Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AGNC in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every AGNC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AGNC in Gekko
Gekko Brief
AI summaryAGNC Investment slipped 1.72% in the latest session to close at $9.46, extending a decline that also saw shares at $9.97 a week earlier. Coverage this week centered on the stock's elevated 15% yield, with one piece flagging it as a possible dividend trap amid concerns that rising rates and a hawkish outlook could pressure EPS, dividend coverage, and tangible book value, with payout ratios projected to worsen toward 99% in 2028. Separately, AGNC is set to join the S&P MidCap 400 Index, a change that requires index funds and REITs tracking that benchmark to buy shares.
The stock trades at $9.46, below both its 50-day average of $10.56 and 200-day average of $10.74, with the 50-day sitting under the 200-day. Shares are within a point of the 52-week low of $9.43 and down 13.5% over one month and 14% over three months. The GekkoIndex reads 75.6, placing AGNC in the Buying zone, while price sits 12.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.76.
AGNC next reports earnings on 19 October 2026, 20 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last print on 20 July showed EPS of $0.40 against a $0.38 estimate, with a -3.9% reaction. Options activity over the past 30 days shows a single unusual signal, with put premium of $722,633 against call premium of $11,160. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -6.7% over 5 years, rising in 2 of those years. Analyst consensus stands at 3 buy and 8 hold ratings among 11 firms, with a consensus target of $11.06.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
AGNC Investment price vs fair value
Close $9.46200-day averageGekko Fair Value $10.76
AGNC Investment quick facts
- Market cap
- $10.86B
- P/E ratio
- 4.8
- Forward P/E
- 6.6
- EPS, TTM
- $2.01
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.40B
- Profit margin
- 94.4%
- Dividend yield
- 15.00%
- Beta
- 1.30
- Volume
- 46.74M avg 36.88M
- 1-year return
- −3.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.2%
- 50-day average
- $10.56
- 200-day average
- $10.74
- Next earnings
- Oct 19
- Shares outstanding
- 1.19B
AGNC Investment swing-trade checklist
AGNC Investment scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 4 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive0 mixed4 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $9.46 is below the 50-day ($10.56) and 200-day ($10.74) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
75.6, Buying
Reading 75.6 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
12.1% below
Price is 12.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyheadwind
Leans bearish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 20 days
Reports on Oct 19, 2026, 20 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−6.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −6.7% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
AGNC Investment stock chart and price history
AGNC Investment closed at $9.46 on Sep 28, 2026, −3.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $9.43 to $12.19.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −13.5%
- 3 months
- −14.0%
- 6 months
- −2.4%
- 1 year
- −3.1%
The full AGNC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AGNC in Gekko
Follow AGNC Investment through every session
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About AGNC Investment
AGNC Investment operates as a real estate investment trust in the United States, putting its capital mainly into residential mortgage-backed securities and collateralized mortgage obligations. These holdings stand out because their principal and interest are backed by guarantees from government-sponsored entities or federal agencies, which is the feature the company is most associated with among traders who follow it.
To finance these securities, AGNC Investment relies chiefly on secured borrowing arranged through repurchase agreements. It has elected REIT tax treatment under the 1986 Internal Revenue Code, meaning it avoids federal corporate income tax as long as it pays out at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders.
The company traces back to 2008 and was originally named American Capital Agency Corp., changing to AGNC Investment Corp. in September 2016. It is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, and its shares trade under the ticker AGNC.
- Sector
- Finance
- Website
- agnc.com
AGNC Investment GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
AGNC Investment’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 75.6, in the Buying zone, down 3.9 points over five sessions.
75.6Buying
Down 3.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 49 | −1.7% | +1.8% | ||
| Accumulation | 142 | +0.2% | +1.5% | ||
| Neutral | 392 | +0.3% | +0.1% | ||
| Distribution | 42 | −0.6% | −1.7% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average AGNC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AGNC price, zone by zone.Track AGNC in Gekko
Is AGNC Investment stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
AGNC Investment trades 12.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.76, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what AGNC Investment shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$10.76
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
12.1% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AGNC in Gekko
AGNC Investment insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AGNC Investment, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AGNC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AGNC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AGNC in Gekko
Buybacks
AGNC Investment has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2021
- $42.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.39%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 2% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 25, $734K in unusual premium.
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium.Unlock in Gekko
AGNC Investment earnings: next date and track record
AGNC Investment reports on Oct 19, 2026 (20 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 19, 2026
20 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.38
- Revenue estimate
- $1.06B
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.2%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 20, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- AGNC reported a strong second quarter driven by Agency MBS outperformance, a 6.7% economic return on tangible common equity, $0.36 of dividends declared per common share and a $0.20 increase in tangible net book value per share. The company paid its 75th consecutive monthly dividend of $0.12. Agency MBS outperformed Treasuries and swaps for the fifth consecutive quarter, driven by favorable technicals (lower new supply and slower prepayments) and stronger performance in higher-coupon and production-coupon securities. Portfolio market value was $97 billion with leverage steady at 7.4x tangible equity and $7.5 billion of unencumbered cash and Agency MBS. Management emphasized disciplined, opportunistic capital issuance (ATM activity of $167 million in the quarter), active portfolio repositioning toward higher coupons and intermediate specified pools, and a diversified hedge profile (66% swap-based hedges at quarter end). Management highlighted macro and geopolitical headwinds (heightened tensions with Iran, energy prices, supply-chain effects), a flattening yield curve, and a shift in market expectations around Fed policy, but remained constructive on mortgage technicals and the outlook for spreads given GSE capacity and potential regulatory tailwinds.
- Guidance
- Management gave informal forward-looking commentary rather than formal guidance: - Expected marginal ROEs on new investments at current spread levels (130–150 bps) when leveraged ~7–7.5x are roughly 15%–17%. - Monthly common dividend maintained at $0.12 (75th consecutive monthly payment). - Company expects net new supply of Agency MBS this year to likely drop to ~ $150 billion (management also referenced estimates as low as ~$100 billion), and projects TBA specialness to average roughly 10–20 bps going forward. - No formal revenue or EPS guidance was provided.
- Risks flagged
- Management cited several risks: - Elevated geopolitical risk (U.S.–Iran hostilities) and associated volatility. - Higher energy prices and supply-chain disruptions could drive inflation and tighter monetary policy. - Increased interest-rate and spread volatility driven by macro changes and Fed policy shifts. - Potential variability in GSE purchase activity; slower or lower-than-expected GSE activity could affect spreads. - Prepayment and supply dynamics (mortgage rates >6.5% impacting new supply and CPRs). - Regulatory and market structure changes (SLR/Basel) create uncertainty even if potentially positive longer term.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | $0.40 est $0.38 | $1.01B est $1.06B | −3.9% |
| Apr 20, 2026 | −$0.17 est $0.12 | $1.05B est $988.6M | +0.1% |
| Jan 26, 2026 | $0.83 est $0.45 | $944.0M est $940.8M | +2.7% |
| Oct 20, 2025 | $0.35 est $0.38 | $903.0M est $354.7M | +0.6% |
| Jul 21, 2025 | $0.38 est $0.42 | −$112.0M est $401.0M | +1.3% |
| Apr 21, 2025 | $0.44 est $0.41 | $78.00M est $455.6M | +1.3% |
| Jan 27, 2025 | $0.37 est $0.42 | $154.0M est $238.5M | +2.0% |
| Oct 21, 2024 | $0.43 est $0.50 | $376.0M est $213.2M | −5.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
AGNC Investment stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for AGNC Investment is $11.06, +16.9% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$11.06consensus 12-month target, +16.9% from the last close
Now $9.46Avg $11.06
Low $10High $12
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26 | Bank of America Securities | $10.50 | +11.0% |
| Jul 24 | BTIG | — | — |
| Jul 23 | Wells Fargo | $11 | +16.3% |
| Jul 22 | J.P. Morgan | $11 | +16.3% |
| Jul 22 | KBW | $11 | +16.3% |
+1.8%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−6.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
AGNC Investment seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, AGNC Investment averaged −6.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −2.5% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −2.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −3.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −6.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −1.2% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, AGNC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.2%.
AGNC Investment market cap and key statistics
AGNC Investment’s market cap is $10.86B, with a P/E ratio of 4.8 and revenue of $2.40B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $10.86B
- P/E ratio
- 4.8
- Forward P/E
- 6.6
- EPS, TTM
- $2.01
- Gekko Fair Value
- $10.76
Trading
- Volume
- 46.74M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 36.88M
- 52-week high
- $12.19
- 52-week low
- $9.43
- Shares outstanding
- 1.19B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.40B
- Profit margin
- 94.4%
- Return on equity
- 19.8%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +772.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.30
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.2%
- Dividend yield
- 15.00%
AGNC Investment stock news this week
4 headlines about AGNC Investment from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- AGNC Investment (AGNC) Dips More Than Broader Market: What You Should KnowZacks Investment Research, Sep 28
- AGNC Investment Yields 15%, But I Sense A Dividend TrapSeeking Alpha, Sep 28
- AGNC Investment (AGNC) Rises Yet Lags Behind Market: Some Facts Worth KnowingZacks Investment Research, Sep 21
- AGNC Investment Is Joining the S&P MidCap 400 Index. Here's What That Means for Its 14%+ Yield.The Motley Fool, Sep 21
AGNC Investment stock FAQ
What is AGNC Investment’s market cap?
AGNC Investment’s market cap is $10.86B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $9.46, with 1.19B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 4.8.
What is the AGNC Investment stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for AGNC Investment is $11.06, +16.9% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is AGNC Investment stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate AGNC Investment is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $9.46 is 12.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $10.76. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does AGNC Investment report earnings next?
AGNC Investment is expected to report on Oct 19, 2026 (20 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.38 per share on revenue of $1.06B. AGNC Investment beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.2% on average across the report.
What is AGNC Investment’s 52-week high and low?
AGNC Investment’s 52-week high is $12.19 and its 52-week low is $9.43; it closed at $9.46 on Sep 28, 2026, −3.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $16.75 on Oct 20, 2021.
Is AGNC Investment stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value) and 4 as headwinds (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in AGNC Investment?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in AGNC Investment over the last 30 days, with $11K of flagged premium in calls and $723K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 25, 2026 with $734K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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