Invitation Homes (INVH) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$26.54−0.08 (−0.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Invitation Homes has been in focus this week around its dividend and recent quarterly performance. The company previously declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share for holders of record as of September 24, payable on or before October 16. Commentary also points back to Q2 results, which included 1.6% same-store core revenue growth, core FFO per share growth of 5%, and average occupancy above 97%, alongside continued discussion of a possible near-term trend reversal after recent share-price weakness.

INVH closed at $26.54, down 0.3%, with the stock sitting below its 50-day average of $29.04 and its 200-day average of $27.85. Shares are down 9.2% over one month and 13.2% over three months, though up 8.5% over six months, and trade near the lower half of a 52-week range of $24.25 to $30.89. The GekkoIndex reads 70.2, placing the stock in the Buying zone, while price sits 28.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $37.04.

The next earnings date falls on 28 October, 29 days out, just beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 29 July beat estimates ($0.51 versus $0.48) with a -1.3% reaction. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.8% across 5 years, rising in 1 of them. Analyst coverage from 14 firms shows 8 buy and 6 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $33.52.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Invitation Homes price vs fair value

$37.04$26.54Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $26.54200-day averageGekko Fair Value $37.04

Invitation Homes quick facts

Market cap
$15.77B
P/E ratio
24.9
Forward P/E
30.4
EPS, TTM
$1.07
Revenue, TTM
$2.85B
Profit margin
23.2%
Dividend yield
4.49%
Beta
0.83
Volume
5.75M avg 5.29M
1-year return
−8.2%
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±3.8%
50-day average
$29.04
200-day average
$27.85
Next earnings
Oct 28
Shares outstanding
590.6M
52-week range
$24.25$30.89

Invitation Homes swing-trade checklist

Invitation Homes scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $26.54 sits between the 50-day ($29.04) and 200-day ($27.85) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    70.2, Buying

    Reading 70.2 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    28.3% below

    Price is 28.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 29 days

    Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −0.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.8% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Invitation Homes stock chart and price history

Invitation Homes closed at $26.54 on Sep 28, 2026, −8.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $24.25 to $30.89.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Invitation Homes share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$24$26$28$30$32NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep26.54

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.2%
3 months
−13.2%
6 months
+8.5%
1 year
−8.2%
The full INVH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open INVH in Gekko

Follow Invitation Homes through every session

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About Invitation Homes

Invitation Homes leases and manages single-family houses for renters across the country, rather than building or selling homes outright. It is known for operating a large portfolio of standalone rental properties, giving tenants the flexibility of a house without the commitment of ownership, and it also works to add homes to its portfolio through new development and partnerships with other builders and owners.

The company organizes its business around renting out these homes and handling the day-to-day work of property management, from maintenance to tenant relations. Its customers are individuals and families who prefer leasing a single-family house to buying one or renting an apartment, and its revenue comes from the rent and related fees these residents pay.

Invitation Homes was incorporated on June 6, 2012, and is based in Dallas, United States. Its shares trade under the ticker INVH.

Sector
Finance
Website
invitationhomes.com

Invitation Homes GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Invitation Homes’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70.2, in the Buying zone, down 4.8 points over five sessions.

010070.2Buying

Down 4.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)44+1.0%+1.4%+2.2%+0.1%
Accumulation250−0.1%−0.6%−0.6%−0.9%
Neutral319−0.4%−0.3%−0.9%−1.7%
Distribution12−0.3%−0.5%−0.4%+0.1%
Selling0Not available

Average INVH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the INVH price, zone by zone.Track INVH in Gekko

Is Invitation Homes stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Invitation Homes trades 28.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $37.04, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Invitation Homes shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$37.04

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

28.3% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open INVH in Gekko

Invitation Homes insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Invitation Homes, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for INVH in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every INVH insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open INVH in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in INVH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for INVH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open INVH in Gekko

Buybacks

Invitation Homes has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$100.1M
As a share of market cap
0.63%
Trailing four quarters
$606.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds INVH.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Invitation Homes earnings: next date and track record

Invitation Homes reports on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−5.4%Oct ’24+3.8%Feb ’25+4.3%Apr ’25−4.2%Jul ’25+0.8%Oct ’25−5.4%Feb ’26+2.2%Apr ’26−1.3%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Invitation Homes reported strong Q2 2026 results with average occupancy above 97%, core FFO per share growth of 5%, and AFFO per share growth of ~6%. New lease rate growth accelerated for the sixth consecutive month. The company repurchased $100M in stock during Q2, totaling $600M since December at ~$26/share. Construction loan commitments reached ~$350M, and deal flow is improving post-ROAD to Housing Act passage.
Guidance
Management sees improving acquisition opportunities following legislative clarity from the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act. ResiBuilt's development pipeline has reaccelerated, and construction lending commitments near $350M provide future purchase optionality. Second half outlook supported by strong occupancy and accelerating lease rate growth.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$0.51
est $0.48
+6.3%$747.6M
est $731.1M
+2.2%−1.3%
Apr 29, 2026$0.13
est $0.15
−13.3%$734.1M
est $689.9M
+6.4%+2.2%
Feb 18, 2026$0.27
est $0.18
+48.2%$685.3M
est $685.6M
−0.1%−5.4%
Oct 29, 2025$0.22
est $0.47
−53.2%$688.2M
est $683.0M
+0.8%+0.8%
Jul 30, 2025$0.16
est $0.16
0.0%$681.4M
est $681.7M
0.0%−4.2%
Apr 30, 2025$0.17
est $0.14
+21.4%$674.5M
est $664.4M
+1.5%+4.3%
Feb 26, 2025$0.14
est $0.18
−20.4%$659.1M
est $658.7M
+0.1%+3.8%
Oct 30, 2024$0.15
est $0.17
−11.8%$660.3M
est $660.3M
0.0%−5.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Invitation Homes stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Invitation Homes is $33.52, +26.3% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$33.52consensus 12-month target, +26.3% from the last close
Low $28High $36
Buy8
Hold6
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 21Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$33+24.3%
Sep 21Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, upgraded$32+20.6%
Sep 17ScotiabankHold, maintained$28+5.5%
Sep 14Wells FargoBuy, maintained——
Sep 14Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$34+28.1%
+2.2%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−0.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Invitation Homes seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Invitation Homes averaged −0.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.4%2021−4.2%2022−2.8%2023−2.0%2024−1.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.2%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.4%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.7%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.8%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−4.2%1 of 5

For scale, INVH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.8%.

Invitation Homes market cap and key statistics

Invitation Homes’s market cap is $15.77B, with a P/E ratio of 24.9 and revenue of $2.85B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$15.77B
P/E ratio
24.9
Forward P/E
30.4
EPS, TTM
$1.07
Gekko Fair Value
$37.04

Trading

Volume
5.75M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.29M
52-week high
$30.89
52-week low
$24.25
Shares outstanding
590.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.85B
Profit margin
23.2%
Return on equity
7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+60.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.83
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±3.8%
Dividend yield
4.49%

Invitation Homes stock news this week

Coverage of Invitation Homes this week reads positive: 8 positive, 6 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Invitation Homes stock FAQ

What is Invitation Homes’s market cap?

Invitation Homes’s market cap is $15.77B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $26.54, with 590.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.9.

What is the Invitation Homes stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Invitation Homes is $33.52, +26.3% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 8 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Invitation Homes stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Invitation Homes is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $26.54 is 28.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $37.04. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Invitation Homes report earnings next?

Invitation Homes is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.18 per share on revenue of $738.5M. Invitation Homes beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.4% on average across the report.

What is Invitation Homes’s 52-week high and low?

Invitation Homes’s 52-week high is $30.89 and its 52-week low is $24.25; it closed at $26.54 on Sep 28, 2026, −8.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $45.80 on Dec 31, 2021.

Is Invitation Homes stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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