Mizuho Financial (MFG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Sponosred. Finance sector. Market cap $133.3B.

$10.94−0.13 (−1.2%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Mizuho Financial (MFG) closes at $10.94, down 1.2% on the day, and sits above both its 50-day average of $10.62 and its 200-day average of $9.10, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 56, placing MFG in the Neutral zone. Shares trade 3.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $10.56, keeping price within a tight band of that marker.

This week's coverage centers on two threads. One concerns Mizuho Securities naming Tomoko Hama as its first female wealth management head, with a stated goal of growing the advisory business sixfold to over ¥100 billion ($652 million) in assets under advice within five years. The other involves a report that a $100 million credit line extended by Mizuho Bank to iron ore trader Radiant World was secured by invoices that counterparty Glencore later deemed invalid. Separately, WINTON GROUP Ltd disclosed a stake increase of 787.6% in the second quarter, bringing its position to roughly $2.19 million.

Looking ahead, MFG's next earnings report is set for 13 November 2026, 54 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. One tracked firm holds a buy rating with a consensus target of $10.48, implying -4.2% upside. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -3.9% over five years, rising in just 1 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the current Neutral reading.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $10.94200-day averageGekko Fair Value $10.56

Key stats

Market cap
$133.3B
P/E ratio
15
Forward P/E
14.6
EPS, TTM
$0.74
Revenue, TTM
$4.74T
Profit margin
29.1%
Dividend yield
1.68%
Beta
0.39
Volume
2.75M avg 3.11M
1-year return
+66.8%
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±4.9%
50-day average
$10.62
200-day average
$9.10
Next earnings
Nov 13
Shares outstanding
12.10B
52-week range
$6.09$11.49

Mizuho Financial swing-trade checklist

Mizuho Financial scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $10.94 is above the 50-day ($10.62) and 200-day ($9.10) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    56, Neutral

    Reading 56 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.6% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.6% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 54 days

    Next report Nov 13, 2026, 54 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −3.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.9% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Mizuho Financial stock chart and price history

Mizuho Financial closed at $10.94 on Sep 18, 2026, +66.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $6.09 to $11.49.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+7.9%
3 months
+6.2%
6 months
+41.0%
1 year
+66.8%
The full MFG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MFG in Gekko

Follow Mizuho Financial through every session

Put MFG on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track MFG in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Mizuho Financial

Mizuho Financial provides banking, trust and securities services through a network of subsidiaries operating in Japan, the Americas, Europe, and the Asia/Oceania region. Its offerings span everyday banking products such as deposit accounts and loans, including syndicated, housing and credit card lending, alongside broader financial services used by individuals, businesses and institutions.

The group's work is organized into five divisions: Retail & Business Banking, Corporate & Institutional, Global Corporate, Global Markets, and Asset Management. For corporate and institutional clients, Mizuho arranges financing through bond issuance, advises on mergers and acquisitions, and builds risk management tools, while also offering business matching, cross-border expansion guidance, capital strategy advice, and real estate agency services. Its capital markets arm handles sales and trading, offers investment products to individual investors, and consults with institutional clients. Additional services include trust administration, structured finance, pension management, stock transfer work, private banking, securities services, research, and technology support.

Mizuho Financial was established in 2003 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Its shares trade under the ticker MFG.

Sector
Finance
Website
mizuho-fg.co.jp

Mizuho Financial GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Mizuho Financial’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56, in the Neutral zone, up 7.9 points over five sessions.

010056Neutral

Up 7.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying21+2.4%+4.2%+5.5%+11.5%
Accumulation103+1.8%+4.0%+5.8%+14.1%
Neutral (current zone)440+0.7%+1.3%+3.5%+9.8%
Distribution51+0.7%+2.4%+0.9%−1.6%
Selling0Not available

Average MFG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MFG price, zone by zone.Track MFG in Gekko

Is Mizuho Financial stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Mizuho Financial trades 3.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $10.56, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Mizuho Financial shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$10.56

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

3.6% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MFG in Gekko

Mizuho Financial insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Mizuho Financial, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MFG in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MFG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MFG in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MFG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MFG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MFG in Gekko

Mizuho Financial earnings: next date and track record

Mizuho Financial reports on Nov 13, 2026 (54 days away).

Mizuho Financial stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Mizuho Financial is $10.48, −4.2% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$10.48consensus 12-month target, −4.2% from the last close
Buy1
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Jul 30Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained
+3.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−3.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Mizuho Financial seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Mizuho Financial averaged −3.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−8.2%2021−5.5%2022−6.8%2023+5.7%2024−6.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.1%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−4.0%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−3.9%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−2.9%2 of 5

For scale, MFG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.9%.

Mizuho Financial market cap and key statistics

Mizuho Financial’s market cap is $133.3B, with a P/E ratio of 15 and revenue of $4.74T over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$133.3B
P/E ratio
15
Forward P/E
14.6
EPS, TTM
$0.74
Gekko Fair Value
$10.56

Trading

Volume
2.75M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.11M
52-week high
$11.49
52-week low
$6.09
Shares outstanding
12.10B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.74T
Profit margin
29.1%
Return on equity
12.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+49.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.39
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±4.9%
Dividend yield
1.68%

Mizuho Financial stock news this week

Coverage of Mizuho Financial this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Mizuho Financial stock FAQ

What is Mizuho Financial’s market cap?

Mizuho Financial’s market cap is $133.3B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $10.94, with 12.10B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.

What is the Mizuho Financial stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Mizuho Financial is $10.48, −4.2% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Mizuho Financial stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Mizuho Financial is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $10.94 is 3.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $10.56. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Mizuho Financial report earnings next?

Mizuho Financial is expected to report on Nov 13, 2026 (54 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.19 per share on revenue of $6.79B.

What is Mizuho Financial’s 52-week high and low?

Mizuho Financial’s 52-week high is $11.49 and its 52-week low is $6.09; it closed at $10.94 on Sep 18, 2026, +66.8% over the past year.

Is Mizuho Financial stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Mizuho Financial the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,349 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.