Ventas (VTR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$89.20+2.16 (+2.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Ventas moves this week on the back of third-quarter 2026 results, where normalized FFO per share reached $0.99, a 10% year-over-year increase, with total company same-store cash NOI up 11% and US SHOP same-store cash NOI growing 17%. The earnings call also pointed to a raise in full-year normalized FFO guidance, occupancy gains, and year-to-date SHOP investments exceeding $5 billion. Against this, BofA Global Research cut its price target on the stock, a move that contrasts with the otherwise constructive operating update.

The stock closes at $89.20, up 2.5%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $86.79 and its 200-day average of $86.69, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 51.8, placing it in the Neutral zone, down from a higher reading five days prior. Price remains 23.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $116.79.

The next earnings date falls on 4 February 2027, 91 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, though one billionaire holder is recorded. Consensus among 14 firms stands at 10 buy, 4 hold, 0 sell, with a consensus target of $98.91, implying 10.9% upside. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.2% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to fair value.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Ventas price vs fair value

$116.79$89.20Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $89.20200-day averageGekko Fair Value $116.79

Ventas quick facts

Market cap
$47.17B
P/E ratio
166.8
Forward P/E
125
EPS, TTM
$0.52
Revenue, TTM
$6.74B
Profit margin
3.9%
Dividend yield
2.41%
Beta
0.77
Volume
4.60M avg 3.87M
1-year return
+20.3%
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
50-day average
$86.79
200-day average
$86.69
Next earnings
Feb 4
Shares outstanding
528.8M
52-week range
$73.42$101.60

Ventas swing-trade checklist

Ventas scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $89.20 is above the 50-day ($86.79) and 200-day ($86.69) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    51.8, Neutral

    Reading 51.8 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    23.6% below

    Price is 23.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 91 days

    Next report Feb 4, 2027, 91 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ventas stock chart and price history

Ventas closed at $89.20 on Nov 4, 2026, +20.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $73.42 to $101.60.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Ventas share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$70$80$100DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct89.20

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+9.0%
3 months
−3.3%
6 months
+3.0%
1 year
+20.3%
The full VTR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open VTR in Gekko

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About Ventas

Ventas owns and manages real estate tied to healthcare and housing needs for older adults across North America and the United Kingdom. Its portfolio spans roughly 1,450 properties, with the largest concentration in senior housing communities that offer residents supported living arrangements. Beyond housing, the company holds outpatient medical buildings, research facilities, and other healthcare-related properties, positioning it around the needs of an aging population.

The company relies on operational know-how, established industry relationships, and a data platform called Ventas OITM to guide its property management and growth decisions. Its holdings are grouped mainly into senior housing along with medical and research-oriented real estate, serving populations connected to healthcare delivery and aging-related services.

Ventas is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, and traces its incorporation back to 1983 in Maryland. Its shares trade under the ticker VTR.

Sector
Finance
Website
ventasreit.com

Ventas GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ventas’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 51.8, in the Neutral zone, down 14 points over five sessions.

010051.8Neutral

Down 14 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying26+1.0%+0.1%+3.0%+15.2%
Accumulation164+0.5%+1.3%+3.0%+8.0%
Neutral (current zone)377+0.6%+1.1%+2.1%+5.4%
Distribution83+0.5%+1.3%+1.9%+3.3%
Selling0Not available

Average VTR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VTR price, zone by zone.Track VTR in Gekko

Is Ventas stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ventas trades 23.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $116.79, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ventas shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$116.79

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

23.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 31.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$117$87Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VTR in Gekko

Ventas insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ventas, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for VTR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every VTR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VTR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in VTR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for VTR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VTR in Gekko

Buybacks

Ventas has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2022
$1.49M
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds VTR.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Ventas earnings: next date and track record

Ventas reports on Feb 4, 2027 (91 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+9.0%Feb ’25−5.2%Apr ’25+0.5%Jul ’25+6.2%Oct ’25+6.2%Feb ’26+4.7%Apr ’26−6.3%Jul ’26−7.3%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ventas delivered strong Q3 2026 results with US SHOP same-store cash NOI growing 17% and total company same-store cash NOI up 11%. Normalized FFO per share reached $0.99, representing 10% year-over-year growth. Net debt to EBITDA improved to low 4x. Year-to-date SHOP investments exceeded $5 billion with expected double-digit to mid-teens unlevered IRRs. Occupancy grew 120 basis points sequentially, outpacing NIC benchmarks at twice the industry rate since 2023.
Guidance
Full year FFO per share guidance raised to $3.89, driven primarily by 2026 investment activity. Management projects continued multi-year occupancy and NOI growth runway with US SHOP properties at only 89% occupied. Robust acquisition pipeline targeting mid-6% year-1 yields.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 27, 2026$0.13
est $0.16
−19.8%$1.83B
est $1.77B
+3.6%−7.3%
Jul 29, 2026$0.97
est $0.96
+1.0%$1.73B
est $1.68B
+2.9%−6.3%
Apr 27, 2026$0.10
est $0.10
0.0%$1.66B
est $1.59B
+4.5%+4.7%
Feb 5, 2026$0.13
est $0.09
+44.4%$1.57B
est $1.50B
+4.1%+6.2%
Oct 29, 2025$0.88
est $0.87
+1.1%$1.49B
est $1.53B
−2.8%+6.2%
Jul 30, 2025$0.87
est $0.85
+2.4%$1.42B
est $1.40B
+1.1%+0.5%
Apr 30, 2025$0.84
est $0.82
+2.4%$1.36B
est $1.32B
+3.2%−5.2%
Feb 12, 2025$0.13
est $0.05
+160.0%$1.29B
est $1.25B
+2.6%+9.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ventas stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ventas is $98.91, +10.9% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$98.91consensus 12-month target, +10.9% from the last close
Low $90High $112
Buy10
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$104+16.6%
Oct 30Raymond JamesBuy, maintained$105+17.7%
Oct 29Cantor FitzgeraldBuy, reiterated$95+6.5%
Oct 28ScotiabankHold, maintained$95+6.5%
Oct 28Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$100+12.1%
+2.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ventas seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Ventas averaged +3.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−10.7%2021+15.1%2022+6.0%2023−2.5%2024+6.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.5%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.9%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.5%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.2%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.4%3 of 5

For scale, VTR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.1%.

Ventas market cap and key statistics

Ventas’s market cap is $47.17B, with a P/E ratio of 166.8 and revenue of $6.74B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$47.17B
P/E ratio
166.8
Forward P/E
125
EPS, TTM
$0.52
Gekko Fair Value
$116.79

Trading

Volume
4.60M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.87M
52-week high
$101.60
52-week low
$73.42
Shares outstanding
528.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$6.74B
Profit margin
3.9%
Return on equity
1.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−9.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.77
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
Dividend yield
2.41%

Ventas stock news this week

Coverage of Ventas this week reads neutral: 8 positive, 14 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

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Ventas stock FAQ

What is Ventas’s market cap?

Ventas’s market cap is $47.17B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $89.20, with 528.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 166.8.

What is the Ventas stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ventas is $98.91, +10.9% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ventas stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ventas is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $89.20 is 23.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $116.79. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ventas report earnings next?

Ventas is expected to report on Feb 4, 2027 (91 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.17 per share on revenue of $1.82B. Ventas beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.7% on average across the report.

What is Ventas’s 52-week high and low?

Ventas’s 52-week high is $101.60 and its 52-week low is $73.42; it closed at $89.20 on Nov 4, 2026, +20.3% over the past year.

Is Ventas stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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