Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AXTI in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every AXTI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AXTI in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeAXT shares fell 9.5% this week to $61.98, extending a multi-session losing streak that included a 10% drop to $71.66. The declines come despite Wedbush Securities flagging AXT as positioned for growth given China's demand for advanced optics and faster networks, and Argus issuing a "HOLD" rating with an $88.00 target. Coverage has also pointed to AXT's exposure to AI infrastructure and co-packaged optics, with shares having surged over the past month before the recent pullback.
At $61.98, the stock sits between its 50-day average of $71.64 and its 200-day average of $62.17, reflecting a mixed trend. The GekkoIndex reads 64.1, placing AXT in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 22.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $79.61, a gap that bears watching.
AXT next reports earnings on 29 October 2026, after close, 17 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report showed EPS of $0.19 against a $0.07 estimate, with a 63.5% reaction. Over the last 30 days, 3 unusual options signals have been recorded, with call premium of $2,115,761 against put premium of $713,518. Analyst consensus across 4 firms stands at 3 buy and 1 hold, with a consensus target of $91.60. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +26.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
AXT price vs fair value
Close $61.98200-day averageGekko Fair Value $79.61
AXT quick facts
- Market cap
- $3.15B
- P/E ratio
- 1,791.5
- Forward P/E
- 30.8
- EPS, TTM
- $0.04
- Revenue, TTM
- $125.5M
- Profit margin
- 3.2%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.86
- Volume
- 9.49M avg 8.31M
- 1-year return
- +1,085.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±10.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±15.5%
- 50-day average
- $71.64
- 200-day average
- $62.17
- Next earnings
- Oct 29 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 65.57M
AXT swing-trade checklist
AXT scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $61.98 sits between the 50-day ($71.64) and 200-day ($62.17) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
64.1, Accumulation
Reading 64.1 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
22.1% below
Price is 22.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 3 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 17 days
Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+26.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +26.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
AXT stock chart and price history
AXT closed at $61.98 on Oct 12, 2026, +1,085.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $4.00 to $143.16.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −4.3%
- 3 months
- +7.7%
- 6 months
- −6.7%
- 1 year
- +1,085.1%
The full AXTI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AXTI in Gekko
Follow AXT through every session
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About AXT
AXT designs, develops, and manufactures semiconductor substrates, both compound and single-element, selling them to customers worldwide. Using its own vertical gradient freeze process, the company produces indium phosphide substrates used in data center links, 5G networks, fiber optic components, photonic integrated circuits, solar cells, LiDAR, and infrared sensing. It also makes semi-insulating and semi-conducting gallium arsenide substrates for Wi-Fi and IoT devices, LEDs, displays, 3D sensing, satellite communication, and related laser applications, as well as germanium substrates used in satellite solar cells, optical detectors, and LED carrier wafers.
Beyond substrates, AXT produces high-purity raw materials such as purified gallium, boron trioxide, and gallium-magnesium alloy, along with pyrolytic boron nitride crucibles and insulating parts used in crystal growth. The company reaches customers through its own sales staff in the United States, China, and Europe, supported by independent representatives and distributors in Japan, Taiwan, Korea, and other markets.
AXT was founded in 1986 under the name American Xtal Technology and took its current name in July 2000. It is based in Fremont, California, and its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker AXTI.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Industry
- Electronic production equipment
- Website
- axt.com
AXT GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
AXT’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 13 points over five sessions.
64.1Accumulation
Up 13 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 36 | +13.7% | +39.5% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 181 | +4.4% | +12.0% | ||
| Neutral | 408 | +3.2% | +15.6% | ||
| Distribution | 56 | Not available | |||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AXTI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AXTI price, zone by zone.Track AXTI in Gekko
Is AXT stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
AXT trades 22.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $79.61, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what AXT shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$79.61
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
22.1% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AXTI in Gekko
AXT insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AXT, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AXTI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AXTI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AXTI in Gekko
Buybacks
AXT has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2018
- $415K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.01%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
3signals, 75% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 7, $314K in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold AXTI.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
AXT earnings: next date and track record
AXT reports on Oct 29, 2026, after the close (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 29, 2026
Expected after the close, 17 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.31
- Revenue estimate
- $66.00M
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±25.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- AXT reported record Q2 2026 revenue of $47.6 million, up 77% sequentially and 164% year-over-year, driven by record indium phosphide revenue of $30.7 million from data center applications. Non-GAAP gross margin expanded dramatically to 45.0% from 8.2% in Q2 2025. The company returned to profitability with non-GAAP net income of $11.9 million or $0.19 per diluted share, versus operating losses in prior periods.
- Guidance
- Management characterized Q2 as the beginning of a multiyear growth phase for AXT. No specific forward revenue or EPS targets were provided in the excerpt. The Tongmei Hong Kong listing remains a strategic initiative.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $0.19 est $0.07 | $47.59M est $34.08M | +63.5% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | −$0.01 est −$0.04 | $26.92M est $26.22M | +35.1% |
| Feb 19, 2026 | −$0.05 est −$0.04 | $23.04M est $25.18M | +26.1% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | −$0.03 est −$0.11 | $27.96M est $28.77M | +12.4% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | −$0.15 est −$0.13 | $17.97M est $19.52M | −9.4% |
| May 1, 2025 | −$0.19 est −$0.13 | $19.36M est $18.98M | −0.7% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | −$0.10 est −$0.04 | $25.11M est $23.94M | −31.3% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | −$0.07 est −$0.07 | $23.65M est $23.94M | −23.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
AXT stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for AXT is $91.60, +47.8% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$91.60consensus 12-month target, +47.8% from the last close
Now $61.98Avg $91.60
Low $55High $125
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31 | Needham | $90 | +45.2% |
| Jul 31 | Wedbush | $93 | +50.0% |
| Jul 31 | B. Riley Securities | $55 | −11.3% |
| Jul 30 | Northland Securities | $125 | +101.7% |
| Jul 28 | B. Riley Securities | $52 | −16.1% |
+12.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+26.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±10.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
AXT seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, AXT averaged +26.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +8.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +18.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +26.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +19.2% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, AXTI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 15.5%.
AXT market cap and key statistics
AXT’s market cap is $3.15B, with a P/E ratio of 1,791.5 and revenue of $125.5M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $3.15B
- P/E ratio
- 1,791.5
- Forward P/E
- 30.8
- EPS, TTM
- $0.04
- Gekko Fair Value
- $79.61
Trading
- Volume
- 9.49M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 8.31M
- 52-week high
- $143.16
- 52-week low
- $4.00
- Shares outstanding
- 65.57M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $125.5M
- Profit margin
- 3.2%
- Return on equity
- 1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −57.1%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.86
- Typical daily move
- ±10.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±15.5%
AXT stock news this week
Coverage of AXT this week reads negative: 3 positive, 2 neutral and 4 negative headlines.
- AXT Inc (AXTI) Stock Down 9.5% but Still Overvalued -- GF Score: 59/100GuruFocus, Oct 12
- AXT Inc (AXTI) Shares Fall 4.5% -- GF Value Says Still OvervaluedGuruFocus, Oct 9
- AXT slumps 10%, pushing losing streak to three sessions (AXTI:NASDAQ)Seeking Alpha, Oct 8
- AXT, Inc. Shares Fall More Than 10%, Extend Losing Streak to Three Sessionswww.tokenpost.com, Oct 8
- AXT could get a boost as China needs optics, faster networks: Wedbush (AXTI:NASDAQ)Seeking Alpha, Oct 8
- AXT Inc (AXTI) Stock forecastsYahoo Finance UK, Oct 8
AXT peers
AXT’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| VRTVertiv | Accumulation | 10.4% below |
| BEBloom Energy | Neutral | 0.3% above |
| TERTeradyne | Neutral | 3.3% above |
| FLEXFlex | Neutral | 1.5% above |
| SANMSanmina | Neutral | 4.0% above |
| AEISAdvanced Energy Industries | Neutral | 8.2% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
AXT stock FAQ
What is AXT’s market cap?
AXT’s market cap is $3.15B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $61.98, with 65.57M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 1,791.5.
What is the AXT stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for AXT is $91.60, +47.8% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is AXT stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate AXT is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $61.98 is 22.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $79.61. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does AXT report earnings next?
AXT is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, after the market closes (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.31 per share on revenue of $66.00M. AXT beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 25.3% on average across the report.
What is AXT’s 52-week high and low?
AXT’s 52-week high is $143.16 and its 52-week low is $4.00; it closed at $61.98 on Oct 12, 2026, +1,085.1% over the past year.
Is AXT stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in AXT?
Gekko flagged 3 unusual options signals in AXT over the last 30 days, with $2.12M of flagged premium in calls and $714K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 7, 2026 with $314K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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