Central Puerto (CEPU) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$12.82+0.18 (+1.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week brought continued dual-market share buybacks by Central Puerto and its subsidiary Proener S.A.U., with purchases on BYMA and the NYSE spanning early October, including 120,000 ordinary shares and 30,000 ADRs on separate occasions, part of what the company describes as active capital management. Alongside this, Bank of America cut its price target on CEPU from $29.00 to $28.00 while maintaining a Buy rating, against a backdrop of reported Q2 2026 revenue growth of 190% year-over-year and a profit margin decline from 40% to 19%.

CEPU closed at $12.82, down from its 50-day average of $13.38 and 200-day average of $14.92, with the 50-day sitting below the 200-day. The stock's one-month return stands at -9.3%, its three-month return at -13.8%, and its six-month return at -20.7%, though its one-year return remains at 43.9%. The GekkoIndex reads 61.1, placing CEPU in the Accumulation zone, down 5.4 points over the past five readings. The gap to Gekko Fair Value of $23.60 stands at -45.7%.

Central Puerto's next earnings report is scheduled for 11 November 2026, after close, 30 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior report on 11 August 2026 showed EPS of $1.40 against an estimate of $0.28, with a -3.8% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 3 of the last 7 quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective windows. Seasonality from this calendar point shows a 21.2% average 20-day return over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Central Puerto price vs fair value

▲$23.60$12.82Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $12.82200-day averageGekko Fair Value $23.60

Central Puerto quick facts

Market cap
$1.92B
P/E ratio
5.5
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
$2.28
Revenue, TTM
$1.70T
Profit margin
28.8%
Dividend yield
8.46%
Beta
-0.18
Volume
292,896 avg 274,060
1-year return
+43.9%
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.9%
50-day average
$13.38
200-day average
$14.92
Next earnings
Nov 11 after close
Shares outstanding
149.9M
52-week range
$8.41$18.50

Central Puerto swing-trade checklist

Central Puerto scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $12.82 is below the 50-day ($13.38) and 200-day ($14.92) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.1, Accumulation

    Reading 61.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    45.7% below

    Price is 45.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Nov 11, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +21.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +21.2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Central Puerto stock chart and price history

Central Puerto closed at $12.82 on Oct 12, 2026, +43.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.41 to $18.50.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Central Puerto share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$8$10$12$14$16$18NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct12.82

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.3%
3 months
−13.8%
6 months
−20.7%
1 year
+43.9%
The full CEPU chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CEPU in Gekko

Follow Central Puerto through every session

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About Central Puerto

Central Puerto generates and supplies electricity across Argentina, selling to a mix of government bodies and private customers. Alongside power generation, it also produces steam. Its generation base, totaling 4,809 MW as of December 31, 2021, draws on a mix of five thermal plants, one hydroelectric facility, and seven wind farms, giving it a spread of conventional and renewable sources.

The company's output reaches both public sector entities and private users throughout the country, reflecting a customer base that spans utility-scale and commercial demand rather than a single type of buyer.

Central Puerto traces its origins to 1898 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Its shares trade under the ticker CEPU.

Sector
Utilities
Website
centralpuerto.com

Central Puerto GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Central Puerto’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.1, in the Accumulation zone, down 5.4 points over five sessions.

010061.1Accumulation

Down 5.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying27+4.9%+4.6%+5.6%+43.6%
Accumulation (current zone)244+0.3%+0.7%+2.5%+6.3%
Neutral324+0.4%+0.9%+1.4%+2.7%
Distribution40+1.0%+1.9%+4.4%+4.8%
Selling0Not available

Average CEPU share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CEPU price, zone by zone.Track CEPU in Gekko

Is Central Puerto stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Central Puerto trades 45.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $23.60, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Central Puerto shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$23.60

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 9, 2026

45.7% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 33.9% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$24$13Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CEPU in Gekko

Central Puerto insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Central Puerto, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CEPU in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CEPU insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CEPU in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CEPU were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CEPU, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CEPU in Gekko

Central Puerto earnings: next date and track record

Central Puerto reports on Nov 11, 2026, after the close (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 7 reports.

3 of 7reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+5.4%Nov ’24+6.9%Mar ’25+8.4%May ’25+0.2%Aug ’25+3.1%Nov ’25−4.1%Mar ’26−2.5%May ’26−3.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 11, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Central Puerto's Q2 26 earnings call highlighted strong operational and financial performance, driven by high adjusted EBITDA ($145M, +20.1% q/q, +136.2% y/y) and revenue growth ($453.3M, +82.3% q/q, +165.8% y/y) supported by significant spot compensation related to self-procured fuel (USD176.4M). Generation totaled 5.25 TWh (down 3.1% q/q, up 20.1% y/y). Capex H1 26 was $421.9M including Piedra del Aguila concession, oil & gas block acquisition, and battery storage projects. Net financial leverage was 1.2x adjusted EBITDA. Management discussed expectations for self-procurement of fuel in Q3 similar to Q2, declining into Q4 due to Plan Gas.AR constraints and limited liquid fuel usage; potential ramp of local natural gas procurement in 2027 and beyond was noted. Growth opportunities include participation in upcoming capacity schemes/auctions, battery projects (AlmaGBA), potential PPAs with distribution companies and industrial customers, and Vaca Muerta oil & gas development. Management emphasized a balanced strategy between spot exposure and contracted PPAs. Battery storage EBITDA contribution estimates were not quantified; potential battery and thermal capacity additions discussed. Q&A tone was constructive and confident, with detailed answers and openness about uncertainties. Risks include reliance on regulatory environment (Plan Gas.AR), winter seasonality driving self-procurement and spot revenues, uncertainty on ability to secure local gas suppliers, timing of government auctions/capacity scheme, and transmission/feasibility timelines for large mining projects. Overall sentiment is moderately positive.
Guidance
Management provided directional guidance: expect similar levels of self-procured fuel in July (thus Q3 similar to Q2), potentially slightly lower in August if winter eases; reduction in self-procured fuel in Q4 due to Plan Gas.AR limiting local gas procurement; anticipate growth opportunities from upcoming regular capacity scheme possibly announced this quarter or next; ramp of local natural gas procurement likely through 2027-2028 with partial (approx. one-third to 40%) of natural gas consumption potentially self-procured earlier; no explicit quantitative revenue or EPS guidance provided.
Risks flagged
Regulatory risk (Plan Gas.Ar contracts limiting ability to procure local natural gas), seasonality and commodity price risk (winter-driven spot prices and self-procurement), execution/timing risk for project development (battery projects, transmission lines, Vaca Muerta development), and counterparty/contract risk (distribution companies' varied credit/regulatory situations).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 11, 2026$1.40
est $0.28
+400.0%—
est $204.9M
—−3.8%
May 12, 2026$0.11
est $0.35
−70.1%$247.2M
est $242.7M
+1.8%−2.5%
Mar 5, 2026$0.11
est $0.36
−70.2%$218.4M
est $184.8M
+18.2%−4.1%
Nov 10, 2025$0.25
est $0.40
−37.8%$177.5M
est $162.4M
+9.3%+3.1%
Aug 11, 2025$57.00
est $0.00
—$172.9M—+0.2%
May 12, 2025$0.52—$195.4M—+8.4%
Mar 11, 2025−$0.21
est $0.03
−800.0%$208.7M
est $175.8M
+18.7%+6.9%
Nov 11, 2024$0.26
est $0.04
+550.0%$185.2M
est $162.4M
+14.1%+5.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Central Puerto stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Central Puerto is $23.81, +85.7% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$23.81consensus 12-month target, +85.7% from the last close
Buy1
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 17Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$28+118.4%
+2.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+21.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Central Puerto seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Central Puerto averaged +21.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+9.5%2021+9.4%2022−0.5%2023+14.5%2024+72.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+6.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+19.4%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+21.2%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+20.9%4 of 5

For scale, CEPU’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.9%.

Central Puerto market cap and key statistics

Central Puerto’s market cap is $1.92B, with a P/E ratio of 5.5 and revenue of $1.70T over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.92B
P/E ratio
5.5
EPS, TTM
$2.28
Gekko Fair Value
$23.60

Trading

Volume
292,896
Avg volume, 20 days
274,060
52-week high
$18.50
52-week low
$8.41
Shares outstanding
149.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.70T
Profit margin
28.8%
Return on equity
19%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+50.5%

Risk and income

Beta
-0.18
Typical daily move
±3.8%
Typical 20-day move
±8.9%
Dividend yield
8.46%

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Central Puerto stock FAQ

What is Central Puerto’s market cap?

Central Puerto’s market cap is $1.92B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $12.82, with 149.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 5.5.

What is the Central Puerto stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Central Puerto is $23.81, +85.7% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Central Puerto stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Central Puerto is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $12.82 is 45.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $23.60. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Central Puerto report earnings next?

Central Puerto is expected to report on Nov 11, 2026, after the market closes (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.00 per share on revenue of $294.1M. Central Puerto beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 7 reports, moving 4.3% on average across the report.

What is Central Puerto’s 52-week high and low?

Central Puerto’s 52-week high is $18.50 and its 52-week low is $8.41; it closed at $12.82 on Oct 12, 2026, +43.9% over the past year.

Is Central Puerto stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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