Vodafone (VOD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$16.28+0.66 (+4.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Vodafone's week is dominated by the Competition Commission of India's approval of French billionaire Xavier Niel's proposed 16.2% stake purchase in Vodafone Group through his investment vehicle Vega SAS, a deal valued at approximately Euro 5.1 billion that would make Vega SAS the company's largest shareholder. The regulatory clearance drew repeated coverage across several days. Separately, the company is set to release Q2 2027 earnings before market open on Tuesday, with analysts anticipating earnings of $0.609 per share and revenue of $25.32 billion, and a filing noted total voting rights of 23,168,639,889 as of 30 October 2026.

Shares closed at $16.28, up 4.2%, sitting between the 50-day average of $16.35 and the 200-day average of $15.43, a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 56.1, placing VOD in the Neutral zone, down 6.4 over five readings. Price stands 32.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $23.97.

Earnings arrive on 10 November 2026, before the open, just 5 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior quarter's report missed estimates sharply, with a -5% reaction, against a 1-in-7 beat record. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -2.2% across 5 years, rising in just 1 of those years. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Two covering firms currently rate the stock buy, with a consensus target of $16.06.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Vodafone price vs fair value

▲$23.97$16.28Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $16.28200-day averageGekko Fair Value $23.97

Vodafone quick facts

Market cap
$38.44B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
35.3
EPS, TTM
−$0.14
Revenue, TTM
$40.46B
Profit margin
-1%
Dividend yield
3.43%
Beta
0.32
Volume
3.54M avg 3.65M
1-year return
+43.1%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5%
50-day average
$16.35
200-day average
$15.43
Next earnings
Nov 10 before open
Shares outstanding
2.32B
52-week range
$11.12$17.71

Vodafone swing-trade checklist

Vodafone scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $16.28 sits between the 50-day ($16.35) and 200-day ($15.43) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    56.1, Neutral

    Reading 56.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    32.1% below

    Price is 32.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 5 days

    Reports on Nov 10, 2026, 5 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.2% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Vodafone stock chart and price history

Vodafone closed at $16.28 on Nov 4, 2026, +43.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.12 to $17.71.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Vodafone share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$12$14$18DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct16.28

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.5%
3 months
+1.8%
6 months
+0.9%
1 year
+43.1%
The full VOD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open VOD in Gekko

Follow Vodafone through every session

Put VOD on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track VOD in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Vodafone

Vodafone provides mobile and fixed-line communication services to consumers and businesses across Europe and beyond. Its offerings include voice calls, texting, and data on mobile networks, along with broadband internet, television, and home phone service delivered over fixed lines. These are also bundled together into combined household packages sold under names such as GigaKombi and Vodafone One.

Alongside its main communication services, Vodafone builds connected-device solutions for businesses, covering logistics, fleet tracking, smart metering, insurance, cloud services, and security, as well as offerings for the automotive and health fields. It also runs M-Pesa, a widely used payment platform in Africa that handles money transfers, financial services, and payments for businesses and merchants. In addition, Vodafone works with other network operators through partner market agreements and has a strategic partnership with Open Fiber, reaching a large base of mobile, broadband, and television customers.

Vodafone was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Newbury, in the United Kingdom. Its shares trade under the ticker VOD.

Sector
Communications
Website
vodafone.com

Vodafone GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Vodafone’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.1, in the Neutral zone, down 6.4 points over five sessions.

010056.1Neutral

Down 6.4 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying19+6.7%+9.2%+9.9%+18.2%
Accumulation190+0.9%+1.2%+2.1%+5.6%
Neutral (current zone)387+0.2%+0.9%+2.6%+5.4%
Distribution54−0.9%−1.4%−2.7%+2.9%
Selling0Not available

Average VOD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VOD price, zone by zone.Track VOD in Gekko

Is Vodafone stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Vodafone trades 32.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $23.97, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Vodafone shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$23.97

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

32.1% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 12.5% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$24$16Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VOD in Gekko

Vodafone insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Vodafone, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for VOD in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every VOD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VOD in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in VOD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for VOD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VOD in Gekko

Vodafone earnings: next date and track record

Vodafone reports on Nov 10, 2026, before the open (5 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 7 reports.

1 of 7reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.5%Jul ’24−6.1%Nov ’24−2.6%Feb ’25+8.1%May ’25+1.2%Jul ’25+5.7%Nov ’25−3.8%Feb ’26−5.0%May ’26

Last earnings call, May 12, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Vodafone reported FY'26 group service revenue growth of 5.1% in Q4, with adjusted EBITDAaL organic growth of 4.5%, hitting the upper end of guidance. Adjusted free cash flow reached EUR 2.6 billion, continuing growth since FY'24. The full-year dividend was increased 2.5% under a new progressive dividend policy. Germany showed improvement in B2B and broadband despite competitive pressures, while Africa delivered its highest service revenue growth in nearly two decades.
Guidance
For FY'27, Vodafone guides continued growth in both adjusted EBITDAaL and adjusted free cash flow. Medium-term ambition targets double-digit organic growth in adjusted free cash flow, signaling increased management confidence in the simplified, restructured portfolio.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 12, 2026−$0.62
est $0.32
−295.8%$24.36B
est $10.29B
+136.7%−5.0%
Feb 5, 2026$0.00
est $0.00
———−3.8%
Nov 11, 2025$0.69———+5.7%
Jul 24, 2025$0.00
est $0.00
———+1.2%
May 20, 2025$0.23
est $0.23
0.0%$21.60B
est $22.07B
−2.1%+8.1%
Feb 4, 2025$0.04
est $0.00
———−2.6%
Nov 12, 2024$0.04
est $0.22
−79.9%$20.04B
est $20.10B
−0.3%−6.1%
Jul 25, 2024$0.06
est $0.54
−89.1%$15.88B
est $23.60B
−32.7%+4.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Vodafone stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Vodafone is $16.06, −1.4% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$16.06consensus 12-month target, −1.4% from the last close
Low $18.50High $20.93
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 1Berenberg BankBuy, initiated$18.50+13.6%
Sep 4Goldman SachsBuy, upgraded$20.93+28.6%
Sep 4Goldman SachsBuy, upgraded$20.93+28.6%
+2.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−2.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Vodafone seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Vodafone averaged −2.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.4%2021−8.4%2022−7.5%2023−5.3%2024+12.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.4%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.3%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.2%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−4.2%2 of 5

For scale, VOD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5%.

Vodafone market cap and key statistics

Vodafone’s market cap is $38.44B and revenue of $40.46B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$38.44B
Forward P/E
35.3
EPS, TTM
−$0.14
Gekko Fair Value
$23.97

Trading

Volume
3.54M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.65M
52-week high
$17.71
52-week low
$11.12
Shares outstanding
2.32B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$40.46B
Profit margin
-1%
Return on equity
0.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−15.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.32
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5%
Dividend yield
3.43%

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Communications

Vodafone stock FAQ

What is Vodafone’s market cap?

Vodafone’s market cap is $38.44B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $16.28, with 2.32B shares outstanding.

What is the Vodafone stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Vodafone is $16.06, −1.4% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Vodafone stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Vodafone is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $16.28 is 32.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $23.97. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Vodafone report earnings next?

Vodafone is expected to report on Nov 10, 2026, before the market opens (5 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.61 per share on revenue of $25.32B. Vodafone beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 7 reports, moving 4.6% on average across the report.

What is Vodafone’s 52-week high and low?

Vodafone’s 52-week high is $17.71 and its 52-week low is $11.12; it closed at $16.28 on Nov 4, 2026, +43.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $19.05 on Feb 10, 2022.

Is Vodafone stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Vodafone the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,461 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.