NASDAQ: ESTA

Establishment Labs (ESTA) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$61.63−0.04 (−0.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Establishment Labs drew attention this week on regulatory and analyst news. The FDA cleared 28 additional Motiva implant sizes, expanding the U.S. portfolio down to 105 cc across Mini, Demi, and Full profiles, yet the stock fell 4.26% to EUR 54.60 at Lang & Schwarz following the announcement. Separately, BTIG and Needham issued bullish ratings on the name, and earlier coverage noted Q2 2026 results with total revenue of $67.5 million, up 31.7% year-over-year, driven by a 140.9% surge in U.S. revenue.

The stock closes at $61.63, down 0.1%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $71.77 and its 200-day average of $72.92, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Three-month performance stands at -28.8% while the one-year return remains positive at 53.6%. The GekkoIndex reads 68.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and price sits 26.7% below the Gekko Fair Value of $84.09.

Earnings are scheduled for 4 November 2026, before the open, 22 days out and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report showed an EPS miss of -0.39 versus -0.34 estimated, with a -15.2% reaction, against a history of 4 beats in 8 quarters and an average absolute reaction of 12.3%. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged +14.6% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective windows, and consensus among 8 analysts stands at buy with a target of $102.44.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Establishment Labs price vs fair value

$84.09$61.63Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $61.63200-day averageGekko Fair Value $84.09

Establishment Labs quick facts

Market cap
$1.81B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
204.1
EPS, TTM
−$1.30
Revenue, TTM
$245.8M
Profit margin
-15.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.06
Volume
277,896 avg 339,921
1-year return
+53.6%
Typical daily move
±4.6%
Typical 20-day move
±9.9%
50-day average
$71.77
200-day average
$72.92
Next earnings
Nov 4 before open
Shares outstanding
29.80M
52-week range
$38.38$97.59

Establishment Labs swing-trade checklist

Establishment Labs scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $61.63 is below the 50-day ($71.77) and 200-day ($72.92) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68.8, Accumulation

    Reading 68.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    26.7% below

    Price is 26.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +14.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +14.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Establishment Labs stock chart and price history

Establishment Labs closed at $61.63 on Oct 12, 2026, +53.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $38.38 to $97.59.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Establishment Labs share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$80NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct61.63

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−13.1%
3 months
−28.8%
6 months
−2.1%
1 year
+53.6%
The full ESTA chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ESTA in Gekko

Follow Establishment Labs through every session

Put ESTA on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Establishment Labs

Establishment Labs designs and sells medical devices used in aesthetic and reconstructive plastic surgery. Its best known products are silicone gel-filled breast implants marketed under the Motiva Implants name, including the Motiva Ergonomix and Motiva Ergonomix2 lines, which are round, soft gel-filled implants that respond to gravity. The company also makes the Motiva Flora Tissue Expander for breast tissue and offers the Puregraft line, used to collect and reposition a patient's own fat tissue.

The company reaches surgeons and medical customers through a combination of its own direct sales staff and exclusive outside distributors. Its products are sold across Europe, Latin America, the Asia-Pacific region, and other markets worldwide, rather than being limited to a single geography.

Establishment Labs was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Alajuela, Costa Rica. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker ESTA.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Health technology
Industry
Medical specialties
Website
establishmentlabs.com

Establishment Labs GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Establishment Labs’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.5 points over five sessions.

010068.8Accumulation

Up 3.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying44+5.1%+6.8%+7.0%+17.9%
Accumulation (current zone)175+1.3%+3.1%+5.7%+10.1%
Neutral411+0.2%0.0%+0.6%+4.7%
Distribution48+0.2%+4.3%+11.6%+10.1%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average ESTA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ESTA price, zone by zone.Track ESTA in Gekko

Is Establishment Labs stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Establishment Labs trades 26.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $84.09, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Establishment Labs shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$84.09

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

26.7% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 27.9% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$84$62Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ESTA in Gekko

Establishment Labs insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Establishment Labs, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ESTA in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ESTA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ESTA in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ESTA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ESTA, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ESTA in Gekko

Buybacks

Establishment Labs has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2024
$119K
As a share of market cap
0.01%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ESTA.

0added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Establishment Labs earnings: next date and track record

Establishment Labs reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±12.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−5.2%Nov ’24+18.9%Feb ’25+5.4%May ’25−16.7%Aug ’25+31.4%Nov ’25+4.4%Feb ’26+1.5%May ’26−15.2%Aug ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026−$0.39
est −$0.34
−14.7%$67.54M
est $65.79M
+2.7%−15.2%
May 6, 2026−$0.40
est −$0.38
−5.3%$59.88M
est $57.40M
+4.3%+1.5%
Feb 24, 2026−$0.09
est −$0.22
+59.6%$64.62M
est $63.80M
+1.3%+4.4%
Nov 5, 2025−$0.38
est −$0.54
+29.6%$53.78M
est $63.80M
−15.7%+31.4%
Aug 7, 2025−$0.57
est −$0.54
−5.6%$51.30M
est $52.48M
−2.2%−16.7%
May 7, 2025−$0.70
est −$0.83
+15.7%$41.38M
est $41.11M
+0.6%+5.4%
Feb 26, 2025−$1.19
est −$0.66
−81.4%$44.51M
est $44.45M
+0.1%+18.9%
Nov 7, 2024−$0.59
est −$0.61
+3.3%$40.23M
est $44.69M
−10.0%−5.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Establishment Labs stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Establishment Labs is $102.44, +66.2% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$102.44consensus 12-month target, +66.2% from the last close
Low $92High $117
Buy8
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 6Canaccord GenuityBuy, reiterated$105+70.4%
Oct 5TD CowenBuy, maintained$117+89.8%
Oct 5BTIGBuy, reiterated$103+67.1%
Sep 24TD CowenBuy, reiterated$117+89.8%
Sep 8JefferiesBuy, reiterated$105+70.4%
+5.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+14.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Establishment Labs seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Establishment Labs averaged +14.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+10.9%2021−2.3%2022−20.6%2023+24.1%2024+66.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+7.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.9%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+14.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.0%3 of 5

For scale, ESTA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.9%.

Establishment Labs market cap and key statistics

Establishment Labs’s market cap is $1.81B and revenue of $245.8M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.81B
Forward P/E
204.1
EPS, TTM
−$1.30
Gekko Fair Value
$84.09

Trading

Volume
277,896
Avg volume, 20 days
339,921
52-week high
$97.59
52-week low
$38.38
Shares outstanding
29.80M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$245.8M
Profit margin
-15.8%
Return on equity
-175.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.06
Typical daily move
±4.6%
Typical 20-day move
±9.9%

Establishment Labs peers

Establishment Labs’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
TMOThermo Fisher Scientific+0.8%Neutral18.2% above
ABTAbbott Laboratories+1.8%Neutral14.7% below
DHRDanaher+0.2%Neutral4.5% above
ISRGIntuitive Surgical+1.1%Neutral18.8% above
MDTMedtronic+1.3%Neutral22.9% below
SYKStryker+1.9%Accumulation12.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Establishment Labs stock FAQ

What is Establishment Labs’s market cap?

Establishment Labs’s market cap is $1.81B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $61.63, with 29.80M shares outstanding.

What is the Establishment Labs stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Establishment Labs is $102.44, +66.2% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Establishment Labs stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Establishment Labs is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $61.63 is 26.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $84.09. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Establishment Labs report earnings next?

Establishment Labs is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.26 per share on revenue of $66.79M. Establishment Labs beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 12.3% on average across the report.

What is Establishment Labs’s 52-week high and low?

Establishment Labs’s 52-week high is $97.59 and its 52-week low is $38.38; it closed at $61.63 on Oct 12, 2026, +53.6% over the past year.

Is Establishment Labs stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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