NYSE: AGL

agilon health (AGL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$85.49+3.10 (+3.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's commentary around agilon health centers on analyst sentiment and the upcoming earnings date rather than new operating news. Bernstein's Lance Wilkes reaffirmed a Buy rating on AGL.US with a target price of $125, while the company confirmed it will report third-quarter 2026 results after market close on 4 November, with a conference call at 4:30 p.m. ET. Other coverage this week placed AGL alongside peers such as INVO Fertility and CRISPR Therapeutics in broader sector comparisons.

AGL closed at $85.49, up 3.8%, sitting below its 50-day average of $89.30 but well above its 200-day average of $60.20. The GekkoIndex reads 60.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, down 1.5 over five sessions. Shares trade 14.5% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $99.98. Over the past month the stock is down 4.8%, though it remains sharply higher over six months and one year.

The next earnings report falls on 4 November, 22 days out, inside a typical 20-trading-day holding period; the prior report produced an 8.4% reaction despite earnings per share of $1.04 versus an estimate of $0.14. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows, though one trailblazer holder is noted. Seasonality over five years shows the next 20 trading days averaging -14.9%, positive in only 1 of those years. Analyst consensus across 12 firms includes 3 buy, 8 hold and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $115.83.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

agilon health price vs fair value

$99.98$85.49Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $85.49200-day averageGekko Fair Value $99.98

agilon health quick facts

Market cap
$1.43B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
178.6
EPS, TTM
−$15.41
Revenue, TTM
$5.92B
Profit margin
-3.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
3.00
Volume
158,666 avg 238,407
1-year return
+235.3%
Typical daily move
±6.2%
Typical 20-day move
±15.4%
50-day average
$89.30
200-day average
$60.20
Next earnings
Nov 4 after close
Shares outstanding
16.79M
52-week range
$7.48$133.04

agilon health swing-trade checklist

agilon health scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $85.49 sits between the 50-day ($89.30) and 200-day ($60.20) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.8, Accumulation

    Reading 60.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    14.5% below

    Price is 14.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −14.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −14.9% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

agilon health stock chart and price history

agilon health closed at $85.49 on Oct 12, 2026, +235.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $7.48 to $133.04.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
agilon health share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$25$50$75$100$125NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct85.49

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.8%
3 months
−30.3%
6 months
+295.2%
1 year
+235.3%
The full AGL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AGL in Gekko

Follow agilon health through every session

Put AGL on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track AGL in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About agilon health

agilon health works with local primary care doctors across the United States to support care for older adults. Its model centers on helping these community-based physicians manage health services for senior patients, and the company has become associated with this approach to coordinating elder care at the primary care level.

The business serves seniors through two main groups: those enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans and those receiving traditional Medicare fee-for-service benefits. As of the end of 2021, agilon health reported serving roughly 238,000 senior clients in total, with the majority, about 186,300, covered under Medicare Advantage arrangements and the remainder, around 51,700, under fee-for-service Medicare.

The company began operations in 2016 under the name Agilon Health Topco, Inc. before adopting its present name, agilon health, inc., in March 2021. It is headquartered in Austin, Texas. Shares of the company are listed on the NYSE under the ticker AGL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Health services
Industry
Medical/Nursing services
Website
agilonhealth.com

agilon health GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

agilon health’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.8, in the Accumulation zone, down 1.5 points over five sessions.

010060.8Accumulation

Down 1.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying84Not available
Accumulation (current zone)259−2.2%−4.8%−5.4%+5.8%
Neutral217+4.6%+10.0%+14.6%+44.6%
Distribution45Not available
Selling0Not available

Average AGL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AGL price, zone by zone.Track AGL in Gekko

Is agilon health stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

agilon health trades 14.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $99.98, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what agilon health shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$99.98

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

14.5% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 20.9% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$100$82Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AGL in Gekko

agilon health insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for agilon health, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AGL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AGL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AGL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AGL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AGL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AGL in Gekko

Buybacks

agilon health has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$35K
As a share of market cap
0.00%
Trailing four quarters
$323K

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds AGL.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

agilon health earnings: next date and track record

agilon health reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±38.2%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−36.1%Nov ’24−7.7%Feb ’25−17.7%May ’25−51.1%Aug ’25−7.0%Nov ’25+51.0%Feb ’26+126.9%May ’26−8.4%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Agilon Health (AGL) exceeded Q2 2026 guidance across key financial metrics, driven by improved medical cost trends and strong Burden of Illness program performance. New CEO Tim O'Rourke, who joined in May, highlighted structural improvements in care delivery, AI-driven clinical tools, and deeper physician engagement. The company is seeing early signs of macro cost trend moderation combined with systematic clinical program execution.
Guidance
AGL raised full year 2026 guidance based on Q2 outperformance, improved medical cost trends first seen in Q1, and stronger-than-expected Burden of Illness program results. Management expressed confidence in long-term scalability and durability of the operating model.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$1.04
est $0.14
+622.2%$1.49B
est $1.45B
+3.0%−8.4%
May 6, 2026$1.80
est $1.13
+59.3%$1.42B
est $1.38B
+2.9%+126.9%
Feb 25, 2026−$11.50
est −$6.75
−70.4%$1.57B
est $1.47B
+6.8%+51.0%
Nov 4, 2025−$0.27
est −$0.18
−50.0%$1.44B
est $1.42B
+1.0%−7.0%
Aug 5, 2025−$6.25
est −$2.75
−127.3%$1.39B
est $1.47B
−5.2%−51.1%
May 6, 2025$0.03
est −$0.01
+393.0%$1.53B
est $1.50B
+1.9%−17.7%
Feb 25, 2025−$0.25
est −$0.18
−38.9%$1.52B
est $1.52B
+0.3%−7.7%
Nov 7, 2024−$0.29
est −$0.10
−190.0%$1.45B
est $1.47B
−1.3%−36.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

agilon health stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for agilon health is $115.83, +35.5% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$115.83consensus 12-month target, +35.5% from the last close
Low $85High $146
Buy3
Hold8
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 5BernsteinBuy, maintained$125+46.2%
Sep 28Truist FinancialHold, maintained——
Sep 15BernsteinBuy, upgraded$125+46.2%
Sep 9BernsteinHold, maintained$86+0.6%
Sep 4BernsteinHold, maintained$86+0.6%
−5.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−14.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

agilon health seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, agilon health averaged −14.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+8.9%2021−19.1%2022−27.2%2023−16.0%2024−29.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.2%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−8.5%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−14.9%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−29.8%0 of 5

For scale, AGL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 15.4%.

agilon health market cap and key statistics

agilon health’s market cap is $1.43B and revenue of $5.92B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.43B
Forward P/E
178.6
EPS, TTM
−$15.41
Gekko Fair Value
$99.98

Trading

Volume
158,666
Avg volume, 20 days
238,407
52-week high
$133.04
52-week low
$7.48
Shares outstanding
16.79M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.92B
Profit margin
-3.9%
Return on equity
-78.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+301.0%

Risk and income

Beta
3.00
Typical daily move
±6.2%
Typical 20-day move
±15.4%

agilon health stock news this week

Coverage of agilon health this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

agilon health peers

agilon health’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LHLabcorp+1.7%Neutral2.5% below
GHGuardant Health−3.2%Accumulation10.0% below
SOLVSolventum−1.9%Accumulation20.5% below
BTSGBrightSpring Health Services−1.0%Neutral2.8% above
EHCEncompass Health+0.6%Neutral7.3% above
DVADaVita+1.2%Neutral14.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

agilon health stock FAQ

What is agilon health’s market cap?

agilon health’s market cap is $1.43B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $85.49, with 16.79M shares outstanding.

What is the agilon health stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for agilon health is $115.83, +35.5% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is agilon health stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate agilon health is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $85.49 is 14.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $99.98. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does agilon health report earnings next?

agilon health is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$1.23 per share on revenue of $1.46B. agilon health beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 38.2% on average across the report.

What is agilon health’s 52-week high and low?

agilon health’s 52-week high is $133.04 and its 52-week low is $7.48; it closed at $85.49 on Oct 12, 2026, +235.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $736.00 on Mar 27, 2023.

Is agilon health stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See agilon health the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.