Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for STX in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every STX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STX in Gekko
NASDAQ: STX
Seagate Technology (STX) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$858.79+55.66 (+6.9%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summarySeagate (STX) closes at $858.79, up 6.9%, holding above both its 50-day ($843.33) and 200-day ($619.32) averages. The GekkoIndex reads 60.9, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while the gap to Gekko Fair Value ($880.25) stands at -2.4%. Over the past year the stock has returned 302.5%, though the three-month return is -19.8% and the one-month return is 3.2%.
This week's news centers on insider selling alongside continued AI-driven storage demand narratives. EVP & CTO John Morris sold 15,466 shares at an average price of $772.15 for $11,942,071.90, plus a separate $384,952 sale, while CEO William Mosley sold 1,869 shares for $1,460,696. Shares fell 4.2% on 16 September following the disclosures, trading as low as $758.35. Separately, Seagate retired its 2028 notes using $150.97 million in cash and 1.65 million shares, generating about $5.3 million in annual coupon savings. Peer Western Digital also declined amid its own AI storage positioning, dropping 4% to $411.
Looking ahead, Seagate's next earnings report is set for 28 October 2026, 38 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report on 28 July showed EPS of $5.48 against an estimate of $4.89, with a -6.4% reaction. In the last 30 days there have been 3 unusual options signals, with call premium of $22,630,907 versus put premium of $2,097,570. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 0.5% return over 5 years, positive in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus among 19 firms shows 16 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $1,125.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $858.79200-day averageGekko Fair Value $880.25
Key stats
- Market cap
- $192.6B
- P/E ratio
- 56.5
- Forward P/E
- 21.9
- EPS, TTM
- $14.22
- Revenue, TTM
- $12.20B
- Profit margin
- 26.1%
- Dividend yield
- 0.38%
- Beta
- 2.09
- Volume
- 6.91M avg 3.48M
- 1-year return
- +302.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±5.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8%
- 50-day average
- $843.33
- 200-day average
- $619.32
- Next earnings
- Oct 28 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 227.4M
Seagate Technology swing-trade checklist
Seagate Technology scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $858.79 is above the 50-day ($843.33) and 200-day ($619.32) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
60.9, Accumulation
Reading 60.9 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
2.4% below
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.4% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 3 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 38 days
Next report Oct 28, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+0.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Seagate Technology stock chart and price history
Seagate Technology closed at $858.79 on Sep 18, 2026, +302.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $209.00 to $1,145.00.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +3.2%
- 3 months
- −19.8%
- 6 months
- +97.6%
- 1 year
- +302.5%
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About Seagate Technology
Seagate Technology makes hardware and platforms for storing and moving data at scale. Its offerings cover enterprise nearline hard disk drives, solid-state drives, and full nearline systems, along with drives built for video and imaging work, network-attached storage, and Mission Critical products that keep older systems running. For everyday users it sells external drives under names like Ultra Touch, One Touch, Expansion, and the LaCie label, plus internal drives for desktops and notebooks, DVR storage, and SSDs aimed at gaming. It also runs Lyve, a platform for handling large volumes of data from the edge into the cloud.
The company sells mainly to original equipment manufacturers, distributors, and retailers, who then bring its storage products to businesses and consumers.
Seagate Technology was founded in 1978 and is based in Dublin, Ireland, with operations in Singapore, the United States, the Netherlands, and other locations. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker STX.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Industry
- Computer peripherals
- Website
- seagate.com
Seagate Technology GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Seagate Technology’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.9, in the Accumulation zone, down 1.3 points over five sessions.
60.9Accumulation
Down 1.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 23 | +2.1% | +11.4% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 133 | +2.2% | +4.6% | ||
| Neutral | 408 | +2.0% | +9.1% | ||
| Distribution | 96 | +2.5% | +11.7% | ||
| Selling | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average STX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the STX price, zone by zone.Track STX in Gekko
Is Seagate Technology stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Seagate Technology trades 2.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $880.25, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Seagate Technology shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$880.25
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
2.4% below fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open STX in Gekko
Seagate Technology insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Seagate Technology, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in STX were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for STX, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open STX in Gekko
Buybacks
Seagate Technology has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jul 3, 2026
- $117.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.06%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
3signals, 92% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 19, $5.04M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
10of the funds Gekko tracks hold STX.
1added6opened3trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Seagate Technology earnings: next date and track record
Seagate Technology reports on Oct 28, 2026, after the close (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 28, 2026
Expected after the close, 38 days away
- EPS estimate
- $7.34
- Revenue estimate
- $4.12B
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Seagate reported an outstanding fiscal 2026 with June-quarter revenue of $3.6B (up 48% YoY, 17% sequential), record profitability (non-GAAP gross margin 52.7%, operating margin 44.6%, non-GAAP EPS $5.71) and very strong free cash flow (quarterly FCF margin ~31%, FY26 FCF $3.1B). Management credited demand for mass-capacity storage (driven by cloud and AI-related workloads), successful execution on their HAMR-based Mozaic roadmap, and disciplined operational execution for the results. HAMR-based products represented ~40% of nearline exabyte shipment run rate exiting the year; Seagate reiterated a mid-20% exabyte CAGR target and said fiscal 2027 revenue growth should outpace fiscal 2026. Management highlighted continued pricing strength driven by supply/demand imbalance, expected sequential margin and cash generation improvement into fiscal 2027, continued HAMR ramp (plans for Mozaic 4 and Mozaic 5), targeted investments in heads/media/tools and a capital allocation approach focused on CapEx of ~4–6% of revenue, continued debt reduction and share buybacks.
- Guidance
- Management expects fiscal 2027 revenue growth to outpace fiscal 2026; sequential margin and cash generation improvement quarter-to-quarter in fiscal 2027; mid-20% exabyte CAGR target; HAMR penetration goals (70% of nearline exabytes HAMR by June 2027 previously stated; 40% nearline HAMR achieved exiting fiscal 2026); CapEx targeted in the 4–6% of revenue range; debt reduction to roughly $2.4B by end of fiscal Q1 and continued share buybacks. Management also guided to higher non-GAAP gross margin in September (implying roughly mid-to-high-50s % gross margin range and incremental gross margins above 60% on new product mix).
- Risks flagged
- Risks called out or implied include factory transition inefficiencies and yield issues during product ramps (3→4→5 TB per disk), supply-chain and upstream component constraints (heads and media), potential variability in volumes tied to customer qualification and contractual roll-offs/renegotiations, and broader macro and demand uncertainty noted in forward-looking disclaimers. Management also emphasized that certain non-GAAP outlook reconciliations are not provided due to items outside their control.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $5.48 est $4.89 | $3.63B est $3.50B | −6.4% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $4.10 est $3.52 | $3.11B est $2.96B | +8.0% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | $3.11 est $2.84 | $2.83B est $2.73B | +23.6% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $2.61 est $2.40 | $2.63B est $2.55B | +15.3% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $2.59 est $2.45 | $2.44B est $2.42B | −2.0% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $1.90 est $1.74 | $2.16B est $2.12B | +10.8% |
| Jan 21, 2025 | $2.03 est $1.87 | $2.33B est $2.32B | +10.8% |
| Oct 22, 2024 | $1.58 est $1.49 | $2.17B est $2.13B | −7.9% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Seagate Technology stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Seagate Technology is $1,125.00, +31.0% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$1,125.00consensus 12-month target, +31.0% from the last close
Now $858.79Avg $1,125.00
Low $860High $1,600
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9 | Citi | $1,300 | +51.4% |
| Jul 30 | Barclays | $1,250 | +45.6% |
| Jul 29 | J.P. Morgan | $1,240 | +44.4% |
| Jul 29 | Argus Research | $900 | +4.8% |
| Jul 29 | Barclays | $1,250 | +45.6% |
+4.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Seagate Technology seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Seagate Technology averaged +0.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.5% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +0.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.1% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, STX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8%.
Seagate Technology market cap and key statistics
Seagate Technology’s market cap is $192.6B, with a P/E ratio of 56.5 and revenue of $12.20B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $192.6B
- P/E ratio
- 56.5
- Forward P/E
- 21.9
- EPS, TTM
- $14.22
- Gekko Fair Value
- $880.25
Trading
- Volume
- 6.91M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 3.48M
- 52-week high
- $1,145.00
- 52-week low
- $209.00
- Shares outstanding
- 227.4M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $12.20B
- Profit margin
- 26.1%
- Return on equity
- 37.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +148.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 2.09
- Typical daily move
- ±5.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8%
- Dividend yield
- 0.38%
Seagate Technology stock news this week
Coverage of Seagate Technology this week reads negative: 5 positive, 3 neutral and 6 negative headlines.
- Prediction: Seagate Could Be a Surprisingly Big Winner From the AI Boom24/7 Wall Street, Sep 18
- John Christopher Morris Sells 15,466 Shares of Seagate Technology (NASDAQ:STX) StockDefense World, Sep 18
- Insider Transaction: John C. Morris Sells $11.94M Worth Of Seagate Technology Hldgs SharesBenzinga, Sep 17
- Seagate (STX) Retired its 2028 Notes. Was the Cash and Share Cost Worth it?Insider Monkey, Sep 16
- William D Mosley Implements A Sell Strategy: Offloads $1.46M In Seagate Technology Hldgs StockBenzinga, Sep 16
- EVP & CTO Of Seagate Technology Hldgs Makes $384K SaleBenzinga, Sep 16
Seagate Technology peers
Seagate Technology’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| SNDKSandisk | Neutral | 10.6% above |
| ANETArista Networks | Neutral | 15.2% above |
| WDCWestern Digital | Accumulation | 13.0% below |
| NTAPNetApp | Neutral | 27.2% above |
| LOGILogitech International S.A. - | Neutral | 9.3% below |
| EXTRExtreme Networks | Accumulation | 14.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Seagate Technology stock FAQ
What is Seagate Technology’s market cap?
Seagate Technology’s market cap is $192.6B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $858.79, with 227.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 56.5.
What is the Seagate Technology stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Seagate Technology is $1,125.00, +31.0% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 16 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Seagate Technology stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Seagate Technology is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $858.79 is 2.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $880.25. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Seagate Technology report earnings next?
Seagate Technology is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, after the market closes (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $7.34 per share on revenue of $4.12B. Seagate Technology beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.6% on average across the report.
What is Seagate Technology’s 52-week high and low?
Seagate Technology’s 52-week high is $1,145.00 and its 52-week low is $209.00; it closed at $858.79 on Sep 18, 2026, +302.5% over the past year.
Is Seagate Technology stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, gekkoindex, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Seagate Technology?
Gekko flagged 3 unusual options signals in Seagate Technology over the last 30 days, with $22.63M of flagged premium in calls and $2.10M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 19, 2026 with $5.04M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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