
est $668.7M
−8.5%+0.9%
Feb 5, 2025$1.39
est $1.28
+8.6%$632.4M
est $612.2M
+3.3%+8.9%
Nov 13, 2024$1.47
est $1.18
+24.6%$659.7M
est $641.2M
+2.9%+13.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Griffon stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Griffon is $125.57, +30.7% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$125.57consensus 12-month target, +30.7% from the last close
Low $120High $125
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 6Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$125+30.1%
Aug 6StephensBuy, reiterated$120+24.9%
−0.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Griffon seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Griffon averaged +1.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.4%2021+12.1%2022−0.2%2023−8.1%2024+1.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.9%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.2%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.4%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.9%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.0%3 of 5

For scale, GFF’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.4%.

Griffon market cap and key statistics

Griffon’s market cap is $4.41B, with a P/E ratio of 20.5 and revenue of $2.56B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.41B
P/E ratio
20.5
Forward P/E
10.2
EPS, TTM
$4.79
Gekko Fair Value
$90.66

Trading

Volume
217,713
Avg volume, 20 days
322,233
52-week high
$108.57
52-week low
$65.01
Shares outstanding
45.29M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.56B
Profit margin
7%
Return on equity
227.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−64.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.40
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±7.4%
Dividend yield
0.87%

Griffon stock news this week

2 headlines about Griffon from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Griffon peers

Griffon’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MASMasco+0.5%Accumulation1.3% below
CSLCarlisle Companies+1.1%Accumulation14.9% below
WSOWatsco−0.6%Neutral6.9% above
SPXCSPX Technologies−0.9%Buying24.3% below
AOSA.O. Smith+0.4%Accumulation17.5% below
MHKMohawk Industries+0.9%Accumulation12.9% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Griffon stock FAQ

What is Griffon’s market cap?

Griffon’s market cap is $4.41B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $96.08, with 45.29M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.5.

What is the Griffon stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Griffon is $125.57, +30.7% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Griffon stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Griffon is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $96.08 is 6.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $90.66. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Griffon report earnings next?

Griffon is expected to report on Nov 18, 2026, before the market opens (50 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.60 per share on revenue of $481.8M. Griffon beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.1% on average across the report.

What is Griffon’s 52-week high and low?

Griffon’s 52-week high is $108.57 and its 52-week low is $65.01; it closed at $96.08 on Sep 28, 2026, +28.4% over the past year.

Is Griffon stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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