NYSE: BZH

Beazer Homes USA (BZH) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$33.43+0.02 (+0.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Beazer Homes this week drew attention after Texas Capital Securities downgraded the stock from Buy to Hold, setting a $33.50 price target that matches a proposed acquisition price from Dream Finders Homes. The downgrade followed a decline in fiscal Q3 revenue of 5.3% to $516.3 million and a drop in adjusted EBITDA, with BZH shares holding near $33.50, below the cash offer level referenced in coverage.

BZH closed at $33.43, up 0.1%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $33.28 and its 200-day average of $26.68, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 51.5, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 0.8 over five days. Price sits 19.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $27.87, a gap the consensus target of $27.50 and its -17.7% implied downside also reflect, alongside two analyst firms rated Hold.

The next earnings report is set for 12 November 2026 after the close, 30 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter's report produced an 8.6% average absolute reaction historically, with the last print an 8.5% decline against a miss of -0.90 versus a -0.49 estimate. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 7.5% gain over 5 years, rising in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the fair value gap.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Beazer Homes USA price vs fair value

$33.43$27.87Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $33.43200-day averageGekko Fair Value $27.87

Beazer Homes USA quick facts

Market cap
$913.8M
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
17.5
EPS, TTM
−$0.34
Revenue, TTM
$2.08B
Profit margin
-0.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
2.19
Volume
470,825 avg 761,338
1-year return
+48.5%
Typical daily move
±0.2%
Typical 20-day move
±8.9%
50-day average
$33.28
200-day average
$26.68
Next earnings
Nov 12 after close
Shares outstanding
26.68M
52-week range
$17.83$34.54

Beazer Homes USA swing-trade checklist

Beazer Homes USA scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $33.43 is above the 50-day ($33.28) and 200-day ($26.68) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    51.5, Neutral

    Reading 51.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    19.9% above

    Price is 19.9% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 31 days

    Next report Nov 12, 2026, 31 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +7.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Beazer Homes USA stock chart and price history

Beazer Homes USA closed at $33.43 on Oct 12, 2026, +48.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $17.83 to $34.54.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Beazer Homes USA share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$25$30$35NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct33.43

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+0.5%
3 months
+2.6%
6 months
+53.7%
1 year
+48.5%
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Follow Beazer Homes USA through every session

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About Beazer Homes USA

Beazer Homes USA builds and sells houses across the United States, handling the planning, construction, and marketing of both standalone and attached homes. Its properties reach buyers under three separate brand names: Beazer Homes, Gatherings, and Choice Plans, covering different styles of residential living.

Sales run through a mix of commissioned consultants working directly for the company and outside real estate agents who help place its homes on the market. The business spans a broad set of states, including Arizona, California, Nevada, Texas, Delaware, Maryland, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina, giving it a presence in many regional housing markets rather than a single local one.

The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker BZH.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer durables
Industry
Homebuilding
Website
beazer.com

Beazer Homes USA GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Beazer Homes USA’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 51.5, in the Neutral zone, down 0.8 points over five sessions.

010051.5Neutral

Down 0.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying55+2.8%+3.3%+2.9%+1.8%
Accumulation209+0.9%+2.1%+2.4%+2.8%
Neutral (current zone)395−0.3%−0.7%0.0%+2.2%
Distribution22−0.8%−1.4%−3.6%−0.2%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average BZH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BZH price, zone by zone.Track BZH in Gekko

Is Beazer Homes USA stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Beazer Homes USA trades 19.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $27.87, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Beazer Homes USA shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$27.87

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

19.9% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BZH in Gekko

Beazer Homes USA insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Beazer Homes USA, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BZH in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BZH insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BZH in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BZH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BZH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BZH in Gekko

Buybacks

Beazer Homes USA has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$20.62M
As a share of market cap
2.26%
Trailing four quarters
$66.21M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold BZH.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Beazer Homes USA earnings: next date and track record

Beazer Homes USA reports on Nov 12, 2026, after the close (31 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.6%May ’24−15.1%Aug ’24+8.0%Nov ’24−17.7%Jan ’25+8.6%May ’25−7.3%Jul ’25+0.3%Nov ’25−8.5%Jan ’26

Last earnings call, Jan 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Beazer Homes reported Q1 FY2026 results in a soft demand environment, with most metrics at or below expectations. The company is executing cost reductions of $10,000+ per home (~200 bps) in labor and materials, targeting 300 bps total margin expansion by year-end. BZH repurchased $15M in stock during Q1 ($48M trailing 12 months, ~7% of shares) and expects ~$150M from nonstrategic asset sales. Solar-included homes and new branding initiatives are showing early positive results.
Guidance
Management targets full-year EBITDA and book value per share growth, with newer communities projected to grow from 10% of Q1 revenue to ~50% of Q4 revenue at substantially higher ASPs and margins. The company expects to fully execute its $72M remaining share repurchase authorization in fiscal 2026.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jan 29, 2026−$0.90
est −$0.49
−83.7%$363.5M
est $423.4M
−14.1%−8.5%
Nov 13, 2025$1.07
est $0.80
+34.1%$791.9M
est $674.8M
+17.4%+0.3%
Jul 31, 2025$0.26
est $0.42
−38.1%$545.4M
est $674.8M
−19.2%−7.3%
May 1, 2025$0.42
est $0.26
+61.5%$565.3M
est $541.8M
+4.3%+8.6%
Jan 30, 2025$0.10
est $0.31
−67.7%$469.0M
est $464.9M
+0.9%−17.7%
Nov 13, 2024$1.69
est $1.36
+24.3%$806.2M
est $774.6M
+4.1%+8.0%
Aug 1, 2024$0.88
est $0.84
+4.8%$595.7M
est $799.8M
−25.5%−15.1%
May 1, 2024$1.26
est $0.91
+38.5%$541.5M
est $572.1M
−5.3%−3.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Beazer Homes USA stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Beazer Homes USA is $27.50, −17.7% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$27.50consensus 12-month target, −17.7% from the last close
Buy0
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 10Texas Capital SecuritiesHold, downgraded$33.50+0.2%
Aug 7OppenheimerHold, downgraded——
0.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+7.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±0.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Beazer Homes USA seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Beazer Homes USA averaged +7.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+10.2%2021+7.0%2022+18.2%2023+5.1%2024−0.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.3%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.3%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+7.5%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+11.9%4 of 5

For scale, BZH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.9%.

Beazer Homes USA market cap and key statistics

Beazer Homes USA’s market cap is $913.8M and revenue of $2.08B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$913.8M
Forward P/E
17.5
EPS, TTM
−$0.34
Gekko Fair Value
$27.87

Trading

Volume
470,825
Avg volume, 20 days
761,338
52-week high
$34.54
52-week low
$17.83
Shares outstanding
26.68M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.08B
Profit margin
-0.4%
Return on equity
-0.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−39.9%

Risk and income

Beta
2.19
Typical daily move
±0.2%
Typical 20-day move
±8.9%

Beazer Homes USA stock news this week

Coverage of Beazer Homes USA this week reads negative: 0 positive, 1 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

Beazer Homes USA peers

Beazer Homes USA’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DHID.R. Horton+0.2%Accumulation2.8% below
PHMPulteGroup−0.5%Accumulation19.9% below
LEN.BLennar−3.0%Accumulation26.5% below
LENLennar−1.9%Accumulation25.1% below
NVRNVR−2.7%Accumulation13.4% below
TOLToll Brothers−0.1%Accumulation23.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Beazer Homes USA stock FAQ

What is Beazer Homes USA’s market cap?

Beazer Homes USA’s market cap is $913.8M at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $33.43, with 26.68M shares outstanding.

What is the Beazer Homes USA stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Beazer Homes USA is $27.50, −17.7% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Beazer Homes USA stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Beazer Homes USA is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $33.43 is 19.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $27.87. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Beazer Homes USA report earnings next?

Beazer Homes USA is expected to report on Nov 12, 2026, after the market closes (31 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.82 per share on revenue of $812.1M. Beazer Homes USA beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.6% on average across the report.

What is Beazer Homes USA’s 52-week high and low?

Beazer Homes USA’s 52-week high is $34.54 and its 52-week low is $17.83; it closed at $33.43 on Oct 12, 2026, +48.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $38.22 on Nov 14, 2024.

Is Beazer Homes USA stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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