Telefonica Brasil (VIV) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$11.29−0.31 (−2.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

VIV closes at $11.29, down 2.7% on the day, with institutional flows and behavioral patterns around the stock described as showing neutral sentiment across all time horizons.

The shares trade below both the 50-day average of $12.10 and the 200-day average of $13.77, reflecting a trend with the 50-day beneath the 200-day. Over the past six months the stock is down 26%, with a one-year return of -8.3%, and it sits near its 52-week low of $11.18 versus a high of $17.26. The GekkoIndex reads 68.7, placing VIV in the Accumulation zone, while the price stands 44.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.19. Analyst coverage from 3 firms shows 2 hold and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $14.92, implying 32.2% consensus upside.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 10 November 2026, 42 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. There is no recorded insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the current windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 0.6% gain across 5 years, positive in 4 of them. Typical daily movement runs 2.3%, with a typical 20-day range of 5.5%, both worth noting alongside the wide gap to Gekko Fair Value.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Telefonica Brasil price vs fair value

$20.19$11.29Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $11.29200-day averageGekko Fair Value $20.19

Telefonica Brasil quick facts

Market cap
$18.07B
P/E ratio
14.4
Forward P/E
9.9
EPS, TTM
$0.81
Revenue, TTM
$61.77B
Profit margin
10.7%
Dividend yield
8.53%
Beta
0.20
Volume
853,003 avg 1.42M
1-year return
−8.3%
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.5%
50-day average
$12.10
200-day average
$13.77
Next earnings
Nov 10
Shares outstanding
1.60B
52-week range
$11.18$17.26

Telefonica Brasil swing-trade checklist

Telefonica Brasil scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $11.29 is below the 50-day ($12.10) and 200-day ($13.77) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68.7, Accumulation

    Reading 68.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    44.1% below

    Price is 44.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 42 days

    Next report Nov 10, 2026, 42 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +0.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Telefonica Brasil stock chart and price history

Telefonica Brasil closed at $11.29 on Sep 28, 2026, −8.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.18 to $17.26.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Telefonica Brasil share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$12$14$16NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep11.29

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−0.4%
3 months
−14.9%
6 months
−26.0%
1 year
−8.3%
The full VIV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open VIV in Gekko

Follow Telefonica Brasil through every session

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About Telefonica Brasil

Telefonica Brasil provides telecommunications services across Brazil, serving both households and businesses. Its offerings span fixed-line calling, mobile voice and broadband internet built on networks from 3G through 5G, and dedicated data connectivity for enterprises. The company is also known for its pay television services, delivered via satellite, IPTV, and cable, complete with pay-per-view and on-demand content.

Beyond communications, the company generates revenue through infrastructure leasing, private network solutions, computer equipment rentals, and support services such as caller identification and voicemail. It handles wholesale interconnection for other network operators and offers digital products including cloud computing, cybersecurity, and financial services. The company sells devices like smartphones and broadband modems, and works with sectors such as retail, manufacturing, financial services, and government, reaching customers through its own stores, authorized dealers, distribution partners, door-to-door sales, and telesales.

Founded in 1998 and headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil, the company previously operated under the name Telecomunicações de São Paulo S.A. - TELESP before adopting its current name in October 2011. Its shares trade under the ticker VIV.

Sector
Communications
Website
telefonica.com.br

Telefonica Brasil GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Telefonica Brasil’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 12.3 points over five sessions.

010068.7Accumulation

Up 12.3 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying38+0.9%−0.7%−2.6%−8.4%
Accumulation (current zone)222−0.5%−0.4%+0.5%+3.5%
Neutral319+0.5%+0.8%+1.2%+3.5%
Distribution46+1.3%+3.1%+5.0%+8.4%
Selling0Not available

Average VIV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VIV price, zone by zone.Track VIV in Gekko

Is Telefonica Brasil stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Telefonica Brasil trades 44.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.19, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Telefonica Brasil shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$20.19

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

44.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VIV in Gekko

Telefonica Brasil insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Telefonica Brasil, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for VIV in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every VIV insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VIV in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in VIV were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for VIV, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VIV in Gekko

Telefonica Brasil earnings: next date and track record

Telefonica Brasil reports on Nov 10, 2026 (42 days away).

Telefonica Brasil stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Telefonica Brasil is $14.92, +32.2% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$14.92consensus 12-month target, +32.2% from the last close
Low $14High $16
Buy0
Hold2
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 20Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$14+24.0%
Jul 29Bank of America SecuritiesSell, maintained——
Jul 29BarclaysHold, maintained$16+41.7%
Jul 16BarclaysHold, reiterated$15.50+37.3%
+0.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Telefonica Brasil seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Telefonica Brasil averaged +0.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.5%2021+3.1%2022+4.0%2023−8.0%2024+2.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.3%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.0%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.6%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.7%4 of 5

For scale, VIV’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.5%.

Telefonica Brasil market cap and key statistics

Telefonica Brasil’s market cap is $18.07B, with a P/E ratio of 14.4 and revenue of $61.77B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$18.07B
P/E ratio
14.4
Forward P/E
9.9
EPS, TTM
$0.81
Gekko Fair Value
$20.19

Trading

Volume
853,003
Avg volume, 20 days
1.42M
52-week high
$17.26
52-week low
$11.18
Shares outstanding
1.60B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$61.77B
Profit margin
10.7%
Return on equity
9.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+18.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.20
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.5%
Dividend yield
8.53%

Telefonica Brasil stock news this week

1 headline about Telefonica Brasil from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Telefonica Brasil stock FAQ

What is Telefonica Brasil’s market cap?

Telefonica Brasil’s market cap is $18.07B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $11.29, with 1.60B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.4.

What is the Telefonica Brasil stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Telefonica Brasil is $14.92, +32.2% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Telefonica Brasil stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Telefonica Brasil is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $11.29 is 44.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.19. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Telefonica Brasil report earnings next?

Telefonica Brasil is expected to report on Nov 10, 2026 (42 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.24 per share on revenue of $3.08B.

What is Telefonica Brasil’s 52-week high and low?

Telefonica Brasil’s 52-week high is $17.26 and its 52-week low is $11.18; it closed at $11.29 on Sep 28, 2026, −8.3% over the past year.

Is Telefonica Brasil stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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