Brixmor Property (BRX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$28.00−0.07 (−0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Brixmor and Everview Partners have agreed to acquire Toronto-based Slate Grocery REIT for $2.34 billion, valuing Slate at $13.00 per unit in cash. Brixmor will directly acquire 23 grocery-anchored shopping centers for $636 million, while a joint venture between Brixmor and Everview will purchase the remaining 92 assets for $1.71 billion. The transaction is expected to close in the first quarter, after which Slate will delist from the Toronto Stock Exchange, expanding Brixmor's grocery-anchored retail footprint.

Shares closed at $28.00, down 0.2% on the day and down 3.8% over the past month, sitting between the 50-day average of $29.78 and the 200-day average of $29.35. The stock trades in the Accumulation zone of the GekkoIndex at a reading of 69.2, and price sits 36.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $44.33. The 52-week range spans $24.66 to $32.86.

Brixmor's next earnings report is scheduled for 26 October 2026, 27 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding period; the prior quarter showed EPS of $0.58 matching estimates, with a 1.9% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.1% gain over 5 years, positive in 4 of those years. Analyst consensus among 15 firms stands at 12 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $35.39.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Brixmor Property price vs fair value

▲$44.33$28.00Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $28.00200-day averageGekko Fair Value $44.33

Brixmor Property quick facts

Market cap
$8.59B
P/E ratio
20
Forward P/E
25.2
EPS, TTM
$1.38
Revenue, TTM
$1.40B
Profit margin
30.8%
Dividend yield
4.33%
Beta
0.95
Volume
5.32M avg 3.14M
1-year return
+2.8%
Typical daily move
±1.5%
Typical 20-day move
±3.8%
50-day average
$29.78
200-day average
$29.35
Next earnings
Oct 26
Shares outstanding
306.9M
52-week range
$24.66$32.86

Brixmor Property swing-trade checklist

Brixmor Property scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $28.00 sits between the 50-day ($29.78) and 200-day ($29.35) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.2, Accumulation

    Reading 69.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    36.8% below

    Price is 36.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 27 days

    Reports on Oct 26, 2026, 27 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Brixmor Property stock chart and price history

Brixmor Property closed at $28.00 on Sep 28, 2026, +2.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $24.66 to $32.86.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Brixmor Property share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$26$30$32NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep28.00

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.8%
3 months
−13.0%
6 months
−1.3%
1 year
+2.8%
The full BRX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BRX in Gekko

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About Brixmor Property

Brixmor Property owns and runs open-air shopping centers across the country, offering retail space in established trade areas rather than a single product line to shoppers. The portfolio covers 395 properties totaling roughly 69 million square feet, and the company is best known for positioning these centers as everyday destinations within their local communities.

The business works as a real estate investment trust, earning income by leasing space to tenants rather than selling goods itself. It counts nearly 5,000 retail businesses as tenants, ranging from national chains to regional and independent operators, including well-known names such as The TJX Companies, The Kroger Co., Publix Super Markets, Wal-Mart, Ross Stores, and L.A. Fitness.

Shares of Brixmor Property trade on the NYSE under the ticker BRX.

Sector
Finance
Website
brixmor.com

Brixmor Property GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Brixmor Property’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.2, in the Accumulation zone, down 5.1 points over five sessions.

010069.2Accumulation

Down 5.1 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying25+0.6%+0.2%+0.6%+3.0%
Accumulation (current zone)178+0.3%+0.3%+0.4%+2.1%
Neutral396+0.2%+0.5%+1.3%+3.3%
Distribution26+0.1%+0.9%0.0%+2.5%
Selling0Not available

Average BRX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BRX price, zone by zone.Track BRX in Gekko

Is Brixmor Property stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Brixmor Property trades 36.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $44.33, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Brixmor Property shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$44.33

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 25, 2026

36.8% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BRX in Gekko

Brixmor Property insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Brixmor Property, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BRX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BRX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BRX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BRX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BRX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BRX in Gekko

Buybacks

Brixmor Property has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$16.38M
As a share of market cap
0.19%
Trailing four quarters
$16.72M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds BRX.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Brixmor Property earnings: next date and track record

Brixmor Property reports on Oct 26, 2026 (27 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.2%Oct ’24+2.0%Feb ’25−3.4%Apr ’25+2.8%Jul ’25−4.1%Oct ’25+1.8%Feb ’26+0.2%Apr ’26−1.9%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Brixmor reported a strong operating quarter driven by 5.8% same-property NOI growth, solid leasing activity (1.4M sq ft at a blended cash spread of 19%), record small-shop occupancy, and a record ‘sign but not yet commenced’ (SNOC) pipeline. Management emphasized robust tenant demand, limited new supply, and continued portfolio mark-to-market and reinvestment opportunities. Acquisitions in the quarter blended to a low-6% cap rate; the company increased its same-property NOI guidance and raised full-year FFO guidance. The balance sheet showed improvement (S&P outlook revised to positive), $600M June maturity repaid, and active reuse of capital for reinvestment. Management acknowledged some headwinds from straight-line rental reversals tied to bankruptcies and box recaptures that reduced near-term occupancy, but said these were expected and will be accretive when redeployments and rent commencements occur.
Guidance
Updated same-property NOI growth: 5.0% to 5.75%. NAREIT FFO guidance: $2.35 to $2.37 per share. Revenue deemed uncollectible: expected 60 to 85 basis points of total revenues. Expect noncash rental income to return to run rate for remainder of year. Rent commencements: ~$29M expected to commence in back half of 2026; ~ $37M expected to commence in 2027. Reinvestment pipeline shown at roughly $350M with expected multi-year $150M–$200M reinvestment cadence.
Risks flagged
Near-term headwinds from recaptured boxes and associated occupancy volatility; recent straight-line rental reversals and bankruptcy-related noncash income reductions; higher uncollectible guidance (60–85 bps vs. ~50 bps YTD) and seasonality in collections; competition and private capital entering open-air retail potentially compressing transaction spreads; transaction activity may be lumpy, affecting timing of growth; macro/retailer health risks though management states tenant base is strong.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 27, 2026$0.58
est $0.58
0.0%$353.9M
est $354.4M
−0.1%−1.9%
Apr 27, 2026$0.25
est $0.25
0.0%$354.3M
est $349.4M
+1.4%+0.2%
Feb 9, 2026$0.58
est $0.24
+142.8%$352.2M
est $347.8M
+1.3%+1.8%
Oct 27, 2025$0.56
est $0.56
0.0%$340.8M
est $347.4M
−1.9%−4.1%
Jul 28, 2025$0.56
est $0.55
+1.8%$339.5M
est $336.5M
+0.9%+2.8%
Apr 28, 2025$0.56
est $0.55
+1.8%$337.5M
est $331.1M
+1.9%−3.4%
Feb 10, 2025$0.19
est $0.22
−13.6%$328.4M
est $328.8M
−0.1%+2.0%
Oct 28, 2024$0.22
est $0.22
0.0%$320.7M
est $328.5M
−2.4%+0.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Brixmor Property stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Brixmor Property is $35.39, +26.4% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$35.39consensus 12-month target, +26.4% from the last close
Low $30High $40
Buy12
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 25Piper SandlerBuy, reiterated$40+42.9%
Sep 24Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, maintained$30+7.1%
Sep 21Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$35+25.0%
Sep 1Wells FargoHold, maintained$33+17.9%
Aug 17UBSBuy, maintained$37+32.1%
+0.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Brixmor Property seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Brixmor Property averaged +3.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.7%2021+14.1%2022−4.3%2023−0.5%2024+2.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.4%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.8%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.1%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.1%4 of 5

For scale, BRX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.8%.

Brixmor Property market cap and key statistics

Brixmor Property’s market cap is $8.59B, with a P/E ratio of 20 and revenue of $1.40B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$8.59B
P/E ratio
20
Forward P/E
25.2
EPS, TTM
$1.38
Gekko Fair Value
$44.33

Trading

Volume
5.32M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.14M
52-week high
$32.86
52-week low
$24.66
Shares outstanding
306.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.40B
Profit margin
30.8%
Return on equity
14.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−14.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.95
Typical daily move
±1.5%
Typical 20-day move
±3.8%
Dividend yield
4.33%

Brixmor Property stock news this week

Coverage of Brixmor Property this week reads positive: 8 positive, 3 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

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In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

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Brixmor Property stock FAQ

What is Brixmor Property’s market cap?

Brixmor Property’s market cap is $8.59B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $28.00, with 306.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.

What is the Brixmor Property stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Brixmor Property is $35.39, +26.4% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Brixmor Property stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Brixmor Property is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $28.00 is 36.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $44.33. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Brixmor Property report earnings next?

Brixmor Property is expected to report on Oct 26, 2026 (27 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.23 per share on revenue of $357.2M. Brixmor Property beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.1% on average across the report.

What is Brixmor Property’s 52-week high and low?

Brixmor Property’s 52-week high is $32.86 and its 52-week low is $24.66; it closed at $28.00 on Sep 28, 2026, +2.8% over the past year.

Is Brixmor Property stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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