NASDAQ: TMUS

T-Mobile US (TMUS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

T-Mobile US, Inc. Communications sector, wireless telecommunications industry. Market cap $180.4B.

$168.18+1.73 (+1.0%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

T-Mobile US closes at $168.18, up 1% on the day, but the stock sits below both its 50-day average of $181.21 and its 200-day average of $193.15, with the shorter average also under the longer one. Shares have fallen 7.8% over the past month and 29.8% over the past year, recently touching a 52-week low near $164. The GekkoIndex reads 70, placing TMUS in the Buying zone, while the price sits 31.2% below the Gekko Fair Value of $244.59.

This week's coverage centers on the stock's decline and its balance sheet. One report notes TMUS carries $86.9 billion in debt that is largely fixed-rate, insulating it from recent Federal Reserve rate moves, even as another flagged the shares hitting a 52-week low of $164.50. T-Mobile confirmed its Q3 2026 earnings call for 28 October. Separately, Corient Private Wealth LP cut its TMUS holding by 48.0% in the second quarter, the company's chief accounting officer sold $137,670 in shares under a 10b5-1 plan, and T-Mobile and Verizon settled lawsuits over competing ad campaigns.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date of 28 October, 38 days away, falls outside that window. In the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells in TMUS. Seasonally, this stretch has averaged a -0.6% move over 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst coverage shows 14 buy, 3 hold and 0 sell ratings among 17 firms, with a consensus target of $243.38.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $168.18200-day averageGekko Fair Value $244.59

Key stats

Market cap
$180.4B
P/E ratio
18.5
Forward P/E
12.5
EPS, TTM
$9.02
Revenue, TTM
$92.19B
Profit margin
11.5%
Dividend yield
2.31%
Beta
0.33
Volume
12.69M avg 4.38M
1-year return
−29.8%
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
50-day average
$181.21
200-day average
$193.15
Next earnings
Oct 28 after close
Shares outstanding
1.07B
52-week range
$164.02$242.37

T-Mobile US swing-trade checklist

T-Mobile US scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $168.18 is below the 50-day ($181.21) and 200-day ($193.15) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    70, Buying

    Reading 70 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    31.2% below

    Price is 31.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 38 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −0.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

T-Mobile US stock chart and price history

T-Mobile US closed at $168.18 on Sep 18, 2026, −29.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $164.02 to $242.37.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.8%
3 months
−7.4%
6 months
−18.6%
1 year
−29.8%
The full TMUS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TMUS in Gekko

Follow T-Mobile US through every session

Put TMUS on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track TMUS in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About T-Mobile US

T-Mobile US provides mobile telecommunications service to customers across the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. It serves roughly 108.7 million subscribers with voice, messaging, and data connections, and it is widely recognized for this wireless network business. Alongside connectivity, the company sells phones, tablets, wearables, and other mobile devices, together with related accessories, under the T-Mobile and Metro by T-Mobile brand names.

Its subscriber base spans postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale customers. Devices and service plans reach customers through company-owned stores, the T-Mobile app, its websites, and customer support channels, while devices also flow through independent dealers and other resellers that operate their own storefronts and online outlets. Its physical network relies on a large number of macro cell towers as well as small cell and distributed antenna installations that extend coverage in denser areas.

T-Mobile US traces its founding to 1994 and runs its operations from Bellevue, Washington. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker TMUS.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Communications
Industry
Wireless telecommunications
Website
t-mobile.com

T-Mobile US GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

T-Mobile US’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70, in the Buying zone, up 10.3 points over five sessions.

010070Buying

Up 10.3 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)33+1.5%+2.9%+0.5%+1.6%
Accumulation261−0.1%−0.2%+0.3%+1.0%
Neutral322+0.1%+0.2%+0.6%+1.3%
Distribution42+0.9%+1.4%+2.4%+4.9%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average TMUS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TMUS price, zone by zone.Track TMUS in Gekko

Is T-Mobile US stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

T-Mobile US trades 31.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $244.59, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what T-Mobile US shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$244.59

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

31.2% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TMUS in Gekko

T-Mobile US insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for T-Mobile US, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TMUS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TMUS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TMUS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 12
traded Jul 7

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

T-Mobile US has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$2.32B
As a share of market cap
1.29%
Trailing four quarters
$12.07B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds TMUS.

0added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

T-Mobile US earnings: next date and track record

T-Mobile US reports on Oct 28, 2026, after the close (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.9%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.6%Oct ’24+6.0%Jan ’25−10.2%Apr ’25+6.1%Jul ’25−4.2%Oct ’25+7.6%Feb ’26+8.4%Apr ’26−5.7%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 AI summary

What they said
T-Mobile Q2 2026 earnings call. Management (CEO Srini Gopalan and CFO Peter Osvaldik) highlighted record NPS (46), strong postpaid account growth, network superiority, successful integration of UScellular, and strong fixed wireless (FWA) and fiber JV progress. CFO reiterated outlook: postpaid account net additions of 950k-1,050k, Q3 postpaid net adds ~250k due to rate plan modernization, full-year service revenue ~ $77B (8% growth), postpaid ARPA growth 2.5%-3%, core adjusted EBITDA $37.1B-$37.5B (10% growth midpoint), Q3 core adj. EBITDA ~$9.4B, full-year cash CapEx ~$10B, increased adjusted FCF to $18.4B-$18.8B (up $200M at midpoint). Management discussed device subsidy strategy (not increasing subsidies), spectrum and capacity strategy (fallow capacity model), FWA vs LEO satellite competition (T-Mobile believes FWA superior in many markets), D2D/Starlink JV progress (long-form agreement forthcoming), fiber JV performance (~20% penetration in first 12 months), use of AI in network optimization for events, and buyback/capital allocation framework (flexible). Q&A covered competition, capacity concerns, AI traffic, auctions (C-band 2.0 and 2.7), prepaid dynamics, wholesale trends (DISH roll-off), and D2D exclusivity (not ending this year).
Guidance
Full-year guidance reiterated and updated: postpaid account net additions expected 950,000-1,050,000; Q3 net postpaid account additions ~250,000 (temporary elevated churn due to rate plan modernization); full-year service revenue ~ $77 billion (~8% growth); postpaid ARPA growth 2.5%-3% for the year; core adjusted EBITDA $37.1B-$37.5B for full year (~10% growth at midpoint); Q3 core adjusted EBITDA ~ $9.4B (~8% YoY); full-year cash CapEx ~$10B; adjusted free cash flow guidance increased to $18.4B-$18.8B (up $200M at midpoint).
Risks flagged
Management noted risks and uncertainties related to forward-looking statements and directed listeners to SEC filings. Specific operational risks discussed included potential elevated churn in Q3 from rate plan modernization; competitive dynamics in device subsidies and fixed wireless vs LEO/satellite; spectrum auction timing/opportunity and capital allocation trade-offs (spectrum vs buybacks); wholesale revenue roll-offs (DISH); macro uncertainties referenced generally.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 23, 2026$3.13
est $2.49
+25.7%$22.79B
est $22.95B
−0.7%−5.7%
Apr 28, 2026$2.27
est $1.97
+15.1%$23.11B
est $22.98B
+0.5%+8.4%
Feb 11, 2026$1.88
est $2.05
−8.3%$24.33B
est $24.17B
+0.7%+7.6%
Oct 23, 2025$2.59
est $2.40
+7.9%$21.96B
est $21.91B
+0.2%−4.2%
Jul 23, 2025$2.84
est $2.67
+6.4%$21.13B
est $21.04B
+0.5%+6.1%
Apr 24, 2025$2.58
est $2.47
+4.5%$20.89B
est $20.63B
+1.3%−10.2%
Jan 29, 2025$2.57
est $2.29
+12.2%$21.87B
est $21.33B
+2.5%+6.0%
Oct 23, 2024$2.61
est $2.42
+7.9%$20.16B
est $20.01B
+0.7%+6.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

T-Mobile US stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for T-Mobile US is $243.38, +44.7% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$243.38consensus 12-month target, +44.7% from the last close
Low $169High $280
Buy14
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 14BernsteinHold, maintained$220+30.8%
Sep 3Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$230+36.8%
Aug 31BernsteinHold, maintained$220+30.8%
Aug 18BernsteinHold, maintained$220+30.8%
Aug 16Wolfe ResearchHold, downgraded
+0.5%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−0.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

T-Mobile US seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, T-Mobile US averaged −0.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−6.6%2021−4.9%2022+0.2%2023+11.2%2024−3.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.5%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.6%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.0%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.6%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.5%3 of 5

For scale, TMUS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.4%.

T-Mobile US market cap and key statistics

T-Mobile US’s market cap is $180.4B, with a P/E ratio of 18.5 and revenue of $92.19B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$180.4B
P/E ratio
18.5
Forward P/E
12.5
EPS, TTM
$9.02
Gekko Fair Value
$244.59

Trading

Volume
12.69M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.38M
52-week high
$242.37
52-week low
$164.02
Shares outstanding
1.07B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$92.19B
Profit margin
11.5%
Return on equity
18%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+5.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.33
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
Dividend yield
2.31%

T-Mobile US peers

T-Mobile US’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
VZVerizon Communications+1.2%Accumulation29.3% below
TAT&T+1.3%Neutral34.7% below
RCIRogers Communication+0.2%Accumulation35.5% below
TIGOMillicom International Cellular−0.5%Neutral14.9% below
TUTelus−1.1%Buying45.1% below
GSATGlobalstar+0.5%Neutral2.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

T-Mobile US stock FAQ

What is T-Mobile US’s market cap?

T-Mobile US’s market cap is $180.4B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $168.18, with 1.07B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 18.5.

What is the T-Mobile US stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for T-Mobile US is $243.38, +44.7% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is T-Mobile US stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate T-Mobile US is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $168.18 is 31.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $244.59. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does T-Mobile US report earnings next?

T-Mobile US is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, after the market closes (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.85 per share on revenue of $23.16B. T-Mobile US beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.9% on average across the report.

What is T-Mobile US’s 52-week high and low?

T-Mobile US’s 52-week high is $242.37 and its 52-week low is $164.02; it closed at $168.18 on Sep 18, 2026, −29.8% over the past year.

Is T-Mobile US stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See T-Mobile US the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,349 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.