NYSE: VMI

Valmont Industries (VMI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$467.84+1.01 (+0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Valmont Industries draws attention this week on a long-term growth target: the company points to $35 EPS by 2029 on $5.4 billion in projected sales, citing a 16.4% compound annual EPS growth rate from 2025 and North American utility sales reaching $2.5 billion by 2029, tied to utility infrastructure demand. Alongside this, Argus lowered its price target on VMI to $521.00, while the stock also went ex-dividend on September 25 with a $0.77 per share payout, and management presented at the D.A. Davidson conference.

VMI closed at $467.84, up 0.2%, sitting between its 50-day average of $482.34 and 200-day average of $473.40, with a one-month return of -2.6% against a six-month gain of 19.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 62.4, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and the price stands 4.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $449.40.

Earnings are due 20 October, 21 days out and inside a typical 20-trading-day hold, following a July quarter where adjusted EPS of $6.14 beat estimates of $5.76 but still produced a -7.3% reaction. Over the last 90 days, one open-market insider purchase totaling $101,118 was recorded. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +1.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus among 3 firms remains all-buy, with a consensus target of $624.50.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Valmont Industries price vs fair value

$467.84$449.40Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $467.84200-day averageGekko Fair Value $449.40

Valmont Industries quick facts

Market cap
$9.03B
P/E ratio
18.4
Forward P/E
18.3
EPS, TTM
$25.32
Revenue, TTM
$4.23B
Profit margin
11.7%
Dividend yield
0.62%
Beta
1.34
Volume
247,882 avg 183,325
1-year return
+28.3%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
50-day average
$482.34
200-day average
$473.40
Next earnings
Oct 20 before open
Shares outstanding
19.30M
52-week range
$372.00$585.71

Valmont Industries swing-trade checklist

Valmont Industries scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $467.84 sits between the 50-day ($482.34) and 200-day ($473.40) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.4, Accumulation

    Reading 62.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.1% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.1% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 21 days

    Reports on Oct 20, 2026, 21 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Valmont Industries stock chart and price history

Valmont Industries closed at $467.84 on Sep 28, 2026, +28.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $372.00 to $585.71.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Valmont Industries share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$350$400$450$500$550NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep467.84

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.6%
3 months
−18.4%
6 months
+19.3%
1 year
+28.3%
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About Valmont Industries

Valmont Industries makes engineered structures and equipment used in infrastructure and farming, with a presence spanning the United States, Australia, Brazil, Denmark and other markets. It is perhaps best recognized for its metal and concrete poles and towers that support lighting, traffic systems, wireless networks and power transmission, as well as for its Valley-branded irrigation equipment used in large-scale farming operations.

The company works through two main divisions. Its infrastructure arm builds poles, towers and structural components from steel, aluminum, wood and composite materials, along with access systems, highway safety products and coatings such as galvanizing and powder finishing that protect metal parts from wear. Its agriculture arm produces mechanical irrigation systems, related parts and support services, plus tubular products for industrial use. Customers include municipalities, government bodies, lighting manufacturers, construction firms, telecom and utility companies, farming operations and manufacturers more broadly.

Valmont Industries was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker VMI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Producer manufacturing
Industry
Metal fabrication
Website
valmont.com

Valmont Industries GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Valmont Industries’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.4, in the Accumulation zone, down 1.6 points over five sessions.

010062.4Accumulation

Down 1.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+1.6%+1.7%+4.5%+19.3%
Accumulation (current zone)164+0.9%+2.1%+5.3%+15.3%
Neutral424+0.6%+1.1%+1.7%+4.8%
Distribution60−0.5%−0.2%+1.2%+3.3%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average VMI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VMI price, zone by zone.Track VMI in Gekko

Is Valmont Industries stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Valmont Industries trades 4.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $449.40, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Valmont Industries shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$449.40

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

4.1% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VMI in Gekko

Valmont Industries insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Valmont Industries worth $101K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$101Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Jul 24John L Schwietz
Executive VP and CFO
Purchase208$101K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in VMI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for VMI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VMI in Gekko

Buybacks

Valmont Industries has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 27, 2026
$59.99M
As a share of market cap
0.66%
Trailing four quarters
$215.6M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds VMI.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Valmont Industries earnings: next date and track record

Valmont Industries reports on Oct 20, 2026, before the open (21 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.8%Oct ’24+14.5%Feb ’25+6.5%Apr ’25+8.0%Jul ’25−1.9%Oct ’25−4.3%Feb ’26+13.9%Apr ’26−7.3%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 21, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Valmont reported a strong second quarter: net sales increased 6.5% year-over-year to $1.12 billion, adjusted operating margins expanded 130 basis points to 14.8%, and adjusted diluted EPS rose 25.8% to $6.14. Infrastructure led the performance with 14.8% sales growth (notably North America utility +33.9%), while agriculture sales declined 15.8% due to weaker volumes and international disruptions. Management cited commercial execution, pricing discipline, capacity investments (especially in utility), and operational improvements as drivers of the results and raised full-year sales and earnings guidance. They highlighted inflationary input cost pressures (steel, diesel, materials) and short-term margin timing impacts but characterized these as manageable. Telecom was called out as a low-visibility, quick-turn business with lower volumes as carriers reallocate spend; the Middle East conflict has delayed projects and depressed activity there. Management reiterated focus on capital allocation, aftermarket/technology growth in ag, and international commercial/operational initiatives that should show more material benefits in 2027.
Guidance
Management stated they are raising their full-year sales and earnings outlook (no specific numeric figures disclosed on the call). They expect infrastructure (and consolidated) second-half margins to be generally consistent with first-half margins. Agriculture Q2 margins of 16.5% were called sustainable for a Q2, but management expects margins to compress to the low teens in the back half of the year due to seasonality and mix. They reiterated an assumed ~3-percentage-point margin benefit from a full recovery (as discussed at Investor Day).
Risks flagged
Risks noted include accelerated material cost inflation (steel up ~27-30% YTD; diesel up ~45% YTD), low visibility and shifting capital allocation by telecom carriers, project delays and limited activity in the Middle East due to conflict, strained grower economics in North America and Brazil (commodity prices, input costs, financing), and general geopolitical, tariff, and macroeconomic risks referenced in the forward-looking statement caution.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 21, 2026$6.14
est $5.76
+6.6%$1.12B
est $1.09B
+2.3%−7.3%
Apr 21, 2026$5.51
est $4.73
+16.5%$1.03B
est $995.8M
+3.4%+13.9%
Feb 17, 2026$4.92
est $4.95
−0.6%$1.04B
est $1.04B
−0.5%−4.3%
Oct 21, 2025$4.98
est $4.64
+7.3%$1.05B
est $1.04B
+0.3%−1.9%
Jul 22, 2025$4.88
est $4.72
+3.4%$1.05B
est $1.03B
+1.8%+8.0%
Apr 22, 2025$4.32
est $4.36
−0.9%$969.3M
est $976.1M
−0.7%+6.5%
Feb 18, 2025$3.84
est $3.63
+5.9%$1.04B
est $1.01B
+2.4%+14.5%
Oct 22, 2024$4.11
est $4.00
+2.8%$1.02B
est $1.01B
+0.6%+7.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Valmont Industries stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Valmont Industries is $624.50, +33.5% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$624.50consensus 12-month target, +33.5% from the last close
Low $620High $678
Buy3
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 21J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$620+32.5%
Jul 22J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$620+32.5%
Jul 22William BlairBuy, maintained——
Jul 22Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$678+44.9%
Jul 20Stifel NicolausBuy, reiterated$678+44.9%
+5.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Valmont Industries seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Valmont Industries averaged +1.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−5.8%2021+15.5%2022−21.4%2023+12.3%2024+8.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.6%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.7%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.3%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.5%4 of 5

For scale, VMI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.1%.

Valmont Industries market cap and key statistics

Valmont Industries’s market cap is $9.03B, with a P/E ratio of 18.4 and revenue of $4.23B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$9.03B
P/E ratio
18.4
Forward P/E
18.3
EPS, TTM
$25.32
Gekko Fair Value
$449.40

Trading

Volume
247,882
Avg volume, 20 days
183,325
52-week high
$585.71
52-week low
$372.00
Shares outstanding
19.30M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.23B
Profit margin
11.7%
Return on equity
29.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+27.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.34
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
Dividend yield
0.62%

Valmont Industries peers

Valmont Industries’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
RBCRBC Bearings−0.1%Neutral5.1% above
MLIMueller Industries+1.3%Neutral0.3% below
USARUSA Rare Earth−3.5%Accumulation29.7% below
ROCKGibraltar Industries+2.1%Accumulation21.8% below
PKOHPark-Ohio+0.1%Neutral20.3% below
IIINInsteel Industries−0.2%Accumulation24.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Valmont Industries stock FAQ

What is Valmont Industries’s market cap?

Valmont Industries’s market cap is $9.03B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $467.84, with 19.30M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 18.4.

What is the Valmont Industries stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Valmont Industries is $624.50, +33.5% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Valmont Industries stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Valmont Industries is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $467.84 is 4.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $449.40. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Valmont Industries report earnings next?

Valmont Industries is expected to report on Oct 20, 2026, before the market opens (21 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $5.72 per share on revenue of $1.12B. Valmont Industries beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 8% on average across the report.

What is Valmont Industries’s 52-week high and low?

Valmont Industries’s 52-week high is $585.71 and its 52-week low is $372.00; it closed at $467.84 on Sep 28, 2026, +28.3% over the past year.

Is Valmont Industries stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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