NYSE: SSD

Simpson Manufacturing (SSD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$174.79−1.76 (−1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Simpson Manufacturing has been the subject of a fresh Wall Street brokerage rating this week, moving to an average "Hold" with a 12-month price target of $216.25, well above its recent trading price of $173.80. Alongside this, filings show State Street Corp and Bank of America Corp DE both adding to or initiating positions in the stock during the second quarter, with Bank of America's stake valued at approximately $55.3 million.

SSD closed at $174.79, down 1% on the day, with its close sitting between the 50-day average of $184.82 and the 200-day average of $184.49, pointing to a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 62, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while shares trade 3.7% above the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $168.60. Over the past three months the stock has returned -16.5%, though the six-month return stands at 3.8%.

Simpson Manufacturing next reports earnings on 26 October 2026 after the close, 27 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report on 27 July 2026 beat estimates with EPS of $3.09 versus $2.72 expected, producing a 2.3% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current window. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a -2.4% return over 5 years, rising in 2 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the upcoming report.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Simpson Manufacturing price vs fair value

$174.79$168.60Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $174.79200-day averageGekko Fair Value $168.60

Simpson Manufacturing quick facts

Market cap
$7.19B
P/E ratio
19.3
Forward P/E
17.6
EPS, TTM
$9.13
Revenue, TTM
$2.42B
Profit margin
15.7%
Dividend yield
0.67%
Beta
1.31
Volume
205,162 avg 292,941
1-year return
+1.1%
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
50-day average
$184.82
200-day average
$184.49
Next earnings
Oct 26 after close
Shares outstanding
40.98M
52-week range
$156.32$213.49

Simpson Manufacturing swing-trade checklist

Simpson Manufacturing scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $174.79 sits between the 50-day ($184.82) and 200-day ($184.49) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62, Accumulation

    Reading 62 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.7% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.7% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 27 days

    Reports on Oct 26, 2026, 27 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.4% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Simpson Manufacturing stock chart and price history

Simpson Manufacturing closed at $174.79 on Sep 28, 2026, +1.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $156.32 to $213.49.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Simpson Manufacturing share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$160$170$180$190$200$210NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep174.79

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.2%
3 months
−16.5%
6 months
+3.8%
1 year
+1.1%
The full SSD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SSD in Gekko

Follow Simpson Manufacturing through every session

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About Simpson Manufacturing

Simpson Manufacturing designs, engineers, and produces components used in wood and concrete building projects. Its wood-related lineup includes connectors, truss plates, fastening systems, fasteners, shearwalls, and lateral bracing suited to standard framing, timber work, and offsite construction methods. For concrete work, it makes anchoring systems, chemical compounds, drill bits, powder-actuated tools, fiber-reinforced materials, and repair products such as grouts, sealers, coatings, and mortars, along with items supporting structural and cold-formed steel.

Alongside its physical products, the company provides engineering and design consulting and builds software that helps customers specify and apply its components. Its customers span residential builders, commercial and light industrial construction firms, remodeling contractors, and do-it-yourself buyers. It operates through various divisions and sells across the United States, Canada, several European countries including France, the United Kingdom, and Germany, and Asia-Pacific markets such as Australia, China, and Vietnam.

Founded in 1956, Simpson Manufacturing is headquartered in Pleasanton, California. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker SSD.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Building products
Website
simpsonmfg.com

Simpson Manufacturing GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Simpson Manufacturing’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62, in the Accumulation zone, down 8.1 points over five sessions.

010062Accumulation

Down 8.1 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36+0.7%+0.1%+2.3%+1.7%
Accumulation (current zone)244+0.2%+0.7%+0.7%+2.0%
Neutral3660.0%−0.1%−0.3%−0.8%
Distribution23−2.5%−3.3%−1.6%−8.3%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average SSD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SSD price, zone by zone.Track SSD in Gekko

Is Simpson Manufacturing stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Simpson Manufacturing trades 3.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $168.60, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Simpson Manufacturing shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$168.60

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

3.7% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SSD in Gekko

Simpson Manufacturing insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Simpson Manufacturing, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SSD in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SSD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SSD in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SSD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SSD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SSD in Gekko

Buybacks

Simpson Manufacturing has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$200.0M, Jul 27, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$48.71M
As a share of market cap
0.68%
Trailing four quarters
$158.7M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold SSD.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Simpson Manufacturing earnings: next date and track record

Simpson Manufacturing reports on Oct 26, 2026, after the close (27 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.1%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−7.4%Oct ’24+2.4%Feb ’25+0.4%Apr ’25+10.8%Jul ’25+6.3%Oct ’25+5.9%Feb ’26+5.2%Apr ’26+2.3%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Simpson Manufacturing reported solid second-quarter 2026 results with consolidated net sales up 6.3% to $671.1 million and consolidated gross profit up 8.6% to $318.2 million. Gross margin improved 100 basis points to 47.4%, driven by pricing, favorable mix, strategic cost savings and a one-time eminent domain settlement gain; North America sales rose 6%, Europe sales rose 7.6% (including ~$3.7M favorable FX), wood products sales +6.1% and concrete products +7.4%. Volume was roughly flat to slightly down year-over-year (company ~0.6% down for the quarter; year-to-date down ~1%). Management highlighted execution on strategic priorities: footprint optimization, cost productivity, product innovation (notably in component manufacturing and truss plate business), and a next-generation cloud-based truss software (Cornerstone) planned for launch in the fall. Management noted ongoing headwinds: steel cost pressures, mix headwinds (regional and product), startup costs at Gallatin (~20 bps drag), and housing market volatility, especially in single-family vs multifamily starts. Cash generation was strong, inventories have been reduced (approx. $85M year-to-date), and the company increased its share repurchase authorization to $200M. CapEx guidance was modestly increased to $80–$90 million. Management reiterated a disciplined approach to pricing and said full-year gross margin is still expected to be slightly down versus 2025.
Guidance
Full-year gross margin expected to be down slightly versus 2025; CapEx guide increased to $80–$90 million; volumes expected down low-single digits (company expects low-single-digit volume decline for the year); increased share repurchase authorization up to $200 million; no meaningful near-term M&A anticipated.
Risks flagged
Rising steel and input costs, product and regional mix headwinds, slower single-family housing starts and multifamily volatility, startup costs at Gallatin, competitive pricing pressure in certain product areas (notably fasteners), raw material inventory price volatility, macroeconomic uncertainty impacting demand.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 27, 2026$3.09
est $2.72
+13.6%$671.1M
est $658.8M
+1.9%+2.3%
Apr 27, 2026$2.14
est $1.84
+16.3%$588.0M
est $550.1M
+6.9%+5.2%
Feb 9, 2026$1.35
est $1.26
+7.1%$539.3M
est $530.7M
+1.6%+5.9%
Oct 27, 2025$2.58
est $2.37
+8.9%$623.5M
est $607.8M
+2.6%+6.3%
Jul 28, 2025$2.47
est $2.39
+3.3%$631.1M
est $611.4M
+3.2%+10.8%
Apr 28, 2025$1.85
est $1.71
+8.2%$538.9M
est $609.7M
−11.6%+0.4%
Feb 10, 2025$1.33
est $1.26
+5.6%$517.4M
est $496.0M
+4.3%+2.4%
Oct 21, 2024$2.21
est $2.40
−7.9%$587.2M
est $498.5M
+17.8%−7.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Simpson Manufacturing stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Simpson Manufacturing is $219.00, +25.3% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$219.00consensus 12-month target, +25.3% from the last close
Low $215High $218
Buy1
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 3Stifel NicolausBuy, reiterated$218+24.7%
Aug 3Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$218+24.7%
Jul 28StephensHold, reiterated$215+23.0%
Jul 28D.A. DavidsonHold, maintained——
Jul 28Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$217+24.1%
+0.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−2.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Simpson Manufacturing seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Simpson Manufacturing averaged −2.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−4.2%2021+6.6%2022−14.1%2023−3.1%2024+4.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.3%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.4%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.9%3 of 5

For scale, SSD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.

Simpson Manufacturing market cap and key statistics

Simpson Manufacturing’s market cap is $7.19B, with a P/E ratio of 19.3 and revenue of $2.42B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$7.19B
P/E ratio
19.3
Forward P/E
17.6
EPS, TTM
$9.13
Gekko Fair Value
$168.60

Trading

Volume
205,162
Avg volume, 20 days
292,941
52-week high
$213.49
52-week low
$156.32
Shares outstanding
40.98M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.42B
Profit margin
15.7%
Return on equity
18.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+25.1%

Risk and income

Beta
1.31
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
Dividend yield
0.67%

Simpson Manufacturing stock news this week

Coverage of Simpson Manufacturing this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Simpson Manufacturing peers

Simpson Manufacturing’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MASMasco+0.5%Accumulation1.3% below
CSLCarlisle Companies+1.1%Accumulation14.9% below
WSOWatsco−0.6%Neutral6.9% above
SPXCSPX Technologies−0.9%Buying24.3% below
AOSA.O. Smith+0.4%Accumulation17.5% below
MHKMohawk Industries+0.9%Accumulation12.9% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Simpson Manufacturing stock FAQ

What is Simpson Manufacturing’s market cap?

Simpson Manufacturing’s market cap is $7.19B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $174.79, with 40.98M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.3.

What is the Simpson Manufacturing stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Simpson Manufacturing is $219.00, +25.3% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Simpson Manufacturing stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Simpson Manufacturing is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $174.79 is 3.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $168.60. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Simpson Manufacturing report earnings next?

Simpson Manufacturing is expected to report on Oct 26, 2026, after the market closes (27 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.56 per share on revenue of $625.1M. Simpson Manufacturing beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.1% on average across the report.

What is Simpson Manufacturing’s 52-week high and low?

Simpson Manufacturing’s 52-week high is $213.49 and its 52-week low is $156.32; it closed at $174.79 on Sep 28, 2026, +1.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $218.38 on Mar 8, 2024.

Is Simpson Manufacturing stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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