NASDAQ: BTSG

BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$56.54−0.05 (−0.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week, BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG) outlined its growth strategy at the Bernstein healthcare services conference, pointing to specialty pharmacy expansion, home health acquisitions, technology investments and integration of services for complex patients. Separately, commentary highlighted improved operating cash flow and reduced leverage following Q2 2026 results, framing this financial position as supportive of future mergers and acquisitions activity.

BTSG closed at $56.54, down 0.1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $61.56 and 200-day average of $51.86. The one-month return stands at -7.2% and the three-month return at -18%, while the six-month return is 33.6% and the one-year return is 110.6%. The GekkoIndex reads 64.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, though the index has slipped 4.1 points over five sessions. Price sits 7.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $61.08.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 29 October 2026, before the open, 30 days out and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior report, on 31 July 2026, saw EPS of $0.45 against a $0.37 estimate, with a -17% reaction, part of a pattern of 5 beats in the last 8 quarters and an average absolute reaction of 10%. Analyst coverage from 15 firms is unanimously rated buy, with a consensus target of $78.94, implying 39.6% consensus upside. Holdings include one billionaire holder and one trailblazer holder; no insider, Congress or unusual options activity is recorded in the respective windows.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

BrightSpring Health Services price vs fair value

$61.08$56.54Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $56.54200-day averageGekko Fair Value $61.08

BrightSpring Health Services quick facts

Market cap
$11.10B
P/E ratio
50.5
Forward P/E
22.2
EPS, TTM
$1.12
Revenue, TTM
$14.37B
Profit margin
2.6%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.85
Volume
2.03M avg 2.53M
1-year return
+110.6%
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±10.3%
50-day average
$61.56
200-day average
$51.86
Next earnings
Oct 29 before open
Shares outstanding
197.9M
52-week range
$26.35$73.75

BrightSpring Health Services swing-trade checklist

BrightSpring Health Services scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $56.54 sits between the 50-day ($61.56) and 200-day ($51.86) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.2, Accumulation

    Reading 64.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    7.4% below

    Price is 7.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

BrightSpring Health Services stock chart and price history

BrightSpring Health Services closed at $56.54 on Sep 28, 2026, +110.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $26.35 to $73.75.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
BrightSpring Health Services share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$30$40$50$70NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep56.54

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.2%
3 months
−18.0%
6 months
+33.6%
1 year
+110.6%
The full BTSG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BTSG in Gekko

Follow BrightSpring Health Services through every session

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About BrightSpring Health Services

BrightSpring Health Services provides healthcare services delivered in patients' homes and local communities across the United States. Its work centers on pharmacy services alongside medical provider support, combining clinical treatment with everyday assistance for those who need it. The company is recognized for bringing this kind of home and community based care to a wide range of patients rather than requiring facility visits.

Care is delivered by clinical staff and licensed pharmacists who work directly with patients. The people served include those covered by Medicare, Medicaid, and private insurance plans, reflecting a customer base that spans public and private payers.

The company was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky. It previously operated under the name Phoenix Parent Holdings Inc. before adopting its current name, BrightSpring Health Services, Inc., in May 2021. Shares of the company are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker BTSG.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Health services
Industry
Medical/Nursing services
Website
brightspringhealth.com

BrightSpring Health Services GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

BrightSpring Health Services’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.2, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.1 points over five sessions.

010064.2Accumulation

Down 4.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying15+3.1%+8.2%+6.6%+31.9%
Accumulation (current zone)148+0.5%+3.3%+11.4%+24.6%
Neutral407+1.6%+2.6%+5.0%+16.5%
Distribution89+1.7%+3.1%+4.7%+11.3%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average BTSG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BTSG price, zone by zone.Track BTSG in Gekko

Is BrightSpring Health Services stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

BrightSpring Health Services trades 7.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $61.08, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what BrightSpring Health Services shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$61.08

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

7.4% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BTSG in Gekko

BrightSpring Health Services insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BrightSpring Health Services, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BTSG in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BTSG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BTSG in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BTSG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BTSG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BTSG in Gekko

Buybacks

BrightSpring Health Services has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$60.00M
As a share of market cap
0.54%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold BTSG.

0added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

BrightSpring Health Services earnings: next date and track record

BrightSpring Health Services reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−8.7%Aug ’24+12.3%Nov ’24+18.2%May ’25−6.2%Aug ’25+2.1%Oct ’25+3.6%Feb ’26+11.6%May ’26−17.0%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 31, 2026 AI summary

What they said
BrightSpring Health Services Q2 2026 earnings call: Management (CEO Jon Rousseau and CFO Jennifer Phipps) highlighted strong Q2 financial performance with revenue of $3.9B (+23% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA of $206M (+44% YoY). Pharmacy Solutions drove the majority of revenue ($3.4B, +22% YoY) with Specialty and Infusion performing well (Specialty & Infusion revenue $2.9B, +30% YoY). Provider Services revenue was $466M (+30% YoY) with Home Health Care up 51% YoY, driven by census growth, de novo expansions and acquired branches (Amedisys/LHC). Management emphasized growth drivers: LDD wins (12 YTD), fee-for-service wraparound programs, AI/automation investments, strong operational execution, tuck-in M&A pipeline, and capital allocation flexibility after Community Living divestiture. They noted IRA (Inflation Reduction Act) impacts: Home & Community Pharmacy revenue reduction of approximately $200M for full-year 2026 (~$50M per quarter) with EBITDA impact of about $15M for the year; Specialty revenue headwind ~ $175M but minimal EBITDA impact. Management reiterated confidence in operations, margin stability, and continued quarter-over-quarter growth for balance of 2026. Several analyst questions covered generics, gross margin seasonality, Infusion chronic vs acute growth, LDD ramp, tariff risks, capital structure and M&A, selling efforts and retention drivers. Closing remarks were positive and forward-looking.
Guidance
Management provided forward-looking directional guidance: they expect quarter-over-quarter growth for the remainder of 2026 with Q3 and Q4 growth similar to each other. They quantified IRA impacts for 2026: Home & Community Pharmacy revenue headwind of ~$200M for the year (~$45–50M per remaining quarter) and EBITDA impact of ~$15M for the year in Home & Community; Specialty revenue headwind of ~$175M with minimal EBITDA impact. They reiterated leverage at 2.15x and implied strong OCF (> $600M expected for the year) and robust free cash flow. CFO noted continued flexibility to pursue M&A with a robust pipeline.
Risks flagged
Risk factors mentioned included IRA-related revenue headwinds (2026 ~$200M Home & Community; ~$175M Specialty), potential future generic tariffs (tariff risk pushed to 2028), and legislative/regulatory uncertainty impacting pricing and reimbursement. Management also noted competitive dynamics and valuation inflation in M&A markets as a discipline risk for acquisition activity.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 31, 2026$0.45
est $0.37
+21.6%$3.87B
est $3.66B
+5.8%−17.0%
May 1, 2026$0.39
est $0.31
+26.1%$3.61B
est $3.39B
+6.6%+11.6%
Feb 27, 2026$0.33
est $0.25
+32.0%$3.55B
est $3.38B
+5.0%+3.6%
Oct 31, 2025$0.30
est $0.26
+13.9%$3.33B
est $3.17B
+5.3%+2.1%
Aug 1, 2025$0.13
est $0.22
−40.9%$3.15B
est $3.17B
−0.6%−6.2%
May 2, 2025$0.19
est $0.08
+137.5%$2.88B
est $2.90B
−0.9%+18.2%
Nov 1, 2024$0.11
est $0.17
−35.3%$2.91B
est $2.94B
−1.1%+12.3%
Aug 2, 2024$0.10
est $0.17
−41.2%$2.73B
est $2.72B
+0.4%−8.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

BrightSpring Health Services stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for BrightSpring Health Services is $78.94, +39.6% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$78.94consensus 12-month target, +39.6% from the last close
Low $70High $90
Buy15
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 17BMO CapitalBuy, reiterated$70+23.8%
Sep 17JefferiesBuy, maintained$87+53.9%
Sep 9UBSBuy, maintained$85+50.3%
Aug 19TD CowenBuy, reiterated$81+43.3%
Aug 3Deutsche Bank Buy, reiterated$70+23.8%
+11.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
±3.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

BrightSpring Health Services market cap and key statistics

BrightSpring Health Services’s market cap is $11.10B, with a P/E ratio of 50.5 and revenue of $14.37B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$11.10B
P/E ratio
50.5
Forward P/E
22.2
EPS, TTM
$1.12
Gekko Fair Value
$61.08

Trading

Volume
2.03M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.53M
52-week high
$73.75
52-week low
$26.35
Shares outstanding
197.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$14.37B
Profit margin
2.6%
Return on equity
13%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+196.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.85
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±10.3%

BrightSpring Health Services stock news this week

2 headlines about BrightSpring Health Services from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

BrightSpring Health Services peers

BrightSpring Health Services’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LHLabcorp+0.9%Accumulation3.9% below
GHGuardant Health+1.4%Neutral0.5% above
SOLVSolventum+0.6%Neutral16.4% below
EHCEncompass Health+0.5%Neutral7.6% above
DVADaVita−0.4%Accumulation15.9% below
ENSGEnsign+0.6%Neutral11.2% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

BrightSpring Health Services stock FAQ

What is BrightSpring Health Services’s market cap?

BrightSpring Health Services’s market cap is $11.10B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $56.54, with 197.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 50.5.

What is the BrightSpring Health Services stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for BrightSpring Health Services is $78.94, +39.6% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 15 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is BrightSpring Health Services stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate BrightSpring Health Services is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $56.54 is 7.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $61.08. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does BrightSpring Health Services report earnings next?

BrightSpring Health Services is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.46 per share on revenue of $3.86B. BrightSpring Health Services beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 10% on average across the report.

What is BrightSpring Health Services’s 52-week high and low?

BrightSpring Health Services’s 52-week high is $73.75 and its 52-week low is $26.35; it closed at $56.54 on Sep 28, 2026, +110.6% over the past year.

Is BrightSpring Health Services stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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