NASDAQ: RGTI

Rigetti Computing (RGTI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$15.95−0.71 (−4.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Rigetti Computing draws continued attention this week around its quantum-computing hardware progress and commercialization debate, with coverage highlighting its Cepheus-1-108Q system and gate fidelity milestones alongside comparisons to peers like IONQ and QBTS. Analysts issued a consensus "Hold" recommendation with an average 12-month price target of $30.67, even as commentary noted the company's $100 million federal quantum computing deal and a debt-free balance sheet against still-modest commercial revenue. Coverage also flagged that the stock has fallen 49% over the past year, with insider selling noted following the federal funding news.

RGTI closes at $15.95, down 4.3%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $16.09 and its 200-day average of $18.53, with the shorter average itself below the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 57.9, placing it in the Neutral zone. Price stands 23.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.96.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report is scheduled for 9 November 2026, 41 days out and beyond a typical holding window. In the past 30 days, 2 unusual options signals were recorded, with call premium of $444,595 against put premium of $294,621. Analyst consensus among 9 firms shows 6 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $28.81. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +20.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the stock's typical 20-day move of 17.5%.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Rigetti Computing price vs fair value

$20.96$15.95Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $15.95200-day averageGekko Fair Value $20.96

Rigetti Computing quick facts

Market cap
$5.30B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$0.86
Revenue, TTM
$13.35M
Profit margin
0%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
2.01
Volume
12.92M avg 16.58M
1-year return
−50.3%
Typical daily move
±5.8%
Typical 20-day move
±17.5%
50-day average
$16.09
200-day average
$18.53
Next earnings
Nov 9
Shares outstanding
333.8M
52-week range
$12.53$58.15

Rigetti Computing swing-trade checklist

Rigetti Computing scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $15.95 is below the 50-day ($16.09) and 200-day ($18.53) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    57.9, Neutral

    Reading 57.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    23.9% below

    Price is 23.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 2 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 41 days

    Next report Nov 9, 2026, 41 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +20.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +20.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Rigetti Computing stock chart and price history

Rigetti Computing closed at $15.95 on Sep 28, 2026, −50.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $12.53 to $58.15.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Rigetti Computing share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$30$40$50NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep15.95

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.0%
3 months
−18.0%
6 months
+19.7%
1 year
−50.3%
The full RGTI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RGTI in Gekko

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About Rigetti Computing

Rigetti Computing builds quantum computers from the ground up, including the superconducting processors that power them. The company is known for handling both the hardware and the systems that run on it, rather than focusing on just one piece of the technology.

Customers reach Rigetti's machines through its Quantum Cloud Services platform, which offers access via public, private, or hybrid cloud arrangements. This setup allows users to work with the company's quantum systems without needing to manage the physical infrastructure themselves.

Rigetti Computing was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Berkeley, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker RGTI.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Computer processing hardware
Website
rigetti.com

Rigetti Computing GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Rigetti Computing’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 57.9, in the Neutral zone, up 2.4 points over five sessions.

010057.9Neutral

Up 2.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying10+8.8%+16.3%+28.6%+43.8%
Accumulation279+0.7%+1.3%+3.2%+24.3%
Neutral (current zone)300Not available
Distribution71Not available
Selling12Not available

Average RGTI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RGTI price, zone by zone.Track RGTI in Gekko

Is Rigetti Computing stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Rigetti Computing trades 23.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.96, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Rigetti Computing shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$20.96

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

23.9% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RGTI in Gekko

Rigetti Computing insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Rigetti Computing, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RGTI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RGTI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RGTI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RGTI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RGTI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RGTI in Gekko

Unusual options activity last 30 days

2signals, 60% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 24, $295K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold RGTI.

0added2opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Rigetti Computing earnings: next date and track record

Rigetti Computing reports on Nov 9, 2026 (41 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.2%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+11.8%Nov ’24+8.3%Mar ’25−6.7%May ’25+7.9%Aug ’25−7.0%Nov ’25+0.1%Mar ’26+0.7%May ’26+6.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Rigetti reported Q2 2026 results highlighting their Cepheus-1-108Q 108-qubit system with 99.9% single-qubit and 99.1% two-qubit gate fidelities. Key strategic developments include a U.S. Department of Commerce LOI for up to $100M in funding over 3 years and an expanded HPE/Pittsburgh Supercomputing Center collaboration for hybrid quantum-classical computing. The company continues chiplet-based architecture development targeting coherence time improvements of 2-3x over several years.
Guidance
The $100M DOC funding LOI over 3 years supports continued roadmap investment. Management remains on track with chiplet-based roadmap laid out earlier in 2026, targeting coherence time improvements from current 25-30 microseconds to double or triple that range over several years.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026−$0.16
est −$0.06
−166.7%$5.14M
est $5.09M
+1.0%+6.9%
May 11, 2026−$0.04
est −$0.04
+2.0%$4.40M
est $4.09M
+7.7%+0.7%
Mar 4, 2026−$0.03
est −$0.05
+40.0%$1.87M
est $2.33M
−19.8%+0.1%
Nov 10, 2025−$0.03
est −$0.04
+28.0%$1.95M
est $2.17M
−10.2%−7.0%
Aug 12, 2025−$0.05
est −$0.06
+16.7%$1.80M
est $2.43M
−25.8%+7.9%
May 12, 2025−$0.08
est −$0.05
−60.0%$1.47M
est $2.55M
−42.3%−6.7%
Mar 5, 2025−$0.08
est −$0.08
0.0%$2.27M
est $2.50M
−9.0%+8.3%
Nov 12, 2024−$0.08
est −$0.08
0.0%$2.38M
est $2.52M
−5.6%+11.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Rigetti Computing stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Rigetti Computing is $28.81, +80.6% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$28.81consensus 12-month target, +80.6% from the last close
Low $16.53High $40
Buy6
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 21B. Riley SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$35+119.4%
Aug 7JefferiesHold, reiterated$18+12.9%
Aug 7JefferiesHold, maintained$18+12.9%
Aug 7NeedhamBuy, reiterated$31+94.4%
Aug 7Northland SecuritiesHold, maintained$20+25.4%
+20.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Rigetti Computing seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Rigetti Computing averaged +20.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+7.7%2021+23.1%2022−15.8%2023+91.5%2024+35.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+11.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+19.2%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+18.1%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+20.3%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.3%3 of 5

For scale, RGTI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 17.5%.

Rigetti Computing market cap and key statistics

Rigetti Computing’s market cap is $5.30B and revenue of $13.35M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.30B
EPS, TTM
−$0.86
Gekko Fair Value
$20.96

Trading

Volume
12.92M
Avg volume, 20 days
16.58M
52-week high
$58.15
52-week low
$12.53
Shares outstanding
333.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$13.35M
Profit margin
0%
Return on equity
-43.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
2.01
Typical daily move
±5.8%
Typical 20-day move
±17.5%

Rigetti Computing peers

Rigetti Computing’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DELLDell Technologies−1.5%Neutral18.8% above
HPEHewlett Packard Enterprise−0.2%Neutral14.4% above
SMCISuper Micro Computer−2.3%Neutral10.0% above
ZBRAZebra Technologies+0.4%Neutral20.5% above
IONQIonQ−2.3%Neutral12.2% below
QBTSD-Wave Quantum−1.3%Neutral30.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Rigetti Computing stock FAQ

What is Rigetti Computing’s market cap?

Rigetti Computing’s market cap is $5.30B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $15.95, with 333.8M shares outstanding.

What is the Rigetti Computing stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Rigetti Computing is $28.81, +80.6% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Rigetti Computing stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Rigetti Computing is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $15.95 is 23.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $20.96. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Rigetti Computing report earnings next?

Rigetti Computing is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026 (41 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.05 per share on revenue of $3.67M. Rigetti Computing beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.2% on average across the report.

What is Rigetti Computing’s 52-week high and low?

Rigetti Computing’s 52-week high is $58.15 and its 52-week low is $12.53; it closed at $15.95 on Sep 28, 2026, −50.3% over the past year.

Is Rigetti Computing stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Rigetti Computing?

Gekko flagged 2 unusual options signals in Rigetti Computing over the last 30 days, with $445K of flagged premium in calls and $295K in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 24, 2026 with $295K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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