NYSE: CNC

Centene (CNC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Centene Corporation. Health services sector, managed health care industry. Market cap $32.16B.

$65.11−1.99 (−3.0%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Centene closes at $65.11, down 3% on the day, with the close sitting between its 50-day average of $65.50 and 200-day average of $51.62. The GekkoIndex reads 58.1, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Shares trade 23.2% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $84.74. Over the past year the stock has returned 103.3%, with the past six months up 83%.

Coverage this week centers on Centene's turnaround narrative and its ACA and Medicaid positioning. Commentary points to profitability recovery in the second quarter of 2026, with adjusted EPS rising sharply year over year, alongside continued membership pressure in Medicaid. At the Deutsche Bank 2026 Healthcare Summit, Centene reiterated 2026 adjusted diluted earnings guidance of more than $4.80, citing steady trends and a focus on margins over growth. Separate coverage compares Centene's diversified market presence and cash generation against Oscar Health, and other pieces discuss rising employer health costs heading into 2027 and a technical breakout setup for the shares.

Centene's next earnings report is scheduled for 27 October 2026, before the open, 37 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Its last report, on 28 July 2026, beat estimates with EPS of $2.51 against a $0.89 estimate, though shares reacted by -3.5% at the time; the average absolute reaction across recent quarters has run 6%. Analyst coverage stands at 6 buy and 9 hold ratings among 15 firms, with a consensus target of $71.78. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -0.7% over five years, rising in 2 of them.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $65.11200-day averageGekko Fair Value $84.74

Key stats

Market cap
$32.16B
P/E ratio
Forward P/E
11.9
EPS, TTM
−$10.36
Revenue, TTM
$180.3B
Profit margin
-2.8%
Dividend yield
Beta
1.11
Volume
13.44M avg 4.64M
1-year return
+103.3%
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
50-day average
$65.50
200-day average
$51.62
Next earnings
Oct 27 before open
Shares outstanding
494.0M
52-week range
$31.63$69.63

Centene swing-trade checklist

Centene scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $65.11 sits between the 50-day ($65.50) and 200-day ($51.62) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58.1, Neutral

    Reading 58.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    23.2% below

    Price is 23.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Oct 27, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −0.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.7% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Centene stock chart and price history

Centene closed at $65.11 on Sep 18, 2026, +103.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $31.63 to $69.63.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+0.6%
3 months
+6.7%
6 months
+83.0%
1 year
+103.3%
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About Centene

Centene provides managed care programs and services aimed at under-insured families and commercial organizations across the United States. It is known for administering health coverage tied to government assistance programs, alongside offerings for individuals and employer groups, making it a point of access to healthcare products, prescription drug plans, and related medical services.

The company is structured into four segments. Its Medicaid segment covers programs such as needy family assistance, Medicaid expansion, coverage for aged, blind, or disabled individuals, children's health insurance, long-term care support, foster care, and combined Medicare-Medicaid plans, along with broader healthcare products. The Medicare segment handles special needs plans, supplement plans, and prescription drug coverage. The Commercial segment supplies marketplace health insurance for individuals and groups, while the Other segment runs clinical care operations, pharmacies, vision, dental, behavioral health, and centralized support services. Care is delivered through networks of primary and specialty physicians, hospitals, behavioral health practitioners, and other ancillary providers.

Centene was founded in 1984 and is based in Saint Louis, Missouri. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker CNC.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Health services
Industry
Managed health care
Website
centene.com

Centene GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Centene’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.1, in the Neutral zone, up 1.7 points over five sessions.

010058.1Neutral

Up 1.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying60−1.5%−2.0%+1.0%+21.5%
Accumulation217+0.4%−0.1%−0.8%−2.8%
Neutral (current zone)351+0.2%+0.9%+1.7%+2.2%
Distribution29+0.7%+0.5%+0.5%−2.9%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average CNC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CNC price, zone by zone.Track CNC in Gekko

Is Centene stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Centene trades 23.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $84.74, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Centene shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$84.74

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

23.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CNC in Gekko

Centene insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Centene, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CNC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CNC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CNC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CNC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CNC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CNC in Gekko

Buybacks

Centene has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$4.00M
As a share of market cap
0.01%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold CNC.

0added0opened2trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Centene earnings: next date and track record

Centene reports on Oct 27, 2026, before the open (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

0.0%Oct ’24−6.3%Feb ’25−3.4%Apr ’25+0.4%Jul ’25+5.5%Oct ’25−4.7%Feb ’26+24.1%Apr ’26−3.5%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Centene's Q2 2026 earnings call highlighted a strong quarter with premium and service revenue of $44.4 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of $2.51, which beat prior expectations. Management raised full-year 2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance to greater than $4.80 (from greater than $3.40), driven by underlying business strength and favorable marketplace and Medicare risk adjustment settlements in the quarter. Consolidated HBR improved to 89.6% in Q2 (down from 93% in Q2 2025). Medicaid results were broadly in line with expectations with disciplined execution, though membership attrition was slightly larger than expected (ending Q2 at ~12.1 million). Major cost drivers remain behavioral health, home health, and high-cost drugs, but management cited progress in behavioral health management and payment integrity. Rates (7/1 cohort) came in better than expected, lifting full-year composite rate forecast from ~4.5% to ~5%. Management reiterated multi-year margin restoration efforts, enterprise optimization initiatives (including SG&A controls, workforce actions), and targeted AI/data investments focused on high-ROI use cases. They noted certain nonrecurring favorable items amounting to roughly $0.50 of EPS in Q2 tied to 2025 settlements that are not expected to recur in 2027. The company expressed constructive state conversations on rates but flagged policy headwinds tied to OB3/work requirement-related actions, potential enrollment impacts, and ongoing legal uncertainty in the ACA marketplace.
Guidance
Raised full-year 2026 adjusted diluted EPS to > $4.80 (up from > $3.40). Full-year Medicaid HBR expected around 93.5% (previous 93.7%); consolidated HBR Q2 was 89.6%. Full-year composite rate impact now expected ~5% (up from ~4.5%). Exchange/Marketplace pretax margin guidance improved to 4.5%-5% (midpoint 4.75%). PDP expected >3% margin. Management noted approximately $0.50 of Q2 EPS was linked to 2025 settlements unlikely to recur in 2027 and flagged this as a reconciling item for future year bridging.
Risks flagged
Membership attrition (notably expansion population) and higher acuity among remaining members; policy and regulatory uncertainty related to OB3/work requirements, provider tax reform, and waiver/budget neutrality changes; litigation and legal uncertainties in the ACA marketplace; potential revenue reconciliation/eligibility verification impacts; nonrecurring settlement-driven EPS items that may not repeat in 2027.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 28, 2026$2.51
est $0.89
+182.0%$53.58B
est $47.64B
+12.5%−3.5%
Apr 28, 2026$0.00
est $2.18
−100.0%+24.1%
Feb 6, 2026−$1.19
est −$1.22
+2.5%$49.73B
est $48.41B
+2.7%−4.7%
Oct 29, 2025$0.50
est −$0.14
+445.4%$49.69B
est $47.72B
+4.1%+5.5%
Jul 25, 2025−$0.16
est $0.11
−243.4%$48.74B
est $44.14B
+10.4%+0.4%
Apr 25, 2025$2.90
est $2.52
+15.1%$46.62B
est $42.76B
+9.0%−3.4%
Feb 4, 2025$0.80
est $0.49
+63.3%$40.81B
est $39.36B
+3.7%−6.3%
Oct 25, 2024$1.62
est $1.41
+14.9%$42.02B
est $37.93B
+10.8%0.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Centene stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Centene is $71.78, +10.2% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$71.78consensus 12-month target, +10.2% from the last close
Low $65High $80
Buy6
Hold9
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 17BarclaysBuy, maintained$80+22.9%
Sep 15Wells FargoHold, maintained$69+6.0%
Sep 11Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$80+22.9%
Sep 9BernsteinBuy, maintained$79+21.3%
Sep 4BernsteinBuy, maintained$79+21.3%
+1.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−0.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Centene seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Centene averaged −0.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.5%2021−11.3%2022+6.3%2023−16.7%2024+11.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.2%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.8%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.5%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.7%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.2%4 of 5

For scale, CNC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.

Centene market cap and key statistics

Centene’s market cap is $32.16B and revenue of $180.3B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$32.16B
Forward P/E
11.9
EPS, TTM
−$10.36
Gekko Fair Value
$84.74

Trading

Volume
13.44M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.64M
52-week high
$69.63
52-week low
$31.63
Shares outstanding
494.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$180.3B
Profit margin
-2.8%
Return on equity
-20.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+18.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.11
Typical daily move
±3.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%

Centene stock news this week

Coverage of Centene this week reads positive: 10 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Centene peers

Centene’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
UNHUnitedHealth+0.4%Accumulation0.2% below
ELVElevance Health−0.9%Neutral33.5% below
CICigna+0.2%Accumulation37.8% below
HUMHumana+0.4%Accumulation24.5% below
MOHMolina Healthcare−2.3%Neutral40.3% below
OSCROscar Health−0.3%Neutral0.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Centene stock FAQ

What is Centene’s market cap?

Centene’s market cap is $32.16B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $65.11, with 494.0M shares outstanding.

What is the Centene stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Centene is $71.78, +10.2% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Centene stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Centene is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $65.11 is 23.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $84.74. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Centene report earnings next?

Centene is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026, before the market opens (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.07 per share on revenue of $47.11B. Centene beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 6% on average across the report.

What is Centene’s 52-week high and low?

Centene’s 52-week high is $69.63 and its 52-week low is $31.63; it closed at $65.11 on Sep 18, 2026, +103.3% over the past year.

Is Centene stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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