DRDGOLD (DRD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$24.69−0.18 (−0.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's commentary on DRDGOLD centers on valuation debate and its dividend profile. One piece notes shares up 3.2% to $24.87 while flagging the stock as 4.0% overvalued on an external valuation measure, alongside a GF Score of 95/100 citing strong financial strength and profitability. A separate piece groups DRDGOLD among top dividend stocks, alongside Brown-Forman and Accenture, for its yield and consistency.

DRD closed at $24.69, down 0.7%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $25.92 and 200-day average of $28.08, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. Over the past month shares are down 7.9%, though the three-month return remains positive at 19.1%. The GekkoIndex reads 61.4, placing DRD in the Accumulation zone, down 4.2 points over five sessions. The gap to Gekko Fair Value of $44.77 stands at -44.9%.

No confirmed earnings date is currently on the calendar; the last report, on 28 October 2025, showed EPS of 14.68 against a prior pattern of 2 beats across 7 quarters, with a 1.7% price reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. One analyst carries a buy rating with a consensus target of $35, implying 41.8% upside. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.5% gain over 5 years, rising in 4 of them, worth noting given the stock's typical 20-day move of 10.2%.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

DRDGOLD price vs fair value

$44.77$24.69Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $24.69200-day averageGekko Fair Value $44.77

DRDGOLD quick facts

Market cap
$2.13B
P/E ratio
8.3
Forward P/E
8.3
EPS, TTM
$2.89
Revenue, TTM
$11.16B
Profit margin
38.1%
Dividend yield
4.28%
Beta
0.48
Volume
100,173 avg 233,912
1-year return
−11.9%
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±10.2%
50-day average
$25.92
200-day average
$28.08
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
86.88M
52-week range
$19.47$39.37

DRDGOLD swing-trade checklist

DRDGOLD scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $24.69 is below the 50-day ($25.92) and 200-day ($28.08) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.4, Accumulation

    Reading 61.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    44.9% below

    Price is 44.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

DRDGOLD stock chart and price history

DRDGOLD closed at $24.69 on Oct 12, 2026, −11.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $19.47 to $39.37.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
DRDGOLD share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$15$20$30$35$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct24.69

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.9%
3 months
+19.1%
6 months
−22.1%
1 year
−11.9%
The full DRD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DRD in Gekko

Follow DRDGOLD through every session

Put DRD on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About DRDGOLD

DRDGOLD is a South African gold mining company that focuses on recovering gold from surface tailings rather than from conventional underground ore bodies. Its operations cover the full range of activities needed to turn this material into gold, including exploration, extraction, processing and smelting. The company is best known for reworking material that has already been brought to the surface, rather than mining new deposits from below ground.

Its core activity is centered on surface tailings located in the Witwatersrand basin, within Gauteng province. This reprocessing approach forms the basis of how DRDGOLD generates its business, drawing on material that already exists above ground rather than developing new underground mining projects. The company operates as a subsidiary of Sibanye Gold Limited, which places it within a larger corporate structure rather than functioning as a fully independent operator.

DRDGOLD traces its history back to 1895 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa. The company's shares trade under the ticker DRD.

Sector
Non-energy minerals
Website
drdgold.com

DRDGOLD GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

DRDGOLD’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.4, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.2 points over five sessions.

010061.4Accumulation

Down 4.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying15+2.8%+7.5%+11.2%+21.4%
Accumulation (current zone)206+1.3%+1.8%+5.6%+21.4%
Neutral349+0.7%+1.9%+3.8%+9.5%
Distribution61+3.2%+5.4%+8.1%+7.4%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average DRD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DRD price, zone by zone.Track DRD in Gekko

Is DRDGOLD stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

DRDGOLD trades 44.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $44.77, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what DRDGOLD shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$44.77

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

44.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$45$25Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DRD in Gekko

DRDGOLD insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DRDGOLD, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DRD in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DRD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DRD in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DRD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DRD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DRD in Gekko

DRDGOLD earnings: next date and track record

DRDGOLD beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 7 reports, moving 4.5% on average across the report.

2 of 7reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.5%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.7%Oct ’230.0%Feb ’24−1.4%May ’24−12.3%Aug ’24+2.3%Nov ’24+2.2%Feb ’25+15.0%Aug ’25+1.7%Oct ’25
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 28, 2025$14.68
est $0.00
———+1.7%
Aug 20, 2025$14.68—$230.6M
est $229.0M
+0.7%+15.0%
Feb 18, 2025$11.21
est $0.00
—$200.0M—+2.2%
Nov 28, 2024$0.00
est $0.00
———+2.3%
Aug 21, 2024$0.00
est $0.00
—$179.6M
est $349.1M
−48.5%−12.3%
May 10, 2024$0.00
est $0.00
—$86.05M—−1.4%
Feb 14, 2024$0.00
est $0.00
—$162.4M—0.0%
Oct 27, 2023$0.00
est $0.00
—$77.73M—+0.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

DRDGOLD stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for DRDGOLD is $35.00, +41.8% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$35.00consensus 12-month target, +41.8% from the last close
Buy1
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 22H.C. WainwrightBuy, maintained$35+41.8%
Aug 20H.C. WainwrightBuy, reiterated$35+41.8%
Jul 16H.C. WainwrightBuy, reiterated$35+41.8%
+5.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

DRDGOLD seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, DRDGOLD averaged +4.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+10.5%2021+7.2%2022+3.3%2023+9.3%2024−9.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.0%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.5%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.2%3 of 5

For scale, DRD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.2%.

DRDGOLD market cap and key statistics

DRDGOLD’s market cap is $2.13B, with a P/E ratio of 8.3 and revenue of $11.16B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.13B
P/E ratio
8.3
Forward P/E
8.3
EPS, TTM
$2.89
Gekko Fair Value
$44.77

Trading

Volume
100,173
Avg volume, 20 days
233,912
52-week high
$39.37
52-week low
$19.47
Shares outstanding
86.88M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$11.16B
Profit margin
38.1%
Return on equity
39.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+82.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.48
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±10.2%
Dividend yield
4.28%

DRDGOLD stock news this week

2 headlines about DRDGOLD from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

DRDGOLD stock FAQ

What is DRDGOLD’s market cap?

DRDGOLD’s market cap is $2.13B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $24.69, with 86.88M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.3.

What is the DRDGOLD stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for DRDGOLD is $35.00, +41.8% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is DRDGOLD stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate DRDGOLD is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $24.69 is 44.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $44.77. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is DRDGOLD’s 52-week high and low?

DRDGOLD’s 52-week high is $39.37 and its 52-week low is $19.47; it closed at $24.69 on Oct 12, 2026, −11.9% over the past year.

Is DRDGOLD stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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