Vodafone (VOD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Vodafone Group Plc. Communications sector. Market cap $39.03B.

$16.95−0.57 (−3.3%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Vodafone closes at $16.95, down 3.3% on the day but still above both its 50-day average of $16.13 and 200-day average of $14.92, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reading of 50.4 places the stock in the Neutral zone, up 6.8 over the past five readings. Against Gekko Fair Value of $24.58, the stock trades 31% below that level, a gap that stands out against the trend backdrop. The 52-week range spans $11.12 to $17.71, with the stock having touched a new one-year high of $17.35 earlier this month.

This week's news centers on ownership shifts and one credit-related update. Several 13F filings show position changes: Integrated Wealth Concepts LLC raised its stake by 313.1%, Concurrent Investment Advisors LLC increased its position by 415.8%, while Waverly Advisors LLC cut its stake by 44.3%. Separately, shares fell after reports that a stake sale by Patrick Drahi in the German broadband joint venture OXG to Société Générale could cost Vodafone up to €1.1 billion in potential earnings, since Société Générale will not assume his deferred payment commitments. Fitch also reaffirmed Vodafone's rating, citing its broad operational footprint and strong liquidity.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 10 November 2026, before the open, 51 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Two covering firms currently rate the stock buy, with a consensus target of $15.86, implying downside of 6.4% from current levels. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -3.6% over five years, rising in only one of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to fair value.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $16.95200-day averageGekko Fair Value $24.58

Key stats

Market cap
$39.03B
P/E ratio
Forward P/E
37.7
EPS, TTM
−$0.14
Revenue, TTM
$40.46B
Profit margin
-1%
Dividend yield
3.08%
Beta
0.33
Volume
6.15M avg 3.04M
1-year return
+45.4%
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
50-day average
$16.13
200-day average
$14.92
Next earnings
Nov 10 before open
Shares outstanding
2.31B
52-week range
$11.12$17.71

Vodafone swing-trade checklist

Vodafone scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $16.95 is above the 50-day ($16.13) and 200-day ($14.92) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    50.4, Neutral

    Reading 50.4 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    31.0% below

    Price is 31% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 51 days

    Next report Nov 10, 2026, 51 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −3.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.6% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Vodafone stock chart and price history

Vodafone closed at $16.95 on Sep 18, 2026, +45.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.12 to $17.71.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+4.8%
3 months
+18.5%
6 months
+17.5%
1 year
+45.4%
The full VOD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open VOD in Gekko

Follow Vodafone through every session

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About Vodafone

Vodafone provides mobile and fixed-line communication services to consumers and businesses across Europe and beyond. Its offerings include voice calls, texting, and data on mobile networks, along with broadband internet, television, and home phone service delivered over fixed lines. These are also bundled together into combined household packages sold under names such as GigaKombi and Vodafone One.

Alongside its main communication services, Vodafone builds connected-device solutions for businesses, covering logistics, fleet tracking, smart metering, insurance, cloud services, and security, as well as offerings for the automotive and health fields. It also runs M-Pesa, a widely used payment platform in Africa that handles money transfers, financial services, and payments for businesses and merchants. In addition, Vodafone works with other network operators through partner market agreements and has a strategic partnership with Open Fiber, reaching a large base of mobile, broadband, and television customers.

Vodafone was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Newbury, in the United Kingdom. Its shares trade under the ticker VOD.

Sector
Communications
Website
vodafone.com

Vodafone GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Vodafone’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.4, in the Neutral zone, up 6.8 points over five sessions.

010050.4Neutral

Up 6.8 points over five sessions, from the Distribution zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying19+6.7%+9.2%+9.9%+12.9%
Accumulation178+0.9%+1.3%+2.2%+5.6%
Neutral (current zone)372+0.4%+1.0%+2.7%+5.7%
Distribution46−0.7%−0.6%−1.7%+2.9%
Selling0Not available

Average VOD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VOD price, zone by zone.Track VOD in Gekko

Is Vodafone stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Vodafone trades 31.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $24.58, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Vodafone shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$24.58

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

31.0% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VOD in Gekko

Vodafone insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Vodafone, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for VOD in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every VOD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VOD in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in VOD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for VOD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VOD in Gekko

Vodafone earnings: next date and track record

Vodafone reports on Nov 10, 2026, before the open (51 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 7 reports.

1 of 7reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.5%Jul ’24−6.1%Nov ’24−2.6%Feb ’25+8.1%May ’25−2.9%Jun ’25+1.2%Jul ’25+5.7%Nov ’25−3.8%Feb ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 5, 2026$0.00
est $0.00
−3.8%
Nov 11, 2025$0.69+5.7%
Jul 24, 2025$0.00
est $0.00
+1.2%
Jun 6, 2025−$0.20
est $0.00
$21.02B
est $22.07B
−4.8%−2.9%
May 20, 2025−$0.22
est $0.23
−199.4%$21.02B
est $22.07B
−4.8%+8.1%
Feb 4, 2025$0.04
est $0.00
−2.6%
Nov 12, 2024$0.04
est $0.22
−79.9%$20.04B
est $20.10B
−0.3%−6.1%
Jul 25, 2024$0.06
est $0.54
−89.1%$15.88B
est $23.60B
−32.7%+4.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Vodafone stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Vodafone is $15.86, −6.4% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$15.86consensus 12-month target, −6.4% from the last close
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 4Goldman SachsBuy, upgraded$20.93+23.5%
Sep 4Goldman SachsBuy, upgraded$20.93+23.5%
Jul 10New StreetBuy, upgraded
+2.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−3.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Vodafone seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Vodafone averaged −3.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−3.7%2021−7.8%2022−5.0%2023−3.3%2024+2.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.8%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.8%0 of 5
Next 15 trading days−4.6%0 of 5
Next 20 trading days−3.6%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−4.0%1 of 5

For scale, VOD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.1%.

Vodafone market cap and key statistics

Vodafone’s market cap is $39.03B and revenue of $40.46B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$39.03B
Forward P/E
37.7
EPS, TTM
−$0.14
Gekko Fair Value
$24.58

Trading

Volume
6.15M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.04M
52-week high
$17.71
52-week low
$11.12
Shares outstanding
2.31B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$40.46B
Profit margin
-1%
Return on equity
0.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−15.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.33
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
Dividend yield
3.08%

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Vodafone stock FAQ

What is Vodafone’s market cap?

Vodafone’s market cap is $39.03B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $16.95, with 2.31B shares outstanding.

What is the Vodafone stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Vodafone is $15.86, −6.4% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Vodafone stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Vodafone is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $16.95 is 31.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $24.58. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Vodafone report earnings next?

Vodafone is expected to report on Nov 10, 2026, before the market opens (51 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.62 per share on revenue of $25.32B. Vodafone beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 7 reports, moving 4.4% on average across the report.

What is Vodafone’s 52-week high and low?

Vodafone’s 52-week high is $17.71 and its 52-week low is $11.12; it closed at $16.95 on Sep 18, 2026, +45.4% over the past year.

Is Vodafone stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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