Fresenius Medical Care (FMS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$22.95+0.26 (+1.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Fresenius Medical Care this week centers on a strategic shift in China, where the company is discontinuing production and sales of its 4008A hemodialysis system and exiting the peritoneal dialysis business in the country, a move expected to bring one-time costs of approximately €110 million in the third quarter of 2026. Alongside this, coverage notes that Q2 operating income rose 23% to €569 million, even as brokerages maintain a consensus "Reduce" recommendation with an average price target of $23.57.

FMS closed at $22.95, up 1.1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $23.48 and 200-day average of $23.05. The GekkoIndex reads 60.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, though the index has declined 9.5 over the past five sessions. Price stands 40.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $38.84. Analyst coverage from 3 firms shows 0 buy, 2 hold and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $25.35, implying 10.5% upside from current levels.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report is due 3 November 2026, before the open, 35 days out and outside a typical holding window. The prior report on 5 May 2026 saw EPS of $0.46 against an estimate of $0.53, with a reaction of -7.2%; the company has beaten estimates in 6 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 5.9%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective windows. Seasonality from this calendar point shows a 5-year average 20-day return of -3.9%, positive in 2 of those years.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Fresenius Medical Care price vs fair value

▲$38.84$22.95Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $22.95200-day averageGekko Fair Value $38.84

Fresenius Medical Care quick facts

Market cap
$12.33B
P/E ratio
12
Forward P/E
8.6
EPS, TTM
$1.89
Revenue, TTM
$19.43B
Profit margin
4.8%
Dividend yield
3.84%
Beta
0.83
Volume
498,693 avg 670,463
1-year return
−8.9%
Typical daily move
±1.5%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
50-day average
$23.48
200-day average
$23.05
Next earnings
Nov 3 before open
Shares outstanding
532.2M
52-week range
$20.02$27.64

Fresenius Medical Care swing-trade checklist

Fresenius Medical Care scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $22.95 sits between the 50-day ($23.48) and 200-day ($23.05) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.5, Accumulation

    Reading 60.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    40.9% below

    Price is 40.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −3.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.9% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Fresenius Medical Care stock chart and price history

Fresenius Medical Care closed at $22.95 on Sep 28, 2026, −8.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $20.02 to $27.64.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Fresenius Medical Care share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$22$24$26NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep22.95

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.4%
3 months
+1.1%
6 months
+4.0%
1 year
−8.9%
The full FMS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FMS in Gekko

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About Fresenius Medical Care

Fresenius Medical Care works in kidney care, running clinics where people receive dialysis treatment along with related lab and diagnostic work. For patients who dialyze at home, it supplies the machines, trains them on use, and stays involved through medical oversight and by arranging delivery of supplies. In the United States it also partners with hospitals to treat inpatients dealing with acute kidney failure or end-stage renal disease.

On the product side, the company designs and builds dialysis equipment such as polysulfone dialyzers, hemodialysis machines, peritoneal dialysis cyclers, solution concentrates, bloodlines, and water treatment systems, alongside renal drugs. It also makes devices unrelated to dialysis, including tools for acute cardiopulmonary support and apheresis. A separate pharmaceutical arm sources and develops specialized medicines for kidney patients, which are shipped both to people's homes and to treatment centers. The company additionally offers vascular, cardiovascular, and endovascular care, runs ambulatory surgery centers for vascular work, and supplies physician staffing in nephrology and cardiology. Its buyers include hospitals, dialysis clinics, and specialty centers, served through in-house sales staff as well as outside distributors, dealers, and agents.

The company traces back to 1996 and is headquartered in Bad Homburg, Germany, with operations spanning Germany, North America, and dozens of other countries. Its shares trade under the ticker FMS.

Sector
Health services
Website
freseniusmedicalcare.com

Fresenius Medical Care GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Fresenius Medical Care’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 9.5 points over five sessions.

010060.5Accumulation

Down 9.5 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying41+0.9%+2.1%+3.4%+3.2%
Accumulation (current zone)188+0.7%+1.3%+2.8%+4.3%
Neutral3630.0%0.0%−0.1%+0.8%
Distribution33−0.6%−1.5%−1.7%−3.8%
Selling0Not available

Average FMS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FMS price, zone by zone.Track FMS in Gekko

Is Fresenius Medical Care stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Fresenius Medical Care trades 40.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $38.84, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Fresenius Medical Care shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$38.84

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

40.9% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FMS in Gekko

Fresenius Medical Care insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Fresenius Medical Care, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for FMS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every FMS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FMS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in FMS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for FMS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FMS in Gekko

Fresenius Medical Care earnings: next date and track record

Fresenius Medical Care reports on Nov 3, 2026, before the open (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.9%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−5.3%Jul ’24+5.2%Nov ’24+1.1%Feb ’25+7.1%May ’25−5.7%Aug ’25−8.0%Nov ’25−7.9%Feb ’26−7.2%May ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 5, 2026$0.46
est $0.53
−13.6%$5.40B
est $5.41B
−0.1%−7.2%
Feb 24, 2026$0.83
est $0.65
+28.3%$5.97B
est $5.67B
+5.3%−7.9%
Nov 4, 2025$0.64
est $0.59
+8.5%$5.72B
est $4.80B
+19.2%−8.0%
Aug 5, 2025$0.52
est $0.50
+4.0%$5.64B
est $4.98B
+13.4%−5.7%
May 5, 2025$0.42
est $0.38
+9.7%$5.35B
est $5.06B
+5.8%+7.1%
Feb 25, 2025$0.46
est $0.40
+13.6%$5.27B
est $4.66B
+13.1%+1.1%
Nov 5, 2024$0.40
est $0.38
+4.9%$5.22B
est $5.22B
−0.1%+5.2%
Jul 30, 2024$0.24
est $0.34
−29.4%$5.13B
est $5.30B
−3.3%−5.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Fresenius Medical Care stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Fresenius Medical Care is $25.35, +10.5% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$25.35consensus 12-month target, +10.5% from the last close
Low $19.90High $25.80
Buy0
Hold2
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 26Truist FinancialHold, maintained$25+8.9%
Aug 6BernsteinHold, maintained$25.80+12.4%
Aug 5Truist FinancialHold, maintained$25+8.9%
Aug 4Truist FinancialHold, reiterated——
Jul 28Exane BNP ParibasSell, downgraded$19.90−13.3%
+2.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−3.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Fresenius Medical Care seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Fresenius Medical Care averaged −3.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.2%2021+2.9%2022−23.9%2023−2.1%2024+5.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.5%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−5.3%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−3.5%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−3.9%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−5.3%1 of 5

For scale, FMS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.5%.

Fresenius Medical Care market cap and key statistics

Fresenius Medical Care’s market cap is $12.33B, with a P/E ratio of 12 and revenue of $19.43B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$12.33B
P/E ratio
12
Forward P/E
8.6
EPS, TTM
$1.89
Gekko Fair Value
$38.84

Trading

Volume
498,693
Avg volume, 20 days
670,463
52-week high
$27.64
52-week low
$20.02
Shares outstanding
532.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$19.43B
Profit margin
4.8%
Return on equity
8.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+5.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.83
Typical daily move
±1.5%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
Dividend yield
3.84%

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Fresenius Medical Care stock FAQ

What is Fresenius Medical Care’s market cap?

Fresenius Medical Care’s market cap is $12.33B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $22.95, with 532.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.

What is the Fresenius Medical Care stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Fresenius Medical Care is $25.35, +10.5% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Fresenius Medical Care stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Fresenius Medical Care is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $22.95 is 40.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $38.84. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Fresenius Medical Care report earnings next?

Fresenius Medical Care is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, before the market opens (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.61 per share on revenue of $5.70B. Fresenius Medical Care beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.9% on average across the report.

What is Fresenius Medical Care’s 52-week high and low?

Fresenius Medical Care’s 52-week high is $27.64 and its 52-week low is $20.02; it closed at $22.95 on Sep 28, 2026, −8.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $36.08 on Oct 21, 2021.

Is Fresenius Medical Care stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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