Mizuho Financial (MFG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$9.80+0.26 (+2.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Mizuho Financial's own research arm drove most of this week's coverage rather than company-specific results: its analysts raised price targets on Amazon and Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., lowered their target on Coinbase Global to $145, and reiterated Welltower as a top REIT pick on senior-housing growth. Separately, Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group disclosed a passive 5.0% stake in Mizuho (MFG) in a regulatory filing.

MFG closed at $9.80, up 2.7% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $10.57 and 200-day average of $9.55, a mixed trend picture. Over the past year the stock has returned 45.2%, though the one-month return stands at -12.1% and the three-month return at -8.3%, against a six-month gain of 10.7%. The GekkoIndex reads 64.8, placing MFG in the Accumulation zone, while the price sits 10.9% below the Gekko Fair Value of $11.00.

Mizuho Financial reports earnings on 13 November 2026, before the open, eight days out and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Its last reported quarter beat estimates, with EPS of $0.22 versus a $0.17 estimate, producing a 6.4% reaction; the company has beaten estimates in 7 of its last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 3.3%. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.8% gain over the past 5 years, rising in 3 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity is on record for the respective windows.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Mizuho Financial price vs fair value

$11.00$9.80Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $9.80200-day averageGekko Fair Value $11.00

Mizuho Financial quick facts

Market cap
$118.5B
P/E ratio
13.2
Forward P/E
13.3
EPS, TTM
$0.73
Revenue, TTM
$4.74T
Profit margin
29.1%
Dividend yield
1.91%
Beta
0.37
Volume
4.02M avg 3.83M
1-year return
+45.2%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5%
50-day average
$10.57
200-day average
$9.55
Next earnings
Nov 13 before open
Shares outstanding
12.07B
52-week range
$6.45$11.49

Mizuho Financial swing-trade checklist

Mizuho Financial scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $9.80 sits between the 50-day ($10.57) and 200-day ($9.55) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.8, Accumulation

    Reading 64.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    10.9% below

    Price is 10.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 8 days

    Reports on Nov 13, 2026, 8 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Mizuho Financial stock chart and price history

Mizuho Financial closed at $9.80 on Nov 4, 2026, +45.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $6.45 to $11.49.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Mizuho Financial share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$6$8DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct9.80

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.1%
3 months
−8.3%
6 months
+10.7%
1 year
+45.2%
The full MFG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MFG in Gekko

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About Mizuho Financial

Mizuho Financial provides banking, trust and securities services through a network of subsidiaries operating in Japan, the Americas, Europe, and the Asia/Oceania region. Its offerings span everyday banking products such as deposit accounts and loans, including syndicated, housing and credit card lending, alongside broader financial services used by individuals, businesses and institutions.

The group's work is organized into five divisions: Retail & Business Banking, Corporate & Institutional, Global Corporate, Global Markets, and Asset Management. For corporate and institutional clients, Mizuho arranges financing through bond issuance, advises on mergers and acquisitions, and builds risk management tools, while also offering business matching, cross-border expansion guidance, capital strategy advice, and real estate agency services. Its capital markets arm handles sales and trading, offers investment products to individual investors, and consults with institutional clients. Additional services include trust administration, structured finance, pension management, stock transfer work, private banking, securities services, research, and technology support.

Mizuho Financial was established in 2003 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Its shares trade under the ticker MFG.

Sector
Finance
Website
mizuho-fg.co.jp

Mizuho Financial GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Mizuho Financial’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.8, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.5 points over five sessions.

010064.8Accumulation

Down 3.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying24+2.2%+4.2%+5.5%+11.5%
Accumulation (current zone)112+1.3%+3.3%+5.7%+13.7%
Neutral463+0.6%+1.0%+3.1%+9.2%
Distribution51+0.7%+2.4%+0.9%−1.6%
Selling0Not available

Average MFG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MFG price, zone by zone.Track MFG in Gekko

Is Mizuho Financial stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Mizuho Financial trades 10.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $11.00, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Mizuho Financial shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$11.00

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

10.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 2.1% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$11$10Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MFG in Gekko

Mizuho Financial insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Mizuho Financial, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MFG in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MFG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MFG in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MFG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MFG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MFG in Gekko

Mizuho Financial earnings: next date and track record

Mizuho Financial reports on Nov 13, 2026, before the open (8 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+8.0%Nov ’24+0.5%Feb ’25−2.3%May ’25−0.8%Jul ’25−0.1%Nov ’25+3.0%Feb ’26−5.3%May ’26+6.4%Jul ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$0.22
est $0.17
+29.4%$15.83B
est $5.51B
+187.4%+6.4%
May 15, 2026$0.12
est $0.07
+71.4%$5.66B
est $5.29B
+7.0%−5.3%
Feb 2, 2026$0.16
est $0.14
+14.3%$6.10B
est $5.22B
+16.8%+3.0%
Nov 14, 2025$0.20
est $0.17
+17.6%$5.57B
est $5.13B
+8.6%−0.1%
Jul 31, 2025$0.15
est $0.15
0.0%$13.89B
est $5.49B
+153.1%−0.8%
May 15, 2025$0.03
est $0.03
+9.4%$4.49B
est $4.34B
+3.3%−2.3%
Feb 3, 2025$0.15
est $0.10
+50.0%$15.23B
est $4.44B
+242.9%+0.5%
Nov 14, 2024$0.15
est $0.11
+36.4%$14.24B
est $5.09B
+179.7%+8.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Mizuho Financial stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Mizuho Financial is $11.64, +18.8% from the last close.

$11.64consensus 12-month target, +18.8% from the last close
+5.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+4.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Mizuho Financial seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Mizuho Financial averaged +4.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−7.3%2021+7.2%2022−2.9%2023+22.0%2024+8.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.7%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.9%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.8%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.8%3 of 5

For scale, MFG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5%.

Mizuho Financial market cap and key statistics

Mizuho Financial’s market cap is $118.5B, with a P/E ratio of 13.2 and revenue of $4.74T over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$118.5B
P/E ratio
13.2
Forward P/E
13.3
EPS, TTM
$0.73
Gekko Fair Value
$11.00

Trading

Volume
4.02M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.83M
52-week high
$11.49
52-week low
$6.45
Shares outstanding
12.07B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.74T
Profit margin
29.1%
Return on equity
12.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+49.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.37
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±5%
Dividend yield
1.91%

Mizuho Financial stock news this week

Coverage of Mizuho Financial this week reads neutral: 3 positive, 6 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

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Mizuho Financial stock FAQ

What is Mizuho Financial’s market cap?

Mizuho Financial’s market cap is $118.5B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $9.80, with 12.07B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.2.

What is the Mizuho Financial stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Mizuho Financial is $11.64, +18.8% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Mizuho Financial stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Mizuho Financial is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $9.80 is 10.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $11.00. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Mizuho Financial report earnings next?

Mizuho Financial is expected to report on Nov 13, 2026, before the market opens (8 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.21 per share on revenue of $6.78B. Mizuho Financial beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.3% on average across the report.

What is Mizuho Financial’s 52-week high and low?

Mizuho Financial’s 52-week high is $11.49 and its 52-week low is $6.45; it closed at $9.80 on Nov 4, 2026, +45.2% over the past year.

Is Mizuho Financial stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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