Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for SMCI in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every SMCI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SMCI in Gekko
NASDAQ: SMCI
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$41.78−1.48 (−3.4%)
Gekko Brief
AI summarySuper Micro Computer declined this week, falling 3.41% on 28 September and dropping alongside Dell and Hewlett Packard Enterprise as the broader AI server rally reversed on rising oil prices, higher Treasury yields, and geopolitical tensions feeding inflation concerns. Separately, Kahn Swick & Foti announced an investigation into the company's officers and directors following a U.S. Department of Justice indictment alleging a scheme to divert U.S. goods. On the product side, the company said it is shipping NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72 racks through its Data Center Building Block Solutions, and at least one rating action described the stock as trading at a depressed forward multiple given backlog and revenue growth expectations.
Shares closed at $41.78, above both the 50-day average of $35.38 and the 200-day average of $31.83, with the stock up 8.6% over one month and 48.4% over three months, though still down 9.6% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 50.8, placing SMCI in the Neutral zone, and the price sits 10% above Gekko Fair Value of $37.97.
The next earnings date is 3 November 2026, after the close, falling outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the last 30 days there have been 7 unusual options signals, with call premium of $61.1 million against put premium of $15.6 million. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 6.1% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus target sits at $42.38, implying 1.4% upside.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Super Micro Computer price vs fair value
Close $41.78200-day averageGekko Fair Value $37.97
Super Micro Computer quick facts
- Market cap
- $27.03B
- P/E ratio
- 12.7
- Forward P/E
- 10.2
- EPS, TTM
- $3.27
- Revenue, TTM
- $39.06B
- Profit margin
- 5.7%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 2.00
- Volume
- 29.31M avg 37.60M
- 1-year return
- −9.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±5.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±14%
- 50-day average
- $35.38
- 200-day average
- $31.83
- Next earnings
- Nov 3 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 657.0M
Super Micro Computer swing-trade checklist
Super Micro Computer scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $41.78 is above the 50-day ($35.38) and 200-day ($31.83) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
50.8, Neutral
Reading 50.8 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
10.0% above
Price is 10% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 7 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 35 days
Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+6.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Super Micro Computer stock chart and price history
Super Micro Computer closed at $41.78 on Sep 28, 2026, −9.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $19.48 to $58.78.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +8.6%
- 3 months
- +48.4%
- 6 months
- +90.2%
- 1 year
- −9.6%
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About Super Micro Computer
Super Micro Computer designs and sells server and storage hardware built on modular, open-standard designs. Its lineup includes liquid and air-cooled servers built for artificial intelligence training and inferencing, blade and multi-node systems marketed under names such as SuperBlade, MicroBlade, FlexTwin, GrandTwin and BigTwin, along with storage systems, rackmount and embedded computing gear for 5G, IoT and edge deployments, plus workstations, networking devices and component-level parts like server boards, chassis and power supplies.
Beyond hardware, the company supplies software for managing these systems remotely, including tools for server administration, power monitoring and cloud composition. It also supports customers through planning, testing, training, documentation and rack-level deployment services for AI and high performance computing data centers, backed by help desk, on-site support, warranty and maintenance offerings. Its customer base spans enterprise data centers, cloud computing operators, AI developers, 5G providers and edge computing users, reached through a mix of direct sales, distributors, resellers, system integrators and original equipment manufacturers.
Founded in 1993, Super Micro Computer is based in San Jose, California, and its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker SMCI.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Industry
- Computer processing hardware
- Website
- supermicro.com
Super Micro Computer GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Super Micro Computer’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.8, in the Neutral zone, down 0.6 points over five sessions.
50.8Neutral
Down 0.6 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 59 | +3.8% | +20.5% | ||
| Accumulation | 207 | +1.6% | +5.4% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 346 | +0.3% | −3.9% | ||
| Distribution | 39 | −4.6% | −8.7% | ||
| Selling | 21 | Not available | |||
Average SMCI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SMCI price, zone by zone.Track SMCI in Gekko
Is Super Micro Computer stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Super Micro Computer trades 10.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $37.97, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Super Micro Computer shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$37.97
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
10.0% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SMCI in Gekko
Super Micro Computer insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Super Micro Computer, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in SMCI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for SMCI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SMCI in Gekko
Buybacks
Super Micro Computer has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2025
- $200.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.74%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
7signals, 80% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 26, $18.35M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold SMCI.
0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Super Micro Computer earnings: next date and track record
Super Micro Computer reports on Nov 3, 2026, after the close (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 3, 2026
Expected after the close, 35 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.06
- Revenue estimate
- $14.94B
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±14.4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 11, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- SMCI reported Q4 FY2026 revenue of $11.1 billion, with full-year revenue nearly doubling from $22 billion to $39 billion year-over-year. Non-GAAP gross margin reached 17.6% and non-GAAP diluted EPS was $1.70. Q4 revenue was impacted by short-term customer delays related to power, cooling, and networking constraints. The company recorded over $60 billion in new orders, driving backlog to record levels entering FY2027.
- Guidance
- Management provided guidance for Q1 FY2027 and full fiscal year 2027, supported by record order backlog exceeding $60 billion. Growth is expected to accelerate driven by AI infrastructure demand, DCBBS total solutions, and expanding enterprise and inferencing product lines.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | $1.70 est $0.92 | $11.12B est $11.60B | +19.5% |
| May 5, 2026 | $0.84 est $0.62 | $10.24B est $12.39B | +24.1% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $0.69 est $0.49 | $12.68B est $10.42B | +13.6% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.35 est $0.37 | $5.02B est $5.83B | −17.2% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $0.41 est $0.45 | $5.76B est $5.98B | −19.6% |
| May 6, 2025 | $0.31 est $0.41 | $4.60B est $5.01B | +1.0% |
| Feb 11, 2025 | $0.51 est $0.58 | $5.68B est $5.65B | −7.0% |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $0.75 est $0.74 | $5.95B est $6.34B | −12.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Super Micro Computer stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Super Micro Computer is $42.38, +1.4% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$42.38consensus 12-month target, +1.4% from the last close
Now $41.78Avg $42.38
Low $15High $51
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | Goldman Sachs | $34 | −18.6% |
| Sep 12 | Susquehanna | $15 | −64.1% |
| Sep 8 | Citi | $39 | −6.7% |
| Sep 5 | Susquehanna | — | — |
| Aug 21 | Rosenblatt Securities | $51 | +22.1% |
−3.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+6.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Super Micro Computer seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Super Micro Computer averaged +6.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +6.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +7.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +6.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +6.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +1.9% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, SMCI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 14%.
Super Micro Computer market cap and key statistics
Super Micro Computer’s market cap is $27.03B, with a P/E ratio of 12.7 and revenue of $39.06B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $27.03B
- P/E ratio
- 12.7
- Forward P/E
- 10.2
- EPS, TTM
- $3.27
- Gekko Fair Value
- $37.97
Trading
- Volume
- 29.31M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 37.60M
- 52-week high
- $58.78
- 52-week low
- $19.48
- Shares outstanding
- 657.0M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $39.06B
- Profit margin
- 5.7%
- Return on equity
- 21.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +434.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 2.00
- Typical daily move
- ±5.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±14%
Super Micro Computer stock news this week
Coverage of Super Micro Computer this week reads positive: 11 positive, 2 neutral and 3 negative headlines.
- Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market: What Investors Need to KnowYahoo Finance Singapore, Sep 28
- What's Going On With Super Micro Computer Stock Monday?Benzinga, Sep 28
- Super Micro Computer Investigation Initiated: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates the Officers and Directors of Super Micro Computer, Inc. - SMCIBusiness Wire, Sep 28
- Rating Upgrade: Super Micro Computer Presents A Rare Value OpportunitySeeking Alpha, Sep 28
- Super Micro and Dell Drop 5% as AI Server Rally Reverses; Hewlett Packard Enterprise Falls 3%24/7 Wall St., Sep 28
- Is Super Micro Computer a Buy?The Motley Fool, Sep 25
Super Micro Computer peers
Super Micro Computer’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| DELLDell Technologies | Neutral | 18.8% above |
| HPEHewlett Packard Enterprise | Neutral | 14.4% above |
| ZBRAZebra Technologies | Neutral | 20.5% above |
| IONQIonQ | Neutral | 12.2% below |
| QBTSD-Wave Quantum | Neutral | 30.8% below |
| RGTIRigetti Computing | Neutral | 23.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Super Micro Computer stock FAQ
What is Super Micro Computer’s market cap?
Super Micro Computer’s market cap is $27.03B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $41.78, with 657.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.7.
What is the Super Micro Computer stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Super Micro Computer is $42.38, +1.4% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 3 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Super Micro Computer stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Super Micro Computer is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $41.78 is 10.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $37.97. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Super Micro Computer report earnings next?
Super Micro Computer is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, after the market closes (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.06 per share on revenue of $14.94B. Super Micro Computer beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 14.4% on average across the report.
What is Super Micro Computer’s 52-week high and low?
Super Micro Computer’s 52-week high is $58.78 and its 52-week low is $19.48; it closed at $41.78 on Sep 28, 2026, −9.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $122.90 on Mar 8, 2024.
Is Super Micro Computer stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Super Micro Computer?
Gekko flagged 7 unusual options signals in Super Micro Computer over the last 30 days, with $61.10M of flagged premium in calls and $15.56M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 26, 2026 with $18.35M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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