NASDAQ: WDC

Western Digital (WDC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$323.83−23.52 (−6.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Western Digital fell this week alongside sector-wide pressure, with SanDisk, Micron and Western Digital all declining on election and memory price worries following a cautious forecast from Kioxia. The move came despite fiscal Q1 2027 results showing revenue growth of 55% year-over-year, gross margins of 58%, operating margins of 49%, EPS growth of 161% year-over-year, and free cash flow of $1.4 billion, alongside a nearly 17% dividend hike. Commentary following the report has focused on margin upside from pricing and AI storage demand, balanced against valuation and HAMR execution risk as the company ramps its 40TB ePMR platform and targets HAMR volume shipments in H1 calendar 27.

The stock closed at $323.83, down 6.8%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $414.74 and 200-day average of $420.70, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 65.2, placing WDC in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 28.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $453.99.

No confirmed earnings date currently appears on the calendar, following the last report on 22 October 2026, which beat estimates ($4.64 vs $4.11) but drew a -9.2% reaction. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sales, while the last 30 days show 3 unusual options signals with call premium of $88,255,920 exceeding put premium of $18,895,740. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Western Digital price vs fair value

$453.99$323.83Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $323.83200-day averageGekko Fair Value $453.99

Western Digital quick facts

Market cap
$121.2B
P/E ratio
11.9
Forward P/E
15.1
EPS, TTM
$28.43
Revenue, TTM
$14.48B
Profit margin
69.2%
Dividend yield
0.15%
Beta
2.34
Volume
7.20M avg 8.48M
1-year return
+104.9%
Typical daily move
±7.7%
Typical 20-day move
±10.1%
50-day average
$414.74
200-day average
$420.70
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
374.3M
52-week range
$132.43$799.87

Western Digital swing-trade checklist

Western Digital scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $323.83 is below the 50-day ($414.74) and 200-day ($420.70) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.2, Accumulation

    Reading 65.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    28.7% below

    Price is 28.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 3 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Western Digital stock chart and price history

Western Digital closed at $323.83 on Nov 4, 2026, +104.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $132.43 to $799.87.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Western Digital share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$200$400$600DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct323.83

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−21.2%
3 months
−28.3%
6 months
−33.0%
1 year
+104.9%
The full WDC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open WDC in Gekko

Follow Western Digital through every session

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About Western Digital

Western Digital makes and sells data storage hardware and related software to customers around the world, including the United States, China, Hong Kong, and markets across Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. Its products span hard disk drives and solid-state drives for desktops, notebooks, gaming consoles, smart video systems, and set-top boxes, along with flash-based storage embedded in phones, tablets, laptops, wearables, cars, industrial equipment, and connected-home devices. It also produces flash memory wafers.

For data centers, Western Digital supplies helium-filled enterprise hard drives and flash-based solid-state drives, often paired with software for servers, transaction processing, and data analysis, plus broader storage systems and platforms. On the consumer side, it offers external hard drives, portable solid-state drives, memory cards, USB flash drives, and wireless drives for backing up and streaming content to phones, tablets, and computers. These products reach the market through original equipment manufacturers, distributors, dealers, resellers, and retailers, under the G-Technology, SanDisk, and WD brand names.

The company was founded in 1970 and is based in San Jose, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker WDC.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Computer peripherals
Website
westerndigital.com

Western Digital GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Western Digital’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.5 points over five sessions.

010065.2Accumulation

Up 5.5 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying22+3.6%+7.5%+8.1%+26.3%
Accumulation (current zone)145+0.7%+0.5%+1.5%+9.5%
Neutral422+2.3%+4.3%+9.3%+25.9%
Distribution100+1.8%+5.8%+11.5%+31.7%
Selling8Too few readings yet

Average WDC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the WDC price, zone by zone.Track WDC in Gekko

Is Western Digital stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Western Digital trades 28.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $453.99, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Western Digital shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$453.99

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

28.7% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 26.9% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$454$347Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open WDC in Gekko

Western Digital insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Western Digital, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for WDC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every WDC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WDC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 25

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Western Digital has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Oct 2, 2026
$1.00B
As a share of market cap
0.83%
Trailing four quarters
$3.04B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

3signals, 82% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 23, $25.28M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold WDC.

1added0opened2trimmed5sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Western Digital earnings: next date and track record

Western Digital beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 9% on average across the report.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.6%Jan ’25+8.2%Apr ’25+11.4%Jul ’25+6.2%Oct ’25−10.5%Jan ’26+4.5%Apr ’26−17.7%Aug ’26−9.2%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
WD reported Q1 fiscal 27 revenue growth of 55% year-over-year with gross margins of 58% and operating margins of 49%. EPS grew 161% year-over-year and free cash flow reached $1.4 billion. The company is ramping its 40TB ePMR platform targeting 50% of nearline shipments by Q3 fiscal 27, while HAMR volume shipments are on track for H1 calendar 27. Demand is diversifying beyond hyperscale into enterprise, neo-cloud, and AI frontier labs.
Guidance
Management expects exabyte shipments to increase through fiscal 27 and beyond. The 40TB ePMR platform is expected to reach ~30% of nearline shipments in Q2 and ~50% in Q3 fiscal 27. HAMR volume shipments are expected to begin in H1 calendar 27.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 22, 2026$4.64
est $4.11
+12.9%$4.38B
est $4.14B
+5.7%−9.2%
Aug 5, 2026$3.56
est $3.31
+7.6%$3.75B
est $3.70B
+1.3%−17.7%
Apr 30, 2026$8.20
est $2.14
+283.2%$3.34B
est $3.25B
+2.8%+4.5%
Jan 29, 2026$2.13
est $1.93
+10.4%$3.02B
est $2.93B
+3.0%−10.5%
Oct 30, 2025$1.78
est $1.59
+11.9%$2.82B
est $2.73B
+3.2%+6.2%
Jul 30, 2025$1.66
est $1.48
+12.2%$2.61B
est $2.47B
+5.4%+11.4%
Apr 30, 2025$1.36
est $1.12
+21.4%$2.29B
est $2.31B
−0.9%+8.2%
Jan 29, 2025$1.77
est $1.82
−2.7%$4.29B
est $4.26B
+0.6%+4.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Western Digital stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Western Digital is $613.38, +89.4% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$613.38consensus 12-month target, +89.4% from the last close
Low $405High $900
Buy15
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 27BernsteinBuy, reiterated$600+85.3%
Oct 27Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$575+77.6%
Oct 26CitiBuy, maintained$660+103.8%
Oct 25BernsteinBuy, maintained$600+85.3%
Oct 23J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$650+100.7%
+1.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±7.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Western Digital seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Western Digital averaged +5.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.5%2021−1.8%2022+8.3%2023+9.9%2024+2.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+7.7%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.6%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.0%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.6%3 of 5

For scale, WDC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.1%.

Western Digital market cap and key statistics

Western Digital’s market cap is $121.2B, with a P/E ratio of 11.9 and revenue of $14.48B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$121.2B
P/E ratio
11.9
Forward P/E
15.1
EPS, TTM
$28.43
Gekko Fair Value
$453.99

Trading

Volume
7.20M
Avg volume, 20 days
8.48M
52-week high
$799.87
52-week low
$132.43
Shares outstanding
374.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$14.48B
Profit margin
69.2%
Return on equity
129.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+50.9%

Risk and income

Beta
2.34
Typical daily move
±7.7%
Typical 20-day move
±10.1%
Dividend yield
0.15%

Western Digital stock news this week

Coverage of Western Digital this week reads positive: 9 positive, 4 neutral and 7 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Western Digital peers

Western Digital’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
ANETArista Networks−0.3%Accumulation3.3% above
SNDKSandisk−3.9%Buying34.5% below
STXSeagate Technology−2.2%Accumulation30.7% below
NTAPNetApp−1.9%Accumulation12.6% above
LOGILogitech International S.A. -+3.2%Accumulation11.1% below
EXTRExtreme Networks−3.8%Accumulation7.2% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Western Digital stock FAQ

What is Western Digital’s market cap?

Western Digital’s market cap is $121.2B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $323.83, with 374.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 11.9.

What is the Western Digital stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Western Digital is $613.38, +89.4% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 15 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Western Digital stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Western Digital is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $323.83 is 28.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $453.99. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is Western Digital’s 52-week high and low?

Western Digital’s 52-week high is $799.87 and its 52-week low is $132.43; it closed at $323.83 on Nov 4, 2026, +104.9% over the past year.

Is Western Digital stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Western Digital?

Gekko flagged 3 unusual options signals in Western Digital over the last 30 days, with $88.26M of flagged premium in calls and $18.90M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 23, 2026 with $25.28M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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