NYSE: RBC

RBC Bearings (RBC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$504.20−1.90 (−0.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's coverage of RBC Bearings centers on comparative and overview pieces rather than company-specific news: one article contrasts RBC with Fanuc, another surveys competitors including Applied Industrial Technologies, AMETEK, Caterpillar, Dover and ITT, and others recap stock price, historical returns and analyst targets. A separate filing notes short interest of 545,770 shares, representing 1.76% of public float as of September 15, 2026, a 5.21% increase from the prior period, with a short interest ratio of 2.1 days to cover.

RBC shares closed at $504.20, down 0.4%, sitting below both the 50-day average of $527.77 and the 200-day average of $548.15, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The stock's 52-week range spans $364.50 to $667.69, and it is off 20.6% over three months while still up 32.9% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 58.7, placing RBC in the Neutral zone, down 6.2 over five days. Price sits 5.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $479.74.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 30 October 2026, 31 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter posted adjusted EPS of $3.88 against a $3.42 estimate, with a 1.5% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged an 11.6% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus from 8 firms carries a $630.67 target, all rated buy.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

RBC Bearings price vs fair value

$504.20$479.74Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $504.20200-day averageGekko Fair Value $479.74

RBC Bearings quick facts

Market cap
$15.95B
P/E ratio
49.5
Forward P/E
36.9
EPS, TTM
$10.18
Revenue, TTM
$1.95B
Profit margin
16.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.40
Volume
328,904 avg 323,980
1-year return
+32.9%
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
50-day average
$527.77
200-day average
$548.15
Next earnings
Oct 30
Shares outstanding
31.66M
52-week range
$364.50$667.69

RBC Bearings swing-trade checklist

RBC Bearings scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $504.20 is below the 50-day ($527.77) and 200-day ($548.15) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58.7, Neutral

    Reading 58.7 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    5.1% above

    Price is 5.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 31 days

    Next report Oct 30, 2026, 31 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +11.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +11.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

RBC Bearings stock chart and price history

RBC Bearings closed at $504.20 on Sep 28, 2026, +32.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $364.50 to $667.69.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
RBC Bearings share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$400$600NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep504.20

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−0.9%
3 months
−20.6%
6 months
−5.3%
1 year
+32.9%
The full RBC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RBC in Gekko

Follow RBC Bearings through every session

Put RBC on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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RBC Bearings GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

RBC Bearings’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.7, in the Neutral zone, down 6.2 points over five sessions.

010058.7Neutral

Down 6.2 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying33+0.6%+1.4%+8.6%+13.4%
Accumulation182+0.6%+1.1%+2.8%+8.5%
Neutral (current zone)377+0.5%+1.0%+1.8%+4.7%
Distribution76+0.5%+0.9%+0.3%+6.1%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average RBC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RBC price, zone by zone.Track RBC in Gekko

Is RBC Bearings stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

RBC Bearings trades 5.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $479.74, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what RBC Bearings shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$479.74

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

5.1% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RBC in Gekko

RBC Bearings insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RBC Bearings, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RBC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RBC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RBC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RBC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RBC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RBC in Gekko

Buybacks

RBC Bearings has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 27, 2026
$10.70M
As a share of market cap
0.07%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds RBC.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

RBC Bearings earnings: next date and track record

RBC Bearings reports on Oct 30, 2026 (31 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.7%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.7%Nov ’24+14.1%Jan ’25+2.7%May ’25+4.8%Aug ’25+5.4%Oct ’25+5.3%Feb ’26−9.9%May ’26+1.5%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 31, 2026 AI summary

What they said
RBC Bearings delivered strong Q1 fiscal 2027 results with net sales up 19.2% YoY to $519.5M. Adjusted EPS surged 36.6% to $3.88, and adjusted EBITDA rose 28.1% to $181.2M. Aerospace & Defense revenue jumped 36.9%, while Industrial OEM grew 21.5%. Space business generated $25M in Q1 alone, on pace to exceed fiscal 2026's $70M. The company eliminated $77M of debt with free cash flow of $146.9M.
Guidance
Management expects significant shipment expansion in the Marine segment during H2 fiscal 2027 as supply chain issues are largely resolved. Space business is seen as an early-stage, long-term growth opportunity. Industrial environment characterized as healthy and poised for continued growth.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 31, 2026$3.88
est $3.42
+13.5%$519.5M
est $508.9M
+2.1%+1.5%
May 15, 2026$3.62
est $3.32
+9.0%$518.0M
est $505.9M
+2.4%−9.9%
Feb 5, 2026$3.04
est $2.85
+6.7%$461.6M
est $460.1M
+0.3%+5.3%
Oct 31, 2025$2.88
est $2.73
+5.5%$455.3M
est $450.3M
+1.1%+5.4%
Aug 1, 2025$2.84
est $2.74
+3.6%$436.0M
est $438.5M
−0.6%+4.8%
May 16, 2025$2.83
est $2.71
+4.4%$437.7M
est $439.5M
−0.4%+2.7%
Jan 31, 2025$2.34
est $2.20
+6.4%$394.4M
est $438.1M
−10.0%+14.1%
Nov 1, 2024$1.65
est $1.75
−5.7%$397.9M
est $392.4M
+1.4%+1.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

RBC Bearings stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for RBC Bearings is $630.67, +25.1% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$630.67consensus 12-month target, +25.1% from the last close
Low $600High $686
Buy8
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$655+29.9%
Sep 14GuggenheimBuy, initiated$600+19.0%
Sep 14GuggenheimBuy, initiated$600+19.0%
Aug 26Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$650+28.9%
Aug 7Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$655+29.9%
+1.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+11.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

RBC Bearings seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, RBC Bearings averaged +11.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+46.1%2021+16.4%2022−7.7%2023−3.6%2024+7.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+8.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+7.6%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+10.1%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+11.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+18.0%4 of 5

For scale, RBC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.

RBC Bearings market cap and key statistics

RBC Bearings’s market cap is $15.95B, with a P/E ratio of 49.5 and revenue of $1.95B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$15.95B
P/E ratio
49.5
Forward P/E
36.9
EPS, TTM
$10.18
Gekko Fair Value
$479.74

Trading

Volume
328,904
Avg volume, 20 days
323,980
52-week high
$667.69
52-week low
$364.50
Shares outstanding
31.66M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.95B
Profit margin
16.4%
Return on equity
9.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+47.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.40
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%

RBC Bearings stock news this week

Coverage of RBC Bearings this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 3 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

RBC Bearings peers

RBC Bearings’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MLIMueller Industries+1.3%Neutral0.3% below
VMIValmont Industries+0.6%Accumulation4.1% above
USARUSA Rare Earth−3.5%Accumulation29.7% below
ROCKGibraltar Industries+2.1%Accumulation21.8% below
PKOHPark-Ohio+0.1%Neutral20.3% below
IIINInsteel Industries−0.2%Accumulation24.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

RBC Bearings stock FAQ

What is RBC Bearings’s market cap?

RBC Bearings’s market cap is $15.95B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $504.20, with 31.66M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 49.5.

What is the RBC Bearings stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for RBC Bearings is $630.67, +25.1% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is RBC Bearings stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate RBC Bearings is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $504.20 is 5.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $479.74. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does RBC Bearings report earnings next?

RBC Bearings is expected to report on Oct 30, 2026 (31 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.55 per share on revenue of $513.7M. RBC Bearings beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.7% on average across the report.

What is RBC Bearings’s 52-week high and low?

RBC Bearings’s 52-week high is $667.69 and its 52-week low is $364.50; it closed at $504.20 on Sep 28, 2026, +32.9% over the past year.

Is RBC Bearings stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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