NASDAQ: DXCM

DexCom (DXCM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$88.48+5.51 (+6.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

DexCom shares jumped this week after election results confirmed Democrats reclaimed majorities in the House and Senate, a move that lifted shares alongside peers like Align Technology and STERIS. Separately, DexCom announced it will launch its 15-Day G7 Continuous Glucose Monitoring System in Canada this November, extending sensor wear to up to 15.5 days with improved accuracy. The company is also navigating a planned Medicare expansion of device coverage for Type 2 diabetes patients not on insulin, alongside Abbott, as both companies adjust to shifting insurance and pricing dynamics. Separately, former CEO Kevin Sayer, now DexCom's Executive Chairman, was named to Guardant Health's board.

DXCM closed at $88.48, up 6.6%, sitting above both its 50-day ($85.49) and 200-day ($74.79) moving averages, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 53, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, though the index has fallen 14.3% over the past 5 sessions. Price sits 20.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $73.23, a gap that stands out against the recent rally.

The next earnings date falls on 11 February 2027, outside the typical 20-trading-day window. Over the last 30 days, one unusual options signal was recorded, with put premium of $555,108 exceeding call premium of $345,280. One billionaire holder is noted in recent filings. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 5.5% return over 5 years, with gains in 4 of those years. Analyst consensus from 17 firms shows 16 buy ratings and a target of $98.15.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

DexCom price vs fair value

$88.48$73.23Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $88.48200-day averageGekko Fair Value $73.23

DexCom quick facts

Market cap
$33.00B
P/E ratio
33.4
Forward P/E
26.5
EPS, TTM
$2.54
Revenue, TTM
$5.10B
Profit margin
19.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.44
Volume
4.82M avg 4.90M
1-year return
+46.4%
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±7.2%
50-day average
$85.49
200-day average
$74.79
Next earnings
Feb 11 after close
Shares outstanding
373.0M
52-week range
$54.11$92.59

DexCom swing-trade checklist

DexCom scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $88.48 is above the 50-day ($85.49) and 200-day ($74.79) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    53, Neutral

    Reading 53 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    20.8% above

    Price is 20.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 98 days

    Next report Feb 11, 2027, 98 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

DexCom stock chart and price history

DexCom closed at $88.48 on Nov 4, 2026, +46.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $54.11 to $92.59.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
DexCom share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$70$80DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct88.48

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+6.1%
3 months
+6.6%
6 months
+46.6%
1 year
+46.4%
The full DXCM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DXCM in Gekko

Follow DexCom through every session

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About DexCom

DexCom makes continuous glucose monitoring systems for people living with diabetes, along with tools that let doctors and other clinicians track that data. The company's devices are meant to replace routine finger-prick testing, giving users an ongoing read on glucose levels rather than a single snapshot. Its current lineup includes the G6 system, the newer Dexcom ONE, and a remote monitoring feature called Dexcom Share, with a next-generation G7 device in development.

Beyond its own hardware, DexCom offers a Real-Time API that lets outside developers build its glucose data into other health apps, and it has a licensing arrangement with Verily Life Sciences and Verily Ireland to work on further glucose monitoring products. Sales run directly to clinical specialists, including endocrinologists, physicians, and diabetes educators, who work with patients on managing the condition. The company serves markets both within the United States and abroad.

DexCom was started in 1999 and is headquartered in San Diego, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker DXCM.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Health technology
Industry
Medical specialties
Website
dexcom.com

DexCom GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

DexCom’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53, in the Neutral zone, down 14.3 points over five sessions.

010053Neutral

Down 14.3 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying51+2.2%+2.4%+4.5%+1.8%
Accumulation269−0.4%−0.1%−0.9%+1.5%
Neutral (current zone)350−0.3%−0.7%−0.6%−3.4%
Distribution22+0.3%+0.9%−0.4%−1.1%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average DXCM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DXCM price, zone by zone.Track DXCM in Gekko

Is DexCom stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

DexCom trades 20.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $73.23, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what DexCom shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$73.23

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

20.8% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 26.8% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$73$83Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DXCM in Gekko

DexCom insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DexCom, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DXCM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DXCM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DXCM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DXCM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DXCM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DXCM in Gekko

Buybacks

DexCom has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$1.00B, Oct 29, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$400.0M
As a share of market cap
1.21%
Trailing four quarters
$1.35B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 38% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 28, $900K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds DXCM.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

DexCom earnings: next date and track record

DexCom reports on Feb 11, 2027, after the close (98 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.7%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.2%Feb ’25+14.3%May ’25−9.6%Jul ’25−14.6%Oct ’25+2.7%Feb ’26+6.6%Apr ’26+11.1%Jul ’26+4.7%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Dexcom reported Q3 2026 revenue growth of 11% year-over-year on both reported and organic basis, with U.S. revenue up 14%. The company gained market share for multiple consecutive quarters, with strongest growth from Type 2 non-insulin diabetics. Their CONNECT randomized controlled trial showed 1.6% A1c improvement and was published in the New England Journal of Medicine, bolstering the case for CMS reimbursement expansion.
Guidance
Management expects CMS to announce a Type 2 non-insulin CGM coverage decision in 2026, which would significantly expand addressable market. The company anticipates continued low double-digit revenue growth with active patient base growing above that rate.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 29, 2026$0.73
est $0.68
+8.1%$1.34B
est $1.33B
+1.2%+4.7%
Jul 30, 2026$0.70
est $0.61
+14.6%$1.31B
est $1.29B
+1.4%+11.1%
Apr 30, 2026$0.56
est $0.47
+19.1%$1.19B
est $1.17B
+1.5%+6.6%
Feb 12, 2026$0.68
est $0.65
+4.6%$1.26B
est $1.25B
+0.9%+2.7%
Oct 30, 2025$0.61
est $0.58
+5.9%$1.21B
est $1.18B
+2.2%−14.6%
Jul 30, 2025$0.48
est $0.44
+8.2%$1.16B
est $1.12B
+2.9%−9.6%
May 1, 2025$0.32
est $0.33
−2.2%$1.04B
est $1.02B
+1.8%+14.3%
Feb 13, 2025$0.45
est $0.48
−6.1%$1.11B
est $1.11B
+0.4%+6.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

DexCom stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for DexCom is $98.15, +10.9% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$98.15consensus 12-month target, +10.9% from the last close
Low $85High $120
Buy16
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2Leerink PartnersBuy, maintained$94+6.2%
Oct 30Piper SandlerBuy, reiterated$95+7.4%
Oct 30UBSBuy, reiterated$107+20.9%
Oct 30Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$110+24.3%
Oct 30TD CowenBuy, reiterated$95+7.4%
−0.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

DexCom seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, DexCom averaged +5.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−17.5%2021+1.5%2022+23.6%2023+16.1%2024+6.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.3%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.5%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.3%3 of 5

For scale, DXCM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.2%.

DexCom market cap and key statistics

DexCom’s market cap is $33.00B, with a P/E ratio of 33.4 and revenue of $5.10B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$33.00B
P/E ratio
33.4
Forward P/E
26.5
EPS, TTM
$2.54
Gekko Fair Value
$73.23

Trading

Volume
4.82M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.90M
52-week high
$92.59
52-week low
$54.11
Shares outstanding
373.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.10B
Profit margin
19.4%
Return on equity
37.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+2.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.44
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±7.2%

DexCom stock news this week

Coverage of DexCom this week reads positive: 15 positive, 6 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

DexCom peers

DexCom’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
TMOThermo Fisher Scientific−0.3%Neutral14.5% above
ABTAbbott Laboratories+2.5%Distribution8.0% below
ISRGIntuitive Surgical+5.0%Distribution30.4% above
DHRDanaher−0.2%Neutral3.6% above
MDTMedtronic+4.8%Neutral16.0% below
SYKStryker+3.6%Distribution6.5% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Medical specialties

DexCom stock FAQ

What is DexCom’s market cap?

DexCom’s market cap is $33.00B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $88.48, with 373.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 33.4.

What is the DexCom stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for DexCom is $98.15, +10.9% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 16 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is DexCom stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate DexCom is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $88.48 is 20.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $73.23. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does DexCom report earnings next?

DexCom is expected to report on Feb 11, 2027, after the market closes (98 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.71 per share on revenue of $1.38B. DexCom beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.7% on average across the report.

What is DexCom’s 52-week high and low?

DexCom’s 52-week high is $92.59 and its 52-week low is $54.11; it closed at $88.48 on Nov 4, 2026, +46.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $164.86 on Nov 18, 2021.

Is DexCom stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in DexCom?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in DexCom over the last 30 days, with $345K of flagged premium in calls and $555K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 28, 2026 with $900K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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